Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 7–8 November 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Democraten 66 (RE) 0.0% 18.6% 17.7–19.6% 17.5–19.8% 17.3–20.1% 16.9–20.5%
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0.0% 16.0% 15.1–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.8%
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0.0% 14.6% 13.8–15.5% 13.6–15.7% 13.4–16.0% 13.0–16.4%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0.0% 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0.0% 6.7% 6.1–7.3% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.9%
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0.0% 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0.0% 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
DENK (*) 0.0% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0.0% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0.0% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0.0% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
50Plus (EPP) 0.0% 1.3% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.7% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–2.0%
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–0.9% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Democraten 66 (RE) 0 7 7 7–8 7–8 6–8
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 6 6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
DENK (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
50Plus (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Democraten 66 (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 1.1% 100%  
7 93% 98.9% Median
8 6% 6%  
9 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 7% 100%  
6 93% 93% Median
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 85% 100% Median
6 15% 15%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 80% 100% Median
5 20% 20%  
6 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 94% 99.9% Median
3 6% 6%  
4 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 98% 98% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 65% 99.9% Median
3 35% 35%  
4 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 72% 99.9% Median
3 28% 28%  
4 0% 0%  

DENK (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

ChristenUnie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

50Plus (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0 12 0% 12–13 12–14 12–14 11–14
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 6 0% 6 5–6 5–6 5–6
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 2 0% 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–2
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) – Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.6% 100%  
12 84% 99.4% Median
13 10% 15%  
14 6% 6%  
15 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 7% 100%  
6 93% 93% Median
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 65% 99.9% Median
3 35% 35%  
4 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 94% 99.9% Median
3 6% 6%  
4 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 72% 99.9% Median
3 28% 28%  
4 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 98% 98% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) – Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations