Opinion Poll by Verian for EenVandaag, 23–26 January 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0.0% | 17.0% | 15.7–18.4% | 15.4–18.8% | 15.0–19.2% | 14.4–19.9% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0.0% | 14.7% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.1–16.4% | 12.8–16.7% | 12.3–17.4% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0.0% | 11.7% | 10.6–12.9% | 10.3–13.2% | 10.0–13.5% | 9.5–14.2% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0.0% | 11.0% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.6–12.5% | 9.3–12.8% | 8.9–13.4% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0.0% | 7.8% | 6.9–8.9% | 6.7–9.2% | 6.4–9.4% | 6.0–9.9% |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0.0% | 6.9% | 6.0–7.8% | 5.8–8.1% | 5.6–8.4% | 5.2–8.9% |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 6.9% | 6.0–7.8% | 5.8–8.1% | 5.6–8.4% | 5.2–8.9% |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0.0% | 6.9% | 6.0–7.8% | 5.8–8.1% | 5.6–8.4% | 5.2–8.9% |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.0–4.6% |
| DENK (*) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.6–4.0% |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.8–3.6% | 1.6–3.9% |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.7–3.1% | 1.6–3.3% | 1.4–3.6% |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.7–3.1% | 1.6–3.3% | 1.4–3.6% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.1–3.1% |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.1–2.0% | 1.0–2.1% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.5% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.6–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| DENK (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Democraten 66 (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 90% | 99.6% | Median |
| 7 | 9% | 10% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 12% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 88% | 88% | Median |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 92% | 99.8% | Median |
| 5 | 8% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 98.9% | 99.5% | Median |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 99.0% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 89% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 11% | 11% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 13% | 100% | |
| 3 | 87% | 87% | Median |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 9% | 9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
DENK (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.0% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 4% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 83% | 83% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 12 | 0% | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11–13 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) – Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 97% | 98% | Median |
| 13 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 92% | 99.8% | Median |
| 5 | 8% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 89% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 11% | 11% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 13% | 100% | |
| 3 | 87% | 87% | Median |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 99.0% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) – Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 84% | 84% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 23–26 January 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1269
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.30%