Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 10–21 January 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 28.0% | 26.6–29.4% | 26.2–29.9% | 25.9–30.2% | 25.2–30.9% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 25.0% | 23.7–26.4% | 23.3–26.8% | 23.0–27.2% | 22.3–27.8% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 16.0% | 14.9–17.2% | 14.5–17.5% | 14.3–17.8% | 13.8–18.4% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.2–10.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3–7.9% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.5–8.8% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.6% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.3% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 105 | 99–112 | 99–114 | 96–115 | 94–119 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 94 | 89–101 | 87–102 | 86–103 | 83–107 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 60 | 56–65 | 54–66 | 54–68 | 52–70 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 35 | 31–38 | 30–40 | 29–41 | 27–41 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 27 | 23–29 | 22–30 | 22–32 | 21–34 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 19 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–23 | 0–25 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 15 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–16 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 96 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 97 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 99 | 14% | 95% | |
| 100 | 4% | 81% | |
| 101 | 2% | 77% | |
| 102 | 7% | 74% | |
| 103 | 3% | 67% | |
| 104 | 11% | 64% | |
| 105 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 106 | 5% | 49% | |
| 107 | 8% | 44% | |
| 108 | 10% | 35% | |
| 109 | 4% | 25% | |
| 110 | 5% | 21% | |
| 111 | 3% | 16% | |
| 112 | 5% | 13% | |
| 113 | 3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 114 | 2% | 5% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 117 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 85 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 2% | 96% | |
| 88 | 3% | 94% | |
| 89 | 4% | 91% | |
| 90 | 11% | 88% | |
| 91 | 4% | 76% | |
| 92 | 14% | 72% | |
| 93 | 5% | 58% | |
| 94 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 95 | 12% | 48% | |
| 96 | 4% | 36% | |
| 97 | 8% | 32% | |
| 98 | 3% | 24% | |
| 99 | 3% | 21% | |
| 100 | 7% | 18% | |
| 101 | 5% | 12% | |
| 102 | 3% | 7% | |
| 103 | 2% | 4% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 54 | 5% | 98% | |
| 55 | 3% | 93% | |
| 56 | 5% | 91% | |
| 57 | 6% | 86% | |
| 58 | 6% | 79% | |
| 59 | 10% | 73% | |
| 60 | 19% | 63% | Median |
| 61 | 12% | 45% | |
| 62 | 9% | 33% | |
| 63 | 7% | 24% | |
| 64 | 3% | 17% | |
| 65 | 6% | 15% | |
| 66 | 4% | 9% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 29 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 30 | 6% | 96% | |
| 31 | 5% | 90% | |
| 32 | 8% | 85% | |
| 33 | 10% | 77% | |
| 34 | 15% | 67% | |
| 35 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 36 | 27% | 42% | |
| 37 | 5% | 15% | |
| 38 | 3% | 10% | |
| 39 | 2% | 7% | |
| 40 | 3% | 6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.9% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 22 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 23 | 11% | 95% | |
| 24 | 7% | 84% | |
| 25 | 10% | 77% | |
| 26 | 15% | 68% | |
| 27 | 20% | 53% | Median |
| 28 | 14% | 32% | |
| 29 | 10% | 19% | |
| 30 | 4% | 9% | |
| 31 | 2% | 5% | |
| 32 | 2% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98% | |
| 14 | 0% | 98% | |
| 15 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 16 | 7% | 97% | |
| 17 | 20% | 89% | |
| 18 | 8% | 70% | |
| 19 | 29% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 20 | 8% | 32% | |
| 21 | 12% | 24% | |
| 22 | 5% | 12% | |
| 23 | 6% | 7% | |
| 24 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 45% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 55% | |
| 2 | 0% | 55% | |
| 3 | 0% | 55% | |
| 4 | 0% | 55% | |
| 5 | 0% | 55% | |
| 6 | 0% | 55% | |
| 7 | 0% | 55% | |
| 8 | 0% | 55% | |
| 9 | 0% | 55% | |
| 10 | 0% | 55% | |
| 11 | 0% | 55% | |
| 12 | 0% | 55% | |
| 13 | 0% | 55% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 55% | |
| 15 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 16 | 18% | 46% | |
| 17 | 19% | 28% | |
| 18 | 6% | 9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.6% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 234 | 100% | 225–243 | 223–245 | 221–248 | 218–253 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 199 | 100% | 191–208 | 190–210 | 189–213 | 184–219 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 154 | 0.1% | 148–163 | 146–167 | 145–167 | 141–171 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 133 | 154 | 0.1% | 148–163 | 146–167 | 144–167 | 140–170 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 147 | 0% | 140–156 | 138–157 | 136–158 | 134–162 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 147 | 0% | 140–156 | 138–157 | 136–158 | 133–160 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 142 | 0% | 132–149 | 130–152 | 128–154 | 126–156 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 142 | 0% | 132–149 | 130–152 | 128–154 | 126–156 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 132 | 0% | 125–139 | 123–142 | 122–143 | 119–147 