Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | S | M | SD | MP | C | V | L | KD | Fi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 September 2014 | General Election | 31.0% 113 |
23.3% 84 |
12.9% 49 |
6.9% 25 |
6.1% 22 |
5.7% 21 |
5.4% 19 |
4.6% 16 |
3.1% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 21–28% 78–100 |
16–21% 56–78 |
16–26% 56–94 |
3–7% 0–24 |
6–11% 21–39 |
8–12% 30–44 |
4–7% 0–26 |
3–7% 0–25 |
0–2% 0 |
| 2–7 September 2018 | SKOP | 24–28% 87–101 |
16–19% 58–68 |
16–19% 59–69 |
4–5% 0–20 |
7–9% 25–33 |
9–12% 34–43 |
6–8% 21–27 |
5–7% 20–26 |
1–2% 0 |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
23–27% 81–96 |
18–22% 63–78 |
15–19% 54–67 |
4–6% 15–23 |
8–11% 29–39 |
8–11% 29–40 |
5–7% 17–25 |
5–7% 17–26 |
1–2% 0 |
| 5–6 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
23–26% 83–93 |
16–18% 57–66 |
16–18% 57–66 |
5–7% 20–25 |
9–11% 33–40 |
9–11% 33–40 |
5–7% 19–24 |
5–7% 19–24 |
N/A N/A |
| 4–6 September 2018 | Novus SVT |
23–27% 82–96 |
16–20% 57–69 |
17–21% 62–75 |
4–6% 15–22 |
7–10% 26–36 |
9–11% 31–41 |
5–8% 19–28 |
5–7% 17–24 |
N/A N/A |
| 1–6 September 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
24–29% 87–103 |
16–20% 58–71 |
15–19% 56–68 |
4–7% 16–23 |
7–10% 25–35 |
8–11% 30–41 |
5–7% 19–27 |
5–7% 18–26 |
N/A N/A |
| 2–5 September 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
24–28% 85–101 |
16–19% 56–69 |
15–19% 54–67 |
4–6% 0–21 |
8–11% 31–40 |
9–12% 31–42 |
5–7% 19–26 |
5–7% 18–25 |
N/A N/A |
| 30 August–1 September 2018 | YouGov Metro |
22–26% 77–94 |
15–19% 52–67 |
23–27% 81–98 |
3–5% 0–17 |
5–7% 18–26 |
8–11% 29–40 |
5–7% 17–25 |
4–6% 0–22 |
0–1% 0 |
| 9–14 August 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
20–26% 73–98 |
17–22% 61–86 |
19–25% 71–95 |
3–6% 0–24 |
6–10% 22–37 |
9–13% 32–49 |
3–6% 0–22 |
3–5% 0–20 |
1–3% 0 |
| 14 September 2014 | General Election | 31.0% 113 |
23.3% 84 |
12.9% 49 |
6.9% 25 |
6.1% 22 |
5.7% 21 |
5.4% 19 |
4.6% 16 |
3.1% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the Riksdagen (95% confidence interval)
- S: Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
- M: Moderata samlingspartiet
- SD: Sverigedemokraterna
- MP: Miljöpartiet de gröna
- C: Centerpartiet
- V: Vänsterpartiet
- L: Liberalerna
- KD: Kristdemokraterna
- Fi: Feministiskt initiativ
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 24.9% | 22.7–26.8% | 21.9–27.3% | 21.2–27.7% | 20.0–28.5% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 17.7% | 16.3–19.9% | 15.9–20.6% | 15.5–21.1% | 14.8–22.2% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 17.8% | 16.2–24.1% | 15.9–25.2% | 15.6–25.8% | 15.0–26.9% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.5–6.4% | 3.3–6.6% | 2.9–7.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.5–10.2% | 5.9–10.5% | 5.5–10.7% | 5.0–11.2% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 10.0% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.5% | 8.4–11.9% | 7.9–12.7% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8–6.9% | 4.2–7.2% | 3.8–7.4% | 3.3–7.8% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.2–6.7% | 3.7–6.9% | 3.3–7.1% | 2.8–7.5% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.2% | 0.4–2.4% | 0.3–2.9% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 5% | 97% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 10% | 91% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 21% | 81% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 26% | 60% | Median |
| 25.5–26.5% | 21% | 34% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 10% | 13% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 13% | 97% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 30% | 85% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 27% | 55% | Median |
| 18.5–19.5% | 15% | 29% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 9% | 14% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 14% | 98% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 28% | 84% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 18% | 55% | Median |
| 18.5–19.5% | 8% | 37% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 5% | 29% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 4% | 24% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 4% | 20% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 4% | 16% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 5% | 12% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 4% | 8% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 24% | 94% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 45% | 70% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 22% | 25% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 8% | 97% | Last Result |
| 6.5–7.5% | 12% | 89% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 26% | 77% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 26% | 50% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 20% | 25% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 24% | 97% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 46% | 73% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 22% | 27% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 6% | 98.7% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 18% | 92% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 51% | 75% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 22% | 23% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 11% | 96% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 24% | 86% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 49% | 62% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 13% | 13% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 9% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 72% | 91% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 17% | 19% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 90 | 83–96 | 80–98 | 78–100 | 74–103 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 63 | 59–73 | 57–76 | 56–78 | 53–85 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 64 | 58–89 | 57–93 | 56–94 | 54–98 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 18 | 0–22 | 0–23 | 0–24 | 0–25 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 31 | 24–37 | 21–38 | 21–39 | 18–40 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 36 | 32–40 | 31–42 | 30–44 | 29–48 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 22 | 18–25 | 16–26 | 0–26 | 0–28 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 21 | 16–24 | 0–24 | 0–25 | 0–27 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 79 | 2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 82 | 2% | 93% | |
| 83 | 3% | 91% | |
| 84 | 3% | 88% | |
| 85 | 5% | 85% | |
| 86 | 5% | 81% | |
| 87 | 7% | 76% | |
| 88 | 7% | 69% | |
| 89 | 7% | 62% | |
| 90 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 91 | 8% | 46% | |
| 92 | 6% | 37% | |
| 93 | 5% | 32% | |
| 94 | 6% | 26% | |
| 95 | 4% | 20% | |
| 96 | 6% | 16% | |
| 97 | 3% | 10% | |
| 98 | 3% | 7% | |
| 99 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 100 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 4% | 94% | |
| 59 | 5% | 90% | |
| 60 | 7% | 85% | |
| 61 | 9% | 78% | |
| 62 | 11% | 69% | |
| 63 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 64 | 8% | 48% | |
| 65 | 6% | 41% | |
| 66 | 6% | 35% | |
| 67 | 4% | 29% | |
| 68 | 3% | 25% | |
| 69 | 4% | 22% | |
| 70 | 2% | 18% | |
| 71 | 3% | 15% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 12% | |
| 73 | 2% | 10% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 76 | 2% | 6% | |
| 77 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 5% | 95% | |
| 59 | 4% | 90% | |
| 60 | 7% | 85% | |
| 61 | 9% | 79% | |
| 62 | 9% | 70% | |
| 63 | 8% | 61% | |
| 64 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 65 | 6% | 48% | |
| 66 | 5% | 42% | |
| 67 | 4% | 37% | |
| 68 | 2% | 34% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 32% | |
| 70 | 2% | 30% | |
| 71 | 2% | 29% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 26% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 25% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 25% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 22% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 22% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 21% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 20% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 18% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 17% | |
| 85 | 2% | 16% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 88 | 2% | 12% | |
| 89 | 2% | 10% | |
| 90 | 2% | 9% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 93 | 2% | 5% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 95 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 86% | |
| 2 | 0% | 86% | |
| 3 | 0% | 86% | |
| 4 | 0% | 86% | |
| 5 | 0% | 86% | |
| 6 | 0% | 86% | |
| 7 | 0% | 86% | |
| 8 | 0% | 86% | |
| 9 | 0% | 86% | |
| 10 | 0% | 86% | |
| 11 | 0% | 86% | |
| 12 | 0% | 86% | |
| 13 | 0% | 86% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 86% | |
| 15 | 7% | 85% | |
| 16 | 11% | 79% | |
| 17 | 14% | 68% | |
| 18 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 19 | 13% | 41% | |
| 20 | 8% | 29% | |
| 21 | 7% | 20% | |
| 22 | 6% | 14% | |
| 23 | 4% | 7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 4% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 21 | 3% | 98% | |
| 22 | 2% | 95% | Last Result |
| 23 | 2% | 92% | |
| 24 | 3% | 90% | |
| 25 | 3% | 87% | |
| 26 | 4% | 85% | |
| 27 | 5% | 81% | |
| 28 | 7% | 76% | |
| 29 | 7% | 69% | |
| 30 | 10% | 62% | |
| 31 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 32 | 9% | 45% | |
| 33 | 7% | 36% | |
| 34 | 5% | 30% | |
| 35 | 5% | 25% | |
| 36 | 8% | 20% | |
| 37 | 6% | 12% | |
| 38 | 3% | 6% | |
| 39 | 2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 31 | 3% | 97% | |
| 32 | 6% | 94% | |
| 33 | 7% | 88% | |
| 34 | 11% | 81% | |
| 35 | 12% | 70% | |
| 36 | 15% | 58% | Median |
| 37 | 12% | 43% | |
| 38 | 9% | 31% | |
| 39 | 7% | 22% | |
| 40 | 6% | 15% | |
| 41 | 3% | 9% | |
| 42 | 2% | 6% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 96% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0% | 96% | |
| 7 | 0% | 96% | |
| 8 | 0% | 96% | |
| 9 | 0% | 96% | |
| 10 | 0% | 96% | |
| 11 | 0% | 96% | |
| 12 | 0% | 96% | |
| 13 | 0% | 96% | |
| 14 | 0% | 96% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 16 | 2% | 96% | |
| 17 | 4% | 94% | |
| 18 | 4% | 90% | |
| 19 | 7% | 86% | Last Result |
| 20 | 12% | 79% | |
| 21 | 12% | 67% | |
| 22 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 23 | 15% | 40% | |
| 24 | 11% | 25% | |
| 25 | 8% | 14% | |
| 26 | 4% | 6% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 92% | |
| 2 | 0% | 92% | |
| 3 | 0% | 92% | |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0% | 92% | |
| 6 | 0% | 92% | |
| 7 | 0% | 92% | |
| 8 | 0% | 92% | |
| 9 | 0% | 92% | |
| 10 | 0% | 92% | |
| 11 | 0% | 92% | |
| 12 | 0% | 92% | |
| 13 | 0% | 92% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 15 | 2% | 92% | |
| 16 | 5% | 90% | Last Result |
| 17 | 5% | 85% | |
| 18 | 6% | 80% | |
| 19 | 8% | 74% | |
| 20 | 12% | 66% | |
| 21 | 17% | 54% | Median |
| 22 | 14% | 37% | |
| 23 | 11% | 23% | |
| 24 | 8% | 12% | |
| 25 | 3% | 5% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 186 | 86% | 172–194 | 167–197 | 163–198 | 155–202 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 150 | 3% | 143–167 | 141–171 | 139–175 | 135–182 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 154 | 0.6% | 146–163 | 144–165 | 140–168 | 135–175 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 133 | 129 | 0.3% | 121–154 | 119–159 | 118–163 | 115–172 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Vänsterpartiet – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 145 | 0% | 126–152 | 121–153 | 118–155 | 114–160 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Vänsterpartiet | 159 | 145 | 0% | 126–152 | 121–153 | 118–155 | 114–160 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 138 | 0% | 119–146 | 114–149 | 111–151 | 102–155 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 126 | 0% | 118–134 | 116–136 | 113–138 | 110–142 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 117 | 0% | 104–125 | 100–128 | 97–130 | 94–134 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 116 | 0% | 101–124 | 97–127 | 95–130 | 88–134 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 109 | 0% | 90–115 | 87–117 | 84–118 | 80–122 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 95 | 0% | 85–105 | 81–108 | 79–111 | 74–116 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 165 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 166 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 167 | 2% | 95% | |
