Opinion Poll by Demoskop for Expressen, 2–9 January 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 27.8% | 26.4–29.3% | 26.0–29.7% | 25.7–30.0% | 25.0–30.7% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 22.6% | 21.3–24.0% | 20.9–24.4% | 20.6–24.7% | 20.0–25.4% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 17.9% | 16.8–19.2% | 16.4–19.6% | 16.1–19.9% | 15.6–20.5% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.3–10.2% | 8.1–10.5% | 7.9–10.7% | 7.5–11.2% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4–8.1% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.6% | 5.7–9.0% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9–5.3% | 3.7–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.3–6.0% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.8–5.1% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.2–5.9% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4–3.5% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.2% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5–2.4% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.2–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 105 | 99–111 | 97–114 | 96–115 | 94–119 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 84 | 80–91 | 79–92 | 77–93 | 75–98 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 66 | 63–72 | 63–74 | 62–76 | 60–79 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 35 | 31–39 | 31–40 | 30–41 | 28–43 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 28 | 25–31 | 23–32 | 23–32 | 21–34 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 17 | 0–20 | 0–21 | 0–21 | 0–23 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 16 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–20 | 0–22 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 96 | 2% | 98% | |
| 97 | 4% | 96% | |
| 98 | 3% | 93% | |
| 99 | 2% | 90% | |
| 100 | 4% | 88% | |
| 101 | 7% | 84% | |
| 102 | 8% | 77% | |
| 103 | 8% | 69% | |
| 104 | 10% | 61% | |
| 105 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 106 | 4% | 45% | |
| 107 | 11% | 41% | |
| 108 | 7% | 30% | |
| 109 | 6% | 23% | |
| 110 | 4% | 17% | |
| 111 | 4% | 13% | |
| 112 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 113 | 1.0% | 8% | Last Result |
| 114 | 3% | 7% | |
| 115 | 2% | 4% | |
| 116 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 79 | 3% | 96% | |
| 80 | 3% | 93% | |
| 81 | 8% | 90% | |
| 82 | 11% | 82% | |
| 83 | 9% | 70% | |
| 84 | 13% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 85 | 3% | 48% | |
| 86 | 16% | 46% | |
| 87 | 4% | 29% | |
| 88 | 7% | 25% | |
| 89 | 5% | 18% | |
| 90 | 2% | 13% | |
| 91 | 3% | 11% | |
| 92 | 4% | 8% | |
| 93 | 2% | 4% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 9% | 95% | |
| 64 | 11% | 86% | |
| 65 | 21% | 75% | |
| 66 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 67 | 11% | 44% | |
| 68 | 8% | 33% | |
| 69 | 5% | 25% | |
| 70 | 4% | 20% | |
| 71 | 3% | 16% | |
| 72 | 4% | 13% | |
| 73 | 3% | 9% | |
| 74 | 2% | 7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 30 | 2% | 98% | |
| 31 | 8% | 95% | |
| 32 | 14% | 87% | |
| 33 | 9% | 73% | |
| 34 | 11% | 64% | |
| 35 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 36 | 9% | 43% | |
| 37 | 11% | 35% | |
| 38 | 13% | 24% | |
| 39 | 4% | 11% | |
| 40 | 4% | 7% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 22 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 23 | 3% | 98% | |
| 24 | 4% | 94% | |
| 25 | 5% | 90% | |
| 26 | 10% | 85% | |
| 27 | 15% | 75% | |
| 28 | 20% | 60% | Median |
| 29 | 20% | 40% | |
| 30 | 8% | 20% | |
| 31 | 6% | 12% | |
| 32 | 4% | 6% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 90% | |
| 2 | 0% | 90% | |
| 3 | 0% | 90% | |
| 4 | 0% | 90% | |
| 5 | 0% | 90% | |
| 6 | 0% | 90% | |
| 7 | 0% | 90% | |
| 8 | 0% | 90% | |
| 9 | 0% | 90% | |
| 10 | 0% | 90% | |
| 11 | 0% | 90% | |
| 12 | 0% | 90% | |
| 13 | 0% | 90% | |
| 14 | 0% | 90% | |
| 15 | 13% | 90% | |
| 16 | 16% | 77% | |
| 17 | 17% | 60% | Median |
| 18 | 18% | 43% | |
| 19 | 13% | 25% | Last Result |
| 20 | 7% | 12% | |
| 21 | 3% | 5% | |
| 22 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 78% | |
| 2 | 0% | 78% | |
| 3 | 0% | 78% | |
| 4 | 0% | 78% | |
| 5 | 0% | 78% | |
| 6 | 0% | 78% | |
| 7 | 0% | 78% | |
| 8 | 0% | 78% | |
| 9 | 0% | 78% | |
| 10 | 0% | 78% | |
| 11 | 0% | 78% | |
| 12 | 0% | 78% | |
| 13 | 0% | 78% | |
| 14 | 0% | 78% | |
| 15 | 11% | 78% | |
| 16 | 18% | 67% | Median |
| 17 | 21% | 50% | |
| 18 | 12% | 29% | |
| 19 | 7% | 17% | |
| 20 | 7% | 9% | |
| 21 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.6% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 223 | 100% | 217–237 | 216–238 | 213–240 | 209–247 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 189 | 99.6% | 182–199 | 180–201 | 179–204 | 175–209 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 151 | 0.2% | 145–160 | 144–162 | 143–165 | 140–170 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 133 | 151 | 0.1% | 145–160 | 144–162 | 142–165 | 140–169 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 147 | 0% | 137–155 | 135–155 | 132–158 | 128–163 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 147 | 0% | 137–155 | 135–155 | 132–158 | 128–163 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 135 | 0% | 128–145 | 126–146 | 122–149 | 116–152 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 135 | 0% | 128–144 | 125–146 | 122–148 | 116–151 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 133 | 0% | 126–140 | 124–142 | 122–144 | 119–148 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 119 | 0% | 114–128 | 112–129 | 111–132 | 108–136 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 119 | 0% | 114–127 | 112–128 | 111–131 | 108–136 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 120 | 0% | 108–126 | 105–128 | 103–129 | 100–135 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 205 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 210 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 211 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 212 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 213 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 214 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 215 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 216 | 2% | 95% | |
| 217 | 6% | 93% | |
| 218 | 6% | 87% | |
| 219 | 7% | 82% | Last Result |
| 220 | 8% | 75% | |
| 221 | 5% | 67% | |
| 222 | 11% | 62% | |
| 223 | 3% | 51% | |
| 224 | 4% | 49% | Median |
| 225 | 10% | 45% | |
| 226 | 3% | 35% | |
| 227 | 1.3% | 32% | |
| 228 | 3% | 31% | |
| 229 | 1.3% | 28% | |
| 230 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 231 | 3% | 26% | |
| 232 | 3% | 23% | |
| 233 | 1.3% | 20% | |
| 234 | 4% | 19% | |
| 235 | 3% | 14% | |
| 236 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 237 | 2% | 10% | |
| 238 | 4% | 8% | |
| 239 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 240 | 2% | 4% | |
| 241 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 242 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 243 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 244 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 245 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 246 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 247 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 248 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 249 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 250 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 253 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 172 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 178 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 179 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 180 | 2% | 97% | |
| 181 | 3% | 95% | |
| 182 | 3% | 91% | |
| 183 | 2% | 89% | |
| 184 | 7% | 87% | |
| 185 | 6% | 79% | |
| 186 | 11% | 73% | |
| 187 | 5% | 62% | |
| 188 | 7% | 57% | |
| 189 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 190 | 6% | 49% | |
| 191 | 2% | 43% | |
| 192 | 5% | 40% | |
| 193 | 8% | 35% | |
| 194 | 2% | 28% | |
| 195 | 3% | 26% | |
| 196 | 3% | 23% | |
| 197 | 4% | 20% | Last Result |
| 198 | 4% | 16% | |
| 199 | 4% | 12% | |
| 200 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 201 | 4% | 8% | |
