Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 4–6 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 30.1% 28.9–31.4% 28.6–31.8% 28.3–32.1% 27.7–32.7%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 21.0% 20.0–22.2% 19.6–22.5% 19.4–22.8% 18.9–23.3%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 17.0% 16.0–18.1% 15.7–18.4% 15.5–18.6% 15.0–19.1%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 7.1% 6.4–7.8% 6.2–8.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.6%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 7.0% 6.3–7.7% 6.2–8.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.7–8.5%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 6.2% 5.6–6.9% 5.4–7.1% 5.3–7.3% 5.0–7.6%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 5.8% 5.2–6.5% 5.0–6.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.2%
Liberalerna 5.5% 5.0% 4.5–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.2–6.0% 3.9–6.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 106 101–110 100–111 99–112 97–115
Sverigedemokraterna 62 74 70–78 69–79 68–80 66–82
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 60 56–63 55–65 54–66 53–67
Centerpartiet 31 25 22–27 22–28 21–29 20–30
Vänsterpartiet 28 24 22–27 22–28 21–28 20–30
Kristdemokraterna 22 22 20–24 19–25 19–25 17–27
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 20 18–23 18–24 17–24 16–25
Liberalerna 20 18 16–20 15–21 15–21 0–22

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.2% 99.9%  
97 0.5% 99.7%  
98 0.5% 99.2%  
99 3% 98.7%  
100 2% 96% Last Result
101 5% 94%  
102 9% 88%  
103 4% 79%  
104 13% 75%  
105 12% 62%  
106 8% 50% Median
107 12% 42%  
108 10% 31%  
109 9% 21%  
110 4% 12%  
111 4% 8%  
112 2% 4%  
113 0.6% 2%  
114 0.9% 2%  
115 0.3% 0.7%  
116 0.2% 0.4%  
117 0.2% 0.2%  
118 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.8%  
67 1.2% 99.5%  
68 2% 98%  
69 4% 96%  
70 5% 92%  
71 9% 87%  
72 9% 78%  
73 15% 69%  
74 17% 54% Median
75 9% 38%  
76 6% 28%  
77 8% 22%  
78 8% 14%  
79 3% 6%  
80 2% 3%  
81 0.7% 2%  
82 0.6% 0.9%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.9%  
53 0.7% 99.7%  
54 2% 98.9%  
55 3% 96%  
56 5% 93%  
57 8% 88%  
58 9% 80%  
59 17% 70%  
60 19% 53% Median
61 11% 34%  
62 8% 22%  
63 5% 14%  
64 3% 9%  
65 3% 6%  
66 2% 3%  
67 0.6% 1.0%  
68 0.2% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0% Last Result

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.5% 99.9%  
21 2% 99.4%  
22 7% 97%  
23 12% 90%  
24 22% 78%  
25 19% 56% Median
26 17% 36%  
27 10% 19%  
28 6% 9%  
29 2% 3%  
30 1.0% 1.3%  
31 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.2% 100%  
20 0.9% 99.8%  
21 3% 98.9%  
22 8% 95%  
23 12% 88%  
24 26% 75% Median
25 18% 49%  
26 17% 32%  
27 7% 15%  
28 6% 8% Last Result
29 2% 2%  
30 0.5% 0.7%  
31 0.2% 0.2%  
32 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.5% 99.9%  
18 2% 99.4%  
19 6% 98%  
20 13% 92%  
21 21% 79%  
22 16% 58% Last Result, Median
23 19% 43%  
24 16% 24%  
25 6% 8%  
26 2% 2%  
27 0.5% 0.6%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.7% 99.9% Last Result
17 2% 99.2%  
18 12% 97%  
19 13% 85%  
20 30% 72% Median
21 12% 43%  
22 20% 31%  
23 4% 11%  
24 6% 7%  
25 1.0% 1.3%  
26 0.3% 0.3%  
27 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100%  
1 0% 99.3%  
2 0% 99.3%  
3 0% 99.3%  
4 0% 99.3%  
5 0% 99.3%  
6 0% 99.3%  
7 0% 99.3%  
8 0% 99.3%  
9 0% 99.3%  
10 0% 99.3%  
11 0% 99.3%  
12 0% 99.3%  
13 0% 99.3%  
14 1.1% 99.3%  
15 5% 98%  
16 15% 93%  
17 20% 78%  
18 26% 58% Median
19 17% 32%  
20 9% 15% Last Result
21 4% 6%  
22 1.0% 1.3%  
23 0.3% 0.3%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 195 193 100% 189–198 188–200 186–201 183–203
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 190 100% 186–195 184–197 183–198 181–201
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 175 176 60% 171–181 170–182 168–184 167–187
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 174 173 40% 168–178 167–179 165–181 162–182
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 167 169 6% 164–174 163–175 161–176 158–179
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 165 1.0% 161–170 159–172 158–173 156–176
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 154 156 0% 151–160 149–161 148–163 146–166
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 147 151 0% 146–156 145–157 144–159 142–162
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 151 0% 146–155 145–157 144–158 141–161
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet 132 133 0% 129–138 128–140 127–141 124–144
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 130 0% 126–135 125–136 124–137 121–140
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 126 0% 122–131 120–132 119–133 117–136
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 124 0% 120–129 119–131 117–132 114–133
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 107 0% 102–111 101–112 100–114 98–116
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 106 0% 101–110 100–111 99–112 97–115
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 102 0% 98–107 97–109 96–110 92–111
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 112 100 0% 95–104 94–105 92–106 88–108
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 85 0% 80–89 80–90 79–91 77–93
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 92 82 0% 77–86 76–87 75–88 74–90

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0.1% 100%  
181 0.1% 99.9%  
182 0.3% 99.8%  
183 0.2% 99.6%  
184 0.4% 99.4%  
185 1.1% 99.0%  
186 1.4% 98%  
187 1.2% 97%  
188 5% 95%  
189 6% 90%  
190 5% 84%  
191 8% 80%  
192 13% 72%  
193 12% 59% Median
194 6% 46%  
195 14% 40% Last Result
196 6% 26%  
197 6% 20%  
198 6% 14%  
199 3% 8%  
200 2% 5%  
201 1.2% 3%  
202 0.9% 2%  
203 0.5% 0.8%  
204 0.2% 0.3%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
178 0% 100%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0.1% 99.8%  
181 0.4% 99.7%  
182 2% 99.3%  
183 2% 98%  
184 3% 96%  
185 3% 93%  
186 4% 91%  
187 9% 87%  
188 14% 78%  
189 9% 64%  
190 10% 55%  
191 7% 45% Median
192 10% 37%  
193 9% 27%  
194 6% 18%  
195 3% 12%  
196 2% 9%  
197 4% 7%  
198 2% 4%  
199 1.1% 2%  
200 0.4% 1.0%  
201 0.2% 0.7% Last Result
202 0.1% 0.4%  
203 0.1% 0.3%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
164 0.1% 100%  
165 0.2% 99.9%  
166 0.1% 99.7%  
167 1.2% 99.6%  
168 1.5% 98%  
169 0.8% 97%  
170 4% 96%  
171 6% 92%  
172 6% 86%  
173 8% 80%  
174 12% 72%  
175 9% 60% Last Result, Median, Majority
176 15% 51%  
177 5% 36%  
178 7% 31%  
179 10% 24%  
180 5% 15%  
181 4% 10%  
182 3% 7%  
183 1.1% 4%  
184 1.0% 3%  
185 0.8% 2%  
186 0.2% 0.8%  
187 0.2% 0.5%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.1% 99.8%  
161 0.1% 99.8%  
162 0.2% 99.7%  
163 0.2% 99.5%  
164 0.8% 99.2%  
165 1.0% 98%  
166 1.1% 97%  
167 3% 96%  
168 4% 93%  
169 5% 90%  
170 10% 85%  
171 7% 76%  
172 5% 69%  
173 15% 64%  
174 9% 49% Last Result, Median
175 12% 40% Majority
176 8% 28%  
177 6% 20%  
178 6% 14%  
179 4% 8%  
180 0.8% 4%  
181 1.5% 3%  
182 1.2% 2%  
183 0.1% 0.4%  
184 0.2% 0.3%  
185 0.1% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0.1% 100%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0% 99.8%  
157 0.2% 99.8%  
158 0.2% 99.6%  
159 0.4% 99.4%  
160 0.5% 99.0%  
161 1.1% 98.5%  
162 2% 97%  
163 4% 96%  
164 6% 92%  
165 5% 86%  
166 7% 81%  
167 10% 74% Last Result
168 8% 63%  
169 12% 55% Median
170 15% 42%  
171 4% 27%  
172 7% 24%  
173 7% 17%  
174 4% 10%  
175 3% 6% Majority
176 1.4% 4%  
177 1.3% 2%  
178 0.2% 1.0%  
179 0.5% 0.7%  
180 0.2% 0.3%  
181 0.1% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0.1% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.2% 99.8%  
156 0.6% 99.7%  
157 0.7% 99.1%  
158 1.0% 98%  
159 4% 97%  
160 3% 93%  
161 3% 90%  
162 9% 87%  
163 9% 77%  
164 7% 68%  
165 17% 61%  
166 8% 44% Median
167 10% 37%  
168 11% 27%  
169 2% 16%  
170 5% 14% Last Result
171 3% 9%  
172 2% 6%  
173 2% 4%  
174 1.2% 2%  
175 0.4% 1.0% Majority
176 0.2% 0.6%  
177 0.2% 0.4%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0% 100%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.2% 99.8%  
146 0.5% 99.7%  
147 0.9% 99.2%  
148 1.2% 98%  
149 2% 97%  
150 3% 95%  
151 6% 92%  
152 6% 86%  
153 6% 80%  
154 14% 74% Last Result
155 6% 60%  
156 12% 54% Median
157 13% 41%  
158 8% 28%  
159 5% 20%  
160 6% 16%  
161 5% 10%  
162 1.2% 5%  
163 1.4% 3%  
164 1.1% 2%  
165 0.4% 1.0%  
166 0.2% 0.6%  
167 0.3% 0.4%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0.1% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0.2% 99.9%  
141 0.2% 99.8%  
142 0.5% 99.6%  
143 0.6% 99.1%  
144 2% 98%  
145 3% 96%  
146 5% 93%  
147 7% 89% Last Result
148 6% 81%  
149 8% 75%  
150 13% 67%  
151 11% 55% Median
152 10% 44%  
153 11% 34%  
154 7% 23%  
155 4% 16%  
156 5% 12%  
157 2% 7%  
158 2% 5%  
159 2% 3%  
160 0.3% 1.3%  
161 0.4% 1.0%  
162 0.3% 0.6%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0.2% 99.9%  
141 0.2% 99.7%  
142 0.5% 99.4%  
143 1.2% 99.0%  
144 2% 98% Last Result
145 3% 96%  
146 7% 93%  
147 5% 86%  
148 8% 81%  
149 11% 72%  
150 11% 62% Median
151 9% 51%  
152 9% 42%  
153 9% 33%  
154 7% 24%  
155 7% 17%  
156 3% 10%  
157 3% 6%  
158 1.1% 4%  
159 1.0% 2%  
160 0.7% 1.5%  
161 0.3% 0.7%  
162 0.2% 0.4%  
163 0.1% 0.2%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0.1% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
121 0% 100%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.5% 99.8%  
125 0.6% 99.2%  
126 0.7% 98.6%  
127 3% 98%  
128 3% 95%  
129 5% 92%  
130 7% 88%  
131 11% 81%  
132 5% 70% Last Result
133 16% 65%  
134 13% 49% Median
135 7% 37%  
136 6% 29%  
137 11% 23%  
138 4% 12%  
139 2% 8%  
140 3% 6%  
141 2% 3%  
142 0.8% 2%  
143 0.5% 1.1%  
144 0.3% 0.6%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0.1% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0.1% 100%  
120 0.2% 99.9%  
121 0.3% 99.7%  
122 0.6% 99.4%  
123 1.2% 98.8%  
124 2% 98%  
125 3% 95%  
126 6% 92%  
127 8% 86%  
128 11% 78% Last Result
129 13% 66%  
130 7% 54% Median
131 11% 47%  
132 9% 36%  
133 6% 27%  
134 6% 21%  
135 7% 15%  
136 3% 8%  
137 2% 4%  
138 0.7% 2%  
139 0.6% 2%  
140 0.5% 1.0%  
141 0.3% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0.1% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
115 0.1% 100%  
116 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
117 0.5% 99.7%  
118 0.5% 99.2%  
119 2% 98.7%  
120 3% 96%  
121 3% 94%  
122 7% 90%  
123 8% 83%  
124 8% 75%  
125 10% 67%  
126 13% 57% Median
127 7% 44%  
128 9% 37%  
129 12% 28%  
130 5% 16%  
131 3% 11%  
132 4% 8%  
133 1.5% 4%  
134 0.8% 2%  
135 0.6% 1.4%  
136 0.4% 0.8%  
137 0.1% 0.3%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0.1% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0.1% 99.7%  
113 0.1% 99.6%  
114 0.3% 99.5%  
115 0.7% 99.2%  
116 0.7% 98.5%  
117 1.3% 98%  
118 1.3% 97%  
119 2% 95%  
120 9% 94%  
121 7% 85%  
122 11% 77%  
123 6% 66%  
124 12% 60%  
125 8% 48% Median
126 11% 39%  
127 10% 28%  
128 6% 18%  
129 3% 12%  
130 3% 9%  
131 3% 6%  
132 2% 3%  
133 0.6% 1.1%  
134 0.3% 0.5%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.3% 99.8%  
98 0.5% 99.5%  
99 0.9% 99.1%  
100 2% 98%  
101 3% 96%  
102 4% 94%  
103 7% 89%  
104 15% 83%  
105 6% 68%  
106 11% 62%  
107 12% 51% Median
108 7% 39%  
109 12% 31%  
110 6% 20%  
111 7% 14%  
112 2% 7%  
113 2% 5%  
114 1.0% 3%  
115 1.0% 2%  
116 0.3% 0.7%  
117 0.2% 0.4%  
118 0.1% 0.2%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0% Last Result

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.2% 99.9%  
97 0.5% 99.7%  
98 0.5% 99.2%  
99 3% 98.7%  
100 2% 96% Last Result
101 5% 94%  
102 9% 88%  
103 4% 79%  
104 13% 75%  
105 12% 62%  
106 8% 50% Median
107 12% 42%  
108 10% 31%  
109 9% 21%  
110 4% 12%  
111 4% 8%  
112 2% 4%  
113 0.6% 2%  
114 0.9% 2%  
115 0.3% 0.7%  
116 0.2% 0.4%  
117 0.2% 0.2%  
118 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.8%  
87 0% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.7%  
89 0.1% 99.7%  
90 0.1% 99.6%  
91 0.1% 99.6%  
92 0.1% 99.5%  
93 0.3% 99.4%  
94 0.5% 99.1%  
95 0.8% 98.6%  
96 2% 98%  
97 2% 96%  
98 5% 94%  
99 12% 89%  
100 11% 77%  
101 7% 66%  
102 11% 59%  
103 13% 48% Median
104 8% 35%  
105 9% 26%  
106 6% 18%  
107 3% 11%  
108 3% 8%  
109 2% 5%  
110 2% 3%  
111 0.6% 1.0%  
112 0.2% 0.3%  
113 0.1% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.8%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0% 99.7%  
86 0.1% 99.7%  
87 0.1% 99.6%  
88 0.1% 99.5%  
89 0.1% 99.4%  
90 0.3% 99.3%  
91 0.6% 99.1%  
92 1.2% 98%  
93 2% 97%  
94 3% 96%  
95 4% 93%  
96 9% 88%  
97 7% 79%  
98 11% 72%  
99 9% 61%  
100 13% 52% Median
101 9% 39%  
102 13% 30%  
103 7% 17%  
104 4% 11%  
105 3% 7%  
106 2% 4%  
107 1.4% 2%  
108 0.4% 0.7%  
109 0.2% 0.3%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.6% 99.6%  
78 1.0% 99.0%  
79 3% 98%  
80 8% 95%  
81 7% 88%  
82 6% 81%  
83 11% 75%  
84 12% 64%  
85 16% 52% Median
86 11% 36%  
87 7% 25%  
88 6% 18%  
89 5% 12%  
90 2% 6%  
91 2% 4%  
92 1.4% 2%  
93 0.5% 1.0%  
94 0.3% 0.4%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.6% 99.6%  
75 1.5% 99.0%  
76 4% 97%  
77 4% 94%  
78 4% 90%  
79 8% 85%  
80 15% 78%  
81 7% 62%  
82 14% 55% Median
83 12% 41%  
84 13% 29%  
85 5% 17%  
86 6% 12%  
87 3% 6%  
88 1.5% 3%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 0.6% 0.9%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
93 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations