Opinion Poll by Sentio for Nyheter Idag, 9–14 February 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 24.6% | 22.6–26.8% | 22.0–27.4% | 21.5–28.0% | 20.6–29.0% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 21.9% | 19.9–24.0% | 19.4–24.6% | 18.9–25.1% | 18.0–26.1% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 21.0% | 19.1–23.1% | 18.6–23.7% | 18.1–24.2% | 17.2–25.2% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 10.9% | 9.5–12.5% | 9.1–13.0% | 8.7–13.4% | 8.1–14.2% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.4–11.0% | 7.1–11.3% | 6.5–12.1% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% | 3.1–6.1% | 2.7–6.8% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 3.3% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.0% | 1.9–5.5% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.3–3.6% | 1.1–4.0% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2–2.6% | 1.1–2.8% | 1.0–3.0% | 0.8–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 93 | 85–103 | 83–104 | 81–107 | 77–111 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 84 | 75–92 | 74–94 | 71–97 | 68–100 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 79 | 72–88 | 70–91 | 68–93 | 65–97 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 42 | 36–48 | 34–50 | 33–51 | 31–55 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 34 | 29–40 | 28–42 | 27–43 | 25–47 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 17 | 0–20 | 0–22 | 0–23 | 0–25 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 0 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–20 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 84 | 3% | 94% | |
| 85 | 4% | 91% | |
| 86 | 2% | 87% | |
| 87 | 3% | 84% | |
| 88 | 4% | 82% | |
| 89 | 7% | 77% | |
| 90 | 4% | 71% | |
| 91 | 4% | 66% | |
| 92 | 8% | 63% | |
| 93 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 94 | 3% | 48% | |
| 95 | 5% | 45% | |
| 96 | 7% | 40% | |
| 97 | 5% | 33% | |
| 98 | 2% | 28% | |
| 99 | 5% | 25% | |
| 100 | 4% | 20% | |
| 101 | 3% | 16% | |
| 102 | 2% | 12% | |
| 103 | 3% | 11% | |
| 104 | 3% | 8% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 107 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 108 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 4% | 95% | |
| 75 | 4% | 92% | |
| 76 | 4% | 88% | |
| 77 | 5% | 84% | |
| 78 | 6% | 79% | |
| 79 | 3% | 74% | |
| 80 | 4% | 71% | |
| 81 | 4% | 67% | |
| 82 | 4% | 62% | |
| 83 | 6% | 58% | |
| 84 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 85 | 7% | 45% | |
| 86 | 9% | 38% | |
| 87 | 6% | 29% | |
| 88 | 5% | 23% | |
| 89 | 4% | 18% | |
| 90 | 2% | 14% | |
| 91 | 2% | 12% | |
| 92 | 2% | 10% | |
| 93 | 2% | 8% | |
| 94 | 2% | 6% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 96 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 97 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 71 | 2% | 94% | |
| 72 | 2% | 92% | |
| 73 | 4% | 89% | |
| 74 | 4% | 85% | |
| 75 | 6% | 81% | |
| 76 | 5% | 75% | |
| 77 | 9% | 70% | |
| 78 | 5% | 61% | |
| 79 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 80 | 4% | 48% | |
| 81 | 7% | 44% | |
| 82 | 4% | 37% | |
| 83 | 5% | 33% | |
| 84 | 4% | 27% | Last Result |
| 85 | 5% | 24% | |
| 86 | 3% | 19% | |
| 87 | 4% | 15% | |
| 88 | 2% | 12% | |
| 89 | 3% | 10% | |
| 90 | 2% | 7% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 92 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 34 | 2% | 97% | |
| 35 | 4% | 94% | |
| 36 | 5% | 91% | |
| 37 | 6% | 86% | |
| 38 | 6% | 80% | |
| 39 | 8% | 74% | |
| 40 | 6% | 66% | |
| 41 | 9% | 60% | |
| 42 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 43 | 8% | 39% | |
| 44 | 4% | 31% | |
| 45 | 7% | 27% | |
| 46 | 6% | 20% | |
| 47 | 3% | 14% | |
| 48 | 3% | 11% | |
| 49 | 2% | 8% | |
| 50 | 3% | 6% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 28 | 3% | 96% | |
| 29 | 5% | 94% | |
| 30 | 6% | 88% | |
| 31 | 6% | 83% | |
| 32 | 9% | 76% | |
| 33 | 11% | 67% | |
| 34 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 35 | 8% | 47% | |
| 36 | 8% | 39% | |
| 37 | 10% | 31% | |
| 38 | 5% | 21% | |
| 39 | 5% | 16% | |
| 40 | 3% | 12% | |
| 41 | 2% | 8% | |
| 42 | 2% | 6% | |
| 43 | 2% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 29% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 71% | |
| 2 | 0% | 71% | |
| 3 | 0% | 71% | |
| 4 | 0% | 71% | |
| 5 | 0% | 71% | |
| 6 | 0% | 71% | |
| 7 | 0% | 71% | |
| 8 | 0% | 71% | |
| 9 | 0% | 71% | |
| 10 | 0% | 71% | |
| 11 | 0% | 71% | |
| 12 | 0% | 71% | |
| 13 | 0% | 71% | |
| 14 | 0% | 71% | |
| 15 | 5% | 71% | |
| 16 | 14% | 67% | |
| 17 | 15% | 53% | Median |
| 18 | 12% | 38% | |
| 19 | 9% | 26% | Last Result |
| 20 | 7% | 17% | |
| 21 | 4% | 10% | |
| 22 | 3% | 6% | |
| 23 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 24 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 80% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 20% | |
| 2 | 0% | 20% | |
| 3 | 0% | 20% | |
| 4 | 0% | 20% | |
| 5 | 0% | 20% | |
| 6 | 0% | 20% | |
| 7 | 0% | 20% | |
| 8 | 0% | 20% | |
| 9 | 0% | 20% | |
| 10 | 0% | 20% | |
| 11 | 0% | 20% | |
| 12 | 0% | 20% | |
| 13 | 0% | 20% | |
| 14 | 0% | 20% | |
| 15 | 6% | 20% | |
| 16 | 7% | 14% | |
| 17 | 3% | 7% | |
| 18 | 2% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.5% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 135 | 0% | 123–145 | 119–148 | 116–150 | 112–155 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 135 | 0% | 123–145 | 119–148 | 116–150 | 111–155 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 131 | 0% | 121–142 | 119–146 | 116–149 | 112–155 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 131 | 0% | 121–142 | 119–146 | 116–149 | 112–155 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 128 | 0% | 119–138 | 116–141 | 114–143 | 109–148 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 121 | 0% | 112–132 | 109–135 | 107–138 | 103–142 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 121 | 0% | 112–132 | 109–135 | 107–137 | 103–142 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 96 | 0% | 87–108 | 84–111 | 83–114 | 79–119 |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 117 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 118 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 120 | 2% | 94% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 123 | 2% | 91% | |
| 124 | 1.3% | 89% | |
| 125 | 2% | 87% | |
| 126 | 3% | 85% | |
| 127 | 3% | 82% | |
| 128 | 3% | 79% | |
| 129 | 3% | 76% | |
| 130 | 4% | 73% | |
| 131 | 3% | 68% | |
| 132 | 4% | 66% | |
| 133 | 4% | 61% | |
| 134 | 6% | 57% | |
| 135 | 6% | 51% | |
| 136 | 5% | 45% | |
| 137 | 3% | 40% | |
| 138 | 3% | 37% | Median |
| 139 | 4% | 34% | |
| 140 | 4% | 30% | |
| 141 | 5% | 27% | Last Result |
| 142 | 4% | 22% | |
| 143 | 5% | 17% | |
| 144 | 2% | 13% | |
| 145 | 2% | 11% | |
| 146 | 2% | 9% | |
| 147 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 148 | 2% | 6% | |
| 149 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 150 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 151 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 117 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 120 | 2% | 94% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 123 | 2% | 91% | |
| 124 | 1.4% | 89% | |
| 125 | 2% | 87% | Last Result |
| 126 | 3% | 85% | |
| 127 | 3% | 82% | |
| 128 | 3% | 79% | |
| 129 | 3% | 75% | |
| 130 | 4% | 72% | |
| 131 | 3% | 68% | |
| 132 | 4% | 66% | |
| 133 | 4% | 61% | |
| 134 | 6% | 57% | |
| 135 | 6% | 51% | |
| 136 | 5% | 45% | |
| 137 | 3% | 39% | |
| 138 | 3% | 36% | Median |
| 139 | 4% | 34% | |
| 140 | 4% | 30% | |
| 141 | 5% | 26% | |
| 142 | 4% | 22% | |
| 143 | 5% | 17% | |
| 144 | 2% | 13% | |
| 145 | 2% | 11% | |
| 146 | 2% | 9% | |
| 147 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 148 | 2% | 6% | |
| 149 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 150 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 151 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 114 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 116 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 117 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 118 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 119 | 3% | 95% | |
| 120 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 121 | 3% | 91% | |
| 122 | 3% | 87% | |
| 123 | 3% | 85% | |
| 124 | 2% | 82% | |
| 125 | 5% | 80% | |
| 126 | 6% | 75% | |
| 127 | 3% | 69% | Median |
| 128 | 4% | 66% | |
| 129 | 4% | 62% | |
| 130 | 5% | 58% | |
| 131 | 7% | 53% | |
| 132 | 5% | 46% | |
| 133 | 2% | 41% | |
| 134 | 4% | 39% | |
| 135 | 4% | 35% | |
| 136 | 7% | 31% | |
| 137 | 2% | 25% | |
| 138 | 2% | 22% | |
| 139 | 3% | 20% | |
| 140 | 3% | 17% | |
| 141 | 4% | 14% | |
| 142 | 2% | 11% | |
| 143 | 2% | 9% | |
| 144 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 145 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 146 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 147 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 150 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 114 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 116 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 117 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 118 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 119 | 3% | 95% | |
| 120 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 121 | 3% | 91% | |
| 122 | 3% | 87% | |
| 123 | 3% | 85% | |
| 124 | 2% | 82% | |
| 125 | 5% | 80% | |
| 126 | 6% | 75% | |
| 127 | 3% | 69% | Median |
| 128 | 4% | 66% | |
| 129 | 4% | 62% | |
| 130 | 5% | 58% | |
| 131 | 7% | 53% | |
| 132 | 5% | 46% | |
| 133 | 2% | 41% | |
| 134 | 4% | 39% | |
| 135 | 4% | 35% | |
| 136 | 7% | 31% | |
| 137 | 2% | 25% | |
| 138 | 2% | 22% | |
| 139 | 3% | 20% | |
| 140 | 3% | 17% | |
| 141 | 4% | 14% | |
| 142 | 2% | 11% | |
| 143 | 2% | 9% | |
| 144 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 145 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 146 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 147 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 150 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 113 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 114 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 115 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 116 | 2% | 95% | |
| 117 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 118 | 2% | 92% | |
| 119 | 5% | 90% | |
| 120 | 2% | 85% | |
| 121 | 4% | 83% | |
| 122 | 3% | 79% | |
| 123 | 4% | 76% | |
| 124 | 3% | 72% | |
| 125 | 6% | 69% | |
| 126 | 6% | 62% | |
| 127 | 4% | 56% | Median |
| 128 | 5% | 52% | |
| 129 | 5% | 48% | |
| 130 | 5% | 43% | |
| 131 | 6% | 38% | |
| 132 | 5% | 31% | |
| 133 | 2% | 26% | |
| 134 | 3% | 24% | Last Result |
| 135 | 3% | 22% | |
| 136 | 5% | 18% | |
| 137 | 2% | 13% | |
| 138 | 2% | 11% | |
| 139 | 2% | 9% | |
| 140 | 2% | 7% | |
| 141 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 143 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 107 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 108 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 109 | 2% | 96% | |
| 110 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 111 | 2% | 93% | |
| 112 | 2% | 90% | |
| 113 | 3% | 89% | |
| 114 | 3% | 86% | |
| 115 | 3% | 82% | |
| 116 | 6% | 79% | |
| 117 | 5% | 74% | |
| 118 | 5% | 69% | |
| 119 | 8% | 64% | |
| 120 | 4% | 56% | |
| 121 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 122 | 5% | 48% | Last Result |
| 123 | 4% | 44% | |
| 124 | 4% | 39% | |
| 125 | 5% | 35% | |
| 126 | 5% | 30% | |
| 127 | 4% | 25% | |
| 128 | 4% | 21% | |
| 129 | 2% | 17% | |
| 130 | 3% | 15% | |
| 131 | 2% | 12% | |
| 132 | 1.5% | 10% | |
| 133 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 134 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 135 | 2% | 6% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 98.5% | Last Result |
| 107 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 108 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 109 | 2% | 96% | |
| 110 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 111 | 2% | 92% | |
| 112 | 2% | 90% | |
| 113 | 3% | 88% | |
| 114 | 3% | 85% | |
| 115 | 3% | 82% | |
| 116 | 6% | 79% | |
| 117 | 5% | 73% | |
| 118 | 5% | 69% | |
| 119 | 8% | 64% | |
| 120 | 4% | 56% | |
| 121 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 122 | 5% | 48% | |
| 123 | 4% | 43% | |
| 124 | 4% | 39% | |
| 125 | 5% | 35% | |
| 126 | 5% | 30% | |
| 127 | 4% | 25% | |
| 128 | 4% | 21% | |
| 129 | 2% | 17% | |
| 130 | 3% | 15% | |
| 131 | 2% | 12% | |
| 132 | 1.5% | 10% | |
| 133 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 134 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 135 | 2% | 6% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 84 | 2% | 97% | |
| 85 | 2% | 95% | |
| 86 | 2% | 92% | |
| 87 | 2% | 91% | |
| 88 | 3% | 89% | |
| 89 | 6% | 86% | |
| 90 | 3% | 80% | |
| 91 | 3% | 77% | |
| 92 | 6% | 74% | |
| 93 | 7% | 69% | Median |
| 94 | 3% | 62% | |
| 95 | 5% | 59% | |
| 96 | 6% | 55% | |
| 97 | 5% | 49% | |
| 98 | 2% | 43% | |
| 99 | 5% | 41% | |
| 100 | 5% | 36% | |
| 101 | 4% | 30% | |
| 102 | 3% | 26% | |
| 103 | 3% | 24% | |
| 104 | 4% | 20% | |
| 105 | 2% | 16% | |
| 106 | 2% | 14% | |
| 107 | 1.3% | 12% | |
| 108 | 3% | 11% | |
| 109 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 110 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 111 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 112 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 114 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): Nyheter Idag
- Fieldwork period: 9–14 February 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 691
- Simulations done: 4,194,304
- Error estimate: 1.77%