Opinion Poll by Verian for EenVandaag, 20–23 February 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0.0% | 14.6% | 13.4–15.9% | 13.1–16.3% | 12.8–16.6% | 12.3–17.3% |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0.0% | 13.8% | 12.6–15.1% | 12.3–15.4% | 12.0–15.8% | 11.5–16.4% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0.0% | 13.6% | 12.4–14.8% | 12.1–15.2% | 11.8–15.5% | 11.3–16.2% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0.0% | 8.9% | 7.9–10.0% | 7.7–10.3% | 7.4–10.5% | 7.0–11.1% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0.0% | 8.1% | 7.2–9.2% | 7.0–9.4% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.3–10.2% |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 7.3% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% | 6.0–8.8% | 5.6–9.3% |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0.0% | 7.3% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% | 6.0–8.8% | 5.6–9.3% |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0.0% | 6.8% | 6.0–7.8% | 5.8–8.1% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.2–8.8% |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.2% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.4–5.0% |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.2–3.8% | 2.1–3.9% | 1.9–4.3% |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.3–3.5% | 2.1–3.7% | 2.0–3.8% | 1.8–4.2% |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 2.0–3.1% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.5–3.7% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.7–3.1% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.4–3.6% |
| DENK (*) | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.8–2.8% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.5–3.1% | 1.3–3.5% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.7–2.7% | 1.6–2.9% | 1.5–3.1% | 1.3–3.4% |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.2–2.0% | 1.1–2.2% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.8–2.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| DENK (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 87% | 100% | Median |
| 6 | 13% | 13% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 99.5% | 99.8% | Median |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 81% | 99.7% | Median |
| 6 | 3% | 19% | |
| 7 | 16% | 16% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 16% | 100% | |
| 3 | 17% | 84% | |
| 4 | 67% | 67% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 99.4% | 99.7% | Median |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 13% | 100% | |
| 3 | 87% | 87% | Median |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 20% | 100% | |
| 3 | 80% | 80% | Median |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 99.0% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.2% | 99.2% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 82% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 18% | 18% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 86% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 14% | 14% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.4% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
DENK (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 10 | 0% | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 |
| GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 87% | 99.9% | Median |
| 11 | 13% | 13% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 81% | 99.7% | Median |
| 6 | 3% | 19% | |
| 7 | 16% | 16% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 98.9% | 99.7% | Median |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) – Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 13% | 100% | |
| 3 | 87% | 87% | Median |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 20% | 100% | |
| 3 | 80% | 80% | Median |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 99.0% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 85% | 99.3% | Median |
| 2 | 14% | 14% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 20–23 February 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1320
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 4.39%