Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8.2% | 7.4–9.0% | 7.2–9.2% | 7.0–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 8.1% | 7.4–9.0% | 7.2–9.2% | 7.0–9.4% | 6.7–9.8% |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.3% | 7.7–9.0% | 7.5–9.2% | 7.4–9.4% | 7.1–9.7% |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.0% | 7.2–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.4–9.9% |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 8.4% | 7.6–9.2% | 7.4–9.4% | 7.3–9.6% | 6.9–10.0% |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
9.0% | 8.1–9.9% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 8.1% | 7.3–8.9% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 7.8% | 7.1–8.6% | 7.0–8.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.4% |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | 8.2–9.2% | 8.0–9.3% | 7.9–9.5% | 7.7–9.7% |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
9.0% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
8.7% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.9–11.5% |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.3% | 7.7–9.0% | 7.5–9.2% | 7.4–9.4% | 7.1–9.7% |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partij van de Arbeid (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 14% | 99.5% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 58% | 85% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 26% | 27% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
|||||
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partij van de Arbeid (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 94% | 99.5% | Median |
| 4 | 6% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |