Miljöpartiet de gröna

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 6.9% (General Election of 14 September 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 5.0% 3.9–6.1% 3.5–6.4% 3.3–6.6% 2.9–7.0%
2–7 September 2018 SKOP 4.6% 4.1–5.2% 3.9–5.3% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8%
3–7 September 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
5.2% 4.5–5.9% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.8%
5–6 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.2% 5.7–6.8% 5.6–6.9% 5.4–7.1% 5.2–7.3%
30 August–6 September 2018 SKOP 5.7% 5.2–6.3% 5.0–6.5% 4.9–6.6% 4.7–6.9%
4–6 September 2018 Novus
SVT
5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.2–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.8–6.4%
1–6 September 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
5.3% 4.7–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.1–6.9%
3–5 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.2% 5.7–6.8% 5.6–7.0% 5.4–7.1% 5.2–7.4%
29 August–5 September 2018 SKOP 5.6% 5.0–6.2% 4.9–6.4% 4.8–6.5% 4.5–6.8%
2–5 September 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.8% 4.2–5.5% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.7–6.2%
30 August–4 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.4% 4.9–6.0% 4.7–6.1% 4.6–6.3% 4.4–6.6%
28 August–4 September 2018 SKOP 5.5% 5.0–6.1% 4.8–6.3% 4.7–6.5% 4.4–6.8%
30 August–4 September 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
4.8% 4.2–5.5% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–5.9% 3.6–6.3%
29 August–3 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.4% 4.9–6.0% 4.8–6.2% 4.6–6.3% 4.4–6.6%
27 August–3 September 2018 SKOP 6.2% 5.5–7.0% 5.3–7.3% 5.2–7.5% 4.9–7.9%
27 August–3 September 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
5.0% 4.5–5.6% 4.3–5.8% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2%
26 August–2 September 2018 SKOP 6.3% 5.7–7.1% 5.5–7.3% 5.3–7.5% 5.0–7.9%
28 August–2 September 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.8–6.5%
30 August–1 September 2018 YouGov
Metro
3.6% 3.1–4.4% 2.9–4.6% 2.8–4.8% 2.5–5.1%
25–31 August 2018 SKOP 6.2% 5.5–7.0% 5.4–7.2% 5.2–7.3% 4.9–7.7%
28–30 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.9% 6.3–7.5% 6.1–7.7% 6.0–7.8% 5.8–8.1%
24–30 August 2018 SKOP 6.0% 5.3–6.7% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5%
25–30 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
5.6% 5.0–6.2% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9%
23–30 August 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
5.1% 4.5–5.9% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.8–6.7%
27–29 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.9% 5.3–6.5% 5.2–6.7% 5.1–6.8% 4.8–7.1%
22–29 August 2018 SKOP 5.6% 5.0–6.2% 4.9–6.4% 4.8–6.5% 4.5–6.8%
25–28 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.2% 4.7–5.8% 4.6–5.9% 4.4–6.1% 4.2–6.3%
21–28 August 2018 SKOP 5.6% 5.0–6.3% 4.9–6.5% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–7.0%
22–28 August 2018 Novus
SVT
5.7% 5.0–6.5% 4.8–6.8% 4.7–7.0% 4.4–7.4%
22–27 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.5% 5.0–6.1% 4.8–6.3% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.8%
20–27 August 2018 SKOP 5.0% 4.5–5.6% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.0–6.2%
21–26 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.8% 5.3–6.4% 5.1–6.6% 5.0–6.8% 4.7–7.1%
22–26 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
5.8% 5.3–6.4% 5.2–6.5% 5.0–6.7% 4.8–6.9%
16–24 August 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.0% 5.4–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.6%
20–23 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.1% 5.6–6.6% 5.5–6.8% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.1%
16–22 August 2018 SKOP 5.8% 5.2–6.5% 5.0–6.7% 4.9–6.9% 4.6–7.3%
13–21 August 2018 Novus
SVT
6.2% 5.5–7.0% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.5% 4.8–7.9%
17–20 August 2018 YouGov
Metro
5.1% 4.5–5.9% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.8–6.8%
13–16 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.5% 6.0–7.1% 5.9–7.2% 5.7–7.4% 5.5–7.7%
7–16 August 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.1% 5.4–6.9% 5.3–7.1% 5.1–7.3% 4.8–7.7%
10–16 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.2–6.7%
8–15 August 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
6.5% 5.7–7.3% 5.5–7.6% 5.4–7.8% 5.0–8.2%
9–14 August 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
4.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.4–6.4% 3.1–7.0%
23 July–12 August 2018 Novus
SVT
5.1% 4.7–5.6% 4.6–5.7% 4.5–5.9% 4.3–6.1%
6–9 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.6% 5.0–6.2% 4.8–6.4% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9%
25 July–2 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
4.8% 4.3–5.4% 4.1–5.6% 4.0–5.7% 3.7–6.1%
27 July–1 August 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
3.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.3% 2.7–5.6% 2.4–6.1%
25 June–22 July 2018 Novus
SVT
5.7% 5.3–6.2% 5.2–6.3% 5.1–6.4% 4.9–6.6%
20 June–21 July 2018 SKOP 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.5% 2.6–4.7% 2.3–5.1%
13–15 July 2018 YouGov
Metro
3.9% 3.3–4.7% 3.1–5.0% 3.0–5.2% 2.7–5.6%
28 June–3 July 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
3.8% 3.0–4.8% 2.8–5.1% 2.6–5.4% 2.3–6.0%
25 June–3 July 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
4.2% 3.6–4.9% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.7%
20–26 June 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
3.9% 3.4–4.5% 3.3–4.7% 3.1–4.8% 2.9–5.1%
7–24 June 2018 Novus
SVT
4.7% 4.2–5.3% 4.1–5.4% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.9%
15–18 June 2018 YouGov
Metro
3.8% 3.2–4.5% 3.1–4.7% 3.0–4.9% 2.7–5.3%
8 May–18 June 2018 SKOP 4.5% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.5% 3.4–5.8% 3.1–6.2%
7–18 June 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 2.9–5.3%
4–14 June 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.3%
14 May–6 June 2018 Novus
SVT
4.5% 4.1–4.9% 4.0–5.0% 3.9–5.1% 3.7–5.3%
29 May–6 June 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
4.9% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.5%
1–5 June 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
21–30 May 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
3.9% 3.4–4.5% 3.2–4.6% 3.1–4.8% 2.9–5.1%
27 April–29 May 2018 SCB 4.3% 3.9–4.7% 3.8–4.8% 3.7–4.9% 3.6–5.1%
10–21 May 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 2.9–5.3%
7–17 May 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.0% 3.7–4.3% 3.7–4.4% 3.6–4.5% 3.5–4.6%
11–14 May 2018 YouGov
Metro
3.6% 3.1–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.5–5.0%
16 April–13 May 2018 Novus
SVT
4.3% 3.9–4.7% 3.9–4.8% 3.8–4.9% 3.6–5.1%
4–7 May 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
4.4% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.3–5.8% 2.9–6.3%
1–7 May 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
3.8% 3.3–4.4% 3.2–4.6% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–5.0%
24 April–2 May 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
4.4% 3.8–5.1% 3.6–5.3% 3.5–5.5% 3.2–5.9%
12–23 April 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
13–16 April 2018 YouGov
Metro
3.9% 3.3–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.3%
19 March–15 April 2018 Novus
SVT
4.0% 3.7–4.4% 3.6–4.5% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8%
16 March–13 April 2018 SKOP 3.5% 2.9–4.2% 2.8–4.4% 2.6–4.6% 2.4–5.0%
2–12 April 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.1% 3.8–4.4% 3.7–4.5% 3.7–4.5% 3.6–4.7%
5–10 April 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.6% 3.4–5.8% 3.0–6.2%
3–9 April 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.2%
27 March–4 April 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
5.2% 4.5–6.0% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.8%
16–19 March 2018 YouGov
Metro
4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.8%
8–19 March 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
19 February–18 March 2018 Novus
SVT
3.8% 3.5–4.2% 3.4–4.3% 3.3–4.3% 3.2–4.5%
5–15 March 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
3.8% 3.6–4.1% 3.5–4.1% 3.4–4.2% 3.3–4.3%
8–14 March 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
4.7% 3.8–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.4–6.5% 3.0–7.1%
27 February–7 March 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
4.6% 4.0–5.4% 3.8–5.6% 3.7–5.8% 3.4–6.1%
1–5 March 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–4.0% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4%
16–19 February 2018 YouGov
Metro
3.4% 2.8–4.2% 2.6–4.4% 2.5–4.6% 2.2–5.0%
8–19 February 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.4%
22 January–18 February 2018 Novus
SVT
4.3% 3.9–4.7% 3.8–4.8% 3.8–4.9% 3.6–5.1%
5–15 February 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.6% 4.3–4.9% 4.3–5.0% 4.2–5.0% 4.1–5.2%
9–14 February 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
3.3% 2.6–4.4% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.0% 1.9–5.5%
30 January–6 February 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
5.1% 4.5–5.9% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.7%
30 January–5 February 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
3.2% 2.7–3.7% 2.6–3.9% 2.5–4.0% 2.3–4.3%
11 January–2 February 2018 SKOP 3.1% 2.6–3.8% 2.4–4.0% 2.3–4.2% 2.1–4.5%
2–22 January 2018 Novus
SVT
4.1% 3.7–4.5% 3.6–4.6% 3.5–4.8% 3.3–5.0%
10–21 January 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
8–18 January 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.1% 3.6–4.7% 3.5–4.9% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.3%
12–16 January 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
3.8% 3.2–4.6% 3.0–4.8% 2.8–5.0% 2.6–5.4%
12–15 January 2018 YouGov
Metro
4.5% 3.8–5.4% 3.6–5.6% 3.5–5.9% 3.2–6.3%
2–9 January 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
4.4% 3.8–5.1% 3.6–5.3% 3.5–5.5% 3.2–5.9%
3–8 January 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
3.6% 3.2–4.2% 3.0–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.8%
27 November–21 December 2017 Novus
SVT
4.3% 3.9–4.7% 3.8–4.9% 3.7–5.0% 3.5–5.2%
15–18 December 2017 YouGov
Metro
3.9% 3.3–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.4%
4–14 December 2017 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.1% 3.6–4.7% 3.5–4.9% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.3%
6–14 December 2017 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 2.9–5.3%
1–6 December 2017 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.1% 2.8–5.4% 2.5–5.9%
28 November–5 December 2017 Demoskop
Expressen
3.9% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.1–5.0% 2.8–5.3%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Miljöpartiet de gröna.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1.5–2.5% 0.1% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 5% 99.9%  
3.5–4.5% 24% 94%  
4.5–5.5% 45% 70% Median
5.5–6.5% 22% 25%  
6.5–7.5% 3% 3% Last Result
7.5–8.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 25 seats (General Election of 14 September 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 18 0–22 0–23 0–24 0–25
2–7 September 2018 SKOP 17 14–19 0–19 0–20 0–21
3–7 September 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
19 17–21 15–22 15–23 0–24
5–6 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 21–24 20–25 20–25 19–26
30 August–6 September 2018 SKOP 21 19–23 18–23 18–23 17–25
4–6 September 2018 Novus
SVT
18 16–20 15–21 15–22 0–23
1–6 September 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
19 17–22 16–23 16–23 15–25
3–5 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 21–24 20–25 20–25 19–26
29 August–5 September 2018 SKOP 21 18–23 18–23 17–24 17–25
2–5 September 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
17 15–20 15–20 0–21 0–22
30 August–4 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
19 17–21 17–22 17–22 16–24
28 August–4 September 2018 SKOP 20 18–22 17–23 17–24 16–24
30 August–4 September 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
17 15–20 0–21 0–21 0–23
29 August–3 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
19 18–21 17–22 17–23 16–24
27 August–3 September 2018 SKOP 23 20–25 19–26 19–27 18–28
27 August–3 September 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
18 16–20 15–21 15–21 0–22
26 August–2 September 2018 SKOP 23 20–26 20–26 19–27 18–29
28 August–2 September 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
18 16–20 15–21 15–22 0–23
30 August–1 September 2018 YouGov
Metro
0 0–15 0–16 0–17 0–18
25–31 August 2018 SKOP 23 20–25 20–25 19–26 18–27
28–30 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
25 23–27 22–28 21–28 21–29
24–30 August 2018 SKOP 21 19–24 18–25 18–26 17–27
25–30 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
20 18–22 18–23 17–24 16–25
23–30 August 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
19 16–21 15–22 15–23 0–24
27–29 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
21 19–23 19–24 18–24 17–26
22–29 August 2018 SKOP 20 18–23 18–23 17–23 17–24
25–28 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
18 17–20 16–21 16–21 15–23
21–28 August 2018 SKOP 20 18–22 17–23 17–23 16–25
22–28 August 2018 Novus
SVT
21 18–23 17–24 17–25 16–26
22–27 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
20 18–22 17–22 17–23 16–24
20–27 August 2018 SKOP 18 16–20 16–20 15–21 0–22
21–26 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
21 19–23 18–24 18–24 17–25
22–26 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
21 19–23 19–23 18–24 17–25
16–24 August 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
22 19–24 19–25 18–26 17–27
20–23 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 20–23 20–24 19–24 19–25
16–22 August 2018 SKOP 21 19–24 18–24 18–25 17–26
13–21 August 2018 Novus
SVT
23 20–26 19–27 19–27 18–29
17–20 August 2018 YouGov
Metro
19 16–22 16–22 15–23 0–24
13–16 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
24 22–26 21–26 21–27 20–28
7–16 August 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
23 20–25 19–26 19–26 17–28
10–16 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
20 17–23 16–23 16–24 15–25
8–15 August 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
24 21–27 21–27 20–28 18–30
9–14 August 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
17 0–21 0–23 0–24 0–27
23 July–12 August 2018 Novus
SVT
19 18–21 17–21 17–22 16–23
6–9 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
21 19–23 18–23 18–24 16–26
25 July–2 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
18 15–20 15–20 14–21 0–22
27 July–1 August 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
15 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–23
25 June–22 July 2018 Novus
SVT
21 19–23 19–23 19–24 18–24
20 June–21 July 2018 SKOP 0 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–19
13–15 July 2018 YouGov
Metro
0 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
28 June–3 July 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
0 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–22
25 June–3 July 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
16 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–21
20–26 June 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
