GroenLinks (Greens/EFA)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.9% | 7.2–8.7% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.5–10.0% |
| 24 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.6–8.4% | 7.5–8.5% | 7.4–8.6% | 7.2–8.8% |
| 23–24 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
7.5% | 6.9–8.2% | 6.7–8.4% | 6.6–8.6% | 6.3–8.9% |
| 17–20 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.3% | 7.4–9.3% | 7.2–9.6% | 7.0–9.8% | 6.6–10.3% |
| 17 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.4–8.6% | 7.2–8.8% | 7.0–9.0% | 6.8–9.3% |
| 13–15 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
6.9% | 6.3–7.6% | 6.1–7.8% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% |
| 10–13 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.3% | 7.5–9.3% | 7.2–9.5% | 7.0–9.8% | 6.6–10.3% |
| 10 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
7.0% | 6.3–7.8% | 6.2–8.0% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.7–8.6% |
| 3 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 9.0% | 8.3–9.7% | 8.1–9.9% | 8.0–10.0% | 7.7–10.4% |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
7.3% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.1–8.7% | 5.9–9.0% | 5.4–9.5% |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
7.4% | 6.7–8.2% | 6.5–8.4% | 6.3–8.7% | 6.0–9.1% |
| 26 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 9.0% | 8.3–9.7% | 8.1–9.9% | 8.0–10.0% | 7.7–10.4% |
| 19 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 8.6% | 8.0–9.3% | 7.8–9.5% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.0% |
| 13–15 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
7.3% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.4% | 6.2–8.6% | 5.9–9.0% |
| 6 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
7.4% | 6.7–8.2% | 6.5–8.4% | 6.3–8.6% | 6.0–9.0% |
| 22–25 August 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.4% | 7.6–9.4% | 7.3–9.7% | 7.1–9.9% | 6.7–10.4% |
| 25 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 9.6% | 9.1–10.1% | 9.0–10.3% | 8.9–10.4% | 8.7–10.6% |
| 8–9 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 9.3% | 8.6–10.0% | 8.5–10.2% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.7% |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
9.2% | 8.3–10.2% | 8.0–10.5% | 7.8–10.7% | 7.4–11.2% |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 7.6% | 6.8–8.5% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.4–9.0% | 6.1–9.4% |
| 25–26 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 9.0% | 8.3–9.7% | 8.1–9.9% | 8.0–10.0% | 7.7–10.4% |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.4% | 7.6–9.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.1–9.7% | 6.8–10.2% |
| 21 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 9.6% | 9.0–10.4% | 8.8–10.6% | 8.6–10.7% | 8.3–11.1% |
| 13–16 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 9.1% | 8.4–10.0% | 8.2–10.2% | 8.0–10.4% | 7.7–10.8% |
| 6–9 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.3% | 7.5–9.3% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.1–9.8% | 6.7–10.3% |
| 6–7 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 8.4% | 7.7–9.2% | 7.5–9.4% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.0–10.0% |
| 30–31 May 2025 | Peil.nl | 10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.5% |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.9% | 8.1–9.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.6–10.5% | 7.2–10.9% |
| 9–12 May 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 9.1% | 8.3–9.9% | 8.1–10.1% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.8% |
| 25–28 April 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.6% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.5–9.9% | 7.3–10.1% | 7.0–10.6% |
| 25–26 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 9.7% | 9.0–10.4% | 8.8–10.6% | 8.7–10.8% | 8.4–11.1% |
| 11–14 April 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 8.4% | 7.6–9.3% | 7.4–9.5% | 7.2–9.7% | 6.9–10.1% |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 9.7% | 9.0–10.4% | 8.8–10.6% | 8.7–10.8% | 8.4–11.1% |
| 28–29 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.7% | 7.8–9.7% | 7.6–10.0% | 7.4–10.2% | 7.0–10.7% |
| 14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 8.5% | 7.7–9.3% | 7.5–9.5% | 7.3–9.7% | 7.0–10.1% |
| 7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 9.0% | 8.4–9.7% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.7–10.4% |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.7% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
| 21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 7.7% | 7.0–8.5% | 6.8–8.7% | 6.6–8.9% | 6.3–9.3% |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
7.9% | 7.1–8.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.3–9.8% |
| 24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 7.8% | 7.1–8.5% | 6.9–8.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.3% |
| 24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.5% | 7.6–9.4% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.2–10.0% | 6.8–10.4% |
| 13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.3% | 7.7–9.0% | 7.5–9.2% | 7.4–9.4% | 7.1–9.7% |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 7.1% | 6.4–7.9% | 6.2–8.2% | 6.1–8.4% | 5.7–8.8% |
| 22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.5–9.9% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.6% |
| 22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.3% | 7.7–9.0% | 7.5–9.2% | 7.4–9.4% | 7.1–9.7% |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 8.1% | 7.4–9.0% | 7.2–9.2% | 7.0–9.4% | 6.7–9.8% |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.3% | 7.7–9.0% | 7.5–9.2% | 7.4–9.4% | 7.1–9.7% |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
7.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.4–9.9% |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 8.4% | 7.6–9.2% | 7.4–9.4% | 7.3–9.6% | 6.9–10.0% |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.8% | 8.1–9.9% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 8.1% | 7.3–8.9% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 7.8% | 7.1–8.6% | 7.0–8.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.4% |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | 8.2–9.2% | 8.0–9.3% | 7.9–9.5% | 7.7–9.7% |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.7% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
8.7% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.9–11.5% |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.3% | 7.7–9.0% | 7.5–9.2% | 7.4–9.4% | 7.1–9.7% |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for GroenLinks (Greens/EFA).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 23% | 99.1% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 61% | 76% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 13% | 15% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 24 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 23–24 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 17–20 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 17 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 13–15 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 10–13 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 10 October 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 3–6 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 3 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 26 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 19 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 13–15 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 6 September 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
| 22–25 August 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 25 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 8–9 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 25–26 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 20–23 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 |
| 21 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 13–16 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 6–9 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 6–7 June 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 5–6 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 30–31 May 2025 | Peil.nl | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 9–12 May 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 25–28 April 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 25–26 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 11–14 April 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 28–29 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| 14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| 24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
|||||
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for GroenLinks (Greens/EFA).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 96% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |