Suomen Keskusta

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 21.1% (General Election of 19 April 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 14.6% 13.4–15.8% 13.1–16.2% 12.8–16.6% 12.3–17.3%
1–9 April 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 14.5% 13.3–15.9% 13.0–16.3% 12.7–16.6% 12.1–17.3%
3–7 April 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 14.4% 13.4–15.5% 13.2–15.8% 12.9–16.0% 12.5–16.5%
25 March–3 April 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 14.7% 13.5–16.1% 13.1–16.5% 12.8–16.9% 12.3–17.5%
6–26 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 14.4% 13.2–15.8% 12.8–16.2% 12.5–16.5% 12.0–17.2%
18 February–15 March 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 14.3% 13.3–15.5% 13.0–15.8% 12.7–16.1% 12.2–16.7%
6 February–5 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 14.1% 13.1–15.2% 12.8–15.5% 12.6–15.8% 12.1–16.4%
18 February–3 March 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 14.1% 12.9–15.5% 12.6–15.9% 12.3–16.2% 11.7–16.9%
14 January–14 February 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 14.7% 13.6–15.9% 13.4–16.2% 13.1–16.5% 12.6–17.1%
14 January–5 February 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 15.6% 14.6–16.8% 14.3–17.1% 14.0–17.4% 13.5–17.9%
14–28 January 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 14.4% 13.2–15.8% 12.8–16.2% 12.5–16.6% 11.9–17.3%
13 December 2018–11 January 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15.6% 14.7–16.6% 14.4–16.9% 14.2–17.2% 13.7–17.6%
10 December 2018–8 January 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 16.1% 15.2–17.1% 14.9–17.4% 14.7–17.6% 14.3–18.1%
5–18 December 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 15.5% 14.2–16.9% 13.8–17.3% 13.5–17.7% 12.9–18.4%
13 November–12 December 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15.6% 14.7–16.6% 14.4–16.9% 14.2–17.2% 13.7–17.7%
12 November–4 December 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17.0% 15.9–18.2% 15.6–18.5% 15.3–18.8% 14.8–19.4%
14–23 November 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 15.1% 13.8–16.6% 13.5–16.9% 13.2–17.3% 12.6–18.0%
15 October–12 November 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15.4% 14.4–16.4% 14.2–16.7% 14.0–16.9% 13.5–17.4%
3 October–6 November 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 16.5% 15.5–17.6% 15.2–17.9% 14.9–18.2% 14.5–18.7%
12–30 October 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 15.2% 13.9–16.6% 13.5–17.1% 13.2–17.4% 12.6–18.1%
17 September–11 October 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15.7% 14.8–16.7% 14.5–17.0% 14.3–17.2% 13.9–17.7%
10 September–2 October 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17.6% 16.3–18.9% 16.0–19.3% 15.7–19.7% 15.1–20.3%
14–27 September 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 15.1% 13.8–16.6% 13.4–17.0% 13.1–17.4% 12.5–18.2%
20 August–14 September 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15.5% 14.4–16.7% 14.1–17.1% 13.8–17.3% 13.3–18.0%
13 August–4 September 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17.8% 16.6–19.2% 16.2–19.5% 15.9–19.9% 15.3–20.5%
13–25 August 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 15.5% 14.2–16.9% 13.8–17.3% 13.5–17.7% 12.9–18.4%
16 July–16 August 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15.5% 14.3–16.7% 14.0–17.1% 13.7–17.4% 13.2–18.0%
9 July–7 August 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17.8% 16.8–18.8% 16.6–19.1% 16.3–19.4% 15.9–19.8%
11 June–12 July 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15.3% 14.4–16.3% 14.2–16.5% 13.9–16.8% 13.5–17.2%
6 June–3 July 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 16.6% 15.7–17.6% 15.4–17.9% 15.2–18.1% 14.7–18.6%
6–26 June 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 15.9% 14.6–17.4% 14.2–17.8% 13.9–18.1% 13.3–18.9%
14 May–10 June 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15.8% 14.9–16.8% 14.6–17.1% 14.4–17.3% 14.0–17.8%
2 May–5 June 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17.6% 16.8–18.5% 16.5–18.7% 16.3–18.9% 16.0–19.3%
18–31 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 15.1% 13.8–16.5% 13.5–16.9% 13.2–17.3% 12.6–18.0%
16 April–11 May 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15.7% 14.8–16.7% 14.5–17.0% 14.3–17.2% 13.9–17.7%
19 April–2 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 15.9% 14.6–17.4% 14.2–17.8% 13.9–18.2% 13.3–18.9%
3–26 April 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17.0% 15.9–18.3% 15.5–18.6% 15.3–19.0% 14.7–19.6%
19 March–12 April 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15.7% 14.8–16.7% 14.5–17.0% 14.3–17.2% 13.9–17.7%
1–27 March 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 16.3% 15.2–17.5% 14.8–17.9% 14.6–18.2% 14.0–18.8%
16–26 March 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 16.1% 14.8–17.6% 14.4–18.0% 14.1–18.4% 13.5–19.1%
19 February–15 March 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15.9% 15.0–16.9% 14.7–17.2% 14.5–17.4% 14.1–17.9%
7–28 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17.0% 15.8–18.2% 15.5–18.6% 15.2–18.9% 14.7–19.5%
14–26 February 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 15.5% 14.2–16.9% 13.8–17.4% 13.5–17.7% 12.9–18.4%
22 January–15 February 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 16.3% 15.4–17.3% 15.1–17.6% 14.9–17.8% 14.4–18.3%
28 December 2017–6 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 17.4% 16.5–18.4% 16.2–18.6% 16.0–18.9% 15.6–19.3%
19–29 January 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 15.4% 14.1–16.8% 13.8–17.2% 13.5–17.6% 12.9–18.2%
12 December 2017–18 January 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15.6% 14.7–16.6% 14.4–16.9% 14.2–17.1% 13.8–17.6%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Suomen Keskusta.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 1.1% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 12% 98.9%  
13.5–14.5% 36% 87%  
14.5–15.5% 35% 51% Median
15.5–16.5% 13% 16%  
16.5–17.5% 2% 3%  
17.5–18.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 0%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 0%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Seats

Last result: 49 seats (General Election of 19 April 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 33 30–35 29–35 29–37 27–40
1–9 April 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 33 30–35 29–36 29–37 27–40
3–7 April 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 33 30–35 30–35 29–35 27–36
25 March–3 April 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 34 31–35 30–36 29–39 27–41
6–26 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 33 29–35 28–35 27–36 25–38
18 February–15 March 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 34 30–35 28–35 28–36 26–38
6 February–5 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 33 30–35 29–35 29–35 26–36
18 February–3 March 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 33 29–35 29–36 27–37 25–39
14 January–14 February 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 34 32–35 30–36 29–37 28–39
14 January–5 February 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 35 34–37 34–39 33–40 31–42
14–28 January 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 34 30–36 29–37 28–38 26–40
13 December 2018–11 January 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 35 34–38 33–40 33–40 32–42
10 December 2018–8 January 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 36 34–38 34–39 34–41 33–42
5–18 December 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 35 34–40 33–41 31–42 29–43
13 November–12 December 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 35 34–38 34–40 33–41 32–42
12 November–4 December 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 41 36–43 35–44 34–44 34–45
14–23 November 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 35 31–38 31–40 30–41 28–43
15 October–12 November 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 35 34–39 33–40 33–41 31–42
3 October–6 November 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 36 35–41 34–42 34–42 33–44
12–30 October 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 35 32–40 31–41 30–41 29–43
17 September–11 October 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 35 34–38 33–41 33–41 32–42
10 September–2 October 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 41 36–44 35–45 34–46 34–47
14–27 September 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 35 31–40 31–41 30–42 29–44
20 August–14 September 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 35 34–39 33–41 32–42 31–43
13 August–4 September 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 42 39–45 37–45 36–46 35–48
13–25 August 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 35 33–40 33–42 32–43 30–44
16 July–16 August 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 35 34–38 33–40 32–41 30–42
9 July–7 August 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 42 38–44 37–45 35–45 35–46
11 June–12 July 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 34 34–36 33–37 32–39 31–41
6 June–3 July 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 37 35–40 35–42 34–42 34–44
6–26 June 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 37 34–42 33–43 33–44 30–45
14 May–10 June 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 36 34–40 34–41 34–42 33–43
2 May–5 June 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 41 39–44 38–45 37–45 35–46
18–31 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 35 32–39 31–41 30–42 29–43
16 April–11 May 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 35 34–39 34–41 34–41 33–42
19 April–2 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 36 34–42 34–42 33–43 30–45
3–26 April 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 38 35–43 35–44 35–45 34–46
19 March–12 April 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 35 34–38 34–39 34–40 32–42
1–27 March 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 36 34–40 33–41 33–42 33–44
16–26 March 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 37 34–42 34–42 34–43 32–44
19 February–15 March 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 35 34–39 34–39 34–40 33–43
7–28 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 40 35–44 35–44 34–45 34–47
14–26 February 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 35 34–38 33–40 32–41 30–44
22 January–15 February 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 36 34–40 34–41 34–42 33–44
28 December 2017–6 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 40 35–43 35–44 35–45 35–46
19–29 January 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 35 33–40 33–41 31–42 30–43
12 December 2017–18 January 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 36 34–37 34–38 33–39 32–42

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Suomen Keskusta.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.4% 99.7%  
28 1.4% 99.3%  
29 3% 98%  
30 8% 95%  
31 7% 87%  
32 8% 79%  
33 28% 71% Median
34 21% 43%  
35 17% 22%  
36 2% 5%  
37 0.7% 3%  
38 0.7% 2%  
39 0.3% 1.2%  
40 0.5% 0.9%  
41 0.2% 0.4%  
42 0.2% 0.2%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result