Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 8–18 January 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 27.7% | 26.5–29.0% | 26.2–29.3% | 25.9–29.6% | 25.3–30.3% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 24.4% | 23.2–25.6% | 22.9–25.9% | 22.6–26.2% | 22.1–26.8% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 16.2% | 15.2–17.2% | 14.9–17.5% | 14.7–17.8% | 14.2–18.3% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.0–9.6% | 7.8–9.8% | 7.7–10.1% | 7.3–10.5% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0–8.5% | 6.8–8.7% | 6.6–8.9% | 6.3–9.3% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5–5.8% | 4.4–5.9% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.0–6.4% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.5–4.9% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.3% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5–3.4% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–4.0% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8–2.5% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.4–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 104 | 99–109 | 98–111 | 97–113 | 94–116 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 92 | 87–99 | 85–100 | 84–100 | 81–102 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 60 | 57–65 | 56–66 | 55–67 | 54–70 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 33 | 30–36 | 29–37 | 29–39 | 27–40 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 29 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 25–34 | 24–35 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 19 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 0–24 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 15 | 0–18 | 0–18 | 0–18 | 0–20 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 97 | 3% | 98% | |
| 98 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 99 | 6% | 94% | |
| 100 | 4% | 88% | |
| 101 | 10% | 84% | |
| 102 | 15% | 74% | |
| 103 | 8% | 59% | |
| 104 | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 105 | 6% | 38% | |
| 106 | 5% | 32% | |
| 107 | 9% | 27% | |
| 108 | 4% | 18% | |
| 109 | 5% | 14% | |
| 110 | 2% | 9% | |
| 111 | 3% | 7% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 113 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 114 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 115 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98.5% | Last Result |
| 85 | 3% | 97% | |
| 86 | 2% | 94% | |
| 87 | 4% | 93% | |
| 88 | 9% | 89% | |
| 89 | 6% | 80% | |
| 90 | 4% | 74% | |
| 91 | 12% | 70% | |
| 92 | 19% | 58% | Median |
| 93 | 5% | 39% | |
| 94 | 4% | 33% | |
| 95 | 7% | 29% | |
| 96 | 5% | 22% | |
| 97 | 4% | 17% | |
| 98 | 2% | 13% | |
| 99 | 3% | 11% | |
| 100 | 7% | 8% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 56 | 4% | 96% | |
| 57 | 4% | 92% | |
| 58 | 9% | 89% | |
| 59 | 19% | 80% | |
| 60 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 61 | 10% | 49% | |
| 62 | 9% | 39% | |
| 63 | 16% | 31% | |
| 64 | 4% | 15% | |
| 65 | 3% | 11% | |
| 66 | 4% | 8% | |
| 67 | 3% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 29 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 30 | 11% | 95% | |
| 31 | 4% | 84% | |
| 32 | 24% | 80% | |
| 33 | 16% | 56% | Median |
| 34 | 8% | 40% | |
| 35 | 13% | 31% | |
| 36 | 9% | 19% | |
| 37 | 4% | 9% | |
| 38 | 2% | 5% | |
| 39 | 2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 26 | 6% | 93% | |
| 27 | 9% | 87% | |
| 28 | 18% | 79% | |
| 29 | 17% | 61% | Median |
| 30 | 23% | 44% | |
| 31 | 10% | 21% | |
| 32 | 5% | 11% | |
| 33 | 3% | 6% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 35 | 2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 17 | 12% | 95% | |
| 18 | 14% | 83% | |
| 19 | 29% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 20 | 14% | 40% | |
| 21 | 11% | 26% | |
| 22 | 10% | 14% | |
| 23 | 3% | 4% | |
| 24 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 36% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 64% | |
| 2 | 0% | 64% | |
| 3 | 0% | 64% | |
| 4 | 0% | 64% | |
| 5 | 0% | 64% | |
| 6 | 0% | 64% | |
| 7 | 0% | 64% | |
| 8 | 0% | 64% | |
| 9 | 0% | 64% | |
| 10 | 0% | 64% | |
| 11 | 0% | 64% | |
| 12 | 0% | 64% | |
| 13 | 0% | 64% | |
| 14 | 0% | 64% | |
| 15 | 20% | 64% | Median |
| 16 | 21% | 44% | |
| 17 | 12% | 22% | |
| 18 | 9% | 11% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 227 | 100% | 221–240 | 220–241 | 219–242 | 217–245 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 195 | 100% | 189–207 | 187–207 | 186–208 | 184–211 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 152 | 0% | 147–160 | 145–162 | 143–163 | 141–166 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 133 | 152 | 0% | 147–160 | 145–162 | 143–163 | 141–166 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 144 | 0% | 138–152 | 136–153 | 135–154 | 132–157 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 144 | 0% | 138–152 | 136–153 | 135–154 | 132–157 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 144 | 0% | 135–150 | 133–152 | 131–154 | 129–157 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 144 | 0% | 135–150 | 133–152 | 131–154 | 129–157 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 132 | 0% | 127–140 | 126–142 | 125–143 | 122–148 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 126 | 0% | 119–133 | 117–133 | 116–134 | 114–137 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 125 | 0% | 118–133 | 117–133 | 116–134 | 114–137 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 117 | 0% | 105–121 | 103–123 | 101–125 | 99–128 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 213 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 214 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 217 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 218 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 219 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 220 | 2% | 96% | |
| 221 | 4% | 94% | |
| 222 | 4% | 89% | |
| 223 | 7% | 86% | |
| 224 | 9% | 79% | |
| 225 | 3% | 70% | |
| 226 | 12% | 66% | |
| 227 | 4% | 54% | |
| 228 | 2% | 50% | |
| 229 | 2% | 48% | Median |
| 230 | 7% | 46% | |
| 231 | 3% | 38% | |
| 232 | 2% | 36% | |
| 233 | 2% | 33% | |
| 234 | 3% | 32% | |
| 235 | 4% | 28% | |
| 236 | 4% | 24% | |
| 237 | 3% | 20% | |
| 238 | 2% | 17% | |
| 239 | 2% | 15% | |
| 240 | 7% | 13% | |
| 241 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 242 | 2% | 5% | |
| 243 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 244 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 245 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 246 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 247 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 248 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 184 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 185 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 186 | 2% | 98% | |
| 187 | 3% | 97% | |
| 188 | 3% | 94% | |
| 189 | 4% | 91% | |
| 190 | 5% | 87% | |
| 191 | 4% | 82% | |
| 192 | 7% | 78% | |
| 193 | 7% | 71% | |
| 194 | 12% | 64% | |
| 195 | 8% | 52% | |
| 196 | 4% | 44% | Median |
| 197 | 5% | 40% | Last Result |
| 198 | 2% | 36% | |
| 199 | 4% | 33% | |
| 200 | 5% | 30% | |
| 201 | 2% | 25% | |
| 202 | 4% | 23% | |
| 203 | 3% | 19% | |
| 204 | 1.4% | 16% | |
| 205 | 3% | 15% | |
| 206 | 2% | 12% | |
| 207 | 7% | 10% | |
| 208 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 209 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 210 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 211 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 142 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 145 | 3% | 97% | |
| 146 | 3% | 94% | |
| 147 | 2% | 91% | |
| 148 | 7% | 89% | |
| 149 | 4% | 81% | Last Result |
| 150 | 8% | 77% | |
| 151 | 14% | 69% | |
| 152 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 153 | 5% | 49% | |
| 154 | 9% | 44% | |
| 155 | 7% | 36% | |
| 156 | 3% | 29% | |
| 157 | 3% | 26% | |
| 158 | 6% | 22% | |
| 159 | 2% | 16% | |
| 160 | 7% | 14% | |
| 161 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 162 | 3% | 6% | |
| 163 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 166 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 142 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 145 | 3% | 97% | |
| 146 | 3% | 94% | |
| 147 | 2% | 91% | |
| 148 | 7% | 89% | |
| 149 | 4% | 81% | |
| 150 | 8% | 77% | |
| 151 | 14% | 69% | |
| 152 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 153 | 5% | 49% | |
| 154 | 9% | 44% | |
| 155 | 7% | 36% | |
| 156 | 3% | 28% | |
| 157 | 3% | 25% | |
| 158 | 6% | 22% | |
| 159 | 2% | 16% | |
| 160 | 7% | 14% | |
| 161 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 162 | 3% | 6% | |
| 163 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 166 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 133 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 135 | 2% | 98% | |
| 136 | 2% | 96% | |
| 137 | 3% | 95% | |
| 138 | 2% | 91% | |
| 139 | 1.5% | 89% | |
| 140 | 13% | 88% | |
| 141 | 4% | 74% | Last Result |
| 142 | 3% | 71% | |
| 143 | 15% | 68% | |
| 144 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 145 | 8% | 46% | |
