Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | KESK | PS | KOK | SDP | VIHR | VAS | SFP | KD | SIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 April 2015 | General Election | 21.1% 49 |
17.6% 38 |
18.2% 37 |
16.5% 34 |
8.5% 15 |
7.1% 12 |
4.9% 9 |
3.5% 5 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 13–17% 29–37 |
12–18% 25–39 |
14–19% 28–40 |
17–22% 38–48 |
11–15% 19–30 |
8–11% 13–21 |
3–6% 6–12 |
3–5% 3–7 |
0–3% 0–1 |
| 1–9 April 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
13–17% 29–37 |
14–18% 31–41 |
14–18% 27–38 |
17–21% 36–48 |
11–14% 19–28 |
7–10% 13–19 |
4–6% 7–13 |
3–6% 4–7 |
0–1% 0 |
| 3–7 April 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
13–16% 29–35 |
13–17% 29–35 |
16–19% 33–40 |
18–21% 39–47 |
11–14% 18–26 |
8–11% 15–21 |
4–5% 7–11 |
3–5% 2–6 |
1–2% 0 |
| 25 March–3 April 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
13–17% 29–39 |
12–15% 24–34 |
15–19% 31–41 |
17–22% 39–49 |
12–15% 21–31 |
8–11% 12–21 |
3–5% 5–10 |
3–5% 2–7 |
1–3% 0–1 |
| 19 April 2015 | General Election | 21.1% 49 |
17.6% 38 |
18.2% 37 |
16.5% 34 |
8.5% 15 |
7.1% 12 |
4.9% 9 |
3.5% 5 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the Suomen eduskunta (95% confidence interval)
- KESK: Suomen Keskusta
- PS: Perussuomalaiset
- KOK: Kansallinen Kokoomus
- SDP: Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue
- VIHR: Vihreä liitto
- VAS: Vasemmistoliitto
- SFP: Svenska folkpartiet i Finland
- KD: Kristillisdemokraatit
- SIN: Sininen tulevaisuus
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suomen Keskusta | 21.1% | 14.6% | 13.4–15.8% | 13.1–16.2% | 12.8–16.6% | 12.3–17.3% |
| Kansallinen Kokoomus | 18.2% | 16.9% | 15.2–18.3% | 14.8–18.7% | 14.4–19.1% | 13.8–19.7% |
| Perussuomalaiset | 17.6% | 15.0% | 12.9–16.9% | 12.4–17.4% | 12.1–17.9% | 11.4–18.7% |
| Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue | 16.5% | 19.4% | 18.1–20.8% | 17.6–21.2% | 17.3–21.6% | 16.6–22.3% |
| Vihreä liitto | 8.5% | 12.5% | 11.3–14.0% | 11.0–14.5% | 10.7–14.9% | 10.2–15.6% |
| Vasemmistoliitto | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.1–10.3% | 7.8–10.6% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.0–11.3% |
| Svenska folkpartiet i Finland | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.2–5.9% | 2.9–6.4% |
| Kristillisdemokraatit | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6–4.9% | 3.4–5.2% | 3.2–5.4% | 2.9–5.8% |
| Sininen tulevaisuus | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.7–2.3% | 0.6–2.5% | 0.5–2.7% | 0.4–3.1% |
Suomen Keskusta
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suomen Keskusta page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 12% | 98.9% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 36% | 87% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 35% | 51% | Median |
| 15.5–16.5% | 13% | 16% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kansallinen Kokoomus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kansallinen Kokoomus page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 12% | 97% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 24% | 85% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 32% | 61% | Median |
| 17.5–18.5% | 22% | 29% | Last Result |
| 18.5–19.5% | 6% | 7% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 0% |
Perussuomalaiset
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Perussuomalaiset page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 13% | 94% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 20% | 81% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 25% | 61% | Median |
| 15.5–16.5% | 20% | 35% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 11% | 15% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% |
Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 4% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 17.5–18.5% | 16% | 96% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 34% | 80% | Median |
| 19.5–20.5% | 31% | 46% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 12% | 15% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% |
Vihreä liitto
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vihreä liitto page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9.5–10.5% | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 15% | 98% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 36% | 83% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 30% | 47% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 14% | 18% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Vasemmistoliitto
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vasemmistoliitto page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 20% | 97% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 43% | 77% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 28% | 34% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Svenska folkpartiet i Finland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svenska folkpartiet i Finland page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 8% | 99.9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 49% | 92% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 37% | 43% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 6% | 6% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Kristillisdemokraatit
