Svenska folkpartiet i Finland
Voting Intentions
Last result: 4.9% (General Election of 19 April 2015)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 4.4% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.2–5.9% | 2.9–6.4% |
| 1–9 April 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4.9% | 4.2–5.7% | 4.0–6.0% | 3.8–6.2% | 3.5–6.7% |
| 3–7 April 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.4% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.2% | 3.6–5.4% | 3.3–5.7% |
| 25 March–3 April 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
3.9% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.1–5.0% | 3.0–5.2% | 2.7–5.6% |
| 6–26 March 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4.3% | 3.7–5.2% | 3.5–5.4% | 3.3–5.6% | 3.0–6.1% |
| 18 February–15 March 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.4% | 3.8–5.1% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% |
| 6 February–5 March 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4.7% | 4.1–5.4% | 4.0–5.6% | 3.8–5.8% | 3.6–6.2% |
| 18 February–3 March 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
4.1% | 3.5–5.0% | 3.3–5.2% | 3.1–5.4% | 2.8–5.9% |
| 14 January–14 February 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.4% | 3.2–5.7% |
| 14 January–5 February 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4.0% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.4% |
| 14–28 January 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.3% | 3.2–5.5% | 2.9–6.0% |
| 13 December 2018–11 January 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.3% | 3.8–4.9% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.5% |
| 10 December 2018–8 January 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2.5% | 2.1–3.0% | 2.0–3.1% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% |
| 5–18 December 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
4.1% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.1–5.4% | 2.8–5.8% |
| 13 November–12 December 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.4% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.2% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% |
| 12 November–4 December 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4.0% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% |
| 14–23 November 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
4.5% | 3.8–5.3% | 3.6–5.6% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.1–6.3% |
| 15 October–12 November 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.4% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.8–5.2% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% |
| 3 October–6 November 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4.3% | 3.8–4.9% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.3–5.6% |
| 12–30 October 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
4.2% | 3.5–5.0% | 3.3–5.3% | 3.1–5.5% | 2.8–6.0% |
| 17 September–11 October 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.4% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.8–5.2% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% |
| 10 September–2 October 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3.7% | 3.2–4.5% | 3.0–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.6–5.2% |
| 14–27 September 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| 20 August–14 September 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.5% | 3.9–5.3% | 3.7–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.3–6.0% |
| 13 August–4 September 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4.3% | 3.7–5.1% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.1–5.9% |
| 13–25 August 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
4.2% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.2–5.6% | 2.9–6.0% |
| 16 July–16 August 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.4–5.4% | 3.1–5.8% |
| 9 July–7 August 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4.3% | 3.8–4.9% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.3–5.5% |
| 11 June–12 July 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.3% | 3.8–4.9% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.4% |
| 6 June–3 July 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–4.0% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% |
| 6–26 June 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
4.6% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% | 3.6–6.0% | 3.2–6.5% |
| 14 May–10 June 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.5% | 4.0–5.1% | 3.9–5.3% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.7% |
| 2 May–5 June 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3.9% | 3.5–4.4% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.1–4.8% |
| 18–31 May 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
4.8% | 4.1–5.7% | 3.9–5.9% | 3.7–6.2% | 3.4–6.6% |
| 16 April–11 May 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.4% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.8–5.2% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% |
| 19 April–2 May 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
4.6% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.7–5.7% | 3.5–5.9% | 3.2–6.4% |
| 3–26 April 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3.7% | 3.1–4.4% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.7% | 2.6–5.1% |
| 19 March–12 April 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.2% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.6–4.9% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.2–5.4% |
| 1–27 March 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3.5% | 3.0–4.2% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.9% |
| 16–26 March 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.6–5.6% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.1–6.2% |
| 19 February–15 March 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% |
| 7–28 February 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2.9% | 2.4–3.5% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.8% | 2.0–4.1% |
| 14–26 February 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
4.8% | 4.1–5.7% | 3.9–6.0% | 3.7–6.2% | 3.4–6.7% |
| 22 January–15 February 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.2% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.6–4.9% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.4% |
| 28 December 2017–6 February 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4.6% | 4.1–5.2% | 4.0–5.3% | 3.9–5.4% | 3.6–5.7% |
| 19–29 January 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
4.6% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% | 3.6–6.0% | 3.3–6.4% |
| 12 December 2017–18 January 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
4.4% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.1% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Svenska folkpartiet i Finland.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 8% | 99.9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 49% | 92% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 37% | 43% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 6% | 6% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 9 seats (General Election of 19 April 2015)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 5–13 |
| 1–9 April 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 7–13 |
| 3–7 April 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 6–11 |
| 25 March–3 April 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
7 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 5–10 | 4–11 |
| 6–26 March 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
8 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 5–12 |
| 18 February–15 March 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 |
| 6 February–5 March 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–13 |
| 18 February–3 March 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
8 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 5–11 |
| 14 January–14 February 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 |
| 14 January–5 February 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
7 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–10 |
| 14–28 January 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
8 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–11 |
| 13 December 2018–11 January 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 |
| 10 December 2018–8 January 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| 5–18 December 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
7 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 4–11 |
| 13 November–12 December 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
8 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–11 |
| 12 November–4 December 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
7 | 7–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–11 |
| 14–23 November 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
8 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 6–13 |
| 15 October–12 November 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
8 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–11 |
| 3 October–6 November 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 |
| 12–30 October 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
8 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 4–12 |
| 17 September–11 October 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 6–11 |
| 10 September–2 October 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
7 | 6–8 | 5–9 | 4–10 | 4–10 |
| 14–27 September 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
8 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–13 |
| 20 August–14 September 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–12 |
| 13 August–4 September 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 |
| 13–25 August 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
9 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–11 |
| 16 July–16 August 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
8 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–11 |
| 9 July–7 August 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 |
| 11 June–12 July 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 |
| 6 June–3 July 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 |
| 6–26 June 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 6–13 |
| 14 May–10 June 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–11 |
| 2 May–5 June 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 |
| 18–31 May 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
10 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 6–14 |
| 16 April–11 May 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 6–11 |
| 19 April–2 May 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–12 | 6–13 |
| 3–26 April 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 | 4–10 |
| 19 March–12 April 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 |
| 1–27 March 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
6 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 4–10 |
| 16–26 March 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
8 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 6–13 |
| 19 February–15 March 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 |
| 7–28 February 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 3–7 | 3–8 |
| 14–26 February 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–13 | 6–14 |
| 22 January–15 February 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 |
| 28 December 2017–6 February 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
9 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 |
| 19–29 January 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–13 |
| 12 December 2017–18 January 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Svenska folkpartiet i Finland.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 27% | 93% | |
| 8 | 22% | 65% | Median |
| 9 | 9% | 43% | Last Result |
| 10 | 26% | 34% | |
| 11 | 4% | 7% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |