Opinion Poll by Verian for EenVandaag, 21–24 November 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Democraten 66 (RE) 0.0% 20.3% 19.1–21.7% 18.7–22.1% 18.4–22.4% 17.8–23.1%
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0.0% 14.3% 13.2–15.5% 12.9–15.9% 12.7–16.2% 12.2–16.8%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0.0% 13.3% 12.2–14.5% 11.9–14.8% 11.7–15.1% 11.2–15.7%
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0.0% 12.8% 11.7–13.9% 11.4–14.3% 11.2–14.5% 10.7–15.1%
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0.0% 6.7% 6.0–7.6% 5.7–7.8% 5.6–8.1% 5.2–8.5%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0.0% 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.2% 4.6–6.0% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 3.9–6.9%
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0.0% 5.2% 4.6–6.0% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 3.9–6.9%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.2% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
DENK (*) 0.0% 2.3% 1.9–2.9% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.2% 1.5–3.5%
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.3% 1.9–2.9% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.2% 1.5–3.5%
50Plus (EPP) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.4% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.1–3.0%
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.9% 0.7–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Democraten 66 (RE) 0 8 8–9 8–9 7–9 7–9
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 5 5 5 5–6 5–6
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–6
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
DENK (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
50Plus (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Democraten 66 (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 3% 100%  
8 77% 97% Median
9 21% 21%  
10 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 96% 99.9% Median
6 4% 4%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 2% 100%  
5 66% 98% Median
6 32% 32%  
7 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 51% 100% Median
5 47% 49%  
6 1.2% 1.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.7% 100%  
2 98.9% 99.3% Median
3 0.3% 0.3%  
4 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 98.9% 99.9% Median
3 1.1% 1.1%  
4 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 98% 98% Median
3 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.5% 100%  
2 98% 98.5% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.9% 0.9%  
2 0% 0%  

DENK (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

50Plus (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

ChristenUnie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0 13 0% 12–13 12–13 12–13 12–14
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 5 0% 5 5 5–6 5–6
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–2
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–2
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2–3
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–2
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 33% 99.9% Median
13 66% 67%  
14 1.1% 1.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 96% 99.9% Median
6 4% 4%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.7% 100%  
2 98.9% 99.3% Median
3 0.3% 0.3%  
4 0% 0%  

GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 98% 98% Median
3 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 98% 99.9% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.5% 100%  
2 98% 98.5% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations