Opinion Poll by Inizio for Aftonbladet, 3–8 January 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 31.0% 28.3% 27.1–29.6% 26.8–29.9% 26.5–30.2% 25.9–30.8%
Moderata samlingspartiet 23.3% 23.7% 22.6–24.9% 22.3–25.2% 22.0–25.5% 21.5–26.1%
Sverigedemokraterna 12.9% 16.0% 15.0–17.0% 14.8–17.3% 14.5–17.6% 14.1–18.1%
Centerpartiet 6.1% 9.9% 9.1–10.8% 8.9–11.0% 8.7–11.2% 8.4–11.6%
Vänsterpartiet 5.7% 7.4% 6.7–8.2% 6.6–8.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.1–8.9%
Kristdemokraterna 4.6% 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 6.9% 3.6% 3.2–4.2% 3.0–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.8%
Liberalerna 5.4% 3.4% 2.9–3.9% 2.8–4.1% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.5%
Feministiskt initiativ 3.1% 1.3% 1.1–1.7% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 113 111 105–119 103–120 101–121 99–124
Moderata samlingspartiet 84 93 88–99 86–100 85–102 83–105
Sverigedemokraterna 49 63 59–68 58–68 56–70 54–72
Centerpartiet 22 39 36–43 35–43 33–43 32–46
Vänsterpartiet 21 29 27–32 25–33 25–33 24–36
Kristdemokraterna 16 0 0–18 0–18 0–19 0–20
Miljöpartiet de gröna 25 0 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–18
Liberalerna 19 0 0 0–16 0–16 0–17
Feministiskt initiativ 0 0 0 0 0 0

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.7%  
99 0.5% 99.7%  
100 0.7% 99.2%  
101 1.4% 98%  
102 1.4% 97%  
103 2% 96%  
104 2% 94%  
105 2% 92%  
106 3% 89%  
107 5% 86%  
108 5% 80%  
109 5% 76%  
110 7% 71%  
111 16% 64% Median
112 4% 48%  
113 3% 44% Last Result
114 7% 41%  
115 6% 34%  
116 3% 28%  
117 7% 26%  
118 3% 19%  
119 7% 16%  
120 4% 9%  
121 2% 4%  
122 1.3% 2%  
123 0.3% 1.0%  
124 0.2% 0.7%  
125 0.3% 0.5%  
126 0% 0.2%  
127 0.1% 0.1%  
128 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.7%  
83 0.4% 99.5%  
84 0.8% 99.1% Last Result
85 2% 98%  
86 2% 97%  
87 4% 95%  
88 2% 91%  
89 5% 89%  
90 5% 84%  
91 3% 79%  
92 18% 75%  
93 13% 58% Median
94 5% 45%  
95 11% 40%  
96 9% 28%  
97 5% 20%  
98 4% 15%  
99 5% 11%  
100 2% 6%  
101 1.4% 4%  
102 1.3% 3%  
103 0.6% 2%  
104 0.1% 0.9%  
105 0.4% 0.8%  
106 0.1% 0.4%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.8%  
54 0.5% 99.8%  
55 0.5% 99.3%  
56 1.3% 98.8%  
57 2% 97%  
58 4% 96%  
59 7% 92%  
60 9% 85%  
61 7% 76%  
62 6% 69%  
63 18% 64% Median
64 7% 45%  
65 12% 38%  
66 9% 26%  
67 4% 17%  
68 8% 13%  
69 2% 5%  
70 1.4% 3%  
71 1.1% 2%  
72 0.4% 0.7%  
73 0.3% 0.4%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.9% 99.9%  
33 2% 99.0%  
34 1.3% 97%  
35 3% 96%  
36 8% 93%  
37 5% 85%  
38 5% 80%  
39 28% 75% Median
40 17% 47%  
41 11% 30%  
42 9% 20%  
43 8% 10%  
44 1.0% 2%  
45 0.8% 1.4%  
46 0.3% 0.6%  
47 0.1% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.3% 99.9%  
24 1.1% 99.6%  
25 4% 98.5%  
26 4% 94%  
27 12% 91%  
28 22% 78%  
29 18% 57% Median
30 11% 39%  
31 14% 28%  
32 5% 14%  
33 7% 9%  
34 1.0% 2%  
35 0.7% 1.3%  
36 0.4% 0.6%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Median
1 0% 49%  
2 0% 49%  
3 0% 49%  
4 0% 49%  
5 0% 49%  
6 0% 49%  
7 0% 49%  
8 0% 49%  
9 0% 49%  
10 0% 49%  
11 0% 49%  
12 0% 49%  
13 0% 49%  
14 0% 49%  
15 1.2% 49%  
16 28% 48% Last Result
17 9% 20%  
18 7% 11%  
19 3% 4%  
20 0.6% 1.0%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Median
1 0% 15%  
2 0% 15%  
3 0% 15%  
4 0% 15%  
5 0% 15%  
6 0% 15%  
7 0% 15%  
8 0% 15%  
9 0% 15%  
10 0% 15%  
11 0% 15%  
12 0% 15%  
13 0% 15%  
14 0% 15%  
15 2% 15%  
16 6% 13%  
17 5% 7%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0% Last Result

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 0% 7%  
5 0% 7%  
6 0% 7%  
7 0% 7%  
8 0% 7%  
9 0% 7%  
10 0% 7%  
11 0% 7%  
12 0% 7%  
13 0% 7%  
14 0.1% 7%  
15 0.9% 6%  
16 5% 6%  
17 0.7% 0.9%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0% 0.1% Last Result
20 0% 0%  

Feministiskt initiativ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 219 243 100% 235–256 230–258 227–259 222–262
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 197 204 100% 196–215 193–217 190–219 185–222
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna 149 164 8% 155–173 153–177 152–177 147–179
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna 133 156 0.1% 149–163 147–165 145–168 141–170
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ 159 144 0% 136–151 134–155 133–156 129–161
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 159 144 0% 136–151 134–155 133–156 129–161
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 141 143 0% 133–151 132–153 130–155 126–160
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 122 140 0% 133–150 131–152 129–153 125–156
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 134 140 0% 134–149 131–151 129–151 125–154
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 125 134 0% 127–140 126–144 123–149 118–152
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 106 133 0% 126–138 124–140 121–143 117–145
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 138 114 0% 107–122 106–126 104–128 101–133

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
214 0.1% 100%  
215 0% 99.9%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0% 99.9%  
218 0.1% 99.9%  
219 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
220 0% 99.7%  
221 0.1% 99.7%  
222 0.1% 99.5%  
223 0.2% 99.4%  
224 0.2% 99.2%  
225 0.2% 99.0%  
226 1.0% 98.9%  
227 0.5% 98%  
228 0.7% 97%  
229 1.2% 97%  
230 1.1% 95%  
231 0.6% 94%  
232 0.9% 94%  
233 0.9% 93%  
234 2% 92%  
235 1.3% 90%  
236 2% 89%  
237 4% 87%  
238 3% 83%  
239 5% 80%  
240 2% 75%  
241 3% 73%  
242 14% 69%  
243 6% 55% Median
244 2% 49%  
245 4% 46%  
246 3% 42%  
247 1.1% 40%  
248 3% 38%  
249 1.0% 35%  
250 4% 34%  
251 3% 30%  
252 6% 28%  
253 2% 22%  
254 2% 20%  
255 8% 18%  
256 3% 10%  
257 0.8% 7%  
258 3% 7%  
259 2% 4%  
260 0.3% 2%  
261 0.7% 1.2%  
262 0.5% 0.6%  
263 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 99.9%  
182 0.2% 99.9%  
183 0% 99.8%  
184 0.1% 99.7%  
185 0.2% 99.6%  
186 0.3% 99.5%  
187 0.1% 99.1%  
188 0.2% 99.0%  
189 0.7% 98.8%  
190 1.0% 98%  
191 0.5% 97%  
192 1.2% 97%  
193 1.1% 95%  
194 2% 94%  
195 2% 93%  
196 2% 91%  
197 2% 89% Last Result
198 2% 87%  
199 3% 84%  
200 3% 81%  
201 4% 78%  
202 3% 74%  
203 19% 71%  
204 2% 52% Median
205 3% 50%  
206 5% 47%  
207 4% 43%  
208 4% 39%  
209 2% 35%  
210 5% 33%  
211 4% 28%  
212 3% 23%  
213 1.1% 21%  
214 7% 19%  
215 4% 12%  
216 1.1% 8%  
217 2% 7%  
218 0.6% 5%  
219 2% 4%  
220 1.1% 2%  
221 0.4% 1.0%  
222 0.2% 0.6%  
223 0.3% 0.4%  
224 0.1% 0.1%  
225 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
144 0.1% 100%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0.3% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.5%  
148 0.2% 99.4%  
149 0.3% 99.3% Last Result
150 0.4% 99.0%  
151 0.3% 98.6%  
152 2% 98%  
153 3% 96%  
154 1.3% 93%  
155 3% 92%  
156 2% 89% Median
157 3% 88%  
158 1.1% 85%  
159 10% 84%  
160 8% 74%  
161 4% 65%  
162 3% 61%  
163 4% 58%  
164 4% 54%  
165 4% 50%  
166 2% 46%  
167 3% 44%  
168 2% 41%  
169 2% 39%  
170 5% 37%  
171 15% 32%  
172 4% 17%  
173 5% 14%  
174 1.2% 9%  
175 2% 8% Majority
176 0.8% 6%  
177 3% 5%  
178 1.1% 2%  
179 0.7% 1.1%  
180 0.1% 0.4%  
181 0.2% 0.3%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100% Last Result
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0.1% 100%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.2% 99.8%  
140 0.1% 99.7%  
141 0.2% 99.5%  
142 0.3% 99.3%  
143 0.4% 99.0%  
144 0.7% 98.6%  
145 0.9% 98%  
146 2% 97%  
147 1.5% 95%  
148 2% 94%  
149 2% 92%  
150 1.4% 90%  
151 3% 88%  
152 4% 85%  
153 6% 81%  
154 6% 76%  
155 17% 70%  
156 3% 52% Median
157 5% 49%  
158 2% 44%  
159 12% 42%  
160 9% 30%  
161 6% 22%  
162 3% 16%  
163 3% 13%  
164 2% 10%  
165 3% 7%  
166 0.9% 4%  
167 0.6% 3%  
168 0.6% 3%  
169 0.7% 2%  
170 1.1% 2%  
171 0.2% 0.5%  
172 0.1% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0.1% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1% Majority
176 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
125 0% 100%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0.1% 99.8%  
129 0.2% 99.7%  
130 0.3% 99.5%  
131 0.4% 99.2%  
132 1.0% 98.8%  
133 1.2% 98%  
134 2% 97%  
135 2% 94%  
136 5% 92%  
137 4% 87%  
138 3% 83%  
139 14% 80%  
140 6% 66% Median
141 3% 60%  
142 3% 57%  
143 3% 54%  
144 3% 51%  
145 7% 48%  
146 3% 41%  
147 5% 38%  
148 12% 33%  
149 3% 21%  
150 3% 18%  
151 6% 15%  
152 1.5% 10%  
153 2% 8%  
154 1.4% 7%  
155 0.8% 5%  
156 2% 4%  
157 0.4% 2%  
158 0.8% 2%  
159 0.4% 1.1% Last Result
160 0.2% 0.7%  
161 0.1% 0.5%  
162 0.1% 0.5%  
163 0.3% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
125 0% 100%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0.1% 99.8%  
129 0.2% 99.7%  
130 0.3% 99.5%  
131 0.4% 99.2%  
132 1.0% 98.8%  
133 1.2% 98%  
134 2% 97%  
135 2% 94%  
136 5% 92%  
137 4% 87%  
138 3% 83%  
139 14% 80%  
140 6% 66% Median
141 3% 60%  
142 3% 57%  
143 3% 54%  
144 3% 51%  
145 7% 48%  
146 3% 41%  
147 5% 38%  
148 12% 33%  
149 3% 21%  
150 3% 18%  
151 6% 15%  
152 1.5% 10%  
153 2% 8%  
154 1.4% 7%  
155 0.8% 5%  
156 2% 4%  
157 0.4% 2%  
158 0.8% 2%  
159 0.4% 1.1% Last Result
160 0.2% 0.7%  
161 0.1% 0.5%  
162 0.1% 0.5%  
163 0.3% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
123 0.1% 100%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.8% 99.8%  
127 0.7% 99.0%  
128 0.1% 98%  
129 0.6% 98%  
130 1.3% 98%  
131 1.0% 96%  
132 2% 95% Median
133 3% 93%  
134 3% 90%  
135 8% 86%  
136 9% 78%  
137 4% 69%  
138 5% 65%  
139 3% 60%  
140 2% 57%  
141 2% 54% Last Result
142 1.4% 52%  
143 3% 51%  
144 5% 47%  
145 3% 43%  
146 3% 39%  
147 14% 37%  
148 5% 23%  
149 4% 18%  
150 2% 14%  
151 3% 11%  
152 1.2% 9%  
153 3% 7%  
154 2% 4%  
155 0.8% 3%  
156 0.7% 2%  
157 0.2% 1.3%  
158 0.1% 1.1%  
159 0.1% 0.9%  
160 0.5% 0.8%  
161 0.2% 0.3%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.8% Last Result
123 0.1% 99.8%  
124 0.1% 99.7%  
125 0.1% 99.5%  
126 0.8% 99.5%  
127 0.9% 98.7%  
128 0.2% 98%  
129 0.6% 98%  
130 1.4% 97%  
131 1.2% 96%  
132 3% 94% Median
133 6% 92%  
134 4% 86%  
135 8% 82%  
136 10% 74%  
137 4% 65%  
138 5% 61%  
139 4% 55%  
140 2% 52%  
141 2% 49%  
142 2% 47%  
143 3% 45%  
144 5% 42%  
145 4% 37%  
146 3% 34%  
147 14% 31%  
148 5% 17%  
149 2% 12%  
150 2% 11%  
151 2% 8%  
152 0.9% 6%  
153 3% 5%  
154 1.1% 2%  
155 0.5% 1.2%  
156 0.5% 0.7%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0.1% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0.1% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.5% 99.7%  
126 0.4% 99.2%  
127 0.4% 98.8%  
128 0.4% 98%  
129 1.3% 98%  
130 1.3% 97%  
131 1.3% 95%  
132 1.3% 94%  
133 2% 93%  
134 3% 91% Last Result
135 3% 88%  
136 6% 85%  
137 5% 78%  
138 5% 74%  
139 15% 69%  
140 7% 54% Median
141 3% 47%  
142 4% 44%  
143 2% 41%  
144 2% 39%  
145 7% 36%  
146 2% 29%  
147 5% 27%  
148 11% 22%  
149 2% 11%  
150 2% 9%  
151 4% 7%  
152 1.0% 2%  
153 0.4% 1.2%  
154 0.4% 0.8%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0.4% 99.9%  
118 0.2% 99.5%  
119 0.1% 99.4%  
120 0.3% 99.3%  
121 0.9% 99.0%  
122 0.3% 98%  
123 0.6% 98%  
124 0.9% 97%  
125 1.3% 96% Last Result
126 5% 95%  
127 3% 90%  
128 3% 88%  
129 2% 85%  
130 4% 83%  
131 15% 78%  
132 7% 63% Median
133 5% 56%  
134 6% 51%  
135 10% 46%  
136 11% 35%  
137 5% 24%  
138 5% 20%  
139 3% 14%  
140 2% 11%  
141 1.4% 9%  
142 0.8% 8%  
143 0.5% 7%  
144 2% 7%  
145 0.7% 5%  
146 0.3% 4%  
147 0.2% 4%  
148 0.2% 4%  
149 2% 3%  
150 0.3% 1.0%  
151 0.1% 0.7%  
152 0.2% 0.6%  
153 0.2% 0.4%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100% Last Result
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0.1% 100%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.9%  
117 0.5% 99.8%  
118 0.2% 99.3%  
119 0.2% 99.1%  
120 0.4% 98.9%  
121 1.4% 98%  
122 0.4% 97%  
123 0.8% 97%  
124 1.2% 96%  
125 1.4% 95%  
126 5% 93%  
127 3% 88%  
128 3% 85%  
129 2% 82%  
130 4% 80%  
131 15% 75%  
132 7% 60% Median
133 7% 53%  
134 6% 46%  
135 10% 40%  
136 11% 30%  
137 5% 19%  
138 5% 14%  
139 3% 9%  
140 2% 6%  
141 1.2% 4%  
142 0.7% 3%  
143 0.2% 3%  
144 1.2% 2%  
145 0.6% 1.1%  
146 0.1% 0.4%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0.1% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.4% 99.8%  
102 0.6% 99.4%  
103 1.1% 98.8%  
104 1.0% 98%  
105 1.3% 97%  
106 2% 95%  
107 4% 93%  
108 4% 89%  
109 3% 85%  
110 6% 82%  
111 15% 76% Median
112 4% 61%  
113 3% 57%  
114 6% 54%  
115 6% 48%  
116 3% 42%  
117 7% 38%  
118 4% 32%  
119 8% 28%  
120 5% 20%  
121 3% 14%  
122 2% 11%  
123 2% 9%  
124 1.4% 8%  
125 1.3% 6%  
126 1.0% 5%  
127 0.9% 4%  
128 0.6% 3%  
129 0.6% 2%  
130 0.9% 2%  
131 0.2% 1.0%  
132 0.1% 0.8%  
133 0.5% 0.7%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations