Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 3–5 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 30.0% | 28.7–31.4% | 28.3–31.7% | 28.0–32.1% | 27.4–32.7% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 18.6% | 17.5–19.8% | 17.2–20.1% | 17.0–20.4% | 16.4–20.9% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0–8.5% | 6.8–8.8% | 6.6–9.0% | 6.3–9.4% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2–7.7% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.9–8.1% | 5.6–8.5% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1–6.4% | 4.9–6.6% | 4.8–6.8% | 4.5–7.2% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.6–6.6% | 4.3–7.0% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1–5.4% | 4.0–5.6% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.6–6.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 106 | 101–111 | 100–112 | 99–113 | 96–116 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 70 | 67–75 | 65–76 | 64–77 | 63–79 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 65 | 62–69 | 61–71 | 60–72 | 58–74 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 27 | 25–30 | 24–31 | 23–32 | 22–33 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 25 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 20–28 | 20–30 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 20 | 18–23 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 16–25 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 19 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–23 | 15–24 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 16 | 15–19 | 0–20 | 0–20 | 0–21 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 99 | 3% | 98% | |
| 100 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 101 | 3% | 92% | |
| 102 | 9% | 89% | |
| 103 | 8% | 81% | |
| 104 | 5% | 73% | |
| 105 | 14% | 68% | |
| 106 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 107 | 4% | 42% | |
| 108 | 16% | 38% | |
| 109 | 7% | 21% | |
| 110 | 3% | 14% | |
| 111 | 5% | 11% | |
| 112 | 3% | 6% | |
| 113 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 63 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 65 | 3% | 97% | |
| 66 | 4% | 94% | |
| 67 | 5% | 90% | |
| 68 | 8% | 85% | |
| 69 | 14% | 76% | |
| 70 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 71 | 15% | 48% | |
| 72 | 9% | 33% | |
| 73 | 6% | 24% | |
| 74 | 5% | 18% | |
| 75 | 4% | 13% | |
| 76 | 5% | 9% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 4% | 95% | |
| 62 | 8% | 91% | |
| 63 | 14% | 83% | |
| 64 | 12% | 69% | |
| 65 | 13% | 57% | Median |
| 66 | 9% | 44% | |
| 67 | 6% | 35% | |
| 68 | 11% | 29% | |
| 69 | 8% | 17% | |
| 70 | 4% | 9% | Last Result |
| 71 | 3% | 5% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 24 | 6% | 96% | |
| 25 | 11% | 90% | |
| 26 | 14% | 80% | |
| 27 | 24% | 65% | Median |
| 28 | 13% | 41% | |
| 29 | 15% | 28% | |
| 30 | 7% | 14% | |
| 31 | 3% | 6% | Last Result |
| 32 | 2% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 3% | 97% | |
| 22 | 6% | 94% | |
| 23 | 20% | 88% | |
| 24 | 14% | 68% | |
| 25 | 18% | 54% | Median |
| 26 | 23% | 36% | |
| 27 | 7% | 13% | |
| 28 | 4% | 6% | Last Result |
| 29 | 2% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 17 | 5% | 98% | |
| 18 | 13% | 94% | |
| 19 | 19% | 81% | |
| 20 | 27% | 63% | Median |
| 21 | 14% | 36% | |
| 22 | 12% | 22% | |
| 23 | 6% | 10% | |
| 24 | 3% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 17 | 9% | 96% | |
| 18 | 18% | 86% | |
| 19 | 23% | 68% | Median |
| 20 | 17% | 45% | |
| 21 | 14% | 28% | |
| 22 | 8% | 14% | Last Result |
| 23 | 4% | 6% | |
| 24 | 2% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 94% | |
| 2 | 0% | 94% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0% | 94% | |
| 7 | 0% | 94% | |
| 8 | 0% | 94% | |
| 9 | 0% | 94% | |
| 10 | 0% | 94% | |
| 11 | 0% | 94% | |
| 12 | 0% | 94% | |
| 13 | 0% | 94% | |
| 14 | 2% | 94% | |
| 15 | 14% | 92% | |
| 16 | 29% | 77% | Median |
| 17 | 19% | 49% | |
| 18 | 17% | 30% | |
| 19 | 7% | 13% | |
| 20 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 21 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 198 | 100% | 193–204 | 192–206 | 191–209 | 188–214 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 194 | 100% | 188–198 | 186–200 | 184–202 | 181–204 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 175 | 178 | 75% | 172–183 | 171–186 | 170–188 | 167–192 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 171 | 19% | 166–176 | 164–179 | 163–181 | 160–185 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 174 | 171 | 25% | 166–177 | 163–178 | 161–179 | 157–182 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 170 | 8% | 163–174 | 161–176 | 159–177 | 155–180 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 155 | 0% | 151–161 | 149–163 | 147–165 | 145–168 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 147 | 153 | 0% | 148–159 | 147–160 | 145–162 | 143–167 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 151 | 0% | 145–156 | 143–157 | 143–160 | 140–163 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 136 | 0% | 131–141 | 130–143 | 128–145 | 126–149 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 131 | 0% | 125–135 | 123–137 | 123–138 | 120–142 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 128 | 0% | 123–134 | 120–135 | 117–136 | 112–138 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 126 | 0% | 121–131 | 119–132 | 119–134 | 116–138 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 112 | 0% | 108–118 | 107–119 | 105–120 | 103–124 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 109 | 0% | 104–114 | 100–115 | 96–116 | 93–119 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 106 | 0% | 101–111 | 100–112 | 99–113 | 96–116 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 112 | 101 | 0% | 96–106 | 92–107 | 89–109 | 83–111 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 92 | 0% | 88–98 | 87–99 | 86–100 | 84–104 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 92 | 84 | 0% | 80–90 | 80–91 | 78–92 | 77–95 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 185 | 0% | 100% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 188 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 189 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 190 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 191 | 2% | 98% | |
| 192 | 4% | 95% | |
| 193 | 3% | 91% | |
| 194 | 5% | 87% | |
| 195 | 6% | 82% | |
| 196 | 7% | 76% | |
| 197 | 7% | 69% | |
| 198 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 199 | 5% | 46% | |
| 200 | 12% | 40% | |
| 201 | 9% | 28% | Last Result |
| 202 | 4% | 20% | |
| 203 | 5% | 16% | |
| 204 | 2% | 11% | |
| 205 | 2% | 8% | |
| 206 | 2% | 6% | |
| 207 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 208 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 209 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 210 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 211 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 212 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 213 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 215 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 181 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 183 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 184 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 185 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 186 | 2% | 96% | |
| 187 | 2% | 94% | |
| 188 | 3% | 92% | |
| 189 | 8% | 90% | |
| 190 | 8% | 82% | |
| 191 | 4% | 73% | |
| 192 | 3% | 69% | |
| 193 | 13% | 66% | |
| 194 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 195 | 4% | 46% | Last Result |
| 196 | 11% | 42% | |
| 197 | 16% | 31% | |
| 198 | 6% | 14% | |
| 199 | 2% | 8% | |
| 200 | 2% | 6% | |
| 201 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 202 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 203 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 205 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 168 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 169 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 170 | 2% | 98% | |
| 171 | 2% | 96% | |
| 172 | 5% | 93% | |
| 173 | 6% | 88% | |
| 174 | 8% | 83% | |
| 175 | 5% | 75% | Last Result, Majority |
| 176 | 7% | 70% | |
| 177 | 10% | 63% | |
| 178 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 179 | 5% | 41% | |
| 180 | 8% | 36% | |
| 181 | 12% | 28% | |
| 182 | 3% | 16% | |
| 183 | 5% | 13% | |
| 184 | 2% | 8% | |
| 185 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 186 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 187 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 188 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 189 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 162 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 163 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 164 | 2% | 97% | |
| 165 | 3% | 94% | |
| 166 | 4% | 91% | |
| 167 | 7% | 87% | |
