Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 11–18 March 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vlaams Belang | 18.5% | 27.4% | 25.6–29.3% | 25.1–29.8% | 24.7–30.3% | 23.9–31.2% |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie | 24.8% | 20.4% | 18.8–22.1% | 18.4–22.6% | 18.0–23.0% | 17.3–23.9% |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams | 15.4% | 13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.6–16.1% |
| Vooruit | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.5% | 9.0–14.2% |
| Partij van de Arbeid van België | 5.3% | 9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.3–12.1% |
| Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 13.1% | 8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| Groen | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vlaams Belang | 23 | 37 | 34–39 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 31–42 |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie | 35 | 27 | 25–29 | 24–30 | 23–30 | 22–32 |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams | 19 | 16 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 11–20 |
| Vooruit | 12 | 14 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 11–19 |
| Partij van de Arbeid van België | 4 | 12 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 7–14 |
| Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 16 | 10 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 6–13 |
| Groen | 14 | 10 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 6–13 | 5–14 |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 33 | 6% | 97% | |
| 34 | 7% | 90% | |
| 35 | 14% | 83% | |
| 36 | 19% | 70% | |
| 37 | 27% | 51% | Median |
| 38 | 13% | 24% | |
| 39 | 5% | 11% | |
| 40 | 3% | 6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 1.5% | 98.8% | |
| 24 | 4% | 97% | |
| 25 | 10% | 93% | |
| 26 | 31% | 84% | |
| 27 | 21% | 53% | Median |
| 28 | 13% | 32% | |
| 29 | 9% | 19% | |
| 30 | 7% | 10% | |
| 31 | 2% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.5% | 99.5% | |
| 13 | 3% | 98% | |
| 14 | 23% | 95% | |
| 15 | 18% | 72% | |
| 16 | 13% | 55% | Median |
| 17 | 32% | 41% | |
| 18 | 5% | 9% | |
| 19 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Vooruit
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vooruit page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 6% | 95% | Last Result |
| 13 | 12% | 88% | |
| 14 | 42% | 77% | Median |
| 15 | 14% | 35% | |
| 16 | 15% | 21% | |
| 17 | 3% | 5% | |
| 18 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid van België
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid van België page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 5% | 98% | |
| 9 | 8% | 93% | |
| 10 | 9% | 84% | |
| 11 | 21% | 75% | |
| 12 | 17% | 54% | Median |
| 13 | 29% | 37% | |
| 14 | 8% | 8% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 8 | 28% | 94% | |
| 9 | 14% | 66% | |
| 10 | 18% | 51% | Median |
| 11 | 20% | 34% | |
| 12 | 12% | 14% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 16% | 97% | |
| 8 | 8% | 82% | |
| 9 | 13% | 74% | |
| 10 | 18% | 61% | Median |
| 11 | 36% | 43% | |
| 12 | 3% | 7% | |
| 13 | 3% | 4% | |
| 14 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vlaams Belang – Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams | 77 | 79 | 100% | 76–82 | 75–83 | 75–84 | 73–85 |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 82 | 66 | 95% | 64–70 | 63–71 | 62–71 | 60–73 |
| Vlaams Belang – Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie | 58 | 63 | 63% | 60–66 | 60–67 | 59–68 | 57–69 |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit | 66 | 57 | 1.0% | 54–60 | 53–61 | 52–62 | 51–63 |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 70 | 52 | 0% | 49–55 | 48–56 | 47–57 | 46–59 |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen | 49 | 51 | 0% | 48–54 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 45–57 |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 63 | 51 | 0% | 47–54 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 45–57 |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Groen | 61 | 49 | 0% | 46–52 | 45–53 | 45–54 | 43–56 |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams | 54 | 43 | 0% | 40–45 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–49 |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Groen | 45 | 40 | 0% | 37–43 | 36–44 | 35–44 | 33–46 |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 47 | 40 | 0% | 36–43 | 35–43 | 35–44 | 33–46 |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 51 | 37 | 0% | 34–39 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 31–43 |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Groen | 49 | 35 | 0% | 32–38 | 31–39 | 30–40 | 29–41 |
| Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Groen | 42 | 33 | 0% | 30–37 | 30–37 | 29–38 | 28–40 |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit | 31 | 30 | 0% | 27–32 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 25–36 |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 35 | 25 | 0% | 22–28 | 22–29 | 21–29 | 20–31 |
| Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 28 | 24 | 0% | 21–27 | 21–27 | 20–28 | 19–29 |
Vlaams Belang – Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 5% | 98% | |
| 76 | 7% | 93% | |
| 77 | 12% | 86% | Last Result |
| 78 | 14% | 74% | |
| 79 | 18% | 60% | |
| 80 | 16% | 42% | Median |
| 81 | 12% | 26% | |
| 82 | 6% | 13% | |
| 83 | 4% | 7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 5% | 95% | Majority |
| 64 | 12% | 90% | |
| 65 | 15% | 78% | |
| 66 | 15% | 63% | |
| 67 | 14% | 48% | Median |
| 68 | 12% | 34% | |
| 69 | 10% | 22% | |
| 70 | 5% | 12% | |
| 71 | 4% | 6% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vlaams Belang – Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 59 | 3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 5% | 95% | |
| 61 | 11% | 90% | |
| 62 | 16% | 79% | |
| 63 | 20% | 63% | Majority |
| 64 | 16% | 43% | Median |
| 65 | 12% | 28% | |
| 66 | 8% | 16% | |
| 67 | 4% | 8% | |
| 68 | 3% | 4% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 4% | 97% | |
| 54 | 7% | 93% | |
| 55 | 10% | 86% | |
| 56 | 18% | 76% | |
| 57 | 21% | 57% | Median |
| 58 | 15% | 36% | |
| 59 | 8% | 21% | |
| 60 | 6% | 13% | |
| 61 | 5% | 7% | |
| 62 | 2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 3% | 97% | |
| 49 | 7% | 94% | |
| 50 | 12% | 87% | |
| 51 | 14% | 75% | |
| 52 | 15% | 61% | |
| 53 | 16% | 47% | Median |
| 54 | 13% | 31% | |
| 55 | 9% | 18% | |
| 56 | 5% | 9% | |
| 57 | 3% | 4% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 47 | 4% | 97% | |
| 48 | 7% | 93% | |
| 49 | 10% | 85% | Last Result |
| 50 | 14% | 75% | |
| 51 | 14% | 61% | |
| 52 | 16% | 47% | Median |
| 53 | 13% | 30% | |
| 54 | 11% | 18% | |
| 55 | 4% | 7% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 47 | 7% | 97% | |
| 48 | 10% | 90% | |
| 49 | 12% | 80% | |
| 50 | 14% | 68% | |
| 51 | 17% | 54% | Median |
| 52 | 15% | 38% | |
| 53 | 10% | 23% | |
| 54 | 6% | 13% | |
| 55 | 3% | 6% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Groen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 45 | 3% | 98% | |
| 46 | 6% | 94% | |
| 47 | 13% | 88% | |
| 48 | 14% | 75% | |
| 49 | 15% | 61% | |
| 50 | 15% | 46% | Median |
| 51 | 12% | 31% | |
| 52 | 10% | 19% | |
| 53 | 5% | 9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 4% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 4% | 97% | |
| 40 | 8% | 93% | |
| 41 | 13% | 84% | |
| 42 | 16% | 72% | |
| 43 | 24% | 56% | Median |
| 44 | 13% | 32% | |
| 45 | 8% | 18% | |
| 46 | 5% | 10% | |
| 47 | 3% | 5% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Groen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98% | |
| 36 | 5% | 95% | |
| 37 | 7% | 90% | |
| 38 | 13% | 83% | |
| 39 | 16% | 70% | |
| 40 | 16% | 54% | Median |
| 41 | 16% | 38% | |
| 42 | 11% | 22% | |
| 43 | 5% | 10% | |
| 44 | 3% | 5% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98% | |
| 36 | 6% | 95% | |
| 37 | 9% | 89% | |
| 38 | 11% | 80% | |
| 39 | 16% | 69% | |
| 40 | 16% | 53% | Median |
| 41 | 16% | 36% | |
| 42 | 9% | 20% | |
| 43 | 6% | 11% | |
| 44 | 3% | 5% | |
| 45 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 33 | 6% | 97% | |
| 34 | 10% | 91% | |
| 35 | 14% | 81% | |
| 36 | 16% | 67% | |
| 37 | 17% | 50% | Median |
| 38 | 16% | 33% | |
| 39 | 8% | 17% | |
| 40 | 4% | 8% | |
| 41 | 2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Groen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 31 | 4% | 97% | |
| 32 | 7% | 93% | |
| 33 | 14% | 86% | |
| 34 | 13% | 72% | |
| 35 | 14% | 59% | |
| 36 | 18% | 44% | Median |
| 37 | 12% | 26% | |
| 38 | 8% | 14% | |
| 39 | 4% | 7% | |
| 40 | 2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Groen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 30 | 7% | 96% | |
| 31 | 10% | 90% | |
| 32 | 14% | 79% | |
| 33 | 16% | 65% | |
| 34 | 15% | 48% | Median |
| 35 | 13% | 34% | |
| 36 | 10% | 21% | |
| 37 | 6% | 11% | |
| 38 | 3% | 5% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Vooruit
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 98% | |
| 27 | 6% | 96% | |
| 28 | 11% | 90% | |
| 29 | 16% | 78% | |
| 30 | 20% | 62% | Median |
| 31 | 23% | 42% | Last Result |
| 32 | 9% | 18% | |
| 33 | 5% | 9% | |
| 34 | 3% | 5% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 22 | 9% | 96% | |
| 23 | 9% | 87% | |
| 24 | 11% | 78% | |
| 25 | 18% | 68% | |
| 26 | 18% | 50% | Median |
| 27 | 18% | 32% | |
| 28 | 8% | 15% | |
| 29 | 4% | 6% | |
| 30 | 2% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 20 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 21 | 9% | 95% | |
| 22 | 17% | 86% | |
| 23 | 15% | 69% | |
| 24 | 16% | 54% | Median |
| 25 | 14% | 38% | |
| 26 | 13% | 24% | |
| 27 | 8% | 11% | |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
- Fieldwork period: 11–18 March 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.90%