Opinion Poll by Sentio for Nyheter Idag, 12–16 January 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 27.0% | 25.4–28.7% | 25.0–29.2% | 24.6–29.6% | 23.8–30.5% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 22.2% | 20.7–23.8% | 20.3–24.2% | 19.9–24.6% | 19.2–25.4% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 19.9% | 18.5–21.4% | 18.1–21.9% | 17.7–22.3% | 17.1–23.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.6–9.7% | 7.3–10.0% | 7.1–10.3% | 6.7–10.9% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3–8.2% | 6.0–8.5% | 5.8–8.7% | 5.4–9.3% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.2–4.6% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.0% | 2.6–5.4% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.7–4.8% | 2.4–5.2% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.9–3.8% | 1.7–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 108 | 100–115 | 98–117 | 95–119 | 93–121 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 89 | 81–95 | 79–97 | 78–98 | 75–101 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 80 | 73–86 | 71–88 | 69–89 | 66–92 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 34 | 30–38 | 29–40 | 28–40 | 26–43 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 28 | 24–33 | 23–34 | 23–34 | 21–37 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 0 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–19 | 0–21 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 0 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–20 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–17 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–16 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 95 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 96 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 98 | 2% | 96% | |
| 99 | 2% | 94% | |
| 100 | 3% | 91% | |
| 101 | 4% | 88% | |
| 102 | 4% | 84% | |
| 103 | 4% | 81% | |
| 104 | 4% | 76% | |
| 105 | 5% | 73% | |
| 106 | 6% | 68% | |
| 107 | 4% | 62% | |
| 108 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 109 | 3% | 47% | |
| 110 | 5% | 44% | |
| 111 | 16% | 39% | |
| 112 | 4% | 23% | |
| 113 | 3% | 19% | Last Result |
| 114 | 5% | 15% | |
| 115 | 2% | 11% | |
| 116 | 3% | 9% | |
| 117 | 2% | 6% | |
| 118 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 119 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 120 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 78 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 79 | 3% | 97% | |
| 80 | 3% | 94% | |
| 81 | 3% | 91% | |
| 82 | 3% | 88% | |
| 83 | 2% | 85% | |
| 84 | 3% | 82% | |
| 85 | 7% | 79% | |
| 86 | 8% | 72% | |
| 87 | 5% | 64% | |
| 88 | 6% | 60% | |
| 89 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 90 | 7% | 47% | |
| 91 | 18% | 40% | |
| 92 | 5% | 21% | |
| 93 | 2% | 16% | |
| 94 | 3% | 14% | |
| 95 | 4% | 11% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 97 | 2% | 6% | |
| 98 | 2% | 4% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 71 | 3% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 94% | |
| 73 | 4% | 92% | |
| 74 | 3% | 89% | |
| 75 | 7% | 85% | |
| 76 | 6% | 78% | |
| 77 | 9% | 72% | |
| 78 | 4% | 63% | |
| 79 | 8% | 59% | |
| 80 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 81 | 6% | 43% | |
| 82 | 3% | 36% | |
| 83 | 4% | 33% | |
| 84 | 2% | 30% | Last Result |
| 85 | 4% | 28% | |
| 86 | 15% | 24% | |
| 87 | 3% | 9% | |
| 88 | 3% | 6% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 29 | 5% | 97% | |
| 30 | 4% | 92% | |
| 31 | 8% | 88% | |
| 32 | 10% | 80% | |
| 33 | 8% | 70% | |
| 34 | 28% | 62% | Median |
| 35 | 6% | 34% | |
| 36 | 7% | 28% | |
| 37 | 5% | 21% | |
| 38 | 6% | 16% | |
| 39 | 4% | 10% | |
| 40 | 3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 23 | 4% | 98% | |
| 24 | 4% | 94% | |
| 25 | 4% | 90% | |
| 26 | 9% | 86% | |
| 27 | 22% | 77% | |
| 28 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 29 | 11% | 43% | |
| 30 | 11% | 32% | |
| 31 | 8% | 22% | |
| 32 | 3% | 14% | |
| 33 | 5% | 11% | |
| 34 | 4% | 6% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 67% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 33% | |
| 2 | 0% | 33% | |
| 3 | 0% | 33% | |
| 4 | 0% | 33% | |
| 5 | 0% | 33% | |
| 6 | 0% | 33% | |
| 7 | 0% | 33% | |
| 8 | 0% | 33% | |
| 9 | 0% | 33% | |
| 10 | 0% | 33% | |
| 11 | 0% | 33% | |
| 12 | 0% | 33% | |
| 13 | 0% | 33% | |
| 14 | 0% | 33% | |
| 15 | 3% | 33% | |
| 16 | 7% | 31% | |
| 17 | 9% | 24% | |
| 18 | 10% | 15% | |
| 19 | 3% | 5% | |
| 20 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 75% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 25% | |
| 2 | 0% | 25% | |
| 3 | 0% | 25% | |
| 4 | 0% | 25% | |
| 5 | 0% | 25% | |
| 6 | 0% | 25% | |
| 7 | 0% | 25% | |
| 8 | 0% | 25% | |
| 9 | 0% | 25% | |
| 10 | 0% | 25% | |
| 11 | 0% | 25% | |
| 12 | 0% | 25% | |
| 13 | 0% | 25% | |
| 14 | 0% | 25% | |
| 15 | 3% | 25% | |
| 16 | 13% | 22% | |
| 17 | 4% | 9% | |
| 18 | 3% | 5% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 2% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 4% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 17 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.2% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 187 | 94% | 176–197 | 173–200 | 170–202 | 166–205 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 133 | 168 | 27% | 158–177 | 155–178 | 153–181 | 148–185 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 141 | 0% | 132–154 | 130–156 | 128–158 | 123–162 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 141 | 0% | 132–154 | 130–156 | 128–158 | 123–161 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 138 | 0% | 127–144 | 124–147 | 122–148 | 119–152 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 120 | 0% | 109–129 | 106–132 | 105–134 | 102–141 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 119 | 0% | 109–127 | 105–130 | 104–132 | 101–137 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 115 | 0% | 106–122 | 104–124 | 102–128 | 97–132 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 112 | 0% | 103–126 | 101–127 | 100–128 | 95–133 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 114 | 0% | 106–120 | 104–122 | 102–125 | 97–129 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 170 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 171 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 172 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 173 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 174 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 175 | 2% | 94% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 92% | |
| 177 | 2% | 89% | |
| 178 | 2% | 88% | |
| 179 | 1.5% | 86% | |
| 180 | 4% | 84% | |
| 181 | 2% | 80% | |
| 182 | 6% | 78% | |
| 183 | 9% | 72% | |
| 184 | 3% | 63% | |
| 185 | 4% | 61% | |
| 186 | 4% | 57% | |
| 187 | 3% | 52% | |
| 188 | 3% | 49% | Median |
| 189 | 4% | 46% | |
| 190 | 1.0% | 42% | |
| 191 | 4% | 41% | |
| 192 | 3% | 37% | |
| 193 | 3% | 35% | |
| 194 | 3% | 31% | |
| 195 | 3% | 29% | |
| 196 | 1.2% | 26% | |
| 197 | 16% | 25% | Last Result |
| 198 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 199 | 2% | 9% | |
| 200 | 3% | 7% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 202 | 2% | 4% | |
| 203 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 205 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 150 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 152 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 154 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 155 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 156 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 157 | 2% | 93% | |
| 158 | 2% | 91% | |
| 159 | 2% | 89% | |
| 160 | 2% | 87% | |
| 161 | 5% | 85% | |
| 162 | 5% | 80% | |
| 163 | 5% | 75% | |
| 164 | 4% | 70% | |
| 165 | 2% | 66% | |
| 166 | 7% | 64% | |
| 167 | 5% | 57% | |
| 168 | 4% | 51% | |
| 169 | 3% | 47% | Median |
| 170 | 3% | 45% | |
| 171 | 4% | 42% | |
| 172 | 3% | 38% | |
| 173 | 5% | 35% | |
| 174 | 3% | 30% | |
| 175 | 2% | 27% | Majority |
| 176 | 1.3% | 25% | |
| 177 | 17% | 24% | |
| 178 | 2% | 6% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 181 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 182 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 128 | 2% | 98% | |
| 129 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 131 | 3% | 95% | |
| 132 | 2% | 92% | |
| 133 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 134 | 3% | 89% | |
| 135 | 8% | 86% | |
| 136 | 1.3% | 78% | Median |
| 137 | 2% | 77% | |
| 138 | 17% | 75% | |
| 139 | 5% | 58% | |
| 140 | 1.3% | 53% | |
| 141 | 5% | 52% | |
| 142 | 5% | 47% | |
| 143 | 3% | 42% | |
| 144 | 6% | 39% | |
| 145 | 4% | 33% | |
| 146 | 2% | 30% | |
| 147 | 2% | 28% | |
| 148 | 4% | 26% | |
| 149 | 2% | 21% | |
| 150 | 2% | 19% | |
| 151 | 2% | 17% | |
| 152 | 1.1% | 15% | |
| 153 | 1.3% | 14% | |
| 154 | 4% | 12% | |
| 155 | 2% | 9% | |
| 156 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 157 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 158 | 2% | 4% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 160 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 128 | 2% | 98% | |
| 129 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 131 | 3% | 95% | |
| 132 | 2% | 92% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 134 | 3% | 89% | |
| 135 | 8% | 86% | |
| 136 | 1.3% | 78% | Median |
| 137 | 2% | 77% | |
| 138 | 17% | 74% | |
| 139 | 5% | 57% | |
| 140 | 1.3% | 53% | |
| 141 | 5% | 51% | |
| 142 | 5% | 46% | |
| 143 | 3% | 42% | |
| 144 | 6% | 39% | |
| 145 | 4% | 33% | |
| 146 | 2% | 29% | |
| 147 | 2% | 27% | |
| 148 | 4% | 25% | |
| 149 | 2% | 21% | |
| 150 | 2% | 19% | |
| 151 | 2% | 17% | |
| 152 | 1.1% | 15% | |
| 153 | 1.4% | 14% | |
| 154 | 4% | 12% | |
| 155 | 2% | 8% | |
| 156 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 158 | 2% | 4% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 160 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 119 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 122 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 123 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 124 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 125 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 126 | 2% | 94% | |
| 127 | 2% | 92% | |
| 128 | 5% | 90% | |
| 129 | 2% | 85% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 83% | |
| 131 | 6% | 82% | |
| 132 | 3% | 76% | |
| 133 | 2% | 73% | |
| 134 | 4% | 71% | Last Result |
| 135 | 9% | 67% | |
| 136 | 5% | 57% | Median |
| 137 | 1.5% | 52% | |
| 138 | 19% | 50% | |
| 139 | 5% | 31% | |
| 140 | 1.1% | 26% | |
| 141 | 6% | 25% | |
| 142 | 5% | 20% | |
| 143 | 3% | 15% | |
| 144 | 4% | 12% | |
| 145 | 2% | 8% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 147 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 148 | 2% | 4% | |
| 149 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 104 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 105 | 2% | 98% | |
| 106 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 107 | 2% | 94% | |
| 108 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 109 | 5% | 92% | |
| 110 | 2% | 86% | |
| 111 | 3% | 84% | |
| 112 | 2% | 81% | |
| 113 | 5% | 79% | |
| 114 | 3% | 74% | Median |
| 115 | 4% | 71% | |
| 116 | 4% | 67% | |
| 117 | 4% | 63% | |
| 118 | 6% | 60% | |
| 119 | 3% | 54% | |
| 120 | 18% | 51% | |
| 121 | 2% | 33% | |
| 122 | 4% | 31% | |
| 123 | 2% | 26% | |
| 124 | 2% | 25% | |
| 125 | 5% | 22% | |
| 126 | 3% | 17% | |
| 127 | 2% | 14% | |
| 128 | 2% | 12% | |
| 129 | 1.5% | 10% | |
| 130 | 2% | 9% | |
| 131 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 132 | 2% | 6% | |
| 133 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 134 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 142 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 104 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 105 | 2% | 97% | |
| 106 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 107 | 2% | 94% | |
| 108 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 109 | 5% | 91% | |
| 110 | 3% | 86% | |
| 111 | 3% | 83% | |
| 112 | 3% | 80% | |
| 113 | 5% | 77% | |
| 114 | 3% | 73% | Median |
| 115 | 5% | 70% | |
| 116 | 4% | 65% | |
| 117 | 4% | 61% | |
| 118 | 6% | 57% | |
| 119 | 3% | 51% | |
| 120 | 18% | 48% | |
| 121 | 2% | 30% | |
| 122 | 4% | 28% | |
| 123 | 2% | 23% | |
| 124 | 2% | 22% | |
| 125 | 5% | 19% | Last Result |
| 126 | 3% | 14% | |
| 127 | 2% | 11% | |
| 128 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 129 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 130 | 2% | 7% | |
| 131 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 132 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 102 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 104 | 2% | 96% | |
| 105 | 3% | 95% | |
| 106 | 2% | 92% | |
| 107 | 3% | 90% | |
| 108 | 3% | 87% | |
| 109 | 10% | 84% | |
| 110 | 4% | 73% | |
| 111 | 4% | 69% | |
| 112 | 3% | 66% | |
| 113 | 5% | 62% | |
| 114 | 4% | 57% | Median |
| 115 | 5% | 53% | |
| 116 | 5% | 48% | |
| 117 | 5% | 43% | |
| 118 | 6% | 38% | |
| 119 | 3% | 32% | |
| 120 | 18% | 30% | |
| 121 | 2% | 12% | |
| 122 | 4% | 10% | Last Result |
| 123 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 124 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 125 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 126 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 127 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 128 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 129 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 100 | 2% | 98% | |
| 101 | 2% | 96% | |
| 102 | 2% | 94% | |
| 103 | 4% | 92% | |
| 104 | 2% | 89% | |
| 105 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 106 | 5% | 86% | |
| 107 | 3% | 81% | |
| 108 | 3% | 78% | Median |
| 109 | 3% | 75% | |
| 110 | 3% | 72% | |
| 111 | 16% | 69% | |
| 112 | 4% | 53% | |
| 113 | 4% | 49% | |
| 114 | 6% | 45% | |
| 115 | 3% | 39% | |
| 116 | 4% | 36% | |
| 117 | 3% | 32% | |
| 118 | 1.3% | 29% | |
| 119 | 2% | 28% | |
| 120 | 5% | 26% | |
| 121 | 3% | 21% | |
| 122 | 2% | 18% | |
| 123 | 1.0% | 16% | |
| 124 | 2% | 16% | |
| 125 | 2% | 13% | |
| 126 | 5% | 11% | |
| 127 | 3% | 6% | |
| 128 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 129 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 102 | 2% | 98% | |
| 103 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 104 | 2% | 95% | |
| 105 | 3% | 93% | |
| 106 | 2% | 90% | Last Result |
| 107 | 3% | 88% | |
| 108 | 3% | 85% | |
| 109 | 11% | 82% | |
| 110 | 5% | 71% | |
| 111 | 4% | 67% | |
| 112 | 3% | 63% | |
| 113 | 5% | 60% | |
| 114 | 4% | 54% | Median |
| 115 | 5% | 50% | |
| 116 | 5% | 45% | |
| 117 | 4% | 40% | |
| 118 | 6% | 36% | |
| 119 | 3% | 30% | |
| 120 | 18% | 27% | |
| 121 | 2% | 9% | |
| 122 | 4% | 8% | |
| 123 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 124 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 125 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): Nyheter Idag
- Fieldwork period: 12–16 January 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1191
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.78%