| 168 | 4% | 81% | |
| 169 | 8% | 77% | |
| 170 | 7% | 68% | Last Result |
| 171 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 172 | 11% | 46% | |
| 173 | 11% | 35% | |
| 174 | 6% | 25% | |
| 175 | 5% | 19% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 14% | |
| 177 | 2% | 10% | |
| 178 | 3% | 8% | |
| 179 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 180 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 181 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 182 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 184 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 159 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 161 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 162 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 163 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 164 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 165 | 2% | 94% | |
| 166 | 5% | 92% | |
| 167 | 3% | 87% | |
| 168 | 12% | 84% | |
| 169 | 8% | 72% | |
| 170 | 5% | 64% | Median |
| 171 | 12% | 59% | |
| 172 | 10% | 47% | |
| 173 | 7% | 37% | |
| 174 | 5% | 30% | Last Result |
| 175 | 8% | 25% | Majority |
| 176 | 6% | 17% | |
| 177 | 5% | 12% | |
| 178 | 2% | 7% | |
| 179 | 2% | 4% | |
| 180 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 182 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 156 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 159 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 161 | 2% | 96% | |
| 162 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 163 | 3% | 93% | |
| 164 | 3% | 90% | |
| 165 | 7% | 87% | |
| 166 | 5% | 80% | |
| 167 | 9% | 75% | Last Result |
| 168 | 8% | 66% | |
| 169 | 4% | 58% | Median |
| 170 | 7% | 53% | |
| 171 | 18% | 46% | |
| 172 | 9% | 27% | |
| 173 | 4% | 19% | |
| 174 | 6% | 14% | |
| 175 | 3% | 8% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 5% | |
| 177 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 178 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 148 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 149 | 2% | 96% | |
| 150 | 2% | 94% | |
| 151 | 6% | 92% | |
| 152 | 16% | 86% | |
| 153 | 11% | 69% | |
| 154 | 4% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 155 | 7% | 54% | |
| 156 | 13% | 47% | |
| 157 | 3% | 34% | |
| 158 | 4% | 31% | |
| 159 | 8% | 27% | |
| 160 | 8% | 18% | |
| 161 | 3% | 10% | |
| 162 | 2% | 8% | |
| 163 | 2% | 6% | |
| 164 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 166 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 144 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 145 | 2% | 98% | |
| 146 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 147 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 148 | 6% | 92% | |
| 149 | 7% | 86% | |
| 150 | 6% | 80% | |
| 151 | 8% | 74% | |
| 152 | 7% | 66% | |
| 153 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 154 | 9% | 46% | |
| 155 | 12% | 38% | |
| 156 | 5% | 25% | |
| 157 | 5% | 20% | |
| 158 | 5% | 15% | |
| 159 | 3% | 11% | |
| 160 | 3% | 7% | |
| 161 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 162 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 163 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 165 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 167 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 141 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 142 | 0.9% | 98.5% | |
| 143 | 3% | 98% | |
| 144 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 145 | 4% | 92% | |
| 146 | 5% | 88% | |
| 147 | 7% | 84% | |
| 148 | 7% | 77% | |
| 149 | 11% | 70% | |
| 150 | 8% | 59% | |
| 151 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 152 | 8% | 40% | |
| 153 | 5% | 31% | |
| 154 | 12% | 27% | |
| 155 | 3% | 15% | |
| 156 | 4% | 11% | |
| 157 | 2% | 7% | |
| 158 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 159 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 160 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 127 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 128 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 129 | 2% | 97% | |
| 130 | 2% | 95% | |
| 131 | 5% | 93% | |
| 132 | 6% | 88% | Last Result |
| 133 | 15% | 82% | |
| 134 | 5% | 67% | |
| 135 | 11% | 62% | Median |
| 136 | 8% | 50% | |
| 137 | 8% | 43% | |
| 138 | 9% | 34% | |
| 139 | 8% | 25% | |
| 140 | 7% | 18% | |
| 141 | 2% | 11% | |
| 142 | 2% | 9% | |
| 143 | 3% | 7% | |
| 144 | 2% | 4% | |