| 202 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 203 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 204 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 205 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 207 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 143 | 2% | 98% | |
| 144 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 145 | 7% | 95% | |
| 146 | 3% | 87% | |
| 147 | 11% | 84% | |
| 148 | 4% | 73% | |
| 149 | 10% | 69% | Last Result |
| 150 | 3% | 59% | Median |
| 151 | 12% | 56% | |
| 152 | 2% | 44% | |
| 153 | 6% | 42% | |
| 154 | 2% | 36% | |
| 155 | 6% | 34% | |
| 156 | 5% | 27% | |
| 157 | 4% | 22% | |
| 158 | 2% | 18% | |
| 159 | 3% | 16% | |
| 160 | 3% | 13% | |
| 161 | 4% | 10% | |
| 162 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 163 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 164 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 165 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 166 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 142 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 143 | 2% | 97% | |
| 144 | 2% | 96% | |
| 145 | 7% | 94% | |
| 146 | 3% | 87% | |
| 147 | 11% | 83% | |
| 148 | 4% | 72% | |
| 149 | 10% | 68% | |
| 150 | 3% | 58% | Median |
| 151 | 12% | 55% | |
| 152 | 2% | 43% | |
| 153 | 6% | 41% | |
| 154 | 2% | 34% | |
| 155 | 6% | 33% | |
| 156 | 5% | 26% | |
| 157 | 4% | 21% | |
| 158 | 2% | 17% | |
| 159 | 3% | 15% | |
| 160 | 3% | 12% | |
| 161 | 4% | 9% | |
| 162 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 163 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 165 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 166 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 132 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 134 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 135 | 3% | 95% | |
| 136 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 137 | 4% | 91% | |
| 138 | 2% | 87% | |
| 139 | 2% | 85% | |
| 140 | 5% | 84% | |
| 141 | 2% | 79% | |
| 142 | 4% | 77% | |
| 143 | 6% | 73% | |
| 144 | 3% | 66% | |
| 145 | 5% | 63% | |
| 146 | 6% | 59% | |
| 147 | 7% | 53% | |
| 148 | 2% | 47% | |
| 149 | 8% | 44% | Median |
| 150 | 2% | 36% | |
| 151 | 10% | 34% | |
| 152 | 6% | 23% | |
| 153 | 5% | 17% | |
| 154 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 155 | 6% | 11% | |
| 156 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 157 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 158 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 159 | 0.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 132 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 134 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 135 | 3% | 95% | |
| 136 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 137 | 4% | 91% | |
| 138 | 2% | 87% | |
| 139 | 2% | 85% | |
| 140 | 5% | 84% | |
| 141 | 2% | 79% | |
| 142 | 4% | 77% | |
| 143 | 6% | 73% | |
| 144 | 3% | 66% | |
| 145 | 5% | 63% | |
| 146 | 6% | 59% | |
| 147 | 7% | 53% | |
| 148 | 2% | 47% | |
| 149 | 8% | 44% | Median |
| 150 | 2% | 36% | |
| 151 | 10% | 34% | |
| 152 | 6% | 23% | |
| 153 | 5% | 17% | |
| 154 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 155 | 6% | 11% | |
| 156 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 157 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 158 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 159 | 0.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 120 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 123 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 124 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 125 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 126 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 127 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 128 | 3% | 93% | |
| 129 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 130 | 4% | 88% | |
| 131 | 5% | 85% | |
| 132 | 8% | 80% | |
| 133 | 10% | 72% | |
| 134 | 6% | 62% | |
| 135 | 6% | 56% | |
| 136 | 7% | 49% | Median |
| 137 | 6% | 43% | |
| 138 | 3% | 37% | |
| 139 | 8% | 34% | |
| 140 | 3% | 26% | |
| 141 | 4% | 22% | Last Result |
| 142 | 4% | 18% | |
| 143 | 1.1% | 14% | |
| 144 | 3% | 13% | |
| 145 | 4% | 10% | |
| 146 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 147 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 148 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 149 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 120 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 123 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 124 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 125 | 0.8% | 96% | Last Result |
| 126 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 127 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 128 | 3% | 93% | |
| 129 | 1.4% | 89% | |
| 130 | 4% | 88% | |
| 131 | 5% | 84% | |
| 132 | 8% | 79% | |
| 133 | 10% | 71% | |
| 134 | 6% | 61% | |
| 135 | 6% | 55% | |
| 136 | 7% | 48% | Median |
| 137 | 6% | 41% | |
| 138 | 3% | 35% | |
| 139 | 8% | 33% | |
| 140 | 3% | 24% | |
| 141 | 4% | 21% | |
| 142 | 4% | 17% | |
| 143 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 144 | 2% | 12% | |
| 145 | 4% | 9% | |
| 146 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 147 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 149 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 122 | 1.5% | 98.8% | |
| 123 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 124 | 2% | 96% | |
| 125 | 3% | 94% | |
| 126 | 2% | 91% | |
| 127 | 6% | 88% | |
| 128 | 5% | 82% | |
| 129 | 6% | 77% | |
| 130 | 5% | 71% | |
| 131 | 4% | 66% | |
| 132 | 11% | 62% | |
| 133 | 4% | 51% | Median |
| 134 | 4% | 46% | Last Result |
| 135 | 6% | 42% | |
| 136 | 9% | 36% | |
| 137 | 10% | 26% | |
| 138 | 3% | 16% | |
| 139 | 2% | 13% | |
| 140 | 4% | 11% | |
| 141 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 142 | 2% | 6% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 145 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 110 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 112 | 3% | 97% | |
| 113 | 2% | 94% | |
| 114 | 5% | 92% | |
| 115 | 4% | 87% | |
| 116 | 11% | 83% | |
| 117 | 7% | 72% | |
| 118 | 11% | 65% | |
| 119 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 120 | 6% | 47% | |
| 121 | 6% | 41% | |
| 122 | 3% | 35% | Last Result |
| 123 | 3% | 31% | |
| 124 | 6% | 29% | |
| 125 | 4% | 22% | |
| 126 | 3% | 18% | |
| 127 | 5% | 16% | |
| 128 | 5% | 11% | |
| 129 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 131 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 133 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 136 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 107 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 109 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 112 | 3% | 97% | |
| 113 | 2% | 94% | |
| 114 | 5% | 91% | |
| 115 | 4% | 86% | |
| 116 | 11% | 82% | |
| 117 | 7% | 71% | |
| 118 | 12% | 65% | |
| 119 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 120 | 6% | 46% | |
| 121 | 6% | 40% | |
| 122 | 3% | 33% | |
| 123 | 3% | 30% | |
| 124 | 6% | 28% | |
| 125 | 4% | 21% | |
| 126 | 3% | 17% | |
| 127 | 5% | 15% | |
| 128 | 5% | 10% | |
| 129 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 130 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 131 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 103 | 2% | 98% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 105 | 3% | 96% | |
| 106 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 107 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 108 | 2% | 92% | |
| 109 | 2% | 90% | |
| 110 | 1.5% | 87% | |
| 111 | 2% | 86% | |
| 112 | 1.1% | 84% | |
| 113 | 2% | 82% | |
| 114 | 5% | 80% | |
| 115 | 4% | 76% | |
| 116 | 6% | 72% | |
| 117 | 3% | 66% | |
| 118 | 6% | 63% | |
| 119 | 7% | 57% | |
| 120 | 8% | 50% | |
| 121 | 4% | 43% | Median |
| 122 | 11% | 39% | |
| 123 | 4% | 28% | |
| 124 | 6% | 24% | |
| 125 | 4% | 18% | |
| 126 | 4% | 14% | |
| 127 | 4% | 10% | |
| 128 | 2% | 5% | |
| 129 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 139 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): Expressen
- Fieldwork period: 2–9 January 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1612
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.72%