Vasemmistoliitto

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 7.1% (General Election of 19 April 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 9.2% 8.1–10.3% 7.8–10.6% 7.5–10.8% 7.0–11.3%
1–9 April 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 8.7% 7.8–9.8% 7.5–10.1% 7.3–10.4% 6.8–11.0%
3–7 April 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 9.6% 8.8–10.5% 8.6–10.8% 8.4–11.0% 8.0–11.4%
25 March–3 April 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 9.1% 8.1–10.2% 7.8–10.6% 7.6–10.8% 7.1–11.4%
6–26 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 9.8% 8.8–11.0% 8.5–11.3% 8.3–11.6% 7.8–12.2%
18 February–15 March 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 8.9% 8.0–9.8% 7.8–10.1% 7.6–10.3% 7.2–10.8%
6 February–5 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 8.9% 8.1–9.8% 7.8–10.1% 7.7–10.3% 7.3–10.8%
18 February–3 March 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.5% 7.5–10.8% 7.1–11.4%
14 January–14 February 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 8.7% 7.8–9.6% 7.6–9.9% 7.4–10.1% 7.1–10.6%
14 January–5 February 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 8.6% 7.8–9.5% 7.6–9.8% 7.4–10.0% 7.0–10.4%
14–28 January 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 8.9% 7.9–10.1% 7.6–10.4% 7.4–10.7% 6.9–11.3%
13 December 2018–11 January 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 9.4% 8.7–10.3% 8.5–10.5% 8.3–10.7% 7.9–11.1%
10 December 2018–8 January 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 9.5% 8.8–10.3% 8.6–10.5% 8.4–10.7% 8.1–11.1%
5–18 December 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 9.1% 8.1–10.3% 7.8–10.7% 7.6–10.9% 7.1–11.5%
13 November–12 December 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 9.6% 8.9–10.4% 8.6–10.7% 8.5–10.9% 8.1–11.3%
12 November–4 December 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 8.5% 7.7–9.4% 7.5–9.7% 7.3–9.9% 6.9–10.3%
14–23 November 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 9.3% 8.3–10.5% 8.0–10.8% 7.7–11.1% 7.3–11.7%
15 October–12 November 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 9.7% 8.9–10.5% 8.7–10.8% 8.5–11.0% 8.2–11.4%
3 October–6 November 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 9.2% 8.4–10.1% 8.2–10.3% 8.0–10.5% 7.6–11.0%
12–30 October 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 9.5% 8.4–10.7% 8.1–11.1% 7.9–11.4% 7.4–12.0%
17 September–11 October 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 9.8% 9.1–10.6% 8.9–10.9% 8.7–11.1% 8.3–11.5%
10 September–2 October 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 9.8% 8.9–10.9% 8.6–11.2% 8.4–11.5% 7.9–12.1%
14–27 September 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.1% 7.9–11.4% 7.4–12.1%
20 August–14 September 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 9.6% 8.7–10.6% 8.4–10.9% 8.2–11.1% 7.8–11.6%
13 August–4 September 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 9.1% 8.2–10.2% 8.0–10.4% 7.7–10.7% 7.3–11.2%
13–25 August 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 9.1% 8.1–10.3% 7.8–10.6% 7.5–10.9% 7.1–11.5%
16 July–16 August 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 9.6% 8.7–10.6% 8.4–10.9% 8.2–11.2% 7.8–11.7%
9 July–7 August 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 7.7% 7.1–8.4% 6.9–8.7% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.2%
11 June–12 July 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 9.6% 8.9–10.4% 8.7–10.6% 8.5–10.8% 8.2–11.2%
6 June–3 July 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 8.6% 7.9–9.4% 7.7–9.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.2%
6–26 June 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 9.4% 8.4–10.6% 8.1–11.0% 7.9–11.3% 7.4–11.9%
14 May–10 June 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 9.2% 8.5–10.0% 8.3–10.2% 8.1–10.4% 7.8–10.8%
2 May–5 June 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 8.9% 8.3–9.6% 8.1–9.8% 8.0–9.9% 7.7–10.2%
18–31 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.5% 7.5–10.8% 7.0–11.4%
16 April–11 May 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 8.7% 8.0–9.5% 7.8–9.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.3%
19 April–2 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 8.7% 7.7–9.9% 7.4–10.2% 7.2–10.5% 6.8–11.1%
3–26 April 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 9.1% 8.2–10.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.8–10.6% 7.4–11.1%
19 March–12 April 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 8.9% 8.2–9.7% 8.0–9.9% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.5%
1–27 March 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.7–10.5% 7.3–11.0%
16–26 March 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 8.7% 7.7–9.9% 7.4–10.2% 7.2–10.5% 6.8–11.1%
19 February–15 March 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 8.5% 7.8–9.3% 7.6–9.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.0%
7–28 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 8.9% 8.0–9.8% 7.8–10.1% 7.6–10.4% 7.2–10.8%
14–26 February 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 8.8% 7.8–9.9% 7.5–10.3% 7.3–10.5% 6.8–11.1%
22 January–15 February 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 9.1% 8.4–9.9% 8.2–10.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7%
28 December 2017–6 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 8.1% 7.5–8.8% 7.3–9.0% 7.1–9.2% 6.9–9.6%
19–29 January 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 8.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1% 7.1–10.3% 6.7–10.9%
12 December 2017–18 January 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 8.8% 8.1–9.6% 7.9–9.8% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.4%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vasemmistoliitto.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5.5–6.5% 0.1% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 3% 99.9% Last Result
7.5–8.5% 20% 97%  
8.5–9.5% 43% 77% Median
9.5–10.5% 28% 34%  
10.5–11.5% 5% 5%  
11.5–12.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 12 seats (General Election of 19 April 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 17 15–19 14–20 13–21 12–22
1–9 April 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17 14–19 13–19 13–19 11–21
3–7 April 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 17 16–19 16–20 15–21 14–22
25 March–3 April 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 16 14–20 13–21 12–21 12–22
6–26 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 18 16–21 16–22 16–22 14–24
18 February–15 March 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 16 15–19 14–19 14–20 13–21
6 February–5 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17 15–19 14–19 13–20 12–21
18 February–3 March 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 17 15–20 14–21 14–21 12–22
14 January–14 February 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 16 14–18 14–18 13–19 12–21
14 January–5 February 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 16 14–18 14–18 13–19 12–20
14–28 January 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 17 14–20 14–20 13–21 12–22
13 December 2018–11 January 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 18 16–19 16–20 16–21 14–22
10 December 2018–8 January 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17 16–19 16–20 16–20 15–21
5–18 December 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 17 16–20 14–21 13–22 12–22
13 November–12 December 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 19 17–21 16–21 16–21 15–22
12 November–4 December 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 16 14–18 13–19 12–19 12–20
14–23 November 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 17 15–21 15–21 14–22 12–23
15 October–12 November 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 19 17–21 16–21 16–22 15–22
3 October–6 November 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17 16–19 14–20 14–21 13–22
12–30 October 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 19 16–22 15–22 14–22 12–24
17 September–11 October 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 18 17–21 16–22 16–22 16–22
10 September–2 October 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 19 16–21 16–21 16–22 14–23
14–27 September 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 18 16–21 15–22 14–22 13–25
20 August–14 September 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 18 16–21 16–22 15–22 14–23
13 August–4 September 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17 16–19 14–19 13–20 12–22
13–25 August 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 17 15–21 14–21 13–21 12–22
16 July–16 August 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 18 17–21 16–21 15–22 14–22
9 July–7 August 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 14 12–16 12–16 11–16 10–17
11 June–12 July 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 18 17–21 17–21 17–21 16–22
6 June–3 July 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 16 14–17 13–17 12–18 12–19
6–26 June 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 17 15–21 14–22 14–22 12–24
14 May–10 June 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 18 16–20 16–20 15–21 14–21
2 May–5 June 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 16 16–18 16–18 15–19 13–20
18–31 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 17 15–20 14–21 13–21 12–23
16 April–11 May 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 17 15–18 14–18 13–19 12–20
19 April–2 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 17 14–19 13–20 12–20 11–21
3–26 April 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17 16–19 15–20 13–20 12–22
19 March–12 April 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 17 16–19 15–20 14–20 13–21
1–27 March 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17 15–19 13–19 12–20 12–21
16–26 March 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 17 14–19 13–20 12–21 12–22
19 February–15 March 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 16 13–17 13–17 13–18 12–20
7–28 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 16 16–19 13–20 12–21 12–21
14–26 February 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 17 13–19 13–20 13–20 12–22
22 January–15 February 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 17 16–19 15–19 14–20 13–21
28 December 2017–6 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 16 12–16 12–16 12–17 12–18
19–29 January 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 16 13–19 13–20 12–21 12–22
12 December 2017–18 January 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 17 15–18 14–18 13–19 12–20

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vasemmistoliitto.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 1.2% 99.7% Last Result
13 2% 98.5%  
14 6% 96%  
15 4% 90%  
16 27% 86%  
17 20% 59% Median
18 19% 39%  
19 13% 20%  
20 3% 8%  
21 3% 4%  
22 1.1% 1.2%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%