| 146 | 4% | 38% | |
| 147 | 4% | 34% | |
| 148 | 3% | 30% | |
| 149 | 3% | 27% | |
| 150 | 4% | 24% | |
| 151 | 2% | 20% | |
| 152 | 9% | 18% | |
| 153 | 5% | 9% | |
| 154 | 2% | 5% | |
| 155 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 126 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 133 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 135 | 2% | 98% | |
| 136 | 2% | 96% | |
| 137 | 3% | 94% | |
| 138 | 2% | 91% | |
| 139 | 1.5% | 89% | |
| 140 | 13% | 88% | |
| 141 | 4% | 74% | |
| 142 | 3% | 71% | |
| 143 | 15% | 67% | |
| 144 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 145 | 8% | 46% | |
| 146 | 4% | 38% | |
| 147 | 4% | 34% | |
| 148 | 3% | 30% | |
| 149 | 3% | 26% | |
| 150 | 4% | 24% | |
| 151 | 2% | 20% | |
| 152 | 9% | 18% | |
| 153 | 5% | 9% | |
| 154 | 2% | 4% | |
| 155 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 130 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 131 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 132 | 2% | 97% | |
| 133 | 3% | 95% | |
| 134 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 135 | 2% | 91% | |
| 136 | 2% | 89% | |
| 137 | 9% | 87% | |
| 138 | 3% | 78% | |
| 139 | 3% | 76% | |
| 140 | 3% | 73% | |
| 141 | 2% | 69% | |
| 142 | 4% | 68% | |
| 143 | 8% | 64% | |
| 144 | 6% | 55% | |
| 145 | 4% | 49% | |
| 146 | 9% | 45% | |
| 147 | 12% | 36% | |
| 148 | 3% | 24% | Median |
| 149 | 4% | 20% | |
| 150 | 7% | 16% | |
| 151 | 3% | 9% | |
| 152 | 2% | 7% | |
| 153 | 2% | 5% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 155 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 130 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 131 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 132 | 2% | 97% | |
| 133 | 3% | 95% | |
| 134 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 135 | 2% | 91% | |
| 136 | 2% | 89% | |
| 137 | 9% | 87% | |
| 138 | 3% | 78% | |
| 139 | 3% | 76% | |
| 140 | 3% | 73% | |
| 141 | 2% | 69% | |
| 142 | 4% | 68% | |
| 143 | 8% | 64% | |
| 144 | 6% | 55% | |
| 145 | 4% | 49% | |
| 146 | 9% | 45% | |
| 147 | 12% | 36% | |
| 148 | 3% | 24% | Median |
| 149 | 4% | 20% | |
| 150 | 7% | 16% | |
| 151 | 3% | 9% | |
| 152 | 2% | 7% | |
| 153 | 2% | 5% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 155 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 124 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 126 | 3% | 97% | |
| 127 | 7% | 95% | |
| 128 | 5% | 87% | |
| 129 | 5% | 83% | |
| 130 | 10% | 78% | |
| 131 | 7% | 68% | |
| 132 | 13% | 61% | |
| 133 | 10% | 48% | Median |
| 134 | 3% | 38% | Last Result |
| 135 | 3% | 34% | |
| 136 | 4% | 31% | |
| 137 | 10% | 28% | |
| 138 | 3% | 17% | |
| 139 | 4% | 14% | |
| 140 | 3% | 10% | |
| 141 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 142 | 2% | 6% | |
| 143 | 2% | 4% | |
| 144 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 116 | 2% | 98% | |
| 117 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 118 | 4% | 95% | |
| 119 | 5% | 90% | |
| 120 | 4% | 85% | |
| 121 | 3% | 81% | |
| 122 | 4% | 78% | Last Result |
| 123 | 9% | 74% | |
| 124 | 13% | 65% | |
| 125 | 2% | 52% | Median |
| 126 | 7% | 50% | |
| 127 | 7% | 43% | |
| 128 | 6% | 36% | |
| 129 | 6% | 29% | |
| 130 | 2% | 23% | |
| 131 | 5% | 21% | |
| 132 | 3% | 16% | |
| 133 | 9% | 13% | |
| 134 | 2% | 3% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 116 | 2% | 98% | |
| 117 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 118 | 5% | 94% | |
| 119 | 5% | 90% | |
| 120 | 4% | 85% | |
| 121 | 3% | 81% | |
| 122 | 4% | 78% | |
| 123 | 9% | 74% | |
| 124 | 13% | 65% | |
| 125 | 2% | 52% | Median |
| 126 | 7% | 50% | |
| 127 | 7% | 43% | |
| 128 | 6% | 35% | |
| 129 | 6% | 29% | |
| 130 | 2% | 23% | |
| 131 | 5% | 21% | |
| 132 | 3% | 16% | |
| 133 | 9% | 12% | |
| 134 | 2% | 3% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 101 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 103 | 2% | 97% | |
| 104 | 2% | 95% | |
| 105 | 5% | 93% | |
| 106 | 3% | 88% | |
| 107 | 7% | 85% | |
| 108 | 3% | 78% | |
| 109 | 3% | 75% | |
| 110 | 2% | 72% | |
| 111 | 3% | 70% | |
| 112 | 1.1% | 67% | |
| 113 | 3% | 66% | |
| 114 | 3% | 63% | |
| 115 | 6% | 60% | |
| 116 | 2% | 54% | |
| 117 | 16% | 52% | |
| 118 | 8% | 35% | |
| 119 | 6% | 28% | Median |
| 120 | 3% | 22% | |
| 121 | 9% | 19% | |
| 122 | 3% | 10% | |
| 123 | 2% | 7% | |
| 124 | 2% | 5% | |
| 125 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 8–18 January 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 2196
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.13%