0 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–19
7–24 June 2018 Novus
SVT
17 15–19 15–20 15–20 0–22
15–18 June 2018 YouGov
Metro
0 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
8 May–18 June 2018 SKOP 17 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–23
7–18 June 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
15 0–18 0–18 0–19 0–20
4–14 June 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
15 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–19
14 May–6 June 2018 Novus
SVT
17 15–18 15–19 0–19 0–20
29 May–6 June 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
18 16–21 15–22 0–22 0–24
1–5 June 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
18 15–21 0–22 0–23 0–25
21–30 May 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
0 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–19
27 April–29 May 2018 SCB 16 0–18 0–18 0–18 0–19
10–21 May 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
15 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20
7–17 May 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
15 0–16 0–16 0–17 0–17
11–14 May 2018 YouGov
Metro
0 0–17 0–17 0–18 0–19
16 April–13 May 2018 Novus
SVT
16 14–18 0–18 0–18 0–19
4–7 May 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
17 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–24
1–7 May 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
0 0–16 0–17 0–18 0–19
24 April–2 May 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
16 0–19 0–19 0–20 0–21
12–23 April 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
13–16 April 2018 YouGov
Metro
0 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–21
19 March–15 April 2018 Novus
SVT
15 0–17 0–17 0–17 0–18
16 March–13 April 2018 SKOP 0 0–15 0–16 0–16 0–18
2–12 April 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
15 0–17 0–17 0–17 0–18
5–10 April 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
17 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–24
3–9 April 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
15 0–18 0–18 0–19 0–19
27 March–4 April 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
20 17–22 16–23 16–25 0–25
16–19 March 2018 YouGov
Metro
16 0–19 0–19 0–20 0–22
8–19 March 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0–18 0–18 0–19 0–21
19 February–18 March 2018 Novus
SVT
0 0–15 0–16 0–16 0–17
5–15 March 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
0 0–15 0–15 0–16 0–16
8–14 March 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
18 0–21 0–23 0–25 0–26
27 February–7 March 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
17 15–20 0–20 0–21 0–22
1–5 March 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
0 0 0–15 0–16 0–16
16–19 February 2018 YouGov
Metro
0 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–18
8–19 February 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0 0 0–15 0–16
22 January–18 February 2018 Novus
SVT
16 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–19
5–15 February 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
17 16–18 16–18 16–19 15–19
9–14 February 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
0 0–16 0–17 0–18 0–20
30 January–6 February 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
19 17–22 16–23 15–23 0–25
30 January–5 February 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
0 0 0 0 0–16
11 January–2 February 2018 SKOP 0 0 0–15 0–15 0–17
2–22 January 2018 Novus
SVT
15 0–17 0–17 0–17 0–18
10–21 January 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
15 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
8–18 January 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
15 0–18 0–18 0–18 0–20
12–16 January 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
0 0–18 0–19 0–19 0–21
12–15 January 2018 YouGov
Metro
18 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–24
2–9 January 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
16 0–19 0–20 0–20 0–22
3–8 January 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
0 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–18
27 November–21 December 2017 Novus
SVT
16 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–19
15–18 December 2017 YouGov
Metro
0 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
4–14 December 2017 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
15 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20
6–14 December 2017 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0–17 0–17 0–18 0–20
1–6 December 2017 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
0 0–18 0–19 0–21 0–23
28 November–5 December 2017 Demoskop
Expressen
0 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Miljöpartiet de gröna.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100%  
1 0% 86%  
2 0% 86%  
3 0% 86%  
4 0% 86%  
5 0% 86%  
6 0% 86%  
7 0% 86%  
8 0% 86%  
9 0% 86%  
10 0% 86%  
11 0% 86%  
12 0% 86%  
13 0% 86%  
14 1.2% 86%  
15 7% 85%  
16 11% 79%  
17 14% 68%  
18 12% 53% Median
19 13% 41%  
20 8% 29%  
21 7% 20%  
22 6% 14%  
23 4% 7%  
24 2% 4%  
25 1.1% 2% Last Result
26 0.3% 0.4%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%