Centerpartiet
Voting Intentions
Last result: 6.1% (General Election of 14 September 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8.6% | 6.5–10.2% | 5.9–10.5% | 5.5–10.7% | 5.0–11.2% |
| 2–7 September 2018 | SKOP | 7.9% | 7.2–8.6% | 7.0–8.8% | 6.9–9.0% | 6.6–9.4% |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
9.4% | 8.5–10.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.1–10.9% | 7.7–11.4% |
| 5–6 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
10.0% | 9.4–10.7% | 9.2–10.9% | 9.1–11.1% | 8.8–11.4% |
| 30 August–6 September 2018 | SKOP | 7.9% | 7.3–8.6% | 7.1–8.8% | 7.0–8.9% | 6.7–9.3% |
| 4–6 September 2018 | Novus SVT |
8.6% | 7.8–9.5% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.4–10.0% | 7.0–10.4% |
| 1–6 September 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
8.2% | 7.4–9.1% | 7.1–9.4% | 7.0–9.6% | 6.6–10.1% |
| 3–5 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.2–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.4% |
| 29 August–5 September 2018 | SKOP | 7.7% | 7.1–8.4% | 6.9–8.6% | 6.7–8.8% | 6.4–9.1% |
| 2–5 September 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
9.6% | 8.8–10.5% | 8.6–10.8% | 8.4–11.0% | 8.0–11.5% |
| 30 August–4 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
9.3% | 8.6–10.0% | 8.4–10.2% | 8.3–10.4% | 7.9–10.7% |
| 28 August–4 September 2018 | SKOP | 8.1% | 7.4–8.8% | 7.3–9.0% | 7.1–9.2% | 6.8–9.6% |
| 30 August–4 September 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
8.9% | 8.0–9.8% | 7.8–10.1% | 7.6–10.4% | 7.2–10.9% |
| 29 August–3 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
8.4% | 7.8–9.1% | 7.6–9.3% | 7.5–9.5% | 7.2–9.8% |
| 27 August–3 September 2018 | SKOP | 8.0% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.4–9.8% |
| 27 August–3 September 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
8.4% | 7.7–9.2% | 7.5–9.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% |
| 26 August–2 September 2018 | SKOP | 7.8% | 7.1–8.7% | 6.9–8.9% | 6.7–9.1% | 6.4–9.5% |
| 28 August–2 September 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
9.6% | 8.8–10.5% | 8.6–10.8% | 8.4–11.0% | 8.0–11.5% |
| 30 August–1 September 2018 | YouGov Metro |
6.0% | 5.3–6.9% | 5.1–7.2% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.5–7.9% |
| 25–31 August 2018 | SKOP | 7.5% | 6.8–8.3% | 6.6–8.6% | 6.4–8.7% | 6.1–9.1% |
| 28–30 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
9.5% | 8.8–10.2% | 8.6–10.4% | 8.5–10.6% | 8.2–10.9% |
| 24–30 August 2018 | SKOP | 8.2% | 7.5–9.1% | 7.2–9.3% | 7.1–9.5% | 6.7–10.0% |
| 25–30 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
8.5% | 7.8–9.3% | 7.6–9.5% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.1–10.1% |
| 23–30 August 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
9.5% | 8.7–10.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.2–11.1% | 7.8–11.6% |
| 27–29 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
8.9% | 8.2–9.6% | 8.0–9.8% | 7.9–10.0% | 7.6–10.4% |
| 22–29 August 2018 | SKOP | 8.1% | 7.5–8.8% | 7.3–9.0% | 7.1–9.2% | 6.8–9.5% |
| 25–28 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
8.9% | 8.3–9.6% | 8.1–9.8% | 7.9–10.0% | 7.6–10.4% |
| 21–28 August 2018 | SKOP | 8.3% | 7.6–9.1% | 7.4–9.3% | 7.2–9.5% | 6.9–9.9% |
| 22–28 August 2018 | Novus SVT |
8.0% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.4–9.9% |
| 22–27 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
8.5% | 7.8–9.2% | 7.6–9.4% | 7.5–9.6% | 7.2–10.0% |
| 20–27 August 2018 | SKOP | 9.2% | 8.5–9.9% | 8.3–10.1% | 8.2–10.3% | 7.9–10.7% |
| 21–26 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
9.3% | 8.6–10.1% | 8.4–10.3% | 8.3–10.5% | 7.9–10.8% |
| 22–26 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
8.7% | 8.1–9.4% | 7.9–9.6% | 7.8–9.7% | 7.5–10.0% |
| 16–24 August 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
8.8% | 8.0–9.7% | 7.8–10.0% | 7.6–10.2% | 7.2–10.6% |
| 20–23 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
10.3% | 9.7–10.9% | 9.5–11.1% | 9.4–11.3% | 9.1–11.6% |
| 16–22 August 2018 | SKOP | 8.2% | 7.5–9.0% | 7.3–9.3% | 7.1–9.4% | 6.8–9.9% |
| 13–21 August 2018 | Novus SVT |
10.0% | 9.1–11.0% | 8.8–11.3% | 8.6–11.5% | 8.2–12.0% |
| 17–20 August 2018 | YouGov Metro |
7.9% | 7.1–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.3–9.9% |
| 13–16 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
9.5% | 8.9–10.2% | 8.7–10.3% | 8.6–10.5% | 8.3–10.9% |
| 7–16 August 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
10.1% | 9.3–11.0% | 9.0–11.3% | 8.8–11.5% | 8.4–12.0% |
| 10–16 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
8.5% | 7.7–9.3% | 7.5–9.6% | 7.4–9.8% | 7.0–10.2% |
| 8–15 August 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
11.1% | 10.1–12.1% | 9.9–12.5% | 9.6–12.7% | 9.2–13.2% |
| 9–14 August 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
7.7% | 6.6–9.0% | 6.2–9.4% | 6.0–9.8% | 5.5–10.4% |
| 23 July–12 August 2018 | Novus SVT |
9.5% | 8.9–10.1% | 8.8–10.3% | 8.7–10.4% | 8.4–10.7% |
| 6–9 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
10.3% | 9.5–11.2% | 9.3–11.4% | 9.1–11.6% | 8.7–12.0% |
| 25 July–2 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
9.5% | 8.7–10.3% | 8.5–10.6% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.0–11.2% |
| 27 July–1 August 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
6.9% | 5.8–8.2% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.3–8.9% | 4.8–9.6% |
| 25 June–22 July 2018 | Novus SVT |
8.4% | 7.9–8.9% | 7.8–9.1% | 7.7–9.2% | 7.4–9.5% |
| 20 June–21 July 2018 | SKOP | 10.1% | 9.0–11.3% | 8.7–11.6% | 8.5–11.9% | 8.0–12.5% |
| 13–15 July 2018 | YouGov Metro |
8.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.0% | 7.1–10.3% | 6.7–10.9% |
| 28 June–3 July 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
7.1% | 6.1–8.5% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.5–9.2% | 5.0–9.9% |
| 25 June–3 July 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
9.8% | 8.9–10.8% | 8.6–11.1% | 8.4–11.3% | 8.0–11.8% |
| 20–26 June 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
9.5% | 8.7–10.4% | 8.5–10.6% | 8.3–10.8% | 7.9–11.3% |
| 7–24 June 2018 | Novus SVT |
8.9% | 8.2–9.6% | 8.0–9.9% | 7.8–10.0% | 7.5–10.4% |
| 15–18 June 2018 | YouGov Metro |
7.1% | 6.3–8.0% | 6.1–8.3% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.6–9.0% |
| 8 May–18 June 2018 | SKOP | 9.0% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.5% | 7.5–10.7% | 7.1–11.3% |
| 7–18 June 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
10.0% | 9.2–11.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.7–11.5% | 8.3–12.0% |
| 4–14 June 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
10.8% | 10.0–11.7% | 9.8–12.0% | 9.6–12.2% | 9.2–12.7% |
| 14 May–6 June 2018 | Novus SVT |
8.9% | 8.4–9.5% | 8.2–9.6% | 8.1–9.8% | 7.9–10.0% |
| 29 May–6 June 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
9.8% | 8.9–10.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.5–11.4% | 8.0–11.9% |
| 1–5 June 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
7.2% | 6.2–8.3% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.3–9.5% |
| 21–30 May 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
9.5% | 8.7–10.4% | 8.5–10.6% | 8.3–10.8% | 8.0–11.3% |
| 27 April–29 May 2018 | SCB | 8.7% | 8.2–9.3% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.9–9.6% | 7.7–9.8% |
| 10–21 May 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
8.9% | 8.1–9.8% | 7.9–10.1% | 7.7–10.3% | 7.3–10.8% |
| 7–17 May 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
8.1% | 7.7–8.5% | 7.6–8.6% | 7.5–8.7% | 7.3–8.9% |
| 11–14 May 2018 | YouGov Metro |
10.1% | 9.2–11.2% | 8.9–11.5% | 8.7–11.7% | 8.3–12.3% |
| 16 April–13 May 2018 | Novus SVT |
9.4% | 8.9–9.9% | 8.8–10.1% | 8.6–10.2% | 8.4–10.5% |
| 4–7 May 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.4–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| 1–7 May 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
9.0% | 8.3–9.8% | 8.1–10.1% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.7% |
| 24 April–2 May 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
9.1% | 8.2–10.1% | 8.0–10.4% | 7.8–10.6% | 7.4–11.1% |
| 12–23 April 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
12.0% | 11.0–13.1% | 10.7–13.4% | 10.5–13.7% | 10.0–14.3% |
| 13–16 April 2018 | YouGov Metro |
8.9% | 8.0–9.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.4% | 7.1–10.9% |
| 19 March–15 April 2018 | Novus SVT |
9.2% | 8.7–9.8% | 8.5–9.9% | 8.4–10.0% | 8.2–10.3% |
| 16 March–13 April 2018 | SKOP | 9.0% | 8.1–10.1% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.6–10.7% | 7.2–11.2% |
| 2–12 April 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
9.7% | 9.3–10.1% | 9.2–10.2% | 9.1–10.3% | 8.9–10.5% |
| 5–10 April 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
6.4% | 5.5–7.4% | 5.3–7.7% | 5.1–8.0% | 4.7–8.5% |
| 3–9 April 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.7% |
| 27 March–4 April 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
9.5% | 8.6–10.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.2–11.1% | 7.7–11.5% |
| 16–19 March 2018 | YouGov Metro |
7.6% | 6.7–8.7% | 6.4–9.1% | 6.2–9.3% | 5.8–9.9% |
| 8–19 March 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
9.9% | 9.0–11.0% | 8.7–11.3% | 8.5–11.5% | 8.1–12.0% |
| 19 February–18 March 2018 | Novus SVT |
9.3% | 8.8–9.8% | 8.7–10.0% | 8.6–10.1% | 8.3–10.4% |
| 5–15 March 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
10.0% | 9.6–10.4% | 9.5–10.5% | 9.4–10.6% | 9.2–10.8% |
| 8–14 March 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
6.4% | 5.4–7.7% | 5.1–8.1% | 4.9–8.4% | 4.4–9.1% |
| 27 February–7 March 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
7.9% | 7.1–8.8% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.7–9.3% | 6.3–9.8% |
| 1–5 March 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
8.8% | 8.1–9.6% | 7.9–9.8% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.4–10.4% |
| 16–19 February 2018 | YouGov Metro |
9.3% | 8.3–10.5% | 8.0–10.9% | 7.8–11.2% | 7.3–11.8% |
| 8–19 February 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
11.0% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.0–13.3% |
| 22 January–18 February 2018 | Novus SVT |
8.8% | 8.3–9.3% | 8.2–9.5% | 8.0–9.6% | 7.8–9.9% |
| 5–15 February 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
10.5% | 10.1–10.9% | 10.0–11.0% | 9.9–11.1% | 9.7–11.3% |
| 9–14 February 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
10.9% | 9.5–12.5% | 9.1–13.0% | 8.7–13.4% | 8.1–14.2% |
| 30 January–6 February 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
9.3% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 8.0–10.9% | 7.6–11.3% |
| 30 January–5 February 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
9.3% | 8.5–10.1% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.1–10.6% | 7.8–11.0% |
| 11 January–2 February 2018 | SKOP | 10.7% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.4–12.1% | 9.1–12.4% | 8.7–13.0% |
| 2–22 January 2018 | Novus SVT |
8.9% | 8.4–9.5% | 8.2–9.7% | 8.1–9.8% | 7.8–10.1% |
| 10–21 January 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
9.0% | 8.2–10.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
| 8–18 January 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
8.8% | 8.0–9.6% | 7.8–9.8% | 7.7–10.1% | 7.3–10.5% |
| 12–16 January 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
8.6% | 7.6–9.7% | 7.3–10.0% | 7.1–10.3% | 6.7–10.9% |
| 12–15 January 2018 | YouGov Metro |
9.1% | 8.1–10.3% | 7.8–10.6% | 7.6–10.9% | 7.1–11.5% |
| 2–9 January 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
9.2% | 8.3–10.2% | 8.1–10.5% | 7.9–10.7% | 7.5–11.2% |
| 3–8 January 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
9.9% | 9.1–10.8% | 8.9–11.0% | 8.7–11.2% | 8.4–11.6% |
| 27 November–21 December 2017 | Novus SVT |
9.8% | 9.2–10.4% | 9.1–10.6% | 8.9–10.8% | 8.6–11.1% |
| 15–18 December 2017 | YouGov Metro |
7.9% | 7.1–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.3–9.9% |
| 4–14 December 2017 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
10.2% | 9.4–11.1% | 9.2–11.3% | 9.0–11.6% | 8.6–12.0% |
| 6–14 December 2017 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
10.0% | 9.1–11.0% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.5% | 8.2–12.0% |
| 1–6 December 2017 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
10.0% | 8.8–11.5% | 8.5–11.9% | 8.2–12.2% | 7.7–12.9% |
| 28 November–5 December 2017 | Demoskop Expressen |
9.1% | 8.2–10.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.8–10.6% | 7.4–11.1% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Centerpartiet.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 8% | 97% | Last Result |
| 6.5–7.5% | 12% | 89% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 26% | 77% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 26% | 50% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 20% | 25% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 22 seats (General Election of 14 September 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 31 | 24–37 | 21–38 | 21–39 | 18–40 |
| 2–7 September 2018 | SKOP | 29 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 25–33 | 24–34 |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
34 | 31–38 | 29–38 | 29–39 | 28–41 |
| 5–6 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
36 | 34–39 | 33–39 | 33–40 | 31–41 |
| 30 August–6 September 2018 | SKOP | 29 | 26–31 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 24–33 |
| 4–6 September 2018 | Novus SVT |
30 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 26–36 | 25–37 |
| 1–6 September 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
30 | 27–33 | 26–33 | 25–35 | 24–36 |
| 3–5 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
36 | 33–38 | 33–39 | 32–40 | 31–41 |
| 29 August–5 September 2018 | SKOP | 28 | 26–31 | 25–31 | 24–32 | 23–33 |
| 2–5 September 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
35 | 32–37 | 31–39 | 31–40 | 28–41 |
| 30 August–4 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
33 | 31–36 | 30–37 | 30–37 | 29–38 |
| 28 August–4 September 2018 | SKOP | 29 | 27–32 | 26–32 | 26–33 | 25–35 |
| 30 August–4 September 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
32 | 29–35 | 28–36 | 27–37 | 26–39 |
| 29 August–3 September 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
30 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 27–34 | 26–35 |
| 27 August–3 September 2018 | SKOP | 29 | 26–33 | 26–33 | 25–33 | 23–36 |
| 27 August–3 September 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
30 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 27–34 | 25–36 |
| 26 August–2 September 2018 | SKOP | 29 | 25–32 | 24–33 | 24–33 | 22–35 |
| 28 August–2 September 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
34 | 31–37 | 31–39 | 30–39 | 29–41 |
| 30 August–1 September 2018 | YouGov Metro |
22 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 18–26 | 16–28 |
| 25–31 August 2018 | SKOP | 27 | 25–29 | 24–30 | 24–31 | 23–33 |
| 28–30 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
34 | 31–37 | 31–37 | 30–38 | 29–39 |
| 24–30 August 2018 | SKOP | 29 | 27–32 | 26–33 | 25–34 | 24–36 |
| 25–30 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
31 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 27–35 | 26–36 |
| 23–30 August 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
34 | 31–38 | 30–39 | 29–40 | 28–42 |
| 27–29 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
32 | 29–34 | 29–35 | 28–36 | 27–37 |
| 22–29 August 2018 | SKOP | 29 | 27–31 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 25–34 |
| 25–28 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
32 | 29–34 | 29–35 | 28–35 | 27–37 |
| 21–28 August 2018 | SKOP | 30 | 27–32 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 25–35 |
| 22–28 August 2018 | Novus SVT |
29 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 24–34 | 23–36 |
| 22–27 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
30 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 27–34 | 26–36 |
| 20–27 August 2018 | SKOP | 33 | 30–36 | 30–36 | 30–37 | 29–38 |
| 21–26 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
33 | 31–36 | 30–37 | 29–37 | 28–39 |
| 22–26 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
31 | 29–33 | 28–34 | 28–35 | 27–36 |
| 16–24 August 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
32 | 29–35 | 28–36 | 27–37 | 26–39 |
| 20–23 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
37 | 34–39 | 34–39 | 33–40 | 32–41 |
| 16–22 August 2018 | SKOP | 30 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 26–35 | 25–36 |
| 13–21 August 2018 | Novus SVT |
37 | 34–40 | 32–42 | 32–42 | 30–44 |
| 17–20 August 2018 | YouGov Metro |
30 | 26–33 | 25–34 | 24–35 | 23–37 |
| 13–16 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
34 | 32–37 | 31–37 | 31–38 | 29–39 |
| 7–16 August 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
36 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 31–42 | 31–44 |
| 10–16 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
31 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 26–35 | 25–37 |
| 8–15 August 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
41 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 35–47 | 34–49 |
| 9–14 August 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
29 | 24–34 | 23–35 | 22–37 | 21–39 |
| 23 July–12 August 2018 | Novus SVT |
35 | 35–38 | 33–38 | 32–38 | 32–40 |
| 6–9 August 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
38 | 35–41 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 32–44 |
| 25 July–2 August 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
35 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 31–39 | 29–41 |
| 27 July–1 August 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
26 | 22–31 | 21–33 | 20–34 | 18–37 |
| 25 June–22 July 2018 | Novus SVT |
31 | 29–33 | 29–34 | 28–34 | 27–35 |
| 20 June–21 July 2018 | SKOP | 39 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 31–45 | 30–48 |
| 13–15 July 2018 | YouGov Metro |
31 | 28–36 | 27–37 | 26–38 | 24–40 |
| 28 June–3 July 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
27 | 22–32 | 21–33 | 20–35 | 18–37 |
| 25 June–3 July 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
37 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 32–43 | 30–45 |
| 20–26 June 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
35 | 32–38 | 31–40 | 31–40 | 29–42 |
| 7–24 June 2018 | Novus SVT |
33 | 30–36 | 30–37 | 29–38 | 28–39 |
| 15–18 June 2018 | YouGov Metro |
28 | 24–31 | 23–32 | 23–33 | 21–35 |
| 8 May–18 June 2018 | SKOP | 34 | 30–38 | 29–40 | 28–41 | 27–43 |
| 7–18 June 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
39 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 33–45 | 31–47 |
| 4–14 June 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
40 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 36–46 | 34–48 |
| 14 May–6 June 2018 | Novus SVT |
33 | 31–35 | 31–36 | 30–36 | 29–38 |
| 29 May–6 June 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
37 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 31–42 | 30–45 |
| 1–5 June 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
28 | 23–31 | 22–32 | 21–33 | 20–35 |
| 21–30 May 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
36 | 33–39 | 31–40 | 31–41 | 29–42 |
| 27 April–29 May 2018 | SCB | 32 | 31–35 | 30–35 | 29–36 | 29–37 |
| 10–21 May 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
30 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 27–36 | 26–42 |
| 7–17 May 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
31 | 29–32 | 29–33 | 28–34 | 27–34 |
| 11–14 May 2018 | YouGov Metro |
39 | 35–44 | 34–46 | 33–48 | 32–49 |
| 16 April–13 May 2018 | Novus SVT |
36 | 33–38 | 33–38 | 32–39 | 32–40 |
| 4–7 May 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
29 | 26–34 | 24–35 | 24–36 | 22–38 |
| 1–7 May 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
35 | 31–37 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 28–41 |
| 24 April–2 May 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
34 | 31–38 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 28–42 |
| 12–23 April 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
46 | 42–50 | 41–52 | 39–53 | 38–55 |
| 13–16 April 2018 | YouGov Metro |
35 | 31–39 | 30–40 | 29–41 | 27–44 |
| 19 March–15 April 2018 | Novus SVT |
35 | 33–37 | 32–38 | 31–38 | 31–39 |
| 16 March–13 April 2018 | SKOP | 35 | 31–37 | 29–38 | 28–40 | 27–42 |
| 2–12 April 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
37 | 35–40 | 34–40 | 34–41 | 33–41 |
| 5–10 April 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
25 | 21–29 | 20–30 | 19–31 | 18–33 |
| 3–9 April 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
34 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 30–40 | 28–42 |
| 27 March–4 April 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
35 | 33–40 | 31–41 | 30–41 | 29–44 |
| 16–19 March 2018 | YouGov Metro |
29 | 26–33 | 24–35 | 23–36 | 22–38 |
| 8–19 March 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
38 | 34–42 | 33–44 | 32–44 | 31–47 |
| 19 February–18 March 2018 | Novus SVT |
36 | 34–38 | 33–38 | 32–39 | 31–40 |
| 5–15 March 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
39 | 37–40 | 36–41 | 36–41 | 35–42 |
| 8–14 March 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
25 | 20–29 | 19–31 | 18–32 | 16–35 |
| 27 February–7 March 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
29 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 23–37 |
| 1–5 March 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
34 | 31–38 | 31–38 | 30–39 | 29–41 |
| 16–19 February 2018 | YouGov Metro |
37 | 32–41 | 31–42 | 30–44 | 29–46 |
| 8–19 February 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
43 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 36–49 | 34–52 |
| 22 January–18 February 2018 | Novus SVT |
33 | 31–35 | 30–35 | 30–36 | 29–37 |
| 5–15 February 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
39 | 37–40 | 37–40 | 36–41 | 36–42 |
| 9–14 February 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
42 | 36–48 | 34–50 | 33–51 | 31–55 |
| 30 January–6 February 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
35 | 32–39 | 30–40 | 30–41 | 28–42 |
| 30 January–5 February 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
37 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 32–42 | 30–44 |
| 11 January–2 February 2018 | SKOP | 41 | 36–45 | 36–46 | 34–47 | 33–49 |
| 2–22 January 2018 | Novus SVT |
33 | 31–36 | 31–37 | 30–37 | 29–38 |
| 10–21 January 2018 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
35 | 31–38 | 30–40 | 29–41 | 27–41 |
| 8–18 January 2018 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
33 | 30–36 | 29–37 | 29–39 | 27–40 |
| 12–16 January 2018 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
34 | 30–38 | 29–40 | 28–40 | 26–43 |
| 12–15 January 2018 | YouGov Metro |
35 | 31–40 | 30–41 | 29–42 | 28–44 |
| 2–9 January 2018 | Demoskop Expressen |
35 | 31–39 | 31–40 | 30–41 | 28–43 |
| 3–8 January 2018 | Inizio Aftonbladet |
39 | 36–43 | 35–43 | 33–43 | 32–46 |
| 27 November–21 December 2017 | Novus SVT |
36 | 34–39 | 33–40 | 33–40 | 32–42 |
| 15–18 December 2017 | YouGov Metro |
30 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 26–36 | 24–38 |
| 4–14 December 2017 | Sifo Svenska Dagbladet |
38 | 34–42 | 34–42 | 33–44 | 32–45 |
| 6–14 December 2017 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
39 | 35–41 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 31–46 |
| 1–6 December 2017 | Sentio Nyheter Idag |
39 | 34–44 | 32–47 | 31–48 | 29–52 |
| 28 November–5 December 2017 | Demoskop Expressen |
33 | 31–38 | 30–40 | 29–40 | 28–42 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Centerpartiet.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 21 | 3% | 98% | |
| 22 | 2% | 95% | Last Result |
| 23 | 2% | 92% | |
| 24 | 3% | 90% | |
| 25 | 3% | 87% | |
| 26 | 4% | 85% | |
| 27 | 5% | 81% | |
| 28 | 7% | 76% | |
| 29 | 7% | 69% | |
| 30 | 10% | 62% | |
| 31 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 32 | 9% | 45% | |
| 33 | 7% | 36% | |
| 34 | 5% | 30% | |
| 35 | 5% | 25% | |
| 36 | 8% | 20% | |
| 37 | 6% | 12% | |
| 38 | 3% | 6% | |
| 39 | 2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |