Opinion Poll by SKOP, 2–5 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 27.6% 26.0–29.4% 25.5–29.9% 25.1–30.3% 24.3–31.2%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 18.5% 17.1–20.1% 16.7–20.5% 16.4–20.9% 15.7–21.7%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 18.1% 16.7–19.6% 16.3–20.1% 15.9–20.5% 15.3–21.2%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.9–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.2–10.4%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 7.7% 6.7–8.8% 6.5–9.1% 6.2–9.4% 5.8–9.9%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 7.4% 6.5–8.5% 6.2–8.8% 6.0–9.1% 5.6–9.6%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.5% 4.4–8.0%
Liberalerna 5.5% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.0% 4.0–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 97 91–103 90–105 88–106 85–110
Sverigedemokraterna 62 65 60–71 59–72 58–74 55–76
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 64 59–69 58–70 56–72 53–75
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 29 25–33 24–34 23–35 22–37
Vänsterpartiet 28 27 24–31 23–32 22–33 21–35
Centerpartiet 31 26 23–30 22–31 21–32 20–34
Kristdemokraterna 22 21 18–25 17–26 17–26 15–28
Liberalerna 20 19 17–23 16–24 15–25 0–26

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0.4% 99.8%  
86 0.4% 99.4%  
87 0.7% 99.0%  
88 2% 98%  
89 1.1% 96%  
90 3% 95%  
91 3% 92%  
92 4% 88%  
93 8% 85%  
94 6% 77%  
95 8% 71%  
96 6% 63%  
97 13% 57% Median
98 6% 43%  
99 7% 38%  
100 7% 30% Last Result
101 4% 23%  
102 5% 19%  
103 5% 14%  
104 2% 9%  
105 2% 7%  
106 2% 4%  
107 0.6% 2%  
108 0.9% 2%  
109 0.4% 0.9%  
110 0.2% 0.5%  
111 0.2% 0.4%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.4% 99.6%  
56 0.6% 99.3%  
57 1.0% 98.7%  
58 2% 98%  
59 3% 95%  
60 6% 93%  
61 5% 87%  
62 7% 82% Last Result
63 8% 75%  
64 7% 67%  
65 15% 60% Median
66 9% 45%  
67 9% 37%  
68 6% 28%  
69 5% 21%  
70 6% 16%  
71 4% 11%  
72 2% 6%  
73 2% 4%  
74 2% 3%  
75 0.6% 1.4%  
76 0.4% 0.8%  
77 0.1% 0.4%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.3% 99.8%  
54 0.5% 99.4%  
55 0.5% 98.9%  
56 1.0% 98%  
57 2% 97%  
58 4% 95%  
59 9% 92%  
60 10% 83%  
61 7% 73%  
62 7% 65%  
63 7% 58%  
64 6% 51% Median
65 9% 45%  
66 13% 37%  
67 7% 24%  
68 5% 17%  
69 4% 11%  
70 3% 7% Last Result
71 0.9% 4%  
72 1.3% 3%  
73 0.7% 2%  
74 0.3% 1.1%  
75 0.4% 0.7%  
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100% Last Result
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.2% 99.9%  
22 0.8% 99.6%  
23 1.5% 98.9%  
24 4% 97%  
25 6% 93%  
26 10% 88%  
27 12% 78%  
28 14% 66%  
29 13% 52% Median
30 13% 39%  
31 10% 26%  
32 5% 16%  
33 5% 11%  
34 3% 6%  
35 2% 3%  
36 0.7% 1.2%  
37 0.3% 0.5%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.3% 99.9%  
21 1.4% 99.6%  
22 3% 98%  
23 5% 95%  
24 6% 91%  
25 9% 84%  
26 18% 75%  
27 14% 57% Median
28 12% 43% Last Result
29 11% 31%  
30 9% 20%  
31 5% 11%  
32 3% 6%  
33 2% 3%  
34 0.9% 2%  
35 0.4% 0.7%  
36 0.2% 0.3%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.3% 99.9%  
20 1.1% 99.6%  
21 2% 98%  
22 6% 96%  
