Opinion Poll by Sondaxe for La Voz de Galicia, 2–4 November 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0.0% 29.7% 28.0–31.4% 27.5–31.9% 27.1–32.3% 26.4–33.2%
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0.0% 27.3% 25.7–29.0% 25.3–29.5% 24.9–29.9% 24.1–30.8%
Vox (PfE) 0.0% 18.6% 17.2–20.1% 16.8–20.5% 16.5–20.9% 15.8–21.6%
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.1% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.1–5.4% 2.8–5.8%
Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.8% 2.4–4.0% 2.2–4.2% 2.0–4.6%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.9% 2.4–3.6% 2.2–3.9% 2.1–4.0% 1.9–4.4%
Adelante Andalucía (*) 0.0% 2.3% 1.9–3.0% 1.7–3.2% 1.6–3.4% 1.4–3.7%
Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–2.8% 1.6–3.0% 1.5–3.2% 1.3–3.5%
Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.5% 0.9–2.8%
Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.8–2.7%
Junts per Catalunya (NI) 0.0% 1.4% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.3–1.6%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.2–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0 19 19–21 19–21 18–21 18–21
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0 18 17–19 17–19 16–20 16–20
Vox (PfE) 0 13 11–14 11–14 11–14 10–14
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0 3 2–3 2–4 2–4 2–4
Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Adelante Andalucía (*) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Junts per Catalunya (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.5% 100%  
18 3% 99.5%  
19 48% 97% Median
20 36% 49%  
21 13% 13%  
22 0.4% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 3% 100%  
17 20% 97%  
18 29% 77% Median
19 45% 48%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0.4% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Vox (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.6% 100%  
11 13% 99.4%  
12 27% 86%  
13 49% 59% Median
14 11% 11%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 47% 100%  
3 45% 53% Median
4 7% 7%  
5 0% 0%  

Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 8% 100%  
2 91% 92% Median
3 1.1% 1.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 54% 100% Median
2 46% 46%  
3 0.5% 0.5%  
4 0% 0%  

Adelante Andalucía (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Adelante Andalucía (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100% Last Result
1 52% 99.3% Median
2 47% 47%  
3 0% 0%  

Podemos (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 83% 98% Median
2 15% 15%  
3 0% 0%  

Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 79% 80% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100% Last Result
1 73% 73% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 65% 100% Last Result, Median
1 35% 35%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0 19 0% 19–21 19–21 18–21 18–21
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0 18 0% 17–19 17–19 16–20 16–20
Vox (PfE) 0 13 0% 11–14 11–14 11–14 10–14

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.5% 100%  
18 3% 99.5%  
19 48% 97% Median
20 36% 49%  
21 13% 13%  
22 0.4% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 3% 100%  
17 20% 97%  
18 29% 77% Median
19 45% 48%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0.4% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Vox (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.6% 100%  
11 13% 99.4%  
12 27% 86%  
13 49% 59% Median
14 11% 11%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations