Sininen tulevaisuus
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 19 April 2015)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1.2% | 0.7–2.3% | 0.6–2.5% | 0.5–2.7% | 0.4–3.1% |
| 1–9 April 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0.8% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.7% |
| 3–7 April 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.1% | 0.9–1.5% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% |
| 25 March–3 April 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2.0% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.2–3.3% |
| 6–26 March 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.4–1.9% |
| 18 February–15 March 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.2% | 0.9–1.6% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% |
| 6 February–5 March 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1.8% | 1.4–2.3% | 1.4–2.4% | 1.3–2.5% | 1.1–2.8% |
| 18 February–3 March 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2.3% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.7–3.1% | 1.6–3.3% | 1.4–3.6% |
| 14 January–14 February 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.0% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% |
| 14 January–5 February 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% |
| 14–28 January 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.4–3.1% | 1.2–3.4% |
| 13 December 2018–11 January 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.1% | 0.9–1.4% | 0.8–1.5% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.8% |
| 10 December 2018–8 January 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1.0% | 0.8–1.3% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% |
| 5–18 December 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
1.8% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.3–2.6% | 1.2–2.8% | 1.0–3.1% |
| 13 November–12 December 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.2% | 0.9–1.5% | 0.9–1.6% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.9% |
| 12 November–4 December 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1.5% | 1.2–1.9% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% |
| 14–23 November 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2.2% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.6% |
| 15 October–12 November 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.2% | 1.0–1.6% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–1.9% |
| 3 October–6 November 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1.1% | 0.8–1.4% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.8% |
| 12–30 October 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
| 17 September–11 October 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.0–1.8% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% |
| 10 September–2 October 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1.1% | 0.8–1.5% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.5–2.0% |
| 14–27 September 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.5–4.0% |
| 20 August–14 September 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.6% | 1.3–2.1% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% |
| 13 August–4 September 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1.6% | 1.2–2.1% | 1.1–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 0.9–2.6% |
| 13–25 August 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2.1% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.4–3.1% | 1.2–3.4% |
| 16 July–16 August 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.2% | 0.9–1.6% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.1% |
| 9 July–7 August 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0.8% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.6–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.4% |
| 11 June–12 July 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.3% | 1.1–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–2.0% |
| 6 June–3 July 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1.1% | 0.9–1.4% | 0.8–1.5% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.8% |
| 6–26 June 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2.6% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.6–4.1% |
| 14 May–10 June 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.7% | 1.4–2.1% | 1.3–2.2% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% |
| 2 May–5 June 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1.7% | 1.4–2.0% | 1.4–2.1% | 1.3–2.2% | 1.2–2.4% |
| 18–31 May 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.8–3.6% | 1.5–4.0% |
| 16 April–11 May 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.7% | 1.4–2.1% | 1.3–2.2% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% |
| 19 April–2 May 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.1% | 1.2–3.5% |
| 3–26 April 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1.5% | 1.2–2.0% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.5% |
| 19 March–12 April 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.6% | 1.3–2.0% | 1.2–2.1% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% |
| 1–27 March 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1.5% | 1.2–2.0% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.5% |
| 16–26 March 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.2–3.3% |
| 19 February–15 March 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.1–1.9% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% |
| 7–28 February 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1.6% | 1.2–2.0% | 1.1–2.2% | 1.1–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% |
| 14–26 February 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.6–3.3% | 1.4–3.7% |
| 22 January–15 February 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.3% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–2.0% |
| 28 December 2017–6 February 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1.6% | 1.3–2.0% | 1.2–2.1% | 1.2–2.1% | 1.1–2.3% |
| 19–29 January 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2.7% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.1–3.6% | 2.0–3.8% | 1.7–4.2% |
| 12 December 2017–18 January 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1.5% | 1.2–1.9% | 1.1–2.0% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Sininen tulevaisuus.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 64% | 97% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 28% | 33% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 19 April 2015)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–9 April 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3–7 April 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 March–3 April 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–26 March 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 February–15 March 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 February–5 March 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 18 February–3 March 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 14 January–14 February 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 January–5 February 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14–28 January 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 13 December 2018–11 January 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 December 2018–8 January 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5–18 December 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 13 November–12 December 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 November–4 December 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 14–23 November 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 15 October–12 November 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 October–6 November 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12–30 October 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 17 September–11 October 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 September–2 October 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14–27 September 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 20 August–14 September 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 13 August–4 September 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 13–25 August 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 16 July–16 August 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 July–7 August 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 June–12 July 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 June–3 July 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–26 June 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 14 May–10 June 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 2 May–5 June 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18–31 May 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 16 April–11 May 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 April–2 May 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–26 April 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 March–12 April 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–27 March 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 16–26 March 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 19 February–15 March 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7–28 February 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 14–26 February 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 22 January–15 February 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 December 2017–6 February 2018 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19–29 January 2018 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| 12 December 2017–18 January 2018 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Sininen tulevaisuus.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 7% | 7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |