Opinion Poll by Verian for EenVandaag, 23–26 January 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0.0% | 17.3% | 16.0–18.8% | 15.7–19.2% | 15.3–19.5% | 14.7–20.2% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0.0% | 15.3% | 14.1–16.7% | 13.7–17.0% | 13.4–17.4% | 12.8–18.0% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0.0% | 12.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.6–13.6% | 10.3–13.9% | 9.8–14.5% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0.0% | 11.3% | 10.3–12.6% | 10.0–12.9% | 9.7–13.2% | 9.2–13.8% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0.0% | 8.0% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.3% | 6.6–9.6% | 6.2–10.1% |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 7.0% | 6.2–8.0% | 5.9–8.3% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.3–9.1% |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0.0% | 7.0% | 6.2–8.0% | 5.9–8.3% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.3–9.1% |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0.0% | 6.6% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% | 5.4–8.1% | 5.0–8.6% |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.9–3.7% | 1.7–4.1% |
| DENK (*) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.9–3.7% | 1.7–4.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–2.9% | 1.2–3.2% |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–2.9% | 1.2–3.2% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–2.9% | 1.2–3.2% |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–2.9% | 1.2–3.2% |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.9% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.7–2.4% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.2–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| DENK (*) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Democraten 66 (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 74% | 99.9% | Median |
| 7 | 26% | 26% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 27% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 66% | 73% | Median |
| 7 | 7% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 77% | 99.9% | Median |
| 5 | 23% | 23% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 8% | 100% | |
| 4 | 70% | 92% | Median |
| 5 | 21% | 21% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 97% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 22% | 100% | |
| 3 | 77% | 78% | Median |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 45% | 100% | |
| 3 | 55% | 55% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 97% | 98.7% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 3% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
DENK (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 79% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 21% | 21% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
ChristenUnie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 12 | 0% | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) – Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 22% | 100% | |
| 12 | 50% | 78% | Median |
| 13 | 27% | 28% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 77% | 99.9% | Median |
| 5 | 23% | 23% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 97% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 22% | 100% | |
| 3 | 77% | 78% | Median |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 45% | 100% | |
| 3 | 55% | 55% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 97% | 98.7% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) – Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 23–26 January 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1269
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 4.02%