Perussuomalaiset

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 17.6% (General Election of 19 April 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 15.0% 12.9–16.9% 12.4–17.4% 12.1–17.9% 11.4–18.7%
1–9 April 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 16.3% 15.0–17.7% 14.6–18.1% 14.3–18.5% 13.7–19.1%
3–7 April 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15.0% 14.0–16.1% 13.7–16.4% 13.5–16.6% 13.0–17.2%
25 March–3 April 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 13.4% 12.2–14.8% 11.9–15.1% 11.6–15.5% 11.0–16.1%
6–26 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 15.1% 13.8–16.5% 13.5–16.9% 13.2–17.2% 12.6–17.9%
18 February–15 March 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 11.1% 10.2–12.1% 9.9–12.4% 9.7–12.7% 9.2–13.2%
6 February–5 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 13.3% 12.3–14.4% 12.0–14.7% 11.8–14.9% 11.3–15.5%
18 February–3 March 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 11.2% 10.1–12.5% 9.8–12.8% 9.5–13.1% 9.0–13.7%
14 January–14 February 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 11.4% 10.5–12.5% 10.2–12.8% 10.0–13.0% 9.5–13.5%
14 January–5 February 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.8–13.3% 10.6–13.6% 10.1–14.1%
14–28 January 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 9.9% 8.8–11.1% 8.5–11.4% 8.3–11.7% 7.8–12.3%
13 December 2018–11 January 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 9.7% 8.9–10.5% 8.7–10.8% 8.5–11.0% 8.2–11.4%
10 December 2018–8 January 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 10.2% 9.4–11.0% 9.2–11.3% 9.1–11.5% 8.7–11.9%
5–18 December 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 9.7% 8.7–11.0% 8.4–11.3% 8.2–11.6% 7.7–12.2%
13 November–12 December 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 8.6% 7.9–9.4% 7.7–9.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.2%
12 November–4 December 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 8.1% 7.3–9.0% 7.1–9.3% 7.0–9.5% 6.6–9.9%
14–23 November 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 8.4% 7.5–9.6% 7.2–9.9% 7.0–10.2% 6.5–10.7%
15 October–12 November 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 8.7% 8.0–9.5% 7.8–9.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.3%
3 October–6 November 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 9.8% 9.0–10.7% 8.7–10.9% 8.6–11.2% 8.2–11.6%
12–30 October 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 7.7% 6.7–8.8% 6.5–9.1% 6.2–9.4% 5.8–10.0%
17 September–11 October 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 9.1% 8.4–9.9% 8.2–10.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7%
10 September–2 October 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 9.3% 8.4–10.4% 8.1–10.7% 7.9–11.0% 7.5–11.5%
14–27 September 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 6.0–10.3%
20 August–14 September 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 8.7% 7.9–9.7% 7.6–10.0% 7.4–10.2% 7.0–10.7%
13 August–4 September 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 9.4% 8.5–10.4% 8.2–10.7% 8.0–11.0% 7.6–11.5%
13–25 August 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 8.0% 7.1–9.2% 6.8–9.5% 6.6–9.8% 6.2–10.3%
16 July–16 August 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 7.9% 7.1–8.9% 6.8–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.3–9.8%
9 July–7 August 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 8.7% 8.0–9.5% 7.8–9.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.3%
11 June–12 July 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 7.8% 7.1–8.5% 7.0–8.7% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3%
6 June–3 July 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 10.3% 9.5–11.1% 9.3–11.4% 9.1–11.6% 8.8–12.0%
6–26 June 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.6–9.2% 6.4–9.5% 5.9–10.0%
14 May–10 June 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5%
2 May–5 June 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 8.3% 7.7–8.9% 7.6–9.1% 7.4–9.3% 7.1–9.6%
18–31 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 7.9% 7.0–9.0% 6.7–9.3% 6.5–9.6% 6.1–10.2%
16 April–11 May 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 7.7% 7.0–8.4% 6.8–8.6% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.2%
19 April–2 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.8–9.4% 6.6–9.7% 6.1–10.3%
3–26 April 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 8.5% 7.7–9.4% 7.4–9.7% 7.2–10.0% 6.8–10.4%
19 March–12 April 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 8.1% 7.4–8.9% 7.3–9.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6%
1–27 March 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 9.2% 8.3–10.2% 8.1–10.4% 7.8–10.7% 7.5–11.2%
16–26 March 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 8.2% 7.2–9.3% 7.0–9.6% 6.7–9.9% 6.3–10.5%
19 February–15 March 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 8.5% 7.8–9.3% 7.6–9.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.0%
7–28 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 8.5% 7.7–9.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.3–10.0% 6.9–10.4%
14–26 February 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 8.7% 7.7–9.8% 7.4–10.2% 7.2–10.5% 6.7–11.0%
22 January–15 February 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 8.6% 7.9–9.4% 7.7–9.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.2%
28 December 2017–6 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 9.6% 8.9–10.4% 8.7–10.6% 8.6–10.8% 8.2–11.1%
19–29 January 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 8.2% 7.3–9.3% 7.0–9.6% 6.8–9.9% 6.4–10.4%
12 December 2017–18 January 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 8.1% 7.4–8.9% 7.2–9.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Perussuomalaiset.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0.7% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 5% 99.3%  
12.5–13.5% 13% 94%  
13.5–14.5% 20% 81%  
14.5–15.5% 25% 61% Median
15.5–16.5% 20% 35%  
16.5–17.5% 11% 15%  
17.5–18.5% 4% 4% Last Result
18.5–19.5% 0.6% 0.7%  
19.5–20.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 38 seats (General Election of 19 April 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 33 27–35 26–38 25–39 23–41
1–9 April 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 35 32–39 31–39 31–41 29–43
3–7 April 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 33 31–35 29–35 29–35 27–37
25 March–3 April 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 29 25–33 25–33 24–34 22–35
6–26 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 34 30–35 29–36 28–37 25–38
18 February–15 March 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 23 21–25 21–26 19–26 17–28
6 February–5 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 29 25–31 24–32 24–33 23–34
18 February–3 March 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 23 21–25 20–27 18–28 17–30
14 January–14 February 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 23 22–25 21–27 21–28 19–29
14 January–5 February 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 24 22–27 22–28 22–29 21–31
14–28 January 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 20 16–22 15–23 14–24 14–25
13 December 2018–11 January 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 19 16–21 15–22 15–22 14–23
10 December 2018–8 January 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 21 19–22 18–22 17–23 15–23
5–18 December 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 20 15–22 15–22 14–23 13–25
13 November–12 December 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15 14–19 13–20 13–20 12–21
12 November–4 December 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 14 13–16 12–18 12–19 11–21
14–23 November 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 15 13–19 12–20 12–21 10–22
15 October–12 November 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15 14–19 14–20 13–21 12–21
3 October–6 November 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 19 16–21 16–21 15–22 15–23
12–30 October 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 14 12–17 11–18 10–19 10–21
17 September–11 October 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 17 14–20 14–21 14–21 14–22
10 September–2 October 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17 14–21 14–21 14–22 13–23
14–27 September 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 14 12–18 11–19 11–20 10–21
20 August–14 September 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 16 14–19 14–20 13–21 12–22
13 August–4 September 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 18 15–22 14–22 14–22 14–23
13–25 August 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 14 12–18 12–20 11–20 10–21
16 July–16 August 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 14 12–16 11–17 11–18 10–20
9 July–7 August 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 15 14–18 14–19 13–20 12–21
11 June–12 July 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 14 12–15 12–16 12–16 11–18
6 June–3 July 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 21 19–22 18–22 16–23 15–24
6–26 June 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 14 12–16 11–18 10–19 10–21
14 May–10 June 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 14 12–17 12–18 12–18 11–19
2 May–5 June 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 15 14–16 14–16 13–17 12–20
18–31 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 14 12–18 12–19 11–20 10–21
16 April–11 May 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 13 12–15 12–16 11–17 10–19
19 April–2 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 14 12–18 12–19 11–20 10–21
3–26 April 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 14 14–18 13–20 12–21 11–22
19 March–12 April 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 14 12–16 12–17 12–18 12–20
1–27 March 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 16 14–21 14–22 14–22 13–22
16–26 March 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 14 12–19 12–20 12–21 10–22
19 February–15 March 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15 14–19 13–19 12–20 12–21
7–28 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 15 14–19 13–21 13–21 12–22
14–26 February 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 17 14–20 13–21 12–22 11–22
22 January–15 February 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15 14–19 14–20 13–20 12–21
28 December 2017–6 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 19 16–22 15–22 14–22 14–23
19–29 January 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 14 12–19 12–19 11–20 10–22
12 December 2017–18 January 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 14 13–16 12–18 12–18 11–19

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Perussuomalaiset.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.3% 100%  
23 0.4% 99.7%  
24 0.9% 99.2%  
25 3% 98%  
26 5% 95%  
27 2% 91%  
28 4% 89%  
29 4% 85%  
30 3% 80%  
31 13% 77%  
32 9% 65%  
33 15% 55% Median
34 15% 40%  
35 15% 25%  
36 2% 9%  
37 2% 8%  
38 1.3% 5% Last Result
39 3% 4%  
40 0.5% 1.5%  
41 0.5% 1.0%  
42 0.3% 0.5%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%