Opinion Poll by YouGov for Metro, 15–18 December 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 25.5% | 24.1–27.0% | 23.7–27.4% | 23.4–27.8% | 22.7–28.5% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 22.7% | 21.3–24.1% | 21.0–24.5% | 20.6–24.9% | 20.0–25.5% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 20.5% | 19.2–21.9% | 18.8–22.3% | 18.5–22.6% | 17.9–23.3% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.1–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.3–9.9% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2–7.9% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.9% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2–5.7% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.6–6.5% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.4% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8–4.0% | 2.6–4.2% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.7% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7–2.7% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.3–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 98 | 92–104 | 91–107 | 89–109 | 85–111 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 88 | 82–93 | 79–96 | 78–98 | 75–99 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 79 | 73–85 | 71–87 | 69–88 | 67–91 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 30 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 26–36 | 24–38 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 27 | 23–31 | 23–32 | 22–32 | 21–34 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 19 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 0–23 | 0–25 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 0 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–17 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 91 | 3% | 96% | |
| 92 | 5% | 93% | |
| 93 | 7% | 88% | |
| 94 | 12% | 81% | |
| 95 | 6% | 69% | |
| 96 | 3% | 63% | |
| 97 | 5% | 59% | |
| 98 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 99 | 6% | 46% | |
| 100 | 5% | 40% | |
| 101 | 7% | 35% | |
| 102 | 4% | 28% | |
| 103 | 11% | 24% | |
| 104 | 3% | 13% | |
| 105 | 1.5% | 10% | |
| 106 | 3% | 8% | |
| 107 | 2% | 6% | |
| 108 | 2% | 4% | |
| 109 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 110 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 79 | 2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 81 | 3% | 94% | |
| 82 | 6% | 91% | |
| 83 | 12% | 85% | |
| 84 | 6% | 73% | Last Result |
| 85 | 6% | 67% | |
| 86 | 4% | 61% | |
| 87 | 5% | 57% | |
| 88 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 89 | 8% | 39% | |
| 90 | 7% | 31% | |
| 91 | 9% | 24% | |
| 92 | 4% | 14% | |
| 93 | 2% | 11% | |
| 94 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 95 | 2% | 7% | |
| 96 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 97 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 98 | 2% | 4% | |
| 99 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 2% | 96% | |
| 72 | 3% | 94% | |
| 73 | 5% | 91% | |
| 74 | 4% | 86% | |
| 75 | 5% | 82% | |
| 76 | 10% | 78% | |
| 77 | 9% | 68% | |
| 78 | 7% | 59% | |
| 79 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 80 | 12% | 41% | |
| 81 | 7% | 29% | |
| 82 | 3% | 22% | |
| 83 | 5% | 19% | |
| 84 | 4% | 15% | |
| 85 | 3% | 11% | |
| 86 | 2% | 8% | |
| 87 | 2% | 6% | |
| 88 | 2% | 4% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 26 | 6% | 98% | |
| 27 | 6% | 93% | |
| 28 | 6% | 87% | |
| 29 | 20% | 81% | |
| 30 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 31 | 10% | 46% | |
| 32 | 16% | 36% | |
| 33 | 9% | 20% | |
| 34 | 4% | 11% | |
| 35 | 3% | 7% | |
| 36 | 2% | 4% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 22 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 23 | 9% | 97% | |
| 24 | 7% | 88% | |
| 25 | 11% | 81% | |
| 26 | 13% | 70% | |
| 27 | 17% | 57% | Median |
| 28 | 11% | 40% | |
| 29 | 6% | 29% | |
| 30 | 8% | 24% | |
| 31 | 9% | 16% | |
| 32 | 5% | 7% | |
| 33 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 96% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0% | 96% | |
| 7 | 0% | 96% | |
| 8 | 0% | 96% | |
| 9 | 0% | 96% | |
| 10 | 0% | 96% | |
| 11 | 0% | 96% | |
| 12 | 0% | 96% | |
| 13 | 0% | 96% | |
| 14 | 0% | 96% | |
| 15 | 2% | 96% | |
| 16 | 6% | 95% | |
| 17 | 18% | 88% | |
| 18 | 14% | 71% | |
| 19 | 21% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 20 | 16% | 36% | |
| 21 | 8% | 20% | |
| 22 | 5% | 12% | |
| 23 | 5% | 7% | |
| 24 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 46% | |
| 2 | 0% | 46% | |
| 3 | 0% | 46% | |
| 4 | 0% | 46% | |
| 5 | 0% | 46% | |
| 6 | 0% | 46% | |
| 7 | 0% | 46% | |
| 8 | 0% | 46% | |
| 9 | 0% | 46% | |
| 10 | 0% | 46% | |
| 11 | 0% | 46% | |
| 12 | 0% | 46% | |
| 13 | 0% | 46% | |
| 14 | 0% | 46% | |
| 15 | 10% | 46% | |
| 16 | 17% | 36% | |
| 17 | 10% | 19% | |
| 18 | 6% | 9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 90% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 10% | |
| 2 | 0% | 10% | |
| 3 | 0% | 10% | |
| 4 | 0% | 10% | |
| 5 | 0% | 10% | |
| 6 | 0% | 10% | |
| 7 | 0% | 10% | |
| 8 | 0% | 10% | |
| 9 | 0% | 10% | |
| 10 | 0% | 10% | |
| 11 | 0% | 10% | |
| 12 | 0% | 10% | |
| 13 | 0% | 10% | |
| 14 | 0% | 10% | |
| 15 | 7% | 10% | |
| 16 | 1.5% | 4% | Last Result |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 215 | 100% | 206–226 | 203–227 | 202–230 | 197–235 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 185 | 93% | 175–194 | 173–198 | 172–199 | 167–206 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 168 | 16% | 159–175 | 156–179 | 155–181 | 153–185 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 133 | 167 | 12% | 157–175 | 155–176 | 153–179 | 147–183 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 138 | 0% | 130–146 | 127–149 | 124–152 | 115–156 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 136 | 0% | 128–143 | 126–146 | 124–147 | 115–151 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 133 | 0% | 123–143 | 121–145 | 118–147 | 114–149 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 133 | 0% | 123–143 | 121–145 | 118–147 | 114–149 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 126 | 0% | 117–133 | 115–136 | 115–138 | 111–140 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 119 | 0% | 112–127 | 110–130 | 108–133 | 105–139 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 118 | 0% | 111–125 | 109–127 | 107–129 | 104–132 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 106 | 0% | 96–115 | 94–118 | 92–119 | 90–123 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 192 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 197 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 199 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 201 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 202 | 2% | 98% | |
| 203 | 2% | 95% | |
| 204 | 2% | 93% | |
| 205 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 206 | 6% | 91% | |
| 207 | 3% | 85% | |
| 208 | 2% | 81% | |
| 209 | 2% | 79% | |
| 210 | 3% | 77% | |
| 211 | 5% | 74% | |
| 212 | 4% | 69% | |
| 213 | 7% | 66% | |
| 214 | 8% | 58% | |
| 215 | 3% | 51% | |
| 216 | 2% | 47% | Median |
| 217 | 3% | 45% | |
| 218 | 4% | 43% | |
| 219 | 3% | 39% | Last Result |
| 220 | 4% | 36% | |
| 221 | 3% | 32% | |
| 222 | 3% | 28% | |
| 223 | 2% | 25% | |
| 224 | 6% | 23% | |
| 225 | 2% | 17% | |
| 226 | 9% | 15% | |
| 227 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 228 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 229 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 230 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 231 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 232 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 233 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 234 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 235 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 236 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 237 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 238 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 240 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 244 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 163 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 170 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 171 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 172 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 173 | 3% | 97% | |
| 174 | 2% | 95% | |
| 175 | 3% | 93% | Majority |
| 176 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 177 | 7% | 89% | |
| 178 | 2% | 82% | |
| 179 | 3% | 80% | |
| 180 | 4% | 78% | |
| 181 | 5% | 73% | |
| 182 | 7% | 69% | |
| 183 | 5% | 62% | |
| 184 | 6% | 58% | |
| 185 | 4% | 52% | |
| 186 | 5% | 48% | Median |
| 187 | 5% | 43% | |
| 188 | 2% | 37% | |
| 189 | 2% | 35% | |
| 190 | 5% | 33% | |
| 191 | 6% | 28% | |
| 192 | 3% | 22% | |
| 193 | 2% | 19% | |
| 194 | 7% | 17% | |
| 195 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 196 | 3% | 8% | |
| 197 | 0.5% | 6% | Last Result |
| 198 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 199 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 200 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 201 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 204 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 206 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 149 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 150 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 155 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 156 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 157 | 2% | 95% | |
| 158 | 2% | 93% | |
| 159 | 8% | 91% | |
| 160 | 3% | 83% | |
| 161 | 3% | 80% | |
| 162 | 2% | 78% | |
| 163 | 6% | 75% | |
| 164 | 4% | 70% | |
| 165 | 2% | 65% | |
| 166 | 4% | 63% | |
| 167 | 5% | 59% | Median |
| 168 | 7% | 54% | |
| 169 | 7% | 47% | |
| 170 | 11% | 41% | |
| 171 | 4% | 30% | |
| 172 | 6% | 26% | |
| 173 | 3% | 20% | |
| 174 | 2% | 17% | |
| 175 | 6% | 16% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 10% | |
| 177 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 178 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 179 | 2% | 5% | |
| 180 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 181 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 185 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 146 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 154 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 155 | 5% | 96% | |
| 156 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 157 | 3% | 90% | |
| 158 | 3% | 87% | |
| 159 | 8% | 84% | |
| 160 | 3% | 76% | |
| 161 | 3% | 73% | |
| 162 | 2% | 70% | |
| 163 | 6% | 68% | |
| 164 | 4% | 62% | |
| 165 | 2% | 57% | |
| 166 | 4% | 55% | |
| 167 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 168 | 7% | 46% | |
| 169 | 6% | 40% | |
| 170 | 10% | 34% | |
| 171 | 3% | 24% | |
| 172 | 5% | 20% | |
| 173 | 2% | 15% | |
| 174 | 0.9% | 13% | |
| 175 | 5% | 12% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 7% | |
| 177 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 179 | 2% | 4% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 183 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 124 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 125 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 126 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 127 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 128 | 3% | 95% | |
| 129 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 130 | 4% | 90% | |
| 131 | 4% | 86% | |
| 132 | 9% | 82% | |
| 133 | 4% | 73% | |
| 134 | 3% | 69% | |
| 135 | 4% | 66% | |
| 136 | 5% | 61% | |
| 137 | 3% | 56% | Median |
| 138 | 5% | 53% | |
| 139 | 4% | 48% | |
| 140 | 13% | 44% | |
| 141 | 4% | 31% | Last Result |
| 142 | 6% | 27% | |
| 143 | 4% | 21% | |
| 144 | 2% | 16% | |
| 145 | 4% | 15% | |
| 146 | 3% | 11% | |
| 147 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 149 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 150 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 152 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 122 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 124 | 2% | 98% | |
| 125 | 1.0% | 96% | Last Result |
| 126 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 127 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 128 | 4% | 93% | |
| 129 | 2% | 88% | |
| 130 | 5% | 87% | |
| 131 | 5% | 82% | |
| 132 | 10% | 76% | |
| 133 | 5% | 67% | |
| 134 | 3% | 62% | |
| 135 | 5% | 59% | |
| 136 | 6% | 54% | |
| 137 | 3% | 48% | Median |
| 138 | 5% | 45% | |
| 139 | 4% | 40% | |
| 140 | 13% | 36% | |
| 141 | 4% | 23% | |
| 142 | 6% | 18% | |
| 143 | 3% | 13% | |
| 144 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 145 | 3% | 8% | |
| 146 | 2% | 5% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 117 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 118 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 120 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 121 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 122 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 123 | 3% | 93% | |
| 124 | 3% | 90% | |
| 125 | 2% | 87% | Median |
| 126 | 5% | 85% | |
| 127 | 7% | 80% | |
| 128 | 5% | 74% | |
| 129 | 3% | 69% | |
| 130 | 11% | 66% | |
| 131 | 2% | 55% | |
| 132 | 2% | 53% | |
| 133 | 7% | 51% | |
| 134 | 3% | 44% | |
| 135 | 3% | 41% | |
| 136 | 5% | 38% | |
| 137 | 4% | 33% | |
| 138 | 4% | 29% | |
| 139 | 3% | 25% | |
| 140 | 3% | 23% | |
| 141 | 5% | 19% | |
| 142 | 3% | 14% | |
| 143 | 2% | 10% | |
| 144 | 3% | 9% | |
| 145 | 2% | 6% | |
| 146 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 147 | 2% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 117 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 118 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 120 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 121 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 122 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 123 | 3% | 93% | |
| 124 | 3% | 90% | |
| 125 | 2% | 87% | Median |
| 126 | 5% | 85% | |
| 127 | 7% | 80% | |
| 128 | 5% | 74% | |
| 129 | 3% | 69% | |
| 130 | 11% | 66% | |
| 131 | 2% | 55% | |
| 132 | 2% | 53% | |
| 133 | 7% | 51% | |
| 134 | 3% | 44% | |
| 135 | 3% | 41% | |
| 136 | 5% | 38% | |
| 137 | 4% | 33% | |
| 138 | 4% | 29% | |
| 139 | 3% | 25% | |
| 140 | 3% | 23% | |
| 141 | 5% | 19% | |
| 142 | 3% | 14% | |
| 143 | 2% | 10% | |
| 144 | 3% | 9% | |
| 145 | 2% | 6% | |
| 146 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 147 | 2% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 113 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 114 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 115 | 3% | 98% | |
| 116 | 2% | 95% | |
| 117 | 5% | 93% | |
| 118 | 4% | 88% | |
| 119 | 3% | 83% | |
| 120 | 2% | 81% | |
| 121 | 4% | 79% | |
| 122 | 4% | 75% | |
| 123 | 6% | 71% | |
| 124 | 8% | 66% | |
| 125 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 126 | 8% | 50% | |
| 127 | 8% | 42% | |
| 128 | 8% | 34% | |
| 129 | 3% | 26% | |
| 130 | 9% | 23% | |
| 131 | 2% | 14% | |
| 132 | 2% | 12% | |
| 133 | 2% | 10% | |
| 134 | 1.3% | 9% | Last Result |
| 135 | 2% | 7% | |
| 136 | 2% | 6% | |
| 137 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 138 | 2% | 3% | |
| 139 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 107 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 108 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 110 | 2% | 96% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 112 | 8% | 93% | |
| 113 | 5% | 85% | |
| 114 | 6% | 80% | |
| 115 | 7% | 74% | |
| 116 | 3% | 67% | |
| 117 | 7% | 65% | |
| 118 | 6% | 58% | Median |
| 119 | 5% | 52% | |
| 120 | 5% | 47% | |
| 121 | 8% | 42% | |
| 122 | 3% | 35% | Last Result |
| 123 | 10% | 31% | |
| 124 | 3% | 21% | |
| 125 | 2% | 19% | |
| 126 | 4% | 17% | |
| 127 | 3% | 12% | |
| 128 | 2% | 10% | |
| 129 | 2% | 8% | |
| 130 | 2% | 6% | |
| 131 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 132 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 107 | 2% | 98% | |
| 108 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 109 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 110 | 3% | 94% | |
| 111 | 2% | 91% | |
| 112 | 9% | 89% | |
| 113 | 5% | 80% | |
| 114 | 7% | 75% | |
| 115 | 8% | 68% | |
| 116 | 3% | 60% | |
| 117 | 7% | 57% | |
| 118 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 119 | 5% | 43% | |
| 120 | 5% | 38% | |
| 121 | 7% | 33% | |
| 122 | 3% | 26% | |
| 123 | 9% | 23% | |
| 124 | 2% | 13% | |
| 125 | 2% | 11% | |
| 126 | 3% | 9% | |
| 127 | 2% | 6% | |
| 128 | 2% | 4% | |
| 129 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 93 | 2% | 97% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 95 | 3% | 94% | |
| 96 | 2% | 91% | |
| 97 | 3% | 89% | |
| 98 | 4% | 86% | Median |
| 99 | 3% | 82% | |
| 100 | 4% | 80% | |
| 101 | 5% | 75% | |
| 102 | 3% | 70% | |
| 103 | 11% | 67% | |
| 104 | 2% | 56% | |
| 105 | 2% | 54% | |
| 106 | 3% | 52% | |
| 107 | 4% | 49% | |
| 108 | 4% | 45% | |
| 109 | 5% | 40% | |
| 110 | 11% | 35% | |
| 111 | 3% | 24% | |
| 112 | 3% | 21% | |
| 113 | 2% | 18% | |
| 114 | 4% | 16% | |
| 115 | 3% | 12% | |
| 116 | 2% | 9% | |
| 117 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 118 | 3% | 6% | |
| 119 | 2% | 3% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): Metro
- Fieldwork period: 15–18 December 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1513
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.34%