| 145 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 122 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 123 | 3% | 98% | |
| 124 | 3% | 95% | |
| 125 | 3% | 92% | |
| 126 | 5% | 89% | |
| 127 | 6% | 84% | |
| 128 | 7% | 78% | Last Result |
| 129 | 13% | 71% | |
| 130 | 7% | 58% | |
| 131 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 132 | 9% | 42% | |
| 133 | 9% | 33% | |
| 134 | 13% | 24% | |
| 135 | 3% | 11% | |
| 136 | 2% | 8% | |
| 137 | 2% | 6% | |
| 138 | 2% | 4% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 117 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 118 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 119 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 120 | 2% | 95% | |
| 121 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 122 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 123 | 3% | 91% | |
| 124 | 5% | 88% | |
| 125 | 12% | 83% | |
| 126 | 10% | 71% | |
| 127 | 6% | 61% | Median |
| 128 | 7% | 54% | |
| 129 | 8% | 48% | |
| 130 | 12% | 39% | |
| 131 | 8% | 28% | |
| 132 | 5% | 20% | |
| 133 | 3% | 14% | |
| 134 | 4% | 11% | |
| 135 | 3% | 7% | |
| 136 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 137 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 119 | 3% | 98% | |
| 120 | 4% | 95% | |
| 121 | 4% | 91% | |
| 122 | 5% | 87% | |
| 123 | 8% | 82% | |
| 124 | 9% | 74% | |
| 125 | 12% | 65% | |
| 126 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 127 | 10% | 45% | |
| 128 | 11% | 34% | |
| 129 | 5% | 24% | |
| 130 | 5% | 19% | |
| 131 | 6% | 14% | |
| 132 | 3% | 8% | |
| 133 | 2% | 5% | |
| 134 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 104 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 105 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 107 | 4% | 95% | |
| 108 | 9% | 91% | |
| 109 | 16% | 82% | |
| 110 | 6% | 66% | |
| 111 | 6% | 59% | Median |
| 112 | 7% | 53% | |
| 113 | 11% | 46% | |
| 114 | 11% | 35% | |
| 115 | 6% | 24% | |
| 116 | 4% | 18% | |
| 117 | 4% | 15% | |
| 118 | 5% | 11% | |
| 119 | 3% | 6% | |
| 120 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 121 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 101 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 102 | 2% | 94% | |
| 103 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 104 | 6% | 91% | |
| 105 | 4% | 85% | |
| 106 | 12% | 80% | |
| 107 | 5% | 68% | |
| 108 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 109 | 7% | 50% | |
| 110 | 9% | 43% | |
| 111 | 10% | 35% | |
| 112 | 6% | 24% | |
| 113 | 6% | 18% | |
| 114 | 5% | 12% | |
| 115 | 4% | 7% | |
| 116 | 2% | 4% | |
| 117 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 99 | 3% | 98% | |
| 100 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 101 | 3% | 92% | |
| 102 | 9% | 89% | |
| 103 | 8% | 81% | |
| 104 | 5% | 73% | |
| 105 | 14% | 68% | |
| 106 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 107 | 4% | 42% | |
| 108 | 16% | 38% | |
| 109 | 7% | 21% | |
| 110 | 3% | 14% | |
| 111 | 5% | 11% | |
| 112 | 3% | 6% | |
| 113 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 90 | 2% | 97% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 94 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 95 | 2% | 93% | |
| 96 | 4% | 90% | |
| 97 | 5% | 87% | |
| 98 | 11% | 81% | |
| 99 | 4% | 70% | |
| 100 | 10% | 66% | Median |
| 101 | 11% | 56% | |
| 102 | 12% | 45% | |
| 103 | 8% | 32% | |
| 104 | 4% | 24% | |
| 105 | 7% | 20% | |
| 106 | 4% | 13% | |
| 107 | 4% | 9% | |
| 108 | 2% | 4% | |
| 109 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 110 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 3% | 96% | |
| 88 | 5% | 93% | |
| 89 | 8% | 89% | |
| 90 | 17% | 81% | |
| 91 | 6% | 64% | |
| 92 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 93 | 7% | 49% | |
| 94 | 10% | 42% | |
| 95 | 11% | 33% | |
| 96 | 6% | 21% | |
| 97 | 5% | 15% | |
| 98 | 5% | 10% | |
| 99 | 2% | 6% | |
| 100 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 2% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 80 | 7% | 96% | |
| 81 | 3% | 88% | |
| 82 | 17% | 85% | |
| 83 | 5% | 68% | |
| 84 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 85 | 7% | 49% | |
| 86 | 10% | 41% | |
| 87 | 10% | 31% | |
| 88 | 5% | 22% | |
| 89 | 5% | 17% | |
| 90 | 5% | 11% | |
| 91 | 2% | 6% | |
| 92 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 93 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 3–5 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1999
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.67%