Opinion Poll by Demoskop for Expressen, 28 November–5 December 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 27.1% | 25.7–28.6% | 25.3–29.0% | 25.0–29.4% | 24.3–30.1% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 20.9% | 19.6–22.3% | 19.3–22.6% | 19.0–23.0% | 18.4–23.6% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 18.3% | 17.1–19.6% | 16.8–19.9% | 16.5–20.3% | 15.9–20.9% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.2–10.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.8–10.6% | 7.4–11.1% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.7–9.5% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.2–10.0% | 6.9–10.5% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1–6.6% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.0% | 4.4–7.5% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.8–5.3% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.0–4.3% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8–2.7% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.4–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 103 | 96–107 | 95–110 | 93–112 | 91–115 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 80 | 75–85 | 73–87 | 72–88 | 70–91 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 69 | 65–74 | 63–75 | 62–77 | 60–80 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 33 | 31–38 | 30–40 | 29–40 | 28–42 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 33 | 30–35 | 29–37 | 28–38 | 26–40 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 23 | 20–25 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–28 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 0 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–18 | 0–20 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–16 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 93 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 95 | 2% | 96% | |
| 96 | 8% | 94% | |
| 97 | 3% | 86% | |
| 98 | 2% | 82% | |
| 99 | 3% | 80% | |
| 100 | 4% | 77% | |
| 101 | 5% | 73% | |
| 102 | 14% | 69% | |
| 103 | 13% | 55% | Median |
| 104 | 6% | 41% | |
| 105 | 4% | 35% | |
| 106 | 14% | 31% | |
| 107 | 7% | 17% | |
| 108 | 2% | 10% | |
| 109 | 2% | 8% | |
| 110 | 2% | 6% | |
| 111 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 113 | 0.6% | 2% | Last Result |
| 114 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 73 | 3% | 97% | |
| 74 | 4% | 94% | |
| 75 | 3% | 91% | |
| 76 | 13% | 88% | |
| 77 | 5% | 75% | |
| 78 | 5% | 70% | |
| 79 | 4% | 65% | |
| 80 | 11% | 61% | Median |
| 81 | 16% | 50% | |
| 82 | 5% | 34% | |
| 83 | 4% | 29% | |
| 84 | 7% | 25% | Last Result |
| 85 | 10% | 18% | |
| 86 | 2% | 8% | |
| 87 | 2% | 5% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 90 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 63 | 3% | 96% | |
| 64 | 3% | 94% | |
| 65 | 3% | 91% | |
| 66 | 20% | 88% | |
| 67 | 6% | 68% | |
| 68 | 5% | 62% | |
| 69 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 70 | 4% | 48% | |
| 71 | 5% | 44% | |
| 72 | 25% | 40% | |
| 73 | 4% | 15% | |
| 74 | 5% | 11% | |
| 75 | 2% | 6% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 30 | 3% | 97% | |
| 31 | 5% | 94% | |
| 32 | 32% | 88% | |
| 33 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 34 | 12% | 49% | |
| 35 | 14% | 37% | |
| 36 | 6% | 22% | |
| 37 | 3% | 16% | |
| 38 | 4% | 13% | |
| 39 | 3% | 8% | |
| 40 | 3% | 6% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 28 | 2% | 98% | |
| 29 | 3% | 96% | |
| 30 | 7% | 93% | |
| 31 | 10% | 86% | |
| 32 | 15% | 76% | |
| 33 | 19% | 62% | Median |
| 34 | 17% | 42% | |
| 35 | 17% | 25% | |
| 36 | 3% | 8% | |
| 37 | 3% | 6% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 19 | 5% | 95% | Last Result |
| 20 | 6% | 90% | |
| 21 | 10% | 84% | |
| 22 | 17% | 74% | |
| 23 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 24 | 27% | 47% | |
| 25 | 16% | 20% | |
| 26 | 2% | 4% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 55% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 45% | |
| 2 | 0% | 45% | |
| 3 | 0% | 45% | |
| 4 | 0% | 45% | |
| 5 | 0% | 45% | |
| 6 | 0% | 45% | |
| 7 | 0% | 45% | |
| 8 | 0% | 45% | |
| 9 | 0% | 45% | |
| 10 | 0% | 45% | |
| 11 | 0% | 45% | |
| 12 | 0% | 45% | |
| 13 | 0% | 45% | |
| 14 | 0% | 45% | |
| 15 | 16% | 45% | |
| 16 | 16% | 29% | |
| 17 | 6% | 13% | |
| 18 | 5% | 7% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.7% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 183 | 93% | 176–191 | 174–192 | 170–194 | 167–197 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 133 | 149 | 0% | 142–157 | 141–158 | 139–161 | 135–162 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 141 | 0% | 135–151 | 132–153 | 131–155 | 128–158 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 141 | 0% | 135–151 | 132–153 | 131–155 | 128–158 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 138 | 0% | 130–143 | 128–145 | 127–147 | 123–152 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 138 | 0% | 130–142 | 128–145 | 127–147 | 123–150 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 136 | 0% | 128–141 | 127–144 | 125–146 | 123–148 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 115 | 0% | 108–120 | 107–123 | 104–124 | 102–129 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 114 | 0% | 108–120 | 106–122 | 104–123 | 102–128 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 108 | 0% | 103–119 | 100–121 | 98–123 | 95–126 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 169 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 170 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 171 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 172 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 173 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 174 | 2% | 95% | |
| 175 | 2% | 93% | Majority |
| 176 | 8% | 91% | |
| 177 | 5% | 83% | |
| 178 | 12% | 78% | |
| 179 | 3% | 65% | |
| 180 | 4% | 62% | |
| 181 | 4% | 58% | |
| 182 | 2% | 54% | |
| 183 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 184 | 2% | 49% | |
| 185 | 4% | 47% | |
| 186 | 3% | 43% | |
| 187 | 16% | 40% | |
| 188 | 10% | 25% | |
| 189 | 2% | 15% | |
| 190 | 3% | 13% | |
| 191 | 5% | 10% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 193 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 194 | 2% | 3% | |
| 195 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 197 | 0.7% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 138 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 139 | 2% | 98% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 141 | 2% | 95% | |
| 142 | 14% | 93% | |
| 143 | 3% | 79% | |
| 144 | 1.0% | 76% | |
| 145 | 2% | 75% | |
| 146 | 8% | 73% | |
| 147 | 7% | 65% | |
| 148 | 4% | 58% | |
| 149 | 4% | 54% | Median |
| 150 | 2% | 50% | |
| 151 | 2% | 47% | |
| 152 | 4% | 45% | |
| 153 | 16% | 42% | |
| 154 | 4% | 25% | |
| 155 | 4% | 21% | |
| 156 | 2% | 17% | |
| 157 | 9% | 15% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 159 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 161 | 3% | 4% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 129 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 131 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 132 | 2% | 97% | |
| 133 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 134 | 2% | 94% | |
| 135 | 2% | 92% | |
| 136 | 4% | 90% | Median |
| 137 | 2% | 86% | |
| 138 | 14% | 84% | |
| 139 | 13% | 70% | |
| 140 | 3% | 57% | |
| 141 | 4% | 53% | |
| 142 | 3% | 50% | |
| 143 | 3% | 47% | |
| 144 | 8% | 44% | |
| 145 | 4% | 36% | |
| 146 | 2% | 32% | |
| 147 | 2% | 30% | |
| 148 | 2% | 28% | |
| 149 | 3% | 26% | |
| 150 | 4% | 24% | |
| 151 | 11% | 20% | |
| 152 | 2% | 9% | |
| 153 | 3% | 7% | |
| 154 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 155 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 129 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 131 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 132 | 2% | 97% | |
| 133 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 134 | 2% | 94% | |
| 135 | 2% | 92% | |
| 136 | 4% | 90% | Median |
| 137 | 2% | 86% | |
| 138 | 14% | 84% | |
| 139 | 13% | 70% | |
| 140 | 3% | 57% | |
| 141 | 4% | 53% | |
| 142 | 3% | 50% | |
| 143 | 3% | 47% | |
| 144 | 8% | 44% | |
| 145 | 4% | 36% | |
| 146 | 2% | 32% | |
| 147 | 2% | 30% | |
| 148 | 2% | 28% | |
| 149 | 3% | 26% | |
| 150 | 4% | 24% | |
| 151 | 11% | 20% | |
| 152 | 2% | 9% | |
| 153 | 3% | 7% | |
| 154 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 155 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 127 | 2% | 98% | |
| 128 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 129 | 3% | 95% | |
| 130 | 3% | 92% | |
| 131 | 2% | 90% | |
| 132 | 13% | 87% | |
| 133 | 3% | 75% | |
| 134 | 5% | 72% | |
| 135 | 2% | 67% | |
| 136 | 6% | 65% | Median |
| 137 | 3% | 59% | |
| 138 | 14% | 56% | |
| 139 | 15% | 41% | |
| 140 | 4% | 26% | |
| 141 | 5% | 22% | Last Result |
| 142 | 7% | 17% | |
| 143 | 2% | 10% | |
| 144 | 2% | 8% | |
| 145 | 2% | 6% | |
| 146 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 149 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 152 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 124 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 126 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 127 | 2% | 98% | |
| 128 | 2% | 96% | |
| 129 | 3% | 94% | |
| 130 | 3% | 92% | |
| 131 | 2% | 89% | |
| 132 | 13% | 87% | |
| 133 | 3% | 74% | |
| 134 | 5% | 71% | |
| 135 | 2% | 66% | |
| 136 | 6% | 64% | Median |
| 137 | 4% | 58% | |
| 138 | 14% | 55% | |
| 139 | 15% | 40% | |
| 140 | 4% | 25% | |
| 141 | 5% | 21% | |
| 142 | 7% | 16% | |
| 143 | 2% | 9% | |
| 144 | 2% | 7% | |
| 145 | 2% | 6% | |
| 146 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 149 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 125 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 126 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 127 | 3% | 95% | |
| 128 | 7% | 93% | |
| 129 | 2% | 85% | |
| 130 | 1.5% | 83% | |
| 131 | 4% | 82% | |
| 132 | 4% | 78% | |
| 133 | 3% | 74% | |
| 134 | 5% | 71% | Last Result |
| 135 | 3% | 66% | |
| 136 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 137 | 7% | 49% | |
| 138 | 14% | 42% | |
| 139 | 13% | 28% | |
| 140 | 2% | 14% | |
| 141 | 3% | 12% | |
| 142 | 3% | 9% | |
| 143 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 145 | 2% | 5% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 104 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 106 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 107 | 2% | 95% | |
| 108 | 12% | 93% | |
| 109 | 3% | 81% | |
| 110 | 3% | 78% | |
| 111 | 2% | 75% | |
| 112 | 4% | 73% | |
| 113 | 14% | 69% | Median |
| 114 | 4% | 55% | |
| 115 | 9% | 50% | |
| 116 | 5% | 41% | |
| 117 | 12% | 36% | |
| 118 | 9% | 25% | |
| 119 | 2% | 16% | |
| 120 | 4% | 13% | |
| 121 | 2% | 9% | |
| 122 | 2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 123 | 2% | 5% | |
| 124 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 104 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 106 | 1.4% | 96% | Last Result |
| 107 | 3% | 95% | |
| 108 | 12% | 92% | |
| 109 | 3% | 80% | |
| 110 | 3% | 77% | |
| 111 | 2% | 74% | |
| 112 | 4% | 72% | |
| 113 | 14% | 68% | Median |
| 114 | 4% | 54% | |
| 115 | 9% | 49% | |
| 116 | 5% | 40% | |
| 117 | 12% | 35% | |
| 118 | 9% | 23% | |
| 119 | 2% | 15% | |
| 120 | 4% | 12% | |
| 121 | 2% | 8% | |
| 122 | 2% | 6% | |
| 123 | 2% | 4% | |
| 124 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 97 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 98 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 100 | 2% | 96% | |
| 101 | 2% | 94% | |
| 102 | 2% | 93% | |
| 103 | 12% | 90% | Median |
| 104 | 3% | 79% | |
| 105 | 3% | 76% | |
| 106 | 14% | 73% | |
| 107 | 7% | 59% | |
| 108 | 3% | 52% | |
| 109 | 3% | 49% | |
| 110 | 3% | 47% | |
| 111 | 2% | 44% | |
| 112 | 7% | 42% | |
| 113 | 3% | 35% | |
| 114 | 1.0% | 32% | |
| 115 | 4% | 31% | |
| 116 | 3% | 27% | |
| 117 | 11% | 23% | |
| 118 | 3% | 13% | |
| 119 | 2% | 10% | |
| 120 | 2% | 8% | |
| 121 | 2% | 6% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): Expressen
- Fieldwork period: 28 November–5 December 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1608
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.73%