Liberalerna
Voting Intentions
Last result: 5.4% (General Election of 14 September 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6.1% | 4.8–6.9% | 4.2–7.2% | 3.8–7.4% | 3.3–7.8% |
| 2–7 September 2018 | SKOP | 6.5% | 5.9–7.2% | 5.7–7.4% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
5.8% | 5.1–6.6% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.8–7.0% | 4.5–7.4% |
| 5–6 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.3–6.9% | 5.0–7.1% |
| 30 August–6 September 2018 | SKOP | 6.2% | 5.7–6.8% | 5.5–7.0% | 5.4–7.2% | 5.1–7.5% |
| 4–6 September 2018 | Novus SVT |
6.5% | 5.8–7.3% | 5.6–7.5% | 5.5–7.7% | 5.2–8.1% |
| 1–6 September 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
6.2% | 5.5–7.0% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.2–7.5% | 4.8–7.9% |
| 3–5 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.1% |
| 29 August–5 September 2018 | SKOP | 5.9% | 5.3–6.5% | 5.2–6.7% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% |
| 2–5 September 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
6.2% | 5.5–7.0% | 5.3–7.2% | 5.2–7.4% | 4.9–7.8% |
| 30 August–4 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
6.8% | 6.2–7.4% | 6.1–7.6% | 5.9–7.8% | 5.7–8.1% |
| 28 August–4 September 2018 | SKOP | 5.4% | 4.9–6.0% | 4.7–6.2% | 4.6–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% |
| 30 August–4 September 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
6.2% | 5.5–7.0% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.5% | 4.8–7.9% |
| 29 August–3 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.7% | 5.6–8.0% |
| 27 August–3 September 2018 | SKOP | 4.9% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.1–5.8% | 4.0–6.0% | 3.7–6.4% |
| 27 August–3 September 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% |
| 26 August–2 September 2018 | SKOP | 5.4% | 4.8–6.1% | 4.6–6.3% | 4.5–6.5% | 4.2–6.9% |
| 28 August–2 September 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
5.9% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.1–6.9% | 4.9–7.1% | 4.6–7.5% |
| 30 August–1 September 2018 | YouGov Metro |
5.7% | 4.9–6.6% | 4.7–6.8% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.2–7.5% |
| 25–31 August 2018 | SKOP | 5.4% | 4.8–6.1% | 4.6–6.3% | 4.5–6.5% | 4.2–6.8% |
| 28–30 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
5.5% | 5.0–6.1% | 4.8–6.2% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.5–6.6% |
| 24–30 August 2018 | SKOP | 5.8% | 5.1–6.5% | 5.0–6.7% | 4.8–6.9% | 4.5–7.3% |
| 25–30 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
5.9% | 5.3–6.6% | 5.1–6.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.7–7.3% |
| 23–30 August 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
6.8% | 6.1–7.7% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.2% | 5.4–8.6% |
| 27–29 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
5.1% | 4.6–5.7% | 4.5–5.8% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% |
| 22–29 August 2018 | SKOP | 6.3% | 5.7–6.9% | 5.5–7.1% | 5.4–7.2% | 5.2–7.5% |
| 25–28 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
5.5% | 5.0–6.1% | 4.8–6.2% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.5–6.7% |
| 21–28 August 2018 | SKOP | 6.7% | 6.1–7.4% | 5.9–7.6% | 5.7–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% |
| 22–28 August 2018 | Novus SVT |
6.2% | 5.5–7.1% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.5% | 4.8–7.9% |
| 22–27 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.6–6.1% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.5% |
| 20–27 August 2018 | SKOP | 6.8% | 6.2–7.4% | 6.1–7.6% | 5.9–7.8% | 5.7–8.1% |
| 21–26 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
5.8% | 5.3–6.4% | 5.1–6.6% | 5.0–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% |
| 22–26 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
5.1% | 4.6–5.6% | 4.5–5.8% | 4.4–5.9% | 4.2–6.2% |
| 16–24 August 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
5.4% | 4.8–6.1% | 4.6–6.3% | 4.5–6.5% | 4.2–6.9% |
| 20–23 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
5.9% | 5.5–6.4% | 5.3–6.6% | 5.2–6.7% | 5.0–6.9% |
| 16–22 August 2018 | SKOP | 6.3% | 5.7–7.0% | 5.5–7.2% | 5.3–7.4% | 5.0–7.8% |
| 13–21 August 2018 | Novus SVT |
5.3% | 4.6–6.1% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.5% | 4.0–6.9% |
| 17–20 August 2018 | YouGov Metro |
5.3% | 4.6–6.1% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.0–7.0% |
| 13–16 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
5.1% | 4.6–5.6% | 4.5–5.8% | 4.4–5.9% | 4.2–6.1% |
| 7–16 August 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
5.9% | 5.2–6.7% | 5.1–6.9% | 4.9–7.1% | 4.6–7.4% |
| 10–16 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
4.7% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.8–5.7% | 3.6–6.0% |
| 8–15 August 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
4.8% | 4.2–5.5% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.0% | 3.6–6.3% |
| 9–14 August 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
4.3% | 3.5–5.4% | 3.3–5.7% | 3.1–6.0% | 2.8–6.6% |
| 23 July–12 August 2018 | Novus SVT |
5.8% | 5.4–6.3% | 5.3–6.5% | 5.2–6.6% | 5.0–6.8% |
| 6–9 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.8–7.4% |
| 25 July–2 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
4.4% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.2% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% |
| 27 July–1 August 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
4.6% | 3.7–5.7% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.3–6.3% | 2.9–6.9% |
| 25 June–22 July 2018 | Novus SVT |
5.0% | 4.6–5.4% | 4.5–5.5% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% |
| 20 June–21 July 2018 | SKOP | 4.9% | 4.2–5.8% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.8–6.3% | 3.5–6.8% |
| 13–15 July 2018 | YouGov Metro |
5.4% | 4.6–6.3% | 4.5–6.6% | 4.3–6.8% | 3.9–7.3% |
| 28 June–3 July 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
5.8% | 4.8–7.0% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.3–7.7% | 3.9–8.4% |
| 25 June–3 July 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.4–5.4% | 3.1–5.7% |
| 20–26 June 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
5.1% | 4.5–5.8% | 4.4–6.0% | 4.2–6.1% | 4.0–6.5% |
| 7–24 June 2018 | Novus SVT |
4.8% | 4.3–5.4% | 4.2–5.6% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.8–6.0% |
| 15–18 June 2018 | YouGov Metro |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.4–5.4% | 3.1–5.8% |
| 8 May–18 June 2018 | SKOP | 4.5% | 3.8–5.3% | 3.6–5.5% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.1–6.2% |
| 7–18 June 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.0% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.7–7.6% |
| 4–14 June 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
4.9% | 4.4–5.6% | 4.2–5.7% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.8–6.2% |
| 14 May–6 June 2018 | Novus SVT |
4.6% | 4.2–5.0% | 4.1–5.1% | 4.0–5.2% | 3.9–5.5% |
| 29 May–6 June 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
5.1% | 4.5–5.9% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.8–6.7% |
| 1–5 June 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 21–30 May 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
4.3% | 3.8–4.9% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.3–5.6% |
| 27 April–29 May 2018 | SCB | 4.4% | 4.0–4.8% | 3.9–4.9% | 3.8–5.0% | 3.7–5.2% |
| 10–21 May 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
5.0% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.8–6.4% |
| 7–17 May 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
4.8% | 4.5–5.1% | 4.4–5.2% | 4.3–5.3% | 4.2–5.4% |
| 11–14 May 2018 | YouGov Metro |
4.2% | 3.6–4.9% | 3.4–5.2% | 3.3–5.3% | 3.0–5.7% |
| 16 April–13 May 2018 | Novus SVT |
4.4% | 4.0–4.8% | 3.9–4.9% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.2% |
| 4–7 May 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
3.7% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| 1–7 May 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
4.2% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.6–5.0% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.2–5.4% |
| 24 April–2 May 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
4.9% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.1–5.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.7–6.5% |
| 12–23 April 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
5.0% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| 13–16 April 2018 | YouGov Metro |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| 19 March–15 April 2018 | Novus SVT |
5.0% | 4.6–5.4% | 4.5–5.5% | 4.4–5.6% | 4.2–5.9% |
| 16 March–13 April 2018 | SKOP | 5.1% | 4.4–6.0% | 4.2–6.2% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.7–6.9% |
| 2–12 April 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
4.4% | 4.1–4.7% | 4.0–4.8% | 4.0–4.8% | 3.9–5.0% |
| 5–10 April 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.0–6.2% |
| 3–9 April 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.1–4.8% | 2.9–5.1% |
| 27 March–4 April 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 16–19 March 2018 | YouGov Metro |
4.7% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.8–5.9% | 3.6–6.1% | 3.3–6.6% |
| 8–19 March 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
5.0% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.1–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| 19 February–18 March 2018 | Novus SVT |
5.0% | 4.6–5.4% | 4.5–5.5% | 4.4–5.6% | 4.3–5.8% |
| 5–15 March 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
4.4% | 4.1–4.7% | 4.1–4.8% | 4.0–4.8% | 3.9–5.0% |
| 8–14 March 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
3.9% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.7–5.5% | 2.4–6.1% |
| 27 February–7 March 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
5.1% | 4.5–5.9% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.9–6.7% |
| 1–5 March 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
3.6% | 3.2–4.2% | 3.0–4.3% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.7% |
| 16–19 February 2018 | YouGov Metro |
4.7% | 4.0–5.6% | 3.8–5.8% | 3.6–6.1% | 3.3–6.5% |
| 8–19 February 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
5.0% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.6–6.7% |
| 22 January–18 February 2018 | Novus SVT |
4.6% | 4.2–5.0% | 4.1–5.1% | 4.0–5.2% | 3.9–5.4% |
| 5–15 February 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
5.0% | 4.7–5.3% | 4.6–5.4% | 4.6–5.4% | 4.5–5.6% |
| 9–14 February 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
4.3% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% | 3.1–6.1% | 2.7–6.8% |
| 30 January–6 February 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
4.9% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.6–6.4% |
| 30 January–5 February 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| 11 January–2 February 2018 | SKOP | 5.1% | 4.4–6.0% | 4.2–6.2% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.7–6.9% |
| 2–22 January 2018 | Novus SVT |
5.0% | 4.6–5.5% | 4.5–5.6% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–6.0% |
| 10–21 January 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.6% |
| 8–18 January 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
5.1% | 4.5–5.8% | 4.4–5.9% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.0–6.4% |
| 12–16 January 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
3.6% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.7–4.8% | 2.4–5.2% |
| 12–15 January 2018 | YouGov Metro |
3.8% | 3.2–4.6% | 3.0–4.9% | 2.9–5.1% | 2.6–5.5% |
| 2–9 January 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
4.5% | 3.9–5.3% | 3.7–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.3–6.0% |
| 3–8 January 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
3.4% | 2.9–3.9% | 2.8–4.1% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.5–4.5% |
| 27 November–21 December 2017 | Novus SVT |
5.4% | 5.0–5.9% | 4.8–6.0% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.5–6.4% |
| 15–18 December 2017 | YouGov Metro |
4.9% | 4.2–5.7% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.6–6.5% |
| 4–14 December 2017 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
5.0% | 4.5–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.2–6.0% | 3.9–6.3% |
| 6–14 December 2017 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% |
| 1–6 December 2017 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
4.6% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.6–5.9% | 3.4–6.2% | 3.0–6.7% |
| 28 November–5 December 2017 | Demoskop Expressen |
5.8% | 5.1–6.6% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.0% | 4.4–7.5% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Liberalerna.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 6% | 98.7% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 18% | 92% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 51% | 75% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 22% | 23% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 19 seats (General Election of 14 September 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 22 | 18–25 | 16–26 | 0–26 | 0–28 |
| 2–7 September 2018 | SKOP | 24 | 22–26 | 22–27 | 21–27 | 20–29 |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
21 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 16–27 |
| 5–6 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
22 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–24 | 18–26 |
| 30 August–6 September 2018 | SKOP | 22 | 21–24 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 19–27 |
| 4–6 September 2018 | Novus SVT |
23 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 18–29 |
| 1–6 September 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
22 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 19–27 | 18–28 |
| 3–5 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
21 | 20–23 | 19–24 | 19–25 | 18–26 |
| 29 August–5 September 2018 | SKOP | 21 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 |
| 2–5 September 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
23 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 19–26 | 18–28 |
| 30 August–4 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
24 | 22–26 | 22–28 | 21–28 | 20–28 |
| 28 August–4 September 2018 | SKOP | 20 | 18–22 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–24 |
| 30 August–4 September 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
22 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 17–29 |
| 29 August–3 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
24 | 22–26 | 21–27 | 21–28 | 20–29 |
| 27 August–3 September 2018 | SKOP | 18 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 15–22 | 0–23 |
| 27 August–3 September 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
22 | 19–24 | 19–25 | 18–25 | 17–26 |
| 26 August–2 September 2018 | SKOP | 19 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 15–25 |
| 28 August–2 September 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–25 | 17–27 |
| 30 August–1 September 2018 | YouGov Metro |
20 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 15–27 |
| 25–31 August 2018 | SKOP | 20 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–25 |
| 28–30 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
20 | 18–22 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–24 |
| 24–30 August 2018 | SKOP | 21 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–24 | 17–26 |
| 25–30 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
21 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 |
| 23–30 August 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
25 | 22–27 | 21–29 | 20–29 | 19–31 |
| 27–29 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
18 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–22 |
| 22–29 August 2018 | SKOP | 22 | 20–25 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 |
| 25–28 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
19 | 18–22 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–24 |
| 21–28 August 2018 | SKOP | 24 | 22–26 | 21–27 | 21–28 | 20–29 |
| 22–28 August 2018 | Novus SVT |
22 | 19–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 17–29 |
| 22–27 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
19 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 15–23 |
| 20–27 August 2018 | SKOP | 25 | 22–27 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 21–29 |
| 21–26 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
21 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 17–25 |
| 22–26 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
19 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–22 |
| 16–24 August 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
20 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 15–24 |
| 20–23 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 19–24 | 18–25 |
| 16–22 August 2018 | SKOP | 23 | 20–26 | 20–27 | 19–27 | 18–28 |
| 13–21 August 2018 | Novus SVT |
19 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 16–24 | 0–25 |
| 17–20 August 2018 | YouGov Metro |
20 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 | 0–25 |
| 13–16 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
19 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–22 |
| 7–16 August 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
21 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 |
| 10–16 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
17 | 15–19 | 0–20 | 0–20 | 0–22 |
| 8–15 August 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
18 | 15–20 | 0–21 | 0–22 | 0–23 |
| 9–14 August 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
17 | 0–20 | 0–21 | 0–22 | 0–24 |
| 23 July–12 August 2018 | Novus SVT |
22 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–24 | 19–25 |
| 6–9 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
22 | 20–25 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 |
| 25 July–2 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
16 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–19 | 0–21 |
| 27 July–1 August 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
17 | 0–22 | 0–23 | 0–24 | 0–26 |
| 25 June–22 July 2018 | Novus SVT |
18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–22 |
| 20 June–21 July 2018 | SKOP | 18 | 15–22 | 0–23 | 0–24 | 0–26 |
| 13–15 July 2018 | YouGov Metro |
20 | 17–24 | 16–24 | 15–25 | 0–27 |
| 28 June–3 July 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
22 | 18–27 | 17–28 | 16–29 | 0–31 |
| 25 June–3 July 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
16 | 0–19 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–22 |
| 20–26 June 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
19 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 0–24 |
| 7–24 June 2018 | Novus SVT |
18 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 15–21 | 0–22 |
| 15–18 June 2018 | YouGov Metro |
16 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–21 | 0–23 |
| 8 May–18 June 2018 | SKOP | 17 | 0–21 | 0–21 | 0–22 | 0–24 |
| 7–18 June 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
23 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 18–29 | 17–31 |
| 4–14 June 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
19 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 0–23 |
| 14 May–6 June 2018 | Novus SVT |
17 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 0–20 |
| 29 May–6 June 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
19 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 15–23 | 0–25 |
| 1–5 June 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
25 | 23–30 | 21–31 | 20–32 | 19–35 |
| 21–30 May 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
16 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–19 | 0–20 |
| 27 April–29 May 2018 | SCB | 16 | 15–18 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 |
| 10–21 May 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
19 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 0–24 |
| 7–17 May 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 |
| 11–14 May 2018 | YouGov Metro |
16 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–20 | 0–22 |
| 16 April–13 May 2018 | Novus SVT |
16 | 15–18 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 |
| 4–7 May 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
0 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–18 | 0–20 |
| 1–7 May 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
16 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–19 | 0–20 |
| 24 April–2 May 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
18 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 15–22 | 0–24 |
| 12–23 April 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
19 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 | 0–25 |
| 13–16 April 2018 | YouGov Metro |
16 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–22 |
| 19 March–15 April 2018 | Novus SVT |
19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 16–23 |
| 16 March–13 April 2018 | SKOP | 19 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 | 0–25 |
| 2–12 April 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
17 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 0–19 | 0–19 |
| 5–10 April 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
17 | 0–20 | 0–21 | 0–22 | 0–24 |
| 3–9 April 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
0 | 0–17 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–19 |
| 27 March–4 April 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
15 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–18 | 0–20 |
| 16–19 March 2018 | YouGov Metro |
18 | 16–21 | 0–23 | 0–24 | 0–25 |
| 8–19 March 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
19 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 0–23 | 0–24 |
| 19 February–18 March 2018 | Novus SVT |
19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 16–22 |
| 5–15 March 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
17 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 0–19 |
| 8–14 March 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
0 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–23 |
| 27 February–7 March 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
19 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 16–24 | 0–25 |
| 1–5 March 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
0 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–18 |
| 16–19 February 2018 | YouGov Metro |
18 | 0–21 | 0–22 | 0–23 | 0–25 |
| 8–19 February 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
19 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 0–24 | 0–25 |
| 22 January–18 February 2018 | Novus SVT |
17 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 0–20 |
| 5–15 February 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
19 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 |
| 9–14 February 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
17 | 0–20 | 0–22 | 0–23 | 0–25 |
| 30 January–6 February 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
19 | 15–21 | 0–22 | 0–23 | 0–24 |
| 30 January–5 February 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
16 | 0–18 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 |
| 11 January–2 February 2018 | SKOP | 20 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 0–24 | 0–26 |
| 2–22 January 2018 | Novus SVT |
18 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 15–23 |
| 10–21 January 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
19 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–23 | 0–25 |
| 8–18 January 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
19 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 0–24 |
| 12–16 January 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
0 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–20 |
| 12–15 January 2018 | YouGov Metro |
0 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–21 |
| 2–9 January 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
17 | 0–20 | 0–21 | 0–21 | 0–23 |
| 3–8 January 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
0 | 0 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–17 |
| 27 November–21 December 2017 | Novus SVT |
20 | 18–22 | 18–22 | 18–23 | 17–24 |
| 15–18 December 2017 | YouGov Metro |
19 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 0–23 | 0–25 |
| 4–14 December 2017 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
19 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 0–24 |
| 6–14 December 2017 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
19 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 16–23 | 0–25 |
| 1–6 December 2017 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
17 | 0–22 | 0–23 | 0–24 | 0–26 |
| 28 November–5 December 2017 | Demoskop Expressen |
23 | 20–25 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–28 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Liberalerna.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 96% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0% | 96% | |
| 7 | 0% | 96% | |
| 8 | 0% | 96% | |
| 9 | 0% | 96% | |
| 10 | 0% | 96% | |
| 11 | 0% | 96% | |
| 12 | 0% | 96% | |
| 13 | 0% | 96% | |
| 14 | 0% | 96% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 16 | 2% | 96% | |
| 17 | 4% | 94% | |
| 18 | 4% | 90% | |
| 19 | 7% | 86% | Last Result |
| 20 | 12% | 79% | |
| 21 | 12% | 67% | |
| 22 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 23 | 15% | 40% | |
| 24 | 11% | 25% | |
| 25 | 8% | 14% | |
| 26 | 4% | 6% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |