Vänsterpartiet

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 5.7% (General Election of 14 September 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 10.0% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5% 8.4–11.9% 7.9–12.7%
2–7 September 2018 SKOP 10.6% 9.9–11.4% 9.6–11.7% 9.5–11.9% 9.1–12.3%
3–7 September 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
9.6% 8.7–10.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.1% 7.8–11.6%
5–6 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
10.0% 9.4–10.7% 9.2–10.9% 9.1–11.1% 8.8–11.4%
30 August–6 September 2018 SKOP 10.6% 9.9–11.4% 9.7–11.6% 9.5–11.8% 9.2–12.1%
4–6 September 2018 Novus
SVT
10.0% 9.2–11.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.5% 8.3–11.9%
1–6 September 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
9.8% 8.9–10.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.5–11.3% 8.1–11.8%
3–5 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
10.1% 9.5–10.8% 9.3–11.0% 9.1–11.2% 8.8–11.5%
29 August–5 September 2018 SKOP 10.6% 9.9–11.4% 9.6–11.6% 9.5–11.8% 9.1–12.2%
2–5 September 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
10.1% 9.2–11.0% 9.0–11.3% 8.8–11.5% 8.4–12.0%
30 August–4 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
10.2% 9.5–10.9% 9.3–11.1% 9.1–11.3% 8.8–11.7%
28 August–4 September 2018 SKOP 11.0% 10.3–11.8% 10.0–12.1% 9.9–12.3% 9.5–12.7%
30 August–4 September 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
9.4% 8.6–10.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.1–11.0% 7.7–11.5%
29 August–3 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
11.1% 10.4–11.9% 10.2–12.1% 10.0–12.3% 9.6–12.7%
27 August–3 September 2018 SKOP 11.0% 10.1–12.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.6–12.6% 9.2–13.1%
27 August–3 September 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
9.4% 8.7–10.2% 8.5–10.4% 8.3–10.6% 8.0–11.0%
26 August–2 September 2018 SKOP 10.5% 9.6–11.4% 9.4–11.7% 9.2–11.9% 8.8–12.4%
28 August–2 September 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
10.7% 9.8–11.7% 9.6–12.0% 9.4–12.2% 9.0–12.7%
30 August–1 September 2018 YouGov
Metro
9.4% 8.4–10.5% 8.2–10.8% 7.9–11.0% 7.5–11.6%
25–31 August 2018 SKOP 10.5% 9.7–11.4% 9.4–11.7% 9.2–11.9% 8.8–12.4%
28–30 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
10.5% 9.8–11.2% 9.6–11.4% 9.4–11.6% 9.1–12.0%
24–30 August 2018 SKOP 10.3% 9.4–11.2% 9.2–11.5% 9.0–11.7% 8.6–12.2%
25–30 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
10.1% 9.4–11.0% 9.1–11.2% 9.0–11.4% 8.6–11.8%
23–30 August 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
9.5% 8.7–10.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.2–11.1% 7.8–11.6%
27–29 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.3–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.8–12.9%
22–29 August 2018 SKOP 9.6% 8.9–10.4% 8.7–10.6% 8.6–10.8% 8.3–11.2%
25–28 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
10.5% 9.8–11.2% 9.6–11.5% 9.4–11.7% 9.1–12.0%
21–28 August 2018 SKOP 8.7% 8.0–9.5% 7.8–9.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.3%
22–28 August 2018 Novus
SVT
10.1% 9.2–11.1% 8.9–11.4% 8.7–11.7% 8.3–12.2%
22–27 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
9.5% 8.8–10.3% 8.6–10.5% 8.4–10.7% 8.1–11.1%
20–27 August 2018 SKOP 8.9% 8.3–9.6% 8.1–9.8% 7.9–10.0% 7.6–10.4%
21–26 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
9.1% 8.4–9.9% 8.2–10.1% 8.1–10.3% 7.8–10.6%
22–26 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
8.8% 8.2–9.5% 8.0–9.6% 7.8–9.8% 7.6–10.2%
16–24 August 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
9.8% 9.0–10.8% 8.7–11.0% 8.5–11.2% 8.2–11.7%
20–23 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
9.5% 8.9–10.1% 8.8–10.3% 8.6–10.4% 8.4–10.7%
16–22 August 2018 SKOP 9.2% 8.4–10.1% 8.2–10.3% 8.0–10.5% 7.7–10.9%
13–21 August 2018 Novus
SVT
8.7% 7.9–9.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.5–10.2% 7.1–10.7%
17–20 August 2018 YouGov
Metro
9.2% 8.3–10.2% 8.0–10.5% 7.8–10.7% 7.4–11.2%
13–16 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