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristillisdemokraatit page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 10% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 64% | 90% | Last Result, Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 25% | 26% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Sininen tulevaisuus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sininen tulevaisuus page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 64% | 97% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 28% | 33% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suomen Keskusta | 49 | 33 | 30–35 | 29–35 | 29–37 | 27–40 |
| Kansallinen Kokoomus | 37 | 36 | 31–38 | 29–39 | 28–40 | 27–42 |
| Perussuomalaiset | 38 | 33 | 27–35 | 26–38 | 25–39 | 23–41 |
| Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue | 34 | 43 | 40–47 | 39–47 | 38–48 | 35–50 |
| Vihreä liitto | 15 | 23 | 21–28 | 19–29 | 19–30 | 18–32 |
| Vasemmistoliitto | 12 | 17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
| Svenska folkpartiet i Finland | 9 | 8 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 5–13 |
| Kristillisdemokraatit | 5 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 3–7 | 2–8 |
| Sininen tulevaisuus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Suomen Keskusta
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suomen Keskusta page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 29 | 3% | 98% | |
| 30 | 8% | 95% | |
| 31 | 7% | 87% | |
| 32 | 8% | 79% | |
| 33 | 28% | 71% | Median |
| 34 | 21% | 43% | |
| 35 | 17% | 22% | |
| 36 | 2% | 5% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kansallinen Kokoomus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kansallinen Kokoomus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 29 | 2% | 97% | |
| 30 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 31 | 6% | 93% | |
| 32 | 11% | 87% | |
| 33 | 7% | 76% | |
| 34 | 5% | 69% | |
| 35 | 9% | 63% | |
| 36 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 37 | 17% | 46% | Last Result |
| 38 | 22% | 28% | |
| 39 | 2% | 6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Perussuomalaiset
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Perussuomalaiset page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 25 | 3% | 98% | |
| 26 | 5% | 95% | |
| 27 | 2% | 91% | |
| 28 | 4% | 89% | |
| 29 | 4% | 85% | |
| 30 | 3% | 80% | |
| 31 | 13% | 77% | |
| 32 | 9% | 65% | |
| 33 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 34 | 15% | 40% | |
| 35 | 15% | 25% | |
| 36 | 2% | 9% | |
| 37 | 2% | 8% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 39 | 3% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 39 | 3% | 97% | |
| 40 | 5% | 94% | |
| 41 | 9% | 89% | |
| 42 | 14% | 80% | |
| 43 | 21% | 66% | Median |
| 44 | 10% | 44% | |
| 45 | 18% | 34% | |
| 46 | 6% | 17% | |
| 47 | 7% | 11% | |
| 48 | 2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Vihreä liitto
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vihreä liitto page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 20 | 3% | 95% | |
| 21 | 17% | 92% | |
| 22 | 16% | 76% | |
| 23 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 24 | 8% | 45% | |
| 25 | 10% | 38% | |
| 26 | 6% | 27% | |
| 27 | 7% | 21% | |
| 28 | 8% | 14% | |
| 29 | 2% | 6% | |
| 30 | 2% | 4% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Vasemmistoliitto
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vasemmistoliitto page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 13 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 14 | 6% | 96% | |
| 15 | 4% | 90% | |
| 16 | 27% | 86% | |
| 17 | 20% | 59% | Median |
| 18 | 19% | 39% | |
| 19 | 13% | 20% | |
| 20 | 3% | 8% | |
| 21 | 3% | 4% | |
| 22 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Svenska folkpartiet i Finland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svenska folkpartiet i Finland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 27% | 93% | |
| 8 | 22% | 65% | Median |
| 9 | 9% | 43% | Last Result |
| 10 | 26% | 34% | |
| 11 | 4% | 7% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kristillisdemokraatit
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristillisdemokraatit page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 4 | 2% | 97% | |
| 5 | 7% | 95% | Last Result |
| 6 | 86% | 89% | Median |
| 7 | 2% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Sininen tulevaisuus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sininen tulevaisuus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 7% | 7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansallinen Kokoomus – Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Vihreä liitto – Vasemmistoliitto – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit | 112 | 134 | 100% | 130–138 | 128–140 | 126–141 | 124–143 |
| Kansallinen Kokoomus – Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Vihreä liitto – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit | 100 | 117 | 100% | 112–121 | 111–122 | 109–124 | 107–125 |
| Suomen Keskusta – Kansallinen Kokoomus – Perussuomalaiset | 124 | 101 | 55% | 95–105 | 94–106 | 92–107 | 91–109 |
| Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Vihreä liitto – Vasemmistoliitto – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland | 70 | 92 | 3% | 88–98 | 87–99 | 86–102 | 84–103 |
| Kansallinen Kokoomus – Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit | 85 | 93 | 0.5% | 89–97 | 87–98 | 86–99 | 83–100 |
| Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Vihreä liitto – Vasemmistoliitto | 61 | 84 | 0% | 80–89 | 78–92 | 77–94 | 74–95 |
| Suomen Keskusta – Kansallinen Kokoomus – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit | 100 | 83 | 0% | 78–87 | 77–88 | 76–89 | 74–91 |
| Suomen Keskusta – Kansallinen Kokoomus – Sininen tulevaisuus | 86 | 68 | 0% | 63–72 | 61–73 | 61–74 | 59–77 |
Kansallinen Kokoomus – Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Vihreä liitto – Vasemmistoliitto – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 124 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 126 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 127 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 128 | 2% | 96% | |
| 129 | 3% | 94% | |
| 130 | 7% | 91% | |
| 131 | 10% | 84% | |
| 132 | 12% | 74% | |
| 133 | 12% | 62% | Median |
| 134 | 13% | 50% | |
| 135 | 12% | 38% | |
| 136 | 8% | 25% | |
| 137 | 6% | 18% | |
| 138 | 4% | 12% | |
| 139 | 3% | 8% | |
| 140 | 2% | 5% | |
| 141 | 2% | 3% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% |
Kansallinen Kokoomus – Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Vihreä liitto – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 109 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 110 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 111 | 3% | 96% | |
| 112 | 6% | 93% | |
| 113 | 7% | 87% | |
| 114 | 8% | 80% | |
| 115 | 9% | 72% | |
| 116 | 11% | 63% | Median |
| 117 | 13% | 52% | |
| 118 | 8% | 39% | |
| 119 | 10% | 31% | |
| 120 | 8% | 21% | |
| 121 | 6% | 12% | |
| 122 | 2% | 7% | |
| 123 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 124 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 125 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Suomen Keskusta – Kansallinen Kokoomus – Perussuomalaiset
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 92 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 93 | 2% | 97% | |
| 94 | 4% | 95% | |
| 95 | 2% | 91% | |
| 96 | 7% | 89% | |
| 97 | 4% | 82% | |
| 98 | 4% | 78% | |
| 99 | 8% | 74% | |
| 100 | 11% | 66% | |
| 101 | 12% | 55% | Majority |
| 102 | 11% | 43% | Median |
| 103 | 9% | 32% | |
| 104 | 9% | 23% | |
| 105 | 6% | 14% | |
| 106 | 4% | 7% | |
| 107 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 108 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Vihreä liitto – Vasemmistoliitto – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 87 | 4% | 97% | |
| 88 | 6% | 93% | |
| 89 | 8% | 87% | |
| 90 | 9% | 79% | |
| 91 | 12% | 69% | Median |
| 92 | 11% | 57% | |
| 93 | 13% | 46% | |
| 94 | 6% | 33% | |
| 95 | 5% | 27% | |
| 96 | 4% | 22% | |
| 97 | 7% | 18% | |
| 98 | 3% | 11% | |
| 99 | 4% | 9% | |
| 100 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 3% | Majority |
| 102 | 2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Kansallinen Kokoomus – Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 98.6% | Last Result |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 3% | 96% | |
| 88 | 3% | 93% | |
| 89 | 4% | 90% | |
| 90 | 10% | 86% | |
| 91 | 11% | 77% | |
| 92 | 10% | 66% | |
| 93 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 94 | 16% | 46% | |
| 95 | 11% | 30% | |
| 96 | 8% | 19% | |
| 97 | 5% | 11% | |
| 98 | 3% | 6% | |
| 99 | 2% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – Vihreä liitto – Vasemmistoliitto
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 78 | 3% | 97% | |
| 79 | 3% | 94% | |
| 80 | 7% | 91% | |
| 81 | 8% | 84% | |
| 82 | 10% | 76% | |
| 83 | 15% | 66% | Median |
| 84 | 11% | 51% | |
| 85 | 10% | 40% | |
| 86 | 6% | 30% | |
| 87 | 6% | 24% | |
| 88 | 5% | 19% | |
| 89 | 4% | 13% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 91 | 2% | 8% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 93 | 2% | 5% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Suomen Keskusta – Kansallinen Kokoomus – Svenska folkpartiet i Finland – Kristillisdemokraatit
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 3% | 98% | |
| 77 | 3% | 95% | |
| 78 | 5% | 92% | |
| 79 | 6% | 87% | |
| 80 | 7% | 81% | |
| 81 | 10% | 74% | |
| 82 | 11% | 64% | |
| 83 | 13% | 53% | Median |
| 84 | 14% | 40% | |
| 85 | 10% | 27% | |
| 86 | 6% | 17% | |
| 87 | 4% | 11% | |
| 88 | 4% | 7% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Suomen Keskusta – Kansallinen Kokoomus – Sininen tulevaisuus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 3% | 94% | |
| 63 | 3% | 92% | |
| 64 | 3% | 89% | |
| 65 | 5% | 86% | |
| 66 | 9% | 81% | |
| 67 | 11% | 72% | |
| 68 | 11% | 61% | |
| 69 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 70 | 9% | 40% | |
| 71 | 13% | 31% | |
| 72 | 9% | 18% | |
| 73 | 5% | 9% | |
| 74 | 2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 3
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 1,048,576
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 3,145,728
- Error estimate: 2.03%