Opinion Poll by SKOP, 5–8 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 28.1% | 26.6–29.5% | 26.2–29.9% | 25.9–30.3% | 25.3–31.0% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.4% | 18.2–20.7% | 17.9–21.1% | 17.6–21.4% | 17.0–22.1% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 15.2% | 14.1–16.4% | 13.8–16.8% | 13.5–17.1% | 13.0–17.6% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.4–9.9% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.1–8.8% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.7–9.3% | 6.3–9.8% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4–8.1% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.1–8.6% | 5.7–9.0% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4–8.1% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.1–8.6% | 5.7–9.0% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6–7.1% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.6% | 4.9–8.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 98 | 93–103 | 92–105 | 91–106 | 89–108 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 68 | 64–73 | 63–74 | 61–75 | 60–77 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 53 | 49–57 | 49–59 | 48–60 | 46–62 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 28 | 25–31 | 25–32 | 24–33 | 23–35 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 28 | 25–31 | 24–32 | 24–32 | 22–34 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 26 | 23–29 | 22–29 | 21–30 | 20–31 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 25 | 22–28 | 22–29 | 21–30 | 20–32 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 22 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 17–28 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 92 | 3% | 97% | |
| 93 | 5% | 94% | |
| 94 | 5% | 89% | |
| 95 | 7% | 85% | |
| 96 | 11% | 77% | |
| 97 | 12% | 67% | |
| 98 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 99 | 10% | 46% | |
| 100 | 6% | 36% | Last Result |
| 101 | 8% | 31% | |
| 102 | 7% | 22% | |
| 103 | 6% | 15% | |
| 104 | 4% | 10% | |
| 105 | 2% | 6% | |
| 106 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 107 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 62 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 63 | 3% | 95% | |
| 64 | 5% | 92% | |
| 65 | 13% | 87% | |
| 66 | 9% | 74% | |
| 67 | 13% | 64% | |
| 68 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 69 | 13% | 44% | |
| 70 | 5% | 31% | |
| 71 | 9% | 26% | |
| 72 | 5% | 18% | |
| 73 | 5% | 12% | |
| 74 | 3% | 7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 3% | 98% | |
| 49 | 6% | 95% | |
| 50 | 7% | 89% | |
| 51 | 10% | 82% | |
| 52 | 9% | 72% | |
| 53 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 54 | 10% | 50% | |
| 55 | 13% | 40% | |
| 56 | 8% | 26% | |
| 57 | 9% | 18% | |
| 58 | 3% | 9% | |
| 59 | 3% | 6% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 25 | 7% | 95% | |
| 26 | 13% | 89% | |
| 27 | 17% | 76% | |
| 28 | 17% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 29 | 15% | 42% | |
| 30 | 11% | 27% | |
| 31 | 8% | 16% | |
| 32 | 4% | 8% | |
| 33 | 3% | 4% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 24 | 4% | 98% | |
| 25 | 10% | 94% | |
| 26 | 11% | 84% | |
| 27 | 18% | 73% | |
| 28 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 29 | 21% | 43% | |
| 30 | 7% | 22% | |
| 31 | 8% | 15% | |
| 32 | 5% | 7% | |
| 33 | 2% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 22 | 6% | 97% | |
| 23 | 10% | 91% | |
| 24 | 14% | 80% | |
| 25 | 13% | 66% | |
| 26 | 23% | 54% | Median |
| 27 | 13% | 30% | |
| 28 | 7% | 17% | |
| 29 | 6% | 10% | |
| 30 | 3% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 22 | 10% | 96% | Last Result |
| 23 | 10% | 86% | |
| 24 | 13% | 76% | |
| 25 | 18% | 63% | Median |
| 26 | 13% | 45% | |
| 27 | 13% | 32% | |
| 28 | 10% | 19% | |
| 29 | 5% | 9% | |
| 30 | 3% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 19 | 5% | 97% | |
| 20 | 12% | 92% | Last Result |
| 21 | 18% | 80% | |
| 22 | 25% | 62% | Median |
| 23 | 14% | 38% | |
| 24 | 9% | 24% | |
| 25 | 6% | 15% | |
| 26 | 5% | 8% | |
| 27 | 2% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 195 | 202 | 100% | 196–207 | 195–209 | 194–210 | 191–213 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet | 175 | 180 | 88% | 174–185 | 173–187 | 171–188 | 169–191 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 178 | 71% | 172–183 | 170–184 | 168–185 | 167–189 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 167 | 174 | 47% | 168–179 | 166–180 | 165–182 | 163–185 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 174 | 169 | 12% | 164–175 | 162–176 | 161–178 | 158–180 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 155 | 0% | 148–160 | 147–161 | 146–163 | 144–165 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet | 147 | 152 | 0% | 146–157 | 144–159 | 143–160 | 140–163 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 152 | 0% | 146–158 | 145–159 | 143–160 | 141–163 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 147 | 0% | 142–153 | 140–154 | 139–155 | 136–158 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 126 | 0% | 121–132 | 120–134 | 119–135 | 116–138 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 127 | 0% | 121–132 | 119–134 | 118–135 | 116–137 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 127 | 0% | 121–131 | 119–133 | 118–134 | 115–137 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 122 | 0% | 116–127 | 115–128 | 114–129 | 111–132 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 104 | 0% | 99–110 | 98–111 | 96–112 | 95–115 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 101 | 0% | 96–107 | 94–108 | 93–109 | 91–111 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 112 | 101 | 0% | 96–107 | 95–108 | 93–109 | 91–111 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 98 | 0% | 93–103 | 92–105 | 91–106 | 89–108 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 79 | 0% | 74–83 | 73–85 | 72–86 | 70–88 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 92 | 78 | 0% | 74–84 | 72–85 | 72–86 | 70–88 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 191 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 192 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 193 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 194 | 3% | 98% | |
| 195 | 2% | 95% | Last Result |
| 196 | 3% | 93% | |
| 197 | 4% | 90% | |
| 198 | 5% | 86% | |
| 199 | 6% | 81% | |
| 200 | 8% | 75% | |
| 201 | 11% | 67% | |
| 202 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 203 | 6% | 46% | |
| 204 | 9% | 40% | |
| 205 | 8% | 31% | |
| 206 | 8% | 22% | |
| 207 | 5% | 14% | |
| 208 | 3% | 9% | |
| 209 | 3% | 6% | |
| 210 | 2% | 4% | |
| 211 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 212 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 213 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 169 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 170 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 171 | 2% | 98% | |
| 172 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 173 | 4% | 95% | |
| 174 | 3% | 91% | |
| 175 | 5% | 88% | Last Result, Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 83% | |
| 177 | 5% | 79% | |
| 178 | 8% | 73% | |
| 179 | 9% | 66% | |
| 180 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 181 | 10% | 48% | |
| 182 | 9% | 37% | |
| 183 | 8% | 28% | |
| 184 | 7% | 21% | |
| 185 | 5% | 13% | |
| 186 | 3% | 8% | |
| 187 | 2% | 6% | |
| 188 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 189 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 191 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 162 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 167 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 168 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 169 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 170 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 171 | 3% | 95% | |
| 172 | 6% | 92% | |
| 173 | 8% | 86% | |
| 174 | 7% | 78% | |
| 175 | 3% | 71% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 68% | |
| 177 | 5% | 63% | Median |
| 178 | 16% | 58% | |
| 179 | 18% | 42% | |
| 180 | 3% | 23% | |
| 181 | 2% | 20% | |
| 182 | 5% | 19% | |
| 183 | 5% | 14% | |
| 184 | 6% | 9% | |
| 185 | 2% | 3% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 189 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 164 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 165 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 166 | 3% | 97% | |
| 167 | 2% | 94% | Last Result |
| 168 | 3% | 92% | |
| 169 | 4% | 89% | |
| 170 | 5% | 85% | |
| 171 | 8% | 80% | |
| 172 | 7% | 72% | |
| 173 | 11% | 65% | |
| 174 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 175 | 9% | 47% | Majority |
| 176 | 8% | 38% | |
| 177 | 9% | 30% | |
| 178 | 7% | 22% | |
| 179 | 5% | 15% | |
| 180 | 5% | 10% | |
| 181 | 2% | 5% | |
| 182 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 183 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 159 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 160 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 161 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 162 | 2% | 96% | |
| 163 | 3% | 94% | |
| 164 | 5% | 92% | |
| 165 | 7% | 87% | |
| 166 | 8% | 79% | |
| 167 | 9% | 72% | |
| 168 | 10% | 63% | Median |
| 169 | 9% | 52% | |
| 170 | 9% | 43% | |
| 171 | 8% | 34% | |
| 172 | 5% | 27% | |
| 173 | 4% | 21% | |
| 174 | 5% | 17% | Last Result |
| 175 | 3% | 12% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 9% | |
| 177 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 178 | 2% | 4% | |
| 179 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 180 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 145 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 146 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 147 | 3% | 97% | |
| 148 | 4% | 94% | |
| 149 | 4% | 90% | |
| 150 | 4% | 86% | |
| 151 | 6% | 82% | |
| 152 | 5% | 76% | |
| 153 | 9% | 71% | |
| 154 | 9% | 62% | Median |
| 155 | 12% | 53% | |
| 156 | 8% | 41% | |
| 157 | 11% | 33% | |
| 158 | 7% | 21% | |
| 159 | 4% | 15% | |
| 160 | 4% | 11% | |
| 161 | 2% | 7% | |
| 162 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 163 | 2% | 3% | |
| 164 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 165 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 142 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 143 | 2% | 98% | |
| 144 | 3% | 96% | |
| 145 | 2% | 93% | |
| 146 | 3% | 91% | |
| 147 | 4% | 88% | Last Result |
| 148 | 5% | 84% | |
| 149 | 10% | 79% | |
| 150 | 7% | 69% | |
| 151 | 6% | 62% | |
| 152 | 13% | 56% | Median |
| 153 | 8% | 43% | |
| 154 | 5% | 36% | |
| 155 | 11% | 30% | |
| 156 | 7% | 19% | |
| 157 | 4% | 12% | |
| 158 | 3% | 9% | |
| 159 | 3% | 6% | |
| 160 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 142 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 143 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 144 | 2% | 97% | |
| 145 | 3% | 95% | |
| 146 | 4% | 92% | |
| 147 | 4% | 89% | |
| 148 | 7% | 85% | |
| 149 | 7% | 78% | |
| 150 | 6% | 71% | |
| 151 | 14% | 65% | Median |
| 152 | 7% | 51% | |
| 153 | 8% | 43% | |
| 154 | 9% | 35% | |
| 155 | 5% | 26% | |
| 156 | 5% | 20% | |
| 157 | 5% | 16% | |
| 158 | 3% | 10% | |
| 159 | 4% | 8% | |
| 160 | 2% | 4% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 138 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 139 | 2% | 98% | |
| 140 | 3% | 96% | |
| 141 | 3% | 94% | |
| 142 | 5% | 91% | |
| 143 | 8% | 86% | |
| 144 | 8% | 78% | |
| 145 | 9% | 69% | |
| 146 | 6% | 60% | Median |
| 147 | 10% | 54% | |
| 148 | 11% | 43% | |
| 149 | 8% | 33% | |
| 150 | 6% | 25% | |
| 151 | 5% | 19% | |
| 152 | 4% | 14% | |
| 153 | 3% | 10% | |
| 154 | 2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 155 | 3% | 5% | |
| 156 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 117 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 118 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 119 | 2% | 98% | |
| 120 | 2% | 96% | |
| 121 | 5% | 94% | |
| 122 | 7% | 89% | |
| 123 | 4% | 81% | |
| 124 | 6% | 77% | |
| 125 | 11% | 71% | |
| 126 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 127 | 8% | 47% | |
| 128 | 9% | 39% | Last Result |
| 129 | 7% | 30% | |
| 130 | 8% | 24% | |
| 131 | 5% | 16% | |
| 132 | 3% | 11% | |
| 133 | 2% | 8% | |
| 134 | 2% | 6% | |
| 135 | 3% | 4% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 117 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 118 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 119 | 2% | 97% | |
| 120 | 2% | 95% | |
| 121 | 4% | 92% | |
| 122 | 6% | 88% | |
| 123 | 7% | 82% | |
| 124 | 8% | 75% | |
| 125 | 10% | 67% | |
| 126 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 127 | 11% | 51% | |
| 128 | 8% | 40% | |
| 129 | 4% | 32% | |
| 130 | 9% | 27% | |
| 131 | 6% | 18% | |
| 132 | 4% | 12% | |
| 133 | 2% | 8% | |
| 134 | 2% | 6% | |
| 135 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 136 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 0.8% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 118 | 2% | 98% | |
| 119 | 3% | 96% | |
| 120 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 121 | 5% | 91% | |
| 122 | 5% | 87% | |
| 123 | 7% | 82% | |
| 124 | 6% | 75% | |
| 125 | 9% | 69% | |
| 126 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 127 | 10% | 50% | |
| 128 | 10% | 40% | |
| 129 | 7% | 30% | |
| 130 | 10% | 23% | |
| 131 | 4% | 13% | |
| 132 | 4% | 9% | |
| 133 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 134 | 2% | 4% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 113 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 114 | 2% | 98% | |
| 115 | 2% | 95% | |
| 116 | 3% | 93% | |
| 117 | 4% | 90% | |
| 118 | 6% | 86% | |
| 119 | 8% | 79% | |
| 120 | 12% | 72% | |
| 121 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 122 | 11% | 51% | |
| 123 | 11% | 40% | |
| 124 | 7% | 29% | |
| 125 | 7% | 22% | |
| 126 | 5% | 15% | |
| 127 | 3% | 10% | |
| 128 | 3% | 7% | |
| 129 | 2% | 4% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 96 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 97 | 2% | 97% | |
| 98 | 3% | 95% | |
| 99 | 4% | 92% | |
| 100 | 5% | 88% | |
| 101 | 8% | 83% | |
| 102 | 10% | 76% | |
| 103 | 10% | 66% | |
| 104 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 105 | 11% | 47% | |
| 106 | 4% | 37% | |
| 107 | 8% | 33% | |
| 108 | 8% | 24% | |
| 109 | 6% | 16% | |
| 110 | 4% | 10% | |
| 111 | 3% | 7% | |
| 112 | 2% | 4% | |
| 113 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 93 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 94 | 3% | 97% | |
| 95 | 2% | 95% | |
| 96 | 6% | 92% | |
| 97 | 3% | 87% | |
| 98 | 8% | 84% | |
| 99 | 6% | 75% | |
| 100 | 16% | 70% | |
| 101 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 102 | 10% | 48% | |
| 103 | 13% | 38% | |
| 104 | 3% | 25% | |
| 105 | 10% | 22% | |
| 106 | 2% | 12% | |
| 107 | 4% | 10% | |
| 108 | 2% | 6% | |
| 109 | 2% | 4% | |
| 110 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 93 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 94 | 2% | 97% | |
| 95 | 4% | 95% | |
| 96 | 5% | 91% | |
| 97 | 7% | 86% | |
| 98 | 10% | 79% | |
| 99 | 6% | 69% | |
| 100 | 10% | 63% | Median |
| 101 | 10% | 54% | |
| 102 | 6% | 44% | |
| 103 | 8% | 38% | |
| 104 | 10% | 30% | |
| 105 | 4% | 19% | |
| 106 | 5% | 15% | |
| 107 | 4% | 11% | |
| 108 | 2% | 6% | |
| 109 | 2% | 4% | |
| 110 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 92 | 3% | 97% | |
| 93 | 5% | 94% | |
| 94 | 5% | 89% | |
| 95 | 7% | 85% | |
| 96 | 11% | 77% | |
| 97 | 12% | 67% | |
| 98 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 99 | 10% | 46% | |
| 100 | 6% | 36% | Last Result |
| 101 | 8% | 31% | |
| 102 | 7% | 22% | |
| 103 | 6% | 15% | |
| 104 | 4% | 10% | |
| 105 | 2% | 6% | |
| 106 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 107 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 3% | 96% | |
| 74 | 4% | 93% | |
| 75 | 6% | 89% | |
| 76 | 9% | 83% | |
| 77 | 8% | 74% | |
| 78 | 10% | 66% | |
| 79 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 80 | 11% | 47% | |
| 81 | 11% | 36% | |
| 82 | 9% | 25% | |
| 83 | 7% | 16% | |
| 84 | 3% | 10% | |
| 85 | 3% | 7% | |
| 86 | 2% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 4% | 98% | |
| 73 | 3% | 95% | |
| 74 | 3% | 92% | |
| 75 | 6% | 89% | |
| 76 | 12% | 82% | |
| 77 | 13% | 70% | |
| 78 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 79 | 4% | 47% | |
| 80 | 5% | 43% | |
| 81 | 8% | 38% | |
| 82 | 12% | 30% | |
| 83 | 7% | 18% | |
| 84 | 4% | 11% | |
| 85 | 3% | 7% | |
| 86 | 2% | 4% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKOP
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 5–8 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1622
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.25%