9.3% 8.7–10.0% 8.5–10.2% 8.4–10.3% 8.1–10.6%
7–16 August 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
9.5% 8.7–10.4% 8.5–10.7% 8.3–10.9% 7.9–11.4%
10–16 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
8.7% 7.9–9.5% 7.7–9.8% 7.5–10.0% 7.2–10.4%
8–15 August 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
8.8% 7.9–9.8% 7.7–10.0% 7.5–10.3% 7.1–10.7%
9–14 August 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
10.6% 9.3–12.1% 8.9–12.6% 8.6–13.0% 8.0–13.7%
23 July–12 August 2018 Novus
SVT
9.5% 8.9–10.1% 8.8–10.3% 8.7–10.4% 8.4–10.7%
6–9 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
9.2% 8.5–10.0% 8.2–10.3% 8.1–10.5% 7.7–10.9%
25 July–2 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
8.7% 8.0–9.5% 7.8–9.8% 7.6–10.0% 7.3–10.3%
27 July–1 August 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
12.7% 11.2–14.4% 10.8–14.8% 10.5–15.3% 9.8–16.1%
25 June–22 July 2018 Novus
SVT
10.1% 9.6–10.7% 9.4–10.9% 9.3–11.0% 9.0–11.3%
20 June–21 July 2018 SKOP 10.3% 9.3–11.6% 9.0–11.9% 8.7–12.2% 8.2–12.8%
13–15 July 2018 YouGov
Metro
9.8% 8.8–11.0% 8.5–11.3% 8.3–11.6% 7.8–12.2%
28 June–3 July 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
10.8% 9.4–12.4% 9.1–12.8% 8.7–13.2% 8.1–14.0%
25 June–3 July 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
9.1% 8.2–10.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.8–10.6% 7.4–11.1%
20–26 June 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
8.9% 8.2–9.8% 7.9–10.0% 7.8–10.2% 7.4–10.6%
7–24 June 2018 Novus
SVT
9.0% 8.3–9.8% 8.1–10.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.5%
15–18 June 2018 YouGov
Metro
9.3% 8.4–10.3% 8.1–10.6% 7.9–10.9% 7.5–11.4%
8 May–18 June 2018 SKOP 7.6% 6.7–8.7% 6.5–9.0% 6.3–9.3% 5.9–9.8%
7–18 June 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
9.0% 8.2–9.9% 7.9–10.2% 7.7–10.4% 7.4–10.9%
4–14 June 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
9.8% 9.0–10.7% 8.8–10.9% 8.6–11.1% 8.3–11.6%
14 May–6 June 2018 Novus
SVT
9.1% 8.6–9.7% 8.4–9.8% 8.3–10.0% 8.1–10.3%
29 May–6 June 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
8.3% 7.5–9.3% 7.3–9.6% 7.1–9.8% 6.7–10.3%
1–5 June 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.2–11.3% 8.0–11.7% 7.5–12.3%
21–30 May 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
8.2% 7.5–9.0% 7.3–9.2% 7.1–9.4% 6.8–9.8%
27 April–29 May 2018 SCB 7.4% 6.9–7.9% 6.8–8.1% 6.7–8.2% 6.5–8.5%
10–21 May 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.9% 8.1–9.8% 7.9–10.1% 7.7–10.3% 7.3–10.8%
7–17 May 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
9.3% 8.9–9.7% 8.8–9.8% 8.7–9.9% 8.5–10.2%
11–14 May 2018 YouGov
Metro
9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.5% 7.3–11.1%
16 April–13 May 2018 Novus
SVT
8.4% 7.9–8.9% 7.8–9.1% 7.7–9.2% 7.5–9.4%
4–7 May 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
9.2% 8.1–10.5% 7.8–10.8% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.8%
1–7 May 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
7.4% 6.7–8.2% 6.6–8.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.1–8.9%
24 April–2 May 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
7.7% 6.9–8.6% 6.7–8.9% 6.5–9.1% 6.1–9.6%
12–23 April 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.2–9.0% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–10.0%
13–16 April 2018 YouGov
Metro
8.5% 7.6–9.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.2–10.0% 6.8–10.5%
19 March–15 April 2018 Novus
SVT
8.1% 7.6–8.6% 7.5–8.8% 7.4–8.9% 7.1–9.2%
16 March–13 April 2018 SKOP 7.0% 6.2–8.0% 6.0–8.3% 5.8–8.5% 5.4–9.0%
2–12 April 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
8.1% 7.7–8.5% 7.6–8.6% 7.5–8.7% 7.4–8.9%
5–10 April 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
8.3% 7.3–9.4% 7.0–9.8% 6.8–10.1% 6.4–10.6%
3–9 April 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
6.5% 5.9–7.2% 5.7–7.5% 5.5–7.6% 5.2–8.0%
27 March–4 April 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
8.7% 7.8–9.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.4–10.2% 7.0–10.7%
16–19 March 2018 YouGov
Metro
8.3% 7.4–9.5% 7.1–9.8% 6.9–10.1% 6.4–10.7%
8–19 March 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.9% 8.1–10.0% 7.8–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.2–11.0%
19 February–18 March 2018 Novus
SVT
7.8% 7.3–8.3% 7.2–8.4% 7.1–8.6% 6.9–8.8%
5–15 March 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.7% 7.4–8.1% 7.3–8.2% 7.2–8.3% 7.0–8.4%
8–14 March 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
8.1% 6.9–9.5% 6.6–9.9% 6.3–10.2% 5.8–11.0%
27 February–7 March 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
8.5% 7.7–9.5% 7.5–9.8% 7.3–10.0% 6.9–10.5%
1–5 March 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
6.9% 6.2–7.6% 6.1–7.8% 5.9–8.0% 5.6–8.4%
16–19 February 2018 YouGov
Metro
10.0% 9.0–11.2% 8.7–11.6% 8.4–11.9% 7.9–12.5%
8–19 February 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
9.0% 8.1–10.1% 7.8–10.4% 7.6–10.6% 7.2–11.2%
22 January–18 February 2018 Novus
SVT
8.1% 7.6–8.6% 7.5–8.8% 7.4–8.9% 7.1–9.1%
5–15 February 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.2% 6.9–7.5% 6.8–7.6% 6.7–7.7% 6.5–7.9%
9–14 February 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
9.0% 7.7–10.5% 7.4–11.0% 7.1–11.3% 6.5–12.1%
30 January–6 February 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
7.2% 6.5–8.1% 6.2–8.4% 6.1–8.6% 5.7–9.1%
30 January–5 February 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
6.8% 6.1–7.6% 6.0–7.8% 5.8–8.0% 5.5–8.3%
11 January–2 February 2018 SKOP 7.7% 6.8–8.7% 6.6–9.0% 6.4–9.3% 6.0–9.8%
2–22 January 2018 Novus
SVT
7.6% 7.1–8.2% 6.9–8.3% 6.8–8.5% 6.6–8.7%
10–21 January 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.3–7.9% 6.1–8.1% 5.9–8.4% 5.5–8.8%
8–18 January 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.7% 7.0–8.5% 6.8–8.7% 6.6–8.9% 6.3–9.3%
12–16 January 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
7.1% 6.3–8.2% 6.0–8.5% 5.8–8.7% 5.4–9.3%
12–15 January 2018 YouGov
Metro
7.8% 6.9–8.9% 6.6–9.2% 6.4–9.5% 6.0–10.1%
2–9 January 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
7.2% 6.4–8.1% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.6% 5.7–9.0%
3–8 January 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
7.4% 6.7–8.2% 6.6–8.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.1–8.9%
27 November–21 December 2017 Novus
SVT
7.5% 7.0–8.1% 6.8–8.2% 6.7–8.4% 6.5–8.7%
15–18 December 2017 YouGov
Metro
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.9%
4–14 December 2017 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.4% 6.7–8.2% 6.5–8.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.1–8.9%
6–14 December 2017 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.2–7.8% 6.1–8.1% 5.9–8.3% 5.5–8.7%
1–6 December 2017 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
8.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.6–9.6% 6.4–10.0% 5.9–10.6%
28 November–5 December 2017 Demoskop
Expressen
8.5% 7.7–9.5% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.0% 6.9–10.5%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vänsterpartiet.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5.5–6.5% 0% 100% Last Result
6.5–7.5% 0.1% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 3% 99.9%  
8.5–9.5% 24% 97%  
9.5–10.5% 46% 73% Median
10.5–11.5% 22% 27%  
11.5–12.5% 4% 4%  
12.5–13.5% 0.6% 0.7%  
13.5–14.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 21 seats (General Election of 14 September 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 36 32–40 31–42 30–44 29–48
2–7 September 2018 SKOP 38 36–41 35–42 34–43 33–45
3–7 September 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
34 31–38 30–39 29–40 28–42
5–6 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
36 34–38 33–39 33–40 32–41
30 August–6 September 2018 SKOP 38 36–41 35–43 34–43 33–44
4–6 September 2018 Novus
SVT
36 33–39 32–40 31–41 30–43
1–6 September 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
35 32–39 31–40 30–41 29–42
3–5 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
36 34–39 33–40 32–40 32–41
29 August–5 September 2018 SKOP 38 36–42 35–43 35–43 33–45
2–5 September 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
37 33–40 32–41 31–42 30–43
30 August–4 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
36 34–39 33–40 33–41 31–42
28 August–4 September 2018 SKOP 39 37–42 36–43 36–44 34–46
30 August–4 September 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
34 31–38 30–38 29–39 27–41
29 August–3 September 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
40 37–42 36–43 36–44 35–45
27 August–3 September 2018 SKOP 40 37–43 36–44 35–45 34–47
27 August–3 September 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
34 31–37 30–37 30–38 28–40
26 August–2 September 2018 SKOP 37 34–41 33–42 33–43 31–45
28 August–2 September 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
38 35–42 34–43 33–44 32–45
30 August–1 September 2018 YouGov
Metro
34 30–38 29–39 29–40 27–42
25–31 August 2018 SKOP 38 35–41 34–42 33–42 32–45
28–30 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
38 35–40 35–41 34–42 33–43
24–30 August 2018 SKOP 37 34–40 33–41 32–42 31–43
25–30 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
36 34–39 33–40 33–41 31–42
23–30 August 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
35 31–38 30–39 29–40 28–41
27–29 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
40 38–43 37–44 37–45 35–46
22–29 August 2018 SKOP 34 32–37 32–38 31–38 29–40
25–28 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
37 35–40 34–41 34–41 32–43
21–28 August 2018 SKOP 31 28–34 28–35 27–35 26–37
22–28 August 2018 Novus
SVT
36 33–40 32–41 31–42 30–44
22–27 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
34 31–36 31–37 30–38 29–39
20–27 August 2018 SKOP 32 30–34 29–35 28–35 27–37
21–26 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
32 30–35 30–36 29–37 28–38
22–26 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
32 29–34 28–35 28–35 27–36
16–24 August 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
35 32–38 31–40 31–40 29–42
20–23 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
34 32–36 31–36 31–37 30–38
16–22 August 2018 SKOP 34 30–36 30–38 29–38 28–40
13–21 August 2018 Novus
SVT
32 29–36 28–37 27–37 26–39
17–20 August 2018 YouGov
Metro
34 30–37 29–38 29–39 27–41
13–16 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
33 31–36 30–37 30–37 29–39
7–16 August 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
35 32–38 31–39 30–40 29–42
10–16 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
31 28–35 28–36 27–37 26–38
8–15 August 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
32 29–36 28–37 27–38 26–40
9–14 August 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
40 35–46 33–48 32–49 30–55
23 July–12 August 2018 Novus
SVT
36 33–37 33–38 32–39 32–40
6–9 August 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
34 32–37 31–37 30–39 29–40
25 July–2 August 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
32 29–35 28–35 28–37 27–38
27 July–1 August 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
48 42–55 41–57 39–58 37–62
25 June–22 July 2018 Novus
SVT
38 35–40 35–40 35–41 34–42
20 June–21 July 2018 SKOP 39 34–44 33–45 33–47 31–50
13–15 July 2018 YouGov
Metro
36 32–40 31–42 30–43 28–46
28 June–3 July 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
40 35–46 33–48 33–50 30–52
25 June–3 July 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
35 31–39 30–41 29–41 28–44
20–26 June 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
33 30–36 29–37 28–38 27–40
7–24 June 2018 Novus
SVT
34 31–36 30–37 30–38 28–39
15–18 June 2018 YouGov
Metro
36 32–40 31–41 31–43 29–45
8 May–18 June 2018 SKOP 28 25–33 24–34 23–36 21–37
7–18 June 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
35 31–39 30–40 29–41 28–43
4–14 June 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
36 34–41 33–41 32–42 31–44
14 May–6 June 2018 Novus
SVT
34 32–36 31–37 31–37 30–38
29 May–6 June 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
31 28–35 27–36 26–37 24–38
1–5 June 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
36 32–41 30–43 29–44 28–46
21–30 May 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
30 28–33 27–34 26–35 25–37
27 April–29 May 2018 SCB 27 26–30 25–30 25–31 24–32
10–21 May 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
37 34–40 33–41 31–42 27–43
7–17 May 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
35 33–37 33–37 33–38 32–39
11–14 May 2018 YouGov
Metro
35 31–39 30–41 29–42 28–45
16 April–13 May 2018 Novus
SVT
32 30–33 30–34 29–35 28–36
4–7 May 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
36 32–39 31–40 30–42 27–46
1–7 May 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
29 26–31 25–31 24–32 23–35
24 April–2 May 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
29 26–32 25–33 25–34 23–36
12–23 April 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
31 27–34 26–35 26–36 24–38
13–16 April 2018 YouGov
Metro
33 29–38 28–39 28–40 26–42
19 March–15 April 2018 Novus
SVT
30 28–34 28–34 27–35 27–36
16 March–13 April 2018 SKOP 26 23–30 22–31 21–32 20–34
2–12 April 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
31 29–33 29–34 28–34 28–35
5–10 April 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
32 28–36 27–37 26–39 24–41
3–9 April 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
25 22–28 22–29 21–29 19–31
27 March–4 April 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
32 29–36 29–37 28–38 26–40
16–19 March 2018 YouGov
Metro
31 28–36 27–38 26–39 24–41
8–19 March 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
34 30–38 30–39 29–40 27–42
19 February–18 March 2018 Novus
SVT
30 28–32 27–32 27–33 26–34
5–15 March 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
30 28–31 28–32 27–32 27–33
8–14 March 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
30 25–36 24–37 23–39 22–41
27 February–7 March 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
32 29–35 27–36 27–37 25–39
1–5 March 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
27 25–30 24–31 23–31 22–33
16–19 February 2018 YouGov
Metro
39 35–43 34–44 33–46 31–49
8–19 February 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
34 31–39 30–40 29–41 27–43
22 January–18 February 2018 Novus
SVT
30 28–32 28–33 27–33 26–34
5–15 February 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
27 25–28 25–28 25–29 24–29
9–14 February 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
34 29–40 28–42 27–43 25–47
30 January–6 February 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
27 24–30 23–31 23–32 21–34
30 January–5 February 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
27 24–30 23–30 23–31 21–33
11 January–2 February 2018 SKOP 29 26–33 25–34 24–35 23–37
2–22 January 2018 Novus
SVT
28 26–31 26–31 25–32 24–33
10–21 January 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
27 23–29 22–30 22–32 21–34
8–18 January 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
29 26–32 25–33 25–34 24–35
12–16 January 2018 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
28 24–33 23–34 23–34 21–37
12–15 January 2018 YouGov
Metro
30 26–35 25–36 24–37 23–39
2–9 January 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
28 25–31 23–32 23–32 21–34
3–8 January 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
29 27–32 25–33 25–33 24–36
27 November–21 December 2017 Novus
SVT
28 26–30 25–31 25–31 24–32
15–18 December 2017 YouGov
Metro
27 23–31 23–32 22–32 21–34
4–14 December 2017 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
28 25–31 24–32 24–33 23–34
6–14 December 2017 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
26 24–29 24–30 23–31 21–33
1–6 December 2017 Sentio
Nyheter Idag
31 26–36 25–37 24–39 22–42
28 November–5 December 2017 Demoskop
Expressen
33 30–35 29–37 28–38 26–40

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vänsterpartiet.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.4% 99.9%  
29 0.8% 99.5%  
30 2% 98.7%  
31 3% 97%  
32 6% 94%  
33 7% 88%  
34 11% 81%  
35 12% 70%  
36 15% 58% Median
37 12% 43%  
38 9% 31%  
39 7% 22%  
40 6% 15%  
41 3% 9%  
42 2% 6%  
43 1.3% 4%  
44 0.6% 3%  
45 0.8% 2%  
46 0.3% 1.3%  
47 0.4% 1.0%  
48 0.2% 0.7%  
49 0.1% 0.4%  
50 0.1% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%