| 168 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 169 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 170 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 171 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 172 | 2% | 90% | |
| 173 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 174 | 1.0% | 87% | |
| 175 | 0.3% | 86% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.6% | 86% | |
| 177 | 1.0% | 85% | |
| 178 | 2% | 84% | |
| 179 | 2% | 83% | |
| 180 | 3% | 81% | |
| 181 | 3% | 78% | |
| 182 | 5% | 75% | |
| 183 | 4% | 70% | |
| 184 | 5% | 66% | Median |
| 185 | 5% | 60% | |
| 186 | 9% | 56% | |
| 187 | 6% | 47% | |
| 188 | 6% | 40% | |
| 189 | 6% | 35% | |
| 190 | 4% | 29% | |
| 191 | 5% | 25% | |
| 192 | 5% | 20% | |
| 193 | 3% | 16% | |
| 194 | 3% | 13% | |
| 195 | 2% | 10% | |
| 196 | 2% | 8% | |
| 197 | 2% | 6% | |
| 198 | 2% | 4% | |
| 199 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 200 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 201 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 140 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 141 | 3% | 96% | |
| 142 | 3% | 93% | |
| 143 | 6% | 90% | |
| 144 | 3% | 84% | |
| 145 | 6% | 81% | |
| 146 | 5% | 75% | |
| 147 | 6% | 70% | |
| 148 | 5% | 64% | Median |
| 149 | 6% | 59% | Last Result |
| 150 | 5% | 53% | |
| 151 | 4% | 48% | |
| 152 | 5% | 44% | |
| 153 | 4% | 39% | |
| 154 | 3% | 35% | |
| 155 | 4% | 32% | |
| 156 | 3% | 28% | |
| 157 | 2% | 25% | |
| 158 | 2% | 23% | |
| 159 | 1.3% | 22% | |
| 160 | 1.1% | 20% | |
| 161 | 2% | 19% | |
| 162 | 0.9% | 17% | |
| 163 | 0.8% | 16% | |
| 164 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 165 | 2% | 14% | |
| 166 | 2% | 13% | |
| 167 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 168 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 169 | 2% | 9% | |
| 170 | 2% | 7% | |
| 171 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 172 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 173 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 175 | 0.9% | 3% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 182 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 136 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 141 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 142 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 143 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 144 | 2% | 95% | |
| 145 | 3% | 93% | |
| 146 | 2% | 91% | |
| 147 | 3% | 88% | |
| 148 | 4% | 86% | |
| 149 | 4% | 82% | |
| 150 | 5% | 77% | |
| 151 | 7% | 72% | |
| 152 | 5% | 66% | |
| 153 | 5% | 61% | Median |
| 154 | 6% | 56% | |
| 155 | 5% | 49% | |
| 156 | 7% | 45% | |
| 157 | 6% | 38% | |
| 158 | 5% | 32% | |
| 159 | 5% | 27% | |
| 160 | 4% | 22% | |
| 161 | 3% | 18% | |
| 162 | 3% | 14% | |
| 163 | 2% | 11% | |
| 164 | 2% | 9% | |
| 165 | 2% | 7% | |
| 166 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 167 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 168 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 169 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 170 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 171 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 117 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 118 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 119 | 2% | 97% | |
| 120 | 3% | 95% | |
| 121 | 3% | 91% | |
| 122 | 6% | 88% | |
| 123 | 5% | 82% | |
| 124 | 6% | 77% | |
| 125 | 5% | 72% | |
| 126 | 4% | 67% | |
| 127 | 6% | 63% | Median |
| 128 | 5% | 57% | |
| 129 | 5% | 52% | |
| 130 | 3% | 47% | |
| 131 | 3% | 44% | |
| 132 | 4% | 40% | |
| 133 | 3% | 37% | Last Result |
| 134 | 3% | 34% | |
| 135 | 2% | 31% | |
| 136 | 1.3% | 29% | |
| 137 | 0.9% | 27% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 26% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 25% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 24% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 23% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 23% | |
| 145 | 0.9% | 22% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 21% | |
| 147 | 0.8% | 20% | |
| 148 | 2% | 19% | |
| 149 | 0.9% | 17% | |
| 150 | 0.9% | 17% | |
| 151 | 2% | 16% | |
| 152 | 2% | 14% | |
| 153 | 2% | 12% | |
| 154 | 2% | 11% | |
| 155 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 156 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 157 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 158 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 159 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 161 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 167 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Vänsterpartiet – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 116 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 119 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 120 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 121 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 123 | 2% | 94% | |
| 124 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 126 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 127 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 88% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 131 | 1.0% | 87% | |
| 132 | 0.6% | 86% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 85% | |
| 134 | 0.8% | 85% | |
| 135 | 2% | 84% | |
| 136 | 2% | 82% | |
| 137 | 2% | 80% | |
| 138 | 2% | 78% | |
| 139 | 2% | 76% | |
| 140 | 4% | 74% | |
| 141 | 4% | 70% | |
| 142 | 4% | 66% | |
| 143 | 5% | 62% | |
| 144 | 5% | 57% | Median |
| 145 | 7% | 52% | |
| 146 | 7% | 45% | |
| 147 | 6% | 37% | |
| 148 | 7% | 31% | |
| 149 | 5% | 24% | |
| 150 | 6% | 19% | |
| 151 | 3% | 14% | |
| 152 | 3% | 10% | |
| 153 | 2% | 7% | |
| 154 | 2% | 5% | |
| 155 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 116 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 119 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 120 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 121 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 123 | 2% | 94% | |
| 124 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 126 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 127 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 88% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 131 | 1.0% | 87% | |
| 132 | 0.6% | 86% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 85% | |
| 134 | 0.8% | 85% | |
| 135 | 2% | 84% | |
| 136 | 2% | 82% | |
| 137 | 2% | 80% | |
| 138 | 2% | 78% | |
| 139 | 2% | 76% | |
| 140 | 4% | 74% | |
| 141 | 4% | 70% | |
| 142 | 4% | 66% | |
| 143 | 5% | 62% | |
| 144 | 5% | 57% | Median |
| 145 | 7% | 52% | |
| 146 | 7% | 45% | |
| 147 | 6% | 37% | |
| 148 | 7% | 31% | |
| 149 | 5% | 24% | |
| 150 | 6% | 19% | |
| 151 | 3% | 14% | |
| 152 | 3% | 10% | |
| 153 | 2% | 7% | |
| 154 | 2% | 5% | |
| 155 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 113 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 115 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 116 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 117 | 2% | 92% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 119 | 2% | 90% | |
| 120 | 2% | 89% | |
| 121 | 1.3% | 87% | |
| 122 | 1.1% | 85% | |
| 123 | 1.2% | 84% | |
| 124 | 1.0% | 83% | |
| 125 | 0.6% | 82% | |
| 126 | 1.3% | 81% | |
| 127 | 0.8% | 80% | |
| 128 | 0.8% | 79% | |
| 129 | 0.5% | 78% | |
| 130 | 1.0% | 78% | |
| 131 | 1.0% | 77% | |
| 132 | 2% | 76% | |
| 133 | 2% | 74% | |
| 134 | 3% | 72% | |
| 135 | 4% | 69% | |
| 136 | 5% | 65% | |
| 137 | 6% | 60% | Median |
| 138 | 7% | 53% | |
| 139 | 7% | 46% | |
| 140 | 6% | 39% | |
| 141 | 4% | 33% | Last Result |
| 142 | 6% | 29% | |
| 143 | 5% | 23% | |
| 144 | 4% | 18% | |
| 145 | 2% | 14% | |
| 146 | 3% | 11% | |
| 147 | 2% | 8% | |
| 148 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 149 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 150 | 2% | 4% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 152 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 115 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 116 | 2% | 96% | |
| 117 | 2% | 94% | |
| 118 | 2% | 92% | |
| 119 | 4% | 89% | |
| 120 | 4% | 86% | |
| 121 | 5% | 82% | |
| 122 | 3% | 77% | |
| 123 | 7% | 74% | |
| 124 | 6% | 67% | |
| 125 | 6% | 61% | |
| 126 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 127 | 6% | 47% | |
| 128 | 6% | 41% | |
| 129 | 5% | 35% | |
| 130 | 5% | 30% | |
| 131 | 5% | 24% | |
| 132 | 6% | 20% | |
| 133 | 3% | 14% | |
| 134 | 3% | 11% | Last Result |
| 135 | 2% | 8% | |
| 136 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 137 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 138 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 139 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 97 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 100 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 101 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 102 | 2% | 94% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 104 | 2% | 91% | |
| 105 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 106 | 1.2% | 88% | |
| 107 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 108 | 2% | 86% | |
| 109 | 1.5% | 85% | |
| 110 | 1.4% | 83% | |
| 111 | 2% | 82% | |
| 112 | 3% | 80% | |
| 113 | 3% | 77% | |
| 114 | 5% | 74% | |
| 115 | 8% | 69% | |
| 116 | 6% | 61% | Median |
| 117 | 9% | 55% | |
| 118 | 6% | 46% | |
| 119 | 6% | 40% | |
| 120 | 5% | 34% | |
| 121 | 6% | 29% | |
| 122 | 5% | 24% | |
| 123 | 5% | 19% | |
| 124 | 2% | 14% | |
| 125 | 2% | 12% | Last Result |
| 126 | 2% | 10% | |
| 127 | 2% | 7% | |
| 128 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 129 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 130 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 131 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 86 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 96 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 98 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 99 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 100 | 2% | 92% | |
| 101 | 2% | 90% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 88% | |
| 103 | 2% | 87% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 85% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 84% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 83% | |
| 107 | 1.2% | 82% | |
| 108 | 1.2% | 81% | |
| 109 | 2% | 80% | |
| 110 | 2% | 78% | |
| 111 | 3% | 76% | |
| 112 | 6% | 73% | |
| 113 | 5% | 68% | |
| 114 | 6% | 63% | |
| 115 | 6% | 57% | Median |
| 116 | 7% | 51% | |
| 117 | 6% | 44% | |
| 118 | 6% | 38% | |
| 119 | 6% | 32% | |
| 120 | 5% | 27% | |
| 121 | 4% | 22% | |
| 122 | 3% | 18% | Last Result |
| 123 | 3% | 15% | |
| 124 | 2% | 12% | |
| 125 | 1.4% | 10% | |
| 126 | 2% | 8% | |
| 127 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 128 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 129 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 131 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 86 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 87 | 2% | 95% | |
| 88 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 91 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 95 | 1.1% | 86% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 85% | |
| 97 | 0.9% | 84% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 83% | |
| 99 | 1.2% | 82% | |
| 100 | 1.3% | 81% | |
| 101 | 2% | 80% | |
| 102 | 2% | 77% | |
| 103 | 2% | 75% | |
| 104 | 4% | 73% | |
| 105 | 3% | 69% | |
| 106 | 5% | 66% | |
| 107 | 6% | 61% | |
| 108 | 5% | 56% | Median |
| 109 | 9% | 51% | |
| 110 | 7% | 42% | |
| 111 | 7% | 35% | |
| 112 | 8% | 28% | |
| 113 | 5% | 20% | |
| 114 | 4% | 15% | |
| 115 | 4% | 12% | |
| 116 | 3% | 8% | |
| 117 | 2% | 5% | |
| 118 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 119 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 120 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 85 | 2% | 91% | |
| 86 | 1.4% | 89% | |
| 87 | 1.5% | 88% | |
| 88 | 2% | 86% | |
| 89 | 2% | 84% | |
| 90 | 4% | 81% | |
| 91 | 5% | 78% | |
| 92 | 5% | 73% | |
| 93 | 6% | 68% | |
| 94 | 7% | 61% | Median |
| 95 | 5% | 54% | |
| 96 | 6% | 49% | |
| 97 | 5% | 43% | |
| 98 | 6% | 37% | |
| 99 | 5% | 31% | |
| 100 | 4% | 27% | |
| 101 | 3% | 23% | |
| 102 | 3% | 19% | |
| 103 | 3% | 17% | |
| 104 | 3% | 14% | |
| 105 | 2% | 11% | |
| 106 | 2% | 9% | Last Result |
| 107 | 2% | 7% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 110 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 112 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 8
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 1,048,576
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 8,388,608
- Error estimate: 1.65%