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 128 | 0% | 122–136 | 121–137 | 119–140 | 116–144 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 128 | 0% | 122–136 | 120–137 | 118–139 | 116–142 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 116 | 0% | 104–124 | 104–126 | 103–127 | 99–129 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 212 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 214 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 217 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 218 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 219 | 0.5% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 220 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 221 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 222 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 223 | 2% | 97% | |
| 224 | 2% | 95% | |
| 225 | 4% | 92% | |
| 226 | 2% | 89% | |
| 227 | 12% | 87% | |
| 228 | 4% | 75% | |
| 229 | 3% | 71% | |
| 230 | 3% | 68% | |
| 231 | 4% | 65% | |
| 232 | 7% | 61% | |
| 233 | 4% | 54% | |
| 234 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 235 | 2% | 46% | |
| 236 | 4% | 43% | |
| 237 | 6% | 40% | |
| 238 | 2% | 33% | |
| 239 | 2% | 31% | |
| 240 | 5% | 29% | |
| 241 | 5% | 24% | |
| 242 | 2% | 19% | |
| 243 | 9% | 16% | |
| 244 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 245 | 2% | 6% | |
| 246 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 247 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 248 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 249 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 250 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 251 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 252 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 253 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 255 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 256 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 260 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 261 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 263 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 179 | 0% | 100% | |
| 180 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 181 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 184 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 186 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 187 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 189 | 2% | 98% | |
| 190 | 2% | 96% | |
| 191 | 12% | 95% | |
| 192 | 1.4% | 82% | |
| 193 | 7% | 81% | |
| 194 | 3% | 74% | |
| 195 | 1.4% | 71% | |
| 196 | 4% | 70% | |
| 197 | 2% | 66% | Last Result |
| 198 | 11% | 64% | |
| 199 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 200 | 4% | 48% | |
| 201 | 5% | 44% | |
| 202 | 3% | 39% | |
| 203 | 5% | 36% | |
| 204 | 5% | 31% | |
| 205 | 3% | 27% | |
| 206 | 4% | 24% | |
| 207 | 8% | 20% | |
| 208 | 3% | 12% | |
| 209 | 3% | 9% | |
| 210 | 2% | 6% | |
| 211 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 212 | 2% | 4% | |
| 213 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 214 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 216 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 217 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 218 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 219 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 223 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 225 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 145 | 2% | 98% | |
| 146 | 2% | 96% | |
| 147 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 148 | 3% | 93% | |
| 149 | 9% | 89% | Last Result |
| 150 | 4% | 81% | |
| 151 | 4% | 77% | |
| 152 | 16% | 73% | |
| 153 | 3% | 57% | |
| 154 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 155 | 5% | 47% | |
| 156 | 5% | 42% | |
| 157 | 8% | 37% | |
| 158 | 5% | 30% | |
| 159 | 3% | 25% | |
| 160 | 5% | 21% | |
| 161 | 2% | 16% | |
| 162 | 2% | 14% | |
| 163 | 2% | 12% | |
| 164 | 2% | 10% | |
| 165 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 166 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 167 | 4% | 6% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 170 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 145 | 2% | 97% | |
| 146 | 2% | 95% | |
| 147 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 148 | 3% | 92% | |
| 149 | 9% | 89% | |
| 150 | 4% | 80% | |
| 151 | 4% | 76% | |
| 152 | 16% | 72% | |
| 153 | 3% | 56% | |
| 154 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 155 | 5% | 46% | |
| 156 | 5% | 41% | |
| 157 | 8% | 36% | |
| 158 | 5% | 28% | |
| 159 | 3% | 24% | |
| 160 | 5% | 20% | |
| 161 | 2% | 15% | |
| 162 | 2% | 13% | |
| 163 | 2% | 11% | |
| 164 | 2% | 9% | |
| 165 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 166 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 167 | 4% | 5% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 135 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 136 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 137 | 2% | 97% | |
| 138 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 139 | 2% | 94% | |
| 140 | 4% | 92% | |
| 141 | 4% | 88% | Last Result |
| 142 | 2% | 84% | |
| 143 | 8% | 83% | |
| 144 | 4% | 74% | |
| 145 | 5% | 71% | |
| 146 | 5% | 65% | |
| 147 | 12% | 61% | |
| 148 | 9% | 49% | Median |
| 149 | 6% | 40% | |
| 150 | 4% | 34% | |
| 151 | 3% | 30% | |
| 152 | 5% | 27% | |
| 153 | 2% | 22% | |
| 154 | 2% | 21% | |
| 155 | 2% | 18% | |
| 156 | 8% | 16% | |
| 157 | 5% | 8% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 159 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 135 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 136 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 137 | 2% | 97% | |
| 138 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 139 | 2% | 94% | |
| 140 | 4% | 92% | |
| 141 | 4% | 88% | |
| 142 | 2% | 83% | |
| 143 | 8% | 82% | |
| 144 | 4% | 73% | |
| 145 | 5% | 70% | |
| 146 | 5% | 64% | |
| 147 | 12% | 59% | |
| 148 | 9% | 48% | Median |
| 149 | 6% | 39% | |
| 150 | 4% | 33% | |
| 151 | 3% | 29% | |
| 152 | 4% | 26% | |
| 153 | 1.4% | 21% | |
| 154 | 2% | 20% | |
| 155 | 2% | 17% | |
| 156 | 8% | 16% | |
| 157 | 5% | 8% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 159 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 128 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 129 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 131 | 2% | 95% | |
| 132 | 8% | 93% | |
| 133 | 3% | 85% | |
| 134 | 5% | 83% | |
| 135 | 2% | 78% | |
| 136 | 4% | 75% | |
| 137 | 2% | 71% | |
| 138 | 3% | 69% | |
| 139 | 6% | 66% | |
| 140 | 2% | 60% | |
| 141 | 3% | 57% | |
| 142 | 15% | 55% | |
| 143 | 6% | 40% | |
| 144 | 3% | 34% | |
| 145 | 3% | 31% | |
| 146 | 5% | 28% | |
| 147 | 8% | 23% | Median |
| 148 | 4% | 15% | |
| 149 | 2% | 11% | |
| 150 | 2% | 9% | |
| 151 | 2% | 7% | |
| 152 | 2% | 5% | |
| 153 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 154 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 128 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 129 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 131 | 2% | 95% | |
| 132 | 8% | 93% | |
| 133 | 3% | 85% | |
| 134 | 5% | 83% | |
| 135 | 2% | 78% | |
| 136 | 4% | 75% | |
| 137 | 2% | 71% | |
| 138 | 3% | 69% | |
| 139 | 6% | 66% | |
| 140 | 2% | 60% | |
| 141 | 3% | 57% | |
| 142 | 15% | 55% | |
| 143 | 6% | 40% | |
| 144 | 3% | 34% | |
| 145 | 3% | 31% | |
| 146 | 5% | 28% | |
| 147 | 8% | 23% | Median |
| 148 | 4% | 15% | |
| 149 | 2% | 11% | |
| 150 | 2% | 9% | |
| 151 | 2% | 7% | |
| 152 | 2% | 5% | |
| 153 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 154 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 120 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 121 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 122 | 2% | 98% | |
| 123 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 124 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 125 | 12% | 94% | |
| 126 | 3% | 82% | |
| 127 | 4% | 79% | |
| 128 | 6% | 75% | |
| 129 | 4% | 68% | |
| 130 | 4% | 65% | |
| 131 | 10% | 61% | |
| 132 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 133 | 5% | 41% | |
| 134 | 8% | 35% | Last Result |
| 135 | 3% | 28% | |
| 136 | 5% | 25% | |
| 137 | 2% | 19% | |
| 138 | 2% | 17% | |
| 139 | 7% | 15% | |
| 140 | 2% | 9% | |
| 141 | 2% | 7% | |
| 142 | 3% | 6% | |
| 143 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 117 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 119 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 120 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 121 | 3% | 95% | |
| 122 | 4% | 92% | Last Result |
| 123 | 2% | 88% | |
| 124 | 12% | 86% | |
| 125 | 4% | 74% | |
| 126 | 3% | 70% | |
| 127 | 3% | 67% | |
| 128 | 14% | 63% | |
| 129 | 3% | 49% | Median |
| 130 | 3% | 46% | |
| 131 | 8% | 43% | |
| 132 | 5% | 35% | |
| 133 | 10% | 30% | |
| 134 | 3% | 20% | |
| 135 | 3% | 17% | |
| 136 | 6% | 14% | |
| 137 | 4% | 8% | |
| 138 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 139 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 140 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 117 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 118 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 119 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 120 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 121 | 3% | 95% | |
| 122 | 4% | 91% | |
| 123 | 3% | 87% | |
| 124 | 12% | 85% | |
| 125 | 4% | 73% | |
| 126 | 4% | 69% | |
| 127 | 3% | 65% | |
| 128 | 14% | 62% | |
| 129 | 3% | 48% | Median |
| 130 | 3% | 45% | |
| 131 | 8% | 42% | |
| 132 | 4% | 33% | |
| 133 | 10% | 29% | |
| 134 | 3% | 19% | |
| 135 | 3% | 16% | |
| 136 | 6% | 13% | |
| 137 | 4% | 7% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 139 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 140 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 103 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 104 | 10% | 97% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 87% | |
| 106 | 2% | 86% | |
| 107 | 7% | 84% | |
| 108 | 3% | 77% | |
| 109 | 2% | 74% | |
| 110 | 5% | 72% | |
| 111 | 1.3% | 68% | |
| 112 | 6% | 66% | |
| 113 | 4% | 61% | |
| 114 | 3% | 57% | |
| 115 | 3% | 54% | |
| 116 | 13% | 50% | |
| 117 | 5% | 37% | |
| 118 | 3% | 32% | |
| 119 | 4% | 29% | |
| 120 | 1.4% | 25% | Median |
| 121 | 4% | 23% | |
| 122 | 2% | 19% | |
| 123 | 3% | 17% | |
| 124 | 6% | 14% | |
| 125 | 3% | 8% | |
| 126 | 2% | 6% | |
| 127 | 2% | 4% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 129 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 10–21 January 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1640
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.51%