23 8% 90%  
24 12% 83%  
25 14% 71%  
26 15% 57% Median
27 13% 42%  
28 11% 29%  
29 7% 18%  
30 4% 11%  
31 3% 6% Last Result
32 2% 4%  
33 0.9% 2%  
34 0.4% 0.8%  
35 0.2% 0.4%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0.1% 99.9%  
15 0.6% 99.8%  
16 2% 99.3%  
17 4% 98%  
18 6% 94%  
19 10% 88%  
20 12% 78%  
21 19% 66% Median
22 14% 47% Last Result
23 13% 33%  
24 7% 20%  
25 8% 13%  
26 3% 5%  
27 1.3% 2%  
28 0.6% 1.0%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100%  
1 0% 99.4%  
2 0% 99.4%  
3 0% 99.4%  
4 0% 99.4%  
5 0% 99.4%  
6 0% 99.4%  
7 0% 99.4%  
8 0% 99.4%  
9 0% 99.4%  
10 0% 99.4%  
11 0% 99.4%  
12 0% 99.4%  
13 0% 99.4%  
14 0.4% 99.4%  
15 3% 99.0%  
16 5% 96%  
17 10% 91%  
18 15% 82%  
19 17% 66% Median
20 14% 49% Last Result
21 13% 35%  
22 9% 22%  
23 7% 13%  
24 3% 6%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.8% 1.2%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 195 199 100% 192–205 190–208 188–209 185–212
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 186 99.0% 181–194 180–196 178–197 173–201
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet 175 179 80% 173–186 170–188 169–190 166–194
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 167 172 27% 165–178 163–180 161–182 158–185
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 174 170 20% 163–176 161–179 159–180 155–183
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 161 0.7% 154–167 152–170 151–172 147–175
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Vänsterpartiet 144 153 0% 146–160 144–161 143–163 140–167
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet 147 152 0% 145–159 143–161 142–162 139–166
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 154 150 0% 144–157 141–159 140–161 137–164
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 131 0% 124–137 123–139 120–141 116–144
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet 132 129 0% 123–136 120–137 119–139 116–143
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 126 0% 119–132 117–134 117–136 113–140
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 124 0% 118–131 116–132 114–134 111–137
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 111 0% 105–117 103–119 102–121 98–124
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 109 0% 103–116 102–117 100–119 96–122
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 112 105 0% 99–111 97–112 95–114 91–117
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 97 0% 91–103 90–105 88–106 85–110
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 90 0% 84–96 82–97 81–99 79–102
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 92 85 0% 80–91 78–92 77–94 73–97

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 99.9%  
183 0.1% 99.9%  
184 0.1% 99.8%  
185 0.4% 99.7%  
186 0.5% 99.3%  
187 0.6% 98.8%  
188 1.2% 98%  
189 1.3% 97%  
190 2% 96%  
191 3% 94%  
192 3% 91%  
193 4% 88%  
194 6% 84%  
195 4% 78% Last Result
196 6% 74%  
197 9% 67%  
198 7% 59% Median
199 8% 52%  
200 7% 44%  
201 7% 37%  
202 9% 30%  
203 3% 21%  
204 5% 18%  
205 4% 13%  
206 3% 9%  
207 1.1% 6%  
208 2% 5%  
209 1.2% 3%  
210 0.7% 2%  
211 0.3% 1.0%  
212 0.3% 0.8%  
213 0.2% 0.5%  
214 0.1% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
170 0.1% 100%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.2% 99.8%  
173 0.3% 99.5%  
174 0.3% 99.3%  
175 0.4% 99.0% Majority
176 0.4% 98.6%  
177 0.5% 98%  
178 0.9% 98%  
179 1.4% 97%  
180 4% 95%  
181 5% 92%  
182 6% 86%  
183 10% 80%  
184 10% 71%  
185 10% 61%  
186 7% 51%  
187 6% 44% Median
188 3% 38%  
189 3% 35%  
190 4% 32%  
191 6% 28%  
192 3% 23%  
193 5% 19%  
194 5% 14%  
195 4% 10%  
196 2% 6%  
197 1.5% 4%  
198 1.0% 2%  
199 0.2% 1.2%  
200 0.4% 1.0%  
201 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
202 0.1% 0.3%  
203 0.1% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.2%  
205 0.1% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
162 0% 100%  
163 0.1% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.9%  
165 0.2% 99.8%  
166 0.4% 99.6%  
167 0.8% 99.1%  
168 0.7% 98%  
169 1.3% 98%  
170 1.5% 96%  
171 3% 95%  
172 2% 92%  
173 3% 90%  
174 6% 87%  
175 6% 80% Last Result, Majority
176 6% 75%  
177 5% 68%  
178 8% 64%  
179 12% 56% Median
180 6% 44%  
181 5% 38%  
182 6% 33%  
183 8% 27%  
184 4% 20%  
185 4% 15%  
186 3% 11%  
187 3% 9%  
188 2% 6%  
189 1.2% 4%  
190 0.8% 3%  
191 0.7% 2%  
192 0.3% 1.0%  
193 0.2% 0.7%  
194 0.2% 0.5%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.3%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.8%  
157 0.1% 99.7%  
158 0.4% 99.6%  
159 0.4% 99.2%  
160 0.7% 98.8%  
161 0.9% 98%  
162 2% 97%  
163 2% 95%  
164 2% 93%  
165 3% 91%  
166 5% 88%  
167 4% 83% Last Result
168 7% 79%  
169 7% 72%  
170 6% 65%  
171 9% 60% Median
172 7% 50%  
173 8% 43%  
174 8% 35%  
175 5% 27% Majority
176 5% 22%  
177 5% 18%  
178 4% 12%  
179 2% 8%  
180 1.3% 6%  
181 0.9% 4%  
182 1.0% 3%  
183 0.9% 2%  
184 0.7% 1.4%  
185 0.3% 0.7%  
186 0.2% 0.4%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0.1% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.7%  
155 0.2% 99.7%  
156 0.2% 99.5%  
157 0.3% 99.3%  
158 0.7% 99.0%  
159 0.8% 98%  
160 1.2% 97%  
161 2% 96%  
162 3% 94%  
163 3% 91%  
164 4% 89%  
165 4% 85%  
166 8% 80%  
167 6% 73%  
168 5% 67%  
169 6% 62% Median
170 12% 56%  
171 8% 44%  
172 5% 36%  
173 6% 32%  
174 6% 25% Last Result
175 6% 20% Majority
176 3% 13%  
177 2% 10%  
178 3% 8%  
179 1.5% 5%  
180 1.3% 4%  
181 0.7% 2%  
182 0.8% 2%  
183 0.4% 0.9%  
184 0.2% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.2%  
186 0.1% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
144 0.1% 100%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.2% 99.8%  
147 0.2% 99.7%  
148 0.4% 99.4%  
149 0.4% 99.0%  
150 0.6% 98.6%  
151 1.1% 98%  
152 3% 97%  
153 2% 94%  
154 4% 92%  
155 3% 89%  
156 11% 86%  
157 5% 75%  
158 6% 70%  
159 6% 64%  
160 6% 58%  
161 7% 52% Median
162 8% 45%  
163 7% 37%  
164 4% 30%  
165 7% 26%  
166 6% 19%  
167 4% 14%  
168 2% 10%  
169 2% 7%  
170 2% 5% Last Result
171 1.0% 4%  
172 0.9% 3%  
173 0.8% 2%  
174 0.3% 1.1%  
175 0.4% 0.7% Majority
176 0.1% 0.4%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0.2% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.7%  
140 0.4% 99.6%  
141 0.3% 99.2%  
142 0.9% 98.9%  
143 1.0% 98%  
144 2% 97% Last Result
145 2% 95%  
146 3% 92%  
147 3% 89%  
148 6% 86%  
149 5% 80%  
150 6% 76%  
151 9% 70%  
152 9% 61%  
153 8% 53% Median
154 6% 45%  
155 7% 39%  
156 6% 31%  
157 6% 25%  
158 4% 19%  
159 4% 15%  
160 3% 11%  
161 4% 9%  
162 1.2% 5%  
163 1.2% 3%  
164 0.8% 2%  
165 0.4% 1.3%  
166 0.3% 0.9%  
167 0.2% 0.6%  
168 0.2% 0.4%  
169 0.1% 0.2%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.2% 99.8%  
139 0.2% 99.6%  
140 0.8% 99.4%  
141 0.8% 98.6%  
142 1.3% 98%  
143 2% 97%  
144 1.4% 95%  
145 4% 93%  
146 5% 90%  
147 5% 85% Last Result
148 8% 80%  
149 4% 72%  
150 6% 67%  
151 6% 62%  
152 8% 55% Median
153 12% 48%  
154 7% 36%  
155 5% 29%  
156 5% 23%  
157 4% 19%  
158 4% 15%  
159 4% 11%  
160 2% 7%  
161 2% 5%  
162 1.1% 3%  
163 0.5% 2%  
164 0.5% 2%  
165 0.6% 1.3%  
166 0.2% 0.7%  
167 0.2% 0.5%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.2%  
170 0.1% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0.1% 99.9%  
136 0.2% 99.8%  
137 0.3% 99.5%  
138 0.3% 99.2%  
139 0.7% 99.0%  
140 1.2% 98%  
141 2% 97%  
142 1.1% 95%  
143 3% 94%  
144 4% 91%  
145 5% 87%  
146 3% 82%  
147 9% 79%  
148 7% 70%  
149 7% 63%  
150 8% 56% Median
151 7% 48%  
152 9% 41%  
153 6% 33%  
154 4% 26% Last Result
155 6% 22%  
156 4% 16%  
157 3% 12%  
158 3% 9%  
159 2% 6%  
160 1.3% 4%  
161 1.2% 3%  
162 0.6% 2%  
163 0.5% 1.2%  
164 0.4% 0.7%  
165 0.1% 0.3%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.2% 99.8%  
116 0.1% 99.6%  
117 0.1% 99.4%  
118 0.2% 99.3%  
119 0.8% 99.1%  
120 1.1% 98%  
121 0.9% 97%  
122 1.1% 96%  
123 3% 95%  
124 5% 92%  
125 4% 87%  
126 3% 84%  
127 8% 81%  
128 10% 73%  
129 4% 62%  
130 5% 58% Median
131 7% 53%  
132 7% 46%  
133 13% 39%  
134 3% 27%  
135 4% 24%  
136 8% 20%  
137 3% 12%  
138 3% 9%  
139 2% 6%  
140 2% 4%  
141 1.3% 3%  
142 0.5% 1.4%  
143 0.3% 0.9% Last Result
144 0.2% 0.7%  
145 0.3% 0.5%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.2% 99.8%  
116 0.3% 99.6%  
117 0.3% 99.3%  
118 0.7% 99.0%  
119 1.4% 98%  
120 3% 97%  
121 2% 94%  
122 2% 92%  
123 4% 91%  
124 8% 87%  
125 5% 79%  
126 8% 74%  
127 8% 67%  
128 6% 59%  
129 8% 54% Median
130 7% 45%  
131 10% 39%  
132 5% 29% Last Result
133 6% 23%  
134 4% 18%  
135 4% 14%  
136 2% 11%  
137 4% 8%  
138 1.4% 4%  
139 0.8% 3%  
140 0.5% 2%  
141 0.7% 2%  
142 0.5% 1.0%  
143 0.3% 0.5%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0.1% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.2% 99.8%  
113 0.4% 99.6%  
114 0.4% 99.3%  
115 0.4% 98.9%  
116 1.0% 98% Last Result
117 3% 98%  
118 3% 95%  
119 3% 92%  
120 3% 89%  
121 4% 86%  
122 8% 82%  
123 5% 74%  
124 6% 69%  
125 11% 63%  
126 6% 52% Median
127 12% 46%  
128 6% 35%  
129 6% 29%  
130 5% 23%  
131 5% 18%  
132 3% 13%  
133 3% 10%  
134 2% 7%  
135 0.9% 4%  
136 1.5% 3%  
137 0.6% 2%  
138 0.4% 1.2%  
139 0.1% 0.7%  
140 0.3% 0.6%  
141 0.1% 0.3%  
142 0.1% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.1% 99.8%  
111 0.2% 99.7%  
112 0.3% 99.5%  
113 0.4% 99.2%  
114 2% 98.8%  
115 1.3% 97%  
116 2% 96%  
117 2% 94%  
118 5% 92%  
119 4% 87%  
120 5% 83%  
121 7% 77%  
122 6% 70%  
123 12% 65%  
124 4% 53% Median
125 6% 49%  
126 11% 43%  
127 6% 32%  
128 6% 26% Last Result
129 4% 20%  
130 4% 16%  
131 4% 12%  
132 2% 7%  
133 1.4% 5%  
134 1.3% 3%  
135 0.8% 2%  
136 0.4% 1.4%  
137 0.5% 0.9%  
138 0.1% 0.4%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0.1% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.3% 99.7%  
99 0.2% 99.5%  
100 0.9% 99.2%  
101 0.8% 98%  
102 1.2% 98%  
103 2% 96%  
104 2% 94%  
105 4% 92%  
106 6% 88%  
107 7% 82%  
108 6% 75%  
109 8% 68%  
110 7% 60%  
111 6% 53% Median
112 7% 47%  
113 6% 40%  
114 6% 33%  
115 9% 28%  
116 4% 19%  
117 5% 15%  
118 2% 10%  
119 3% 7%  
120 1.5% 4%  
121 1.1% 3%  
122 0.9% 2%  
123 0.4% 1.1% Last Result
124 0.3% 0.7%  
125 0.2% 0.4%  
126 0.1% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.8%  
94 0.1% 99.7%  
95 0.1% 99.6%  
96 0.2% 99.6%  
97 0.3% 99.4%  
98 0.4% 99.1%  
99 0.7% 98.7%  
100 2% 98%  
101 1.0% 96%  
102 4% 95%  
103 4% 91%  
104 3% 88%  
105 9% 84%  
106 5% 75%  
107 6% 70%  
108 8% 64%  
109 7% 56% Median
110 8% 49%  
111 7% 41%  
112 10% 35%  
113 5% 25%  
114 6% 20%  
115 4% 15%  
116 4% 10%  
117 2% 7%  
118 2% 5%  
119 1.0% 3%  
120 0.8% 2%  
121 0.6% 1.3% Last Result
122 0.2% 0.7%  
123 0.3% 0.5%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.7%  
89 0.1% 99.7%  
90 0.1% 99.6%  
91 0.3% 99.5%  
92 0.2% 99.3%  
93 0.5% 99.0%  
94 0.6% 98.5%  
95 0.9% 98%  
96 1.1% 97%  
97 2% 96%  
98 3% 94%  
99 5% 91%  
100 5% 86%  
101 9% 81%  
102 7% 72%  
103 7% 65%  
104 6% 58% Median
105 9% 53%  
106 8% 43%  
107 7% 36%  
108 7% 28%  
109 5% 21%  
110 5% 17%  
111 4% 12%  
112 4% 8% Last Result
113 1.0% 4%  
114 2% 3%  
115 0.7% 2%  
116 0.5% 1.1%  
117 0.2% 0.6%  
118 0.2% 0.4%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0.4% 99.8%  
86 0.4% 99.4%  
87 0.7% 99.0%  
88 2% 98%  
89 1.1% 96%  
90 3% 95%  
91 3% 92%  
92 4% 88%  
93 8% 85%  
94 6% 77%  
95 8% 71%  
96 6% 63%  
97 13% 57% Median
98 6% 43%  
99 7% 38%  
100 7% 30% Last Result
101 4% 23%  
102 5% 19%  
103 5% 14%  
104 2% 9%  
105 2% 7%  
106 2% 4%  
107 0.6% 2%  
108 0.9% 2%  
109 0.4% 0.9%  
110 0.2% 0.5%  
111 0.2% 0.4%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.4% 99.5%  
80 0.8% 99.1%  
81 1.0% 98%  
82 2% 97%  
83 3% 95%  
84 6% 92%  
85 5% 86%  
86 9% 81%  
87 7% 72%  
88 7% 65%  
89 7% 58%  
90 7% 51% Median
91 9% 44%  
92 7% 35%  
93 6% 28%  
94 8% 23%  
95 4% 15%  
96 3% 11%  
97 2% 7%  
98 1.2% 5%  
99 2% 4%  
100 0.7% 2%  
101 0.4% 1.2% Last Result
102 0.3% 0.8%  
103 0.3% 0.5%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.7%  
74 0.4% 99.4%  
75 0.6% 99.0%  
76 0.7% 98%  
77 1.4% 98%  
78 3% 96%  
79 3% 93%  
80 5% 91%  
81 6% 85%  
82 14% 79%  
83 7% 65%  
84 5% 59%  
85 5% 54% Median
86 10% 48%  
87 9% 39%  
88 7% 30%  
89 4% 23%  
90 6% 18%  
91 4% 12%  
92 5% 8% Last Result
93 1.1% 4%  
94 0.6% 3%  
95 0.8% 2%  
96 0.6% 1.2%  
97 0.4% 0.6%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations