Opinion Poll by Tietoykkönen for Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi, 19 April–2 May 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue | 16.5% | 21.8% | 20.3–23.4% | 19.8–23.9% | 19.5–24.3% | 18.8–25.1% |
| Kansallinen Kokoomus | 18.2% | 19.5% | 18.1–21.1% | 17.6–21.5% | 17.3–21.9% | 16.6–22.7% |
| Suomen Keskusta | 21.1% | 15.9% | 14.6–17.4% | 14.2–17.8% | 13.9–18.2% | 13.3–18.9% |
| Vihreä liitto | 8.5% | 13.2% | 12.0–14.6% | 11.6–14.9% | 11.3–15.3% | 10.8–16.0% |
| Vasemmistoliitto | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.7–9.9% | 7.4–10.2% | 7.2–10.5% | 6.8–11.1% |
| Perussuomalaiset | 17.6% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.1–10.3% |
| Svenska folkpartiet i Finland | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.7–5.7% | 3.5–5.9% | 3.2–6.4% |
| Kristillisdemokraatit | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.8–5.8% |
| Sininen tulevaisuus | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.1% | 1.2–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue | 34 | 48 | 46–53 | 45–54 | 44–56 | 42–58 |
| Kansallinen Kokoomus | 37 | 41 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 37–49 | 36–50 |
| Suomen Keskusta | 49 | 36 | 34–42 | 34–42 | 33–43 | 30–45 |
| Vihreä liitto | 15 | 26 | 22–29 | 22–30 | 22–31 | 19–32 |
| Vasemmistoliitto | 12 | 17 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 12–20 | 11–21 |
| Perussuomalaiset | 38 | 14 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 | 10–21 |
| Svenska folkpartiet i Finland | 9 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–12 | 6–13 |
| Kristillisdemokraatit | 5 | 6 | 5–6 | 3–6 | 2–6 | 1–8 |
| Sininen tulevaisuus | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 45 | 2% | 96% | |
| 46 | 17% | 95% | |
| 47 | 27% | 77% | |
| 48 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 49 | 13% | 41% | |
| 50 | 8% | 28% | |
| 51 | 4% | 20% | |
| 52 | 4% | 16% | |
| 53 | 6% | 12% | |
| 54 | 2% | 6% | |
| 55 | 2% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Kansallinen Kokoomus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kansallinen Kokoomus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 5% | 98% | Last Result |
| 38 | 10% | 93% | |
| 39 | 8% | 83% | |
| 40 | 18% | 75% | |
| 41 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 42 | 4% | 49% | |
| 43 | 10% | 46% | |
| 44 | 17% | 35% | |
| 45 | 3% | 19% | |
| 46 | 4% | 15% | |
| 47 | 3% | 11% | |
| 48 | 4% | 8% | |
| 49 | 3% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Suomen Keskusta
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suomen Keskusta page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 33 | 3% | 98% | |
| 34 | 19% | 95% | |
| 35 | 19% | 76% | |
| 36 | 18% | 57% | Median |
| 37 | 5% | 39% | |
| 38 | 5% | 34% | |
| 39 | 4% | 29% | |
| 40 | 3% | 25% | |
| 41 | 5% | 22% | |
| 42 | 13% | 17% | |
| 43 | 3% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vihreä liitto
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vihreä liitto page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 21 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 22 | 16% | 98% | |
| 23 | 6% | 81% | |
| 24 | 10% | 75% | |
| 25 | 13% | 65% | |
| 26 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 27 | 16% | 39% | |
| 28 | 12% | 23% | |
| 29 | 6% | 11% | |
| 30 | 2% | 5% | |
| 31 | 3% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Vasemmistoliitto
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vasemmistoliitto page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 13 | 4% | 97% | |
| 14 | 7% | 93% | |
| 15 | 7% | 86% | |
| 16 | 23% | 79% | |
| 17 | 27% | 56% | Median |
| 18 | 14% | 29% | |
| 19 | 6% | 16% | |
| 20 | 7% | 9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Perussuomalaiset
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Perussuomalaiset page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 2% | 98% | |
| 12 | 10% | 96% | |
| 13 | 20% | 86% | |
| 14 | 23% | 66% | Median |
| 15 | 11% | 43% | |
| 16 | 12% | 31% | |
| 17 | 3% | 19% | |
| 18 | 9% | 16% | |
| 19 | 4% | 7% | |
| 20 | 2% | 3% | |
| 21 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Svenska folkpartiet i Finland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svenska folkpartiet i Finland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 9% | 97% | |
| 8 | 32% | 88% | |
| 9 | 24% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 16% | 32% | |
| 11 | 13% | 16% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kristillisdemokraatit
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristillisdemokraatit page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 2% | 97% | |
| 4 | 2% | 94% | |
| 5 | 15% | 92% | Last Result |
| 6 | 75% | 77% | Median |
| 7 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Sininen tulevaisuus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sininen tulevaisuus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 77% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 23% | 23% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Kansallinen Kokoomus – Vihreä liitto – Vasemmistoliitto – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit | 112 | 147 | 100% | 143–151 | 142–152 | 141–153 | 139–155 |
| Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Kansallinen Kokoomus – Vihreä liitto – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit | 100 | 130 | 100% | 127–135 | 125–136 | 124–138 | 123–139 |
| Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Kansallinen Kokoomus – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit | 85 | 105 | 90% | 101–110 | 99–111 | 99–112 | 97–114 |
| Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Vihreä liitto – Vasemmistoliitto – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland | 70 | 99 | 33% | 96–106 | 94–107 | 93–108 | 90–109 |
| Kansallinen Kokoomus – Suomen Keskusta – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit | 100 | 93 | 4% | 88–98 | 87–100 | 86–101 | 83–103 |
| Kansallinen Kokoomus – Suomen Keskusta – Perussuomalaiset | 124 | 94 | 2% | 88–97 | 86–99 | 85–100 | 84–103 |
| Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Vihreä liitto – Vasemmistoliitto | 61 | 90 | 0.6% | 86–96 | 85–98 | 84–99 | 81–101 |
| Kansallinen Kokoomus – Suomen Keskusta – Sininen tulevaisuus | 86 | 80 | 0% | 74–83 | 72–85 | 72–86 | 70–89 |
Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Kansallinen Kokoomus – Vihreä liitto – Vasemmistoliitto – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 141 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 142 | 5% | 96% | |
| 143 | 4% | 90% | |
| 144 | 13% | 86% | |
| 145 | 5% | 73% | |
| 146 | 9% | 68% | |
| 147 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 148 | 8% | 44% | |
| 149 | 6% | 36% | |
| 150 | 9% | 30% | |
| 151 | 15% | 21% | |
| 152 | 4% | 7% | |
| 153 | 2% | 3% | |
| 154 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 155 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Kansallinen Kokoomus – Vihreä liitto – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 124 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 125 | 3% | 96% | |
| 126 | 3% | 93% | |
| 127 | 4% | 90% | |
| 128 | 16% | 86% | |
| 129 | 8% | 70% | |
| 130 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 131 | 13% | 47% | |
| 132 | 7% | 33% | |
| 133 | 6% | 26% | |
| 134 | 9% | 20% | |
| 135 | 4% | 11% | |
| 136 | 3% | 7% | |
| 137 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 138 | 2% | 3% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Kansallinen Kokoomus – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 99 | 4% | 98% | |
| 100 | 3% | 94% | |
| 101 | 11% | 90% | Majority |
| 102 | 4% | 79% | |
| 103 | 6% | 75% | |
| 104 | 16% | 69% | Median |
| 105 | 4% | 53% | |
| 106 | 19% | 49% | |
| 107 | 8% | 30% | |
| 108 | 7% | 22% | |
| 109 | 3% | 15% | |
| 110 | 5% | 11% | |
| 111 | 3% | 7% | |
| 112 | 3% | 4% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 114 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% |
Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Vihreä liitto – Vasemmistoliitto – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 93 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 94 | 2% | 96% | |
| 95 | 4% | 95% | |
| 96 | 3% | 91% | |
| 97 | 15% | 88% | |
| 98 | 21% | 72% | |
| 99 | 13% | 52% | |
| 100 | 6% | 39% | Median |
| 101 | 8% | 33% | Majority |
| 102 | 4% | 25% | |
| 103 | 6% | 21% | |
| 104 | 3% | 15% | |
| 105 | 2% | 12% | |
| 106 | 2% | 10% | |
| 107 | 6% | 8% | |
| 108 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 109 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Kansallinen Kokoomus – Suomen Keskusta – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 3% | 97% | |
| 88 | 4% | 94% | |
| 89 | 4% | 90% | |
| 90 | 5% | 86% | |
| 91 | 7% | 81% | |
| 92 | 13% | 73% | Median |
| 93 | 18% | 60% | |
| 94 | 4% | 42% | |
| 95 | 7% | 38% | |
| 96 | 7% | 31% | |
| 97 | 12% | 24% | |
| 98 | 2% | 12% | |
| 99 | 4% | 9% | |
| 100 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 101 | 2% | 4% | Majority |
| 102 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Kansallinen Kokoomus – Suomen Keskusta – Perussuomalaiset
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 86 | 5% | 97% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 88 | 3% | 91% | |
| 89 | 2% | 87% | |
| 90 | 5% | 85% | |
| 91 | 4% | 80% | Median |
| 92 | 9% | 76% | |
| 93 | 11% | 67% | |
| 94 | 7% | 56% | |
| 95 | 12% | 49% | |
| 96 | 22% | 37% | |
| 97 | 5% | 15% | |
| 98 | 4% | 10% | |
| 99 | 2% | 6% | |
| 100 | 2% | 4% | |
| 101 | 0.9% | 2% | Majority |
| 102 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Vihreä liitto – Vasemmistoliitto
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | |
| 86 | 5% | 95% | |
| 87 | 4% | 89% | |
| 88 | 6% | 86% | |
| 89 | 22% | 79% | |
| 90 | 14% | 57% | |
| 91 | 9% | 43% | Median |
| 92 | 9% | 33% | |
| 93 | 5% | 24% | |
| 94 | 5% | 20% | |
| 95 | 3% | 14% | |
| 96 | 2% | 12% | |
| 97 | 2% | 9% | |
| 98 | 4% | 7% | |
| 99 | 2% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Kansallinen Kokoomus – Suomen Keskusta – Sininen tulevaisuus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 4% | 95% | |
| 74 | 6% | 91% | |
| 75 | 4% | 85% | |
| 76 | 5% | 81% | |
| 77 | 3% | 77% | Median |
| 78 | 15% | 73% | |
| 79 | 7% | 58% | |
| 80 | 14% | 51% | |
| 81 | 7% | 37% | |
| 82 | 15% | 30% | |
| 83 | 6% | 15% | |
| 84 | 3% | 9% | |
| 85 | 3% | 6% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Tietoykkönen
- Commissioner(s): Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi
- Fieldwork period: 19 April–2 May 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1138
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.81%