Opinion Poll by Sondaxe for La Voz de Galicia, 26–28 October 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0.0% 29.2% 27.5–30.9% 27.1–31.4% 26.7–31.8% 25.9–32.6%
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0.0% 26.9% 25.3–28.6% 24.9–29.1% 24.5–29.5% 23.7–30.3%
Vox (PfE) 0.0% 19.2% 17.8–20.7% 17.4–21.1% 17.0–21.5% 16.4–22.3%
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.1% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.1–5.4% 2.8–5.8%
Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.8% 2.4–4.0% 2.2–4.2% 2.0–4.6%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.8–3.7% 1.6–4.0%
Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.3% 1.7–3.5% 1.5–3.8%
Adelante Andalucía (*) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.2–3.3%
Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.2–3.3%
Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.4% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Junts per Catalunya (NI) 0.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.5%
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0 20 18–21 17–21 17–21 17–22
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0 18 17–20 17–20 16–20 16–21
Vox (PfE) 0 13 12–14 11–15 11–15 11–15
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–4 2–4
Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–3 1–3
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Adelante Andalucía (*) 0 1 1 1 1–2 0–2
Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Junts per Catalunya (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 100%  
17 10% 99.9%  
18 18% 90%  
19 14% 72%  
20 10% 58% Median
21 47% 48%  
22 0.4% 0.6%  
23 0.3% 0.3%  
24 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 3% 99.9%  
17 31% 97%  
18 44% 67% Median
19 12% 23%  
20 10% 11%  
21 0.6% 0.6%  
22 0% 0%  

Vox (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 5% 99.9%  
12 16% 95%  
13 46% 79% Median
14 26% 33%  
15 7% 7%  
16 0% 0%  

Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 39% 99.7%  
3 56% 61% Median
4 5% 5%  
5 0% 0%  

Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 36% 100%  
2 61% 64% Median
3 3% 3%  
4 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 74% 100% Median
2 25% 26%  
3 0% 0%  

Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100% Last Result
1 61% 99.5% Median
2 39% 39%  
3 0% 0%  

Adelante Andalucía (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Adelante Andalucía (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.1% 100% Last Result
1 94% 98.9% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Podemos (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100% Last Result
1 68% 81% Median
2 13% 13%  
3 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Last Result, Median
1 45% 45%  
2 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100% Last Result
1 61% 61% Median
2 0% 0%  

Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 16% 16%  
2 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0 20 0% 18–21 17–21 17–21 17–22
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0 18 0% 17–20 17–20 16–20 16–21
Vox (PfE) 0 13 0% 12–14 11–15 11–15 11–15

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 100%  
17 10% 99.9%  
18 18% 90%  
19 14% 72%  
20 10% 58% Median
21 47% 48%  
22 0.4% 0.6%  
23 0.3% 0.3%  
24 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 3% 99.9%  
17 31% 97%  
18 44% 67% Median
19 12% 23%  
20 10% 11%  
21 0.6% 0.6%  
22 0% 0%  

Vox (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 5% 99.9%  
12 16% 95%  
13 46% 79% Median
14 26% 33%  
15 7% 7%  
16 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations