Opinion Poll by Sentio for Nyheter Idag, 8–14 March 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 24.6% | 22.6–26.7% | 22.1–27.3% | 21.6–27.8% | 20.7–28.8% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 23.0% | 21.1–25.0% | 20.5–25.6% | 20.1–26.1% | 19.2–27.1% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 19.5% | 17.7–21.4% | 17.2–22.0% | 16.8–22.5% | 16.0–23.4% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9–9.5% | 6.6–9.9% | 6.3–10.2% | 5.8–11.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4–7.7% | 5.1–8.1% | 4.9–8.4% | 4.4–9.1% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0–6.0% | 3.7–6.3% | 3.5–6.6% | 3.1–7.2% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.8–5.9% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.4–6.5% | 3.0–7.1% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.7–5.5% | 2.4–6.1% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.2–3.3% | 1.0–3.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 92 | 84–101 | 81–104 | 80–106 | 76–110 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 85 | 77–94 | 76–97 | 73–100 | 70–103 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 73 | 65–81 | 64–83 | 62–85 | 59–90 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 30 | 25–36 | 24–37 | 23–39 | 22–41 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 25 | 20–29 | 19–31 | 18–32 | 16–35 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 18 | 15–22 | 0–23 | 0–25 | 0–27 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 18 | 0–21 | 0–23 | 0–25 | 0–26 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 0 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–23 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 81 | 2% | 97% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 83 | 2% | 93% | |
| 84 | 2% | 91% | |
| 85 | 3% | 90% | |
| 86 | 6% | 87% | |
| 87 | 4% | 81% | |
| 88 | 2% | 78% | |
| 89 | 8% | 75% | |
| 90 | 8% | 67% | |
| 91 | 9% | 59% | |
| 92 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 93 | 5% | 44% | |
| 94 | 3% | 39% | |
| 95 | 7% | 36% | |
| 96 | 4% | 28% | |
| 97 | 5% | 24% | |
| 98 | 4% | 20% | |
| 99 | 3% | 16% | |
| 100 | 3% | 13% | |
| 101 | 2% | 10% | |
| 102 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 103 | 2% | 7% | |
| 104 | 2% | 5% | |
| 105 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 108 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 76 | 2% | 95% | |
| 77 | 3% | 93% | |
| 78 | 2% | 90% | |
| 79 | 4% | 88% | |
| 80 | 7% | 84% | |
| 81 | 4% | 77% | |
| 82 | 3% | 73% | |
| 83 | 6% | 70% | |
| 84 | 4% | 64% | |
| 85 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 86 | 4% | 48% | |
| 87 | 9% | 44% | |
| 88 | 5% | 35% | |
| 89 | 4% | 31% | |
| 90 | 4% | 26% | |
| 91 | 6% | 23% | |
| 92 | 4% | 17% | |
| 93 | 2% | 13% | |
| 94 | 3% | 11% | |
| 95 | 2% | 8% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 64 | 4% | 96% | |
| 65 | 2% | 91% | |
| 66 | 3% | 89% | |
| 67 | 3% | 86% | |
| 68 | 3% | 83% | |
| 69 | 6% | 80% | |
| 70 | 5% | 74% | |
| 71 | 6% | 69% | |
| 72 | 9% | 63% | |
| 73 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 74 | 7% | 47% | |
| 75 | 3% | 40% | |
| 76 | 9% | 37% | |
| 77 | 3% | 28% | |
| 78 | 4% | 24% | |
| 79 | 4% | 20% | |
| 80 | 5% | 16% | |
| 81 | 3% | 10% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 85 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 24 | 4% | 97% | |
| 25 | 5% | 93% | |
| 26 | 5% | 88% | |
| 27 | 7% | 83% | |
| 28 | 9% | 76% | |
| 29 | 9% | 68% | |
| 30 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 31 | 10% | 45% | |
| 32 | 12% | 35% | |
| 33 | 5% | 23% | |
| 34 | 4% | 17% | |
| 35 | 3% | 13% | |
| 36 | 3% | 10% | |
| 37 | 3% | 7% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 19 | 3% | 97% | |
| 20 | 7% | 94% | |
| 21 | 5% | 87% | |
| 22 | 9% | 82% | Last Result |
| 23 | 13% | 73% | |
| 24 | 10% | 61% | |
| 25 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 26 | 15% | 43% | |
| 27 | 8% | 28% | |
| 28 | 7% | 21% | |
| 29 | 6% | 14% | |
| 30 | 3% | 8% | |
| 31 | 2% | 5% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 90% | |
| 2 | 0% | 90% | |
| 3 | 0% | 90% | |
| 4 | 0% | 90% | |
| 5 | 0% | 90% | |
| 6 | 0% | 90% | |
| 7 | 0% | 90% | |
| 8 | 0% | 90% | |
| 9 | 0% | 90% | |
| 10 | 0% | 90% | |
| 11 | 0% | 90% | |
| 12 | 0% | 90% | |
| 13 | 0% | 90% | |
| 14 | 0% | 90% | |
| 15 | 5% | 90% | |
| 16 | 12% | 85% | Last Result |
| 17 | 9% | 73% | |
| 18 | 17% | 64% | Median |
| 19 | 14% | 47% | |
| 20 | 8% | 33% | |
| 21 | 9% | 25% | |
| 22 | 9% | 16% | |
| 23 | 2% | 7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 5% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 88% | |
| 2 | 0% | 88% | |
| 3 | 0% | 88% | |
| 4 | 0% | 88% | |
| 5 | 0% | 88% | |
| 6 | 0% | 88% | |
| 7 | 0% | 88% | |
| 8 | 0% | 88% | |
| 9 | 0% | 88% | |
| 10 | 0% | 88% | |
| 11 | 0% | 88% | |
| 12 | 0% | 88% | |
| 13 | 0% | 88% | |
| 14 | 0% | 88% | |
| 15 | 4% | 88% | |
| 16 | 8% | 84% | |
| 17 | 17% | 76% | |
| 18 | 22% | 59% | Median |
| 19 | 12% | 37% | |
| 20 | 11% | 25% | |
| 21 | 5% | 14% | |
| 22 | 3% | 9% | |
| 23 | 2% | 7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 5% | |
| 25 | 1.4% | 3% | Last Result |
| 26 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 51% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 49% | |
| 2 | 0% | 49% | |
| 3 | 0% | 49% | |
| 4 | 0% | 49% | |
| 5 | 0% | 49% | |
| 6 | 0% | 49% | |
| 7 | 0% | 49% | |
| 8 | 0% | 49% | |
| 9 | 0% | 49% | |
| 10 | 0% | 49% | |
| 11 | 0% | 49% | |
| 12 | 0% | 49% | |
| 13 | 0% | 49% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 49% | |
| 15 | 15% | 48% | |
| 16 | 10% | 33% | |
| 17 | 9% | 23% | |
| 18 | 6% | 15% | |
| 19 | 4% | 9% | Last Result |
| 20 | 2% | 5% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 139 | 0% | 128–149 | 124–153 | 121–156 | 114–161 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 139 | 0% | 128–149 | 124–153 | 121–156 | 114–161 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 141 | 124 | 0% | 111–135 | 107–138 | 102–141 | 95–146 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 121 | 0% | 113–132 | 110–136 | 108–140 | 104–143 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 116 | 0% | 104–125 | 101–129 | 96–130 | 91–135 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 106 | 0% | 95–117 | 92–120 | 91–124 | 85–129 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 108 | 0% | 98–118 | 94–120 | 91–123 | 85–128 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 98 | 0% | 90–106 | 87–109 | 85–112 | 80–116 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 120 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 121 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 123 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 125 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 126 | 2% | 93% | |
| 127 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 128 | 1.4% | 90% | |
| 129 | 1.1% | 89% | |
| 130 | 4% | 88% | |
| 131 | 2% | 84% | |
| 132 | 4% | 82% | |
| 133 | 2% | 79% | |
| 134 | 2% | 76% | |
| 135 | 5% | 74% | |
| 136 | 2% | 69% | |
| 137 | 11% | 67% | |
| 138 | 2% | 56% | |
| 139 | 10% | 54% | |
| 140 | 2% | 44% | Median |
| 141 | 5% | 42% | |
| 142 | 3% | 37% | |
| 143 | 7% | 34% | |
| 144 | 4% | 27% | |
| 145 | 4% | 23% | |
| 146 | 3% | 20% | |
| 147 | 3% | 17% | |
| 148 | 3% | 14% | |
| 149 | 2% | 12% | |
| 150 | 1.5% | 10% | |
| 151 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 152 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 153 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 120 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 121 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 123 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 125 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 126 | 2% | 93% | |
| 127 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 128 | 1.4% | 90% | |
| 129 | 1.2% | 89% | |
| 130 | 4% | 87% | |
| 131 | 2% | 84% | |
| 132 | 4% | 82% | |
| 133 | 2% | 78% | |
| 134 | 2% | 76% | |
| 135 | 5% | 74% | |
| 136 | 2% | 69% | |
| 137 | 11% | 67% | |
| 138 | 2% | 56% | |
| 139 | 10% | 54% | |
| 140 | 2% | 44% | Median |
| 141 | 5% | 42% | |
| 142 | 3% | 37% | |
| 143 | 7% | 34% | |
| 144 | 4% | 27% | |
| 145 | 4% | 23% | |
| 146 | 3% | 20% | |
| 147 | 3% | 17% | |
| 148 | 3% | 14% | |
| 149 | 2% | 12% | |
| 150 | 1.4% | 10% | |
| 151 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 152 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 153 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 108 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 109 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 110 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 111 | 2% | 91% | |
| 112 | 2% | 89% | |
| 113 | 2% | 87% | |
| 114 | 1.4% | 85% | |
| 115 | 4% | 84% | |
| 116 | 3% | 80% | Median |
| 117 | 3% | 77% | |
| 118 | 2% | 74% | |
| 119 | 6% | 72% | |
| 120 | 4% | 66% | |
| 121 | 5% | 62% | |
| 122 | 2% | 57% | |
| 123 | 4% | 55% | |
| 124 | 2% | 51% | |
| 125 | 10% | 49% | |
| 126 | 4% | 40% | |
| 127 | 3% | 36% | |
| 128 | 3% | 33% | |
| 129 | 4% | 31% | |
| 130 | 3% | 27% | |
| 131 | 2% | 24% | |
| 132 | 6% | 22% | |
| 133 | 3% | 16% | |
| 134 | 2% | 13% | |
| 135 | 2% | 11% | |
| 136 | 3% | 9% | |
| 137 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 138 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 139 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 3% | Last Result |
| 142 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 107 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 109 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 110 | 3% | 96% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 112 | 2% | 93% | |
| 113 | 3% | 90% | |
| 114 | 2% | 88% | |
| 115 | 3% | 86% | |
| 116 | 3% | 83% | |
| 117 | 4% | 80% | |
| 118 | 4% | 76% | |
| 119 | 4% | 73% | |
| 120 | 10% | 69% | |
| 121 | 9% | 59% | |
| 122 | 3% | 50% | Median |
| 123 | 6% | 46% | |
| 124 | 4% | 40% | |
| 125 | 6% | 37% | |
| 126 | 4% | 31% | |
| 127 | 3% | 27% | |
| 128 | 5% | 24% | |
| 129 | 2% | 19% | |
| 130 | 4% | 17% | |
| 131 | 2% | 14% | |
| 132 | 2% | 12% | |
| 133 | 2% | 10% | |
| 134 | 0.7% | 8% | Last Result |
| 135 | 2% | 7% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 141 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 101 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 103 | 2% | 93% | |
| 104 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 105 | 1.4% | 90% | |
| 106 | 5% | 88% | |
| 107 | 2% | 83% | |
| 108 | 2% | 82% | |
| 109 | 3% | 80% | |
| 110 | 5% | 77% | |
| 111 | 4% | 72% | |
| 112 | 3% | 68% | |
| 113 | 5% | 65% | |
| 114 | 3% | 60% | |
| 115 | 6% | 57% | |
| 116 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 117 | 9% | 46% | |
| 118 | 2% | 38% | |
| 119 | 8% | 35% | |
| 120 | 3% | 28% | |
| 121 | 3% | 24% | |
| 122 | 2% | 21% | Last Result |
| 123 | 3% | 19% | |
| 124 | 0.9% | 16% | |
| 125 | 6% | 15% | |
| 126 | 2% | 9% | |
| 127 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 129 | 2% | 5% | |
| 130 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 131 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 91 | 2% | 98% | |
| 92 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 94 | 3% | 93% | |
| 95 | 2% | 90% | |
| 96 | 3% | 88% | |
| 97 | 5% | 85% | |
| 98 | 2% | 80% | Median |
| 99 | 2% | 78% | |
| 100 | 2% | 76% | |
| 101 | 4% | 74% | |
| 102 | 3% | 70% | |
| 103 | 4% | 67% | |
| 104 | 4% | 63% | |
| 105 | 5% | 59% | |
| 106 | 7% | 54% | |
| 107 | 7% | 47% | |
| 108 | 4% | 40% | |
| 109 | 3% | 36% | |
| 110 | 2% | 33% | |
| 111 | 3% | 31% | |
| 112 | 2% | 29% | |
| 113 | 3% | 26% | |
| 114 | 6% | 24% | |
| 115 | 4% | 18% | |
| 116 | 2% | 14% | |
| 117 | 4% | 12% | |
| 118 | 2% | 9% | |
| 119 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 120 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 121 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 123 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 124 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 125 | 0.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 126 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 96 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 97 | 2% | 93% | |
| 98 | 1.5% | 91% | |
| 99 | 2% | 90% | |
| 100 | 2% | 88% | |
| 101 | 3% | 86% | |
| 102 | 2% | 83% | |
| 103 | 2% | 81% | |
| 104 | 3% | 79% | |
| 105 | 5% | 76% | |
| 106 | 3% | 71% | |
| 107 | 10% | 68% | |
| 108 | 8% | 57% | |
| 109 | 3% | 49% | |
| 110 | 5% | 46% | Median |
| 111 | 5% | 41% | |
| 112 | 5% | 36% | |
| 113 | 5% | 31% | |
| 114 | 6% | 26% | |
| 115 | 2% | 20% | |
| 116 | 3% | 18% | |
| 117 | 3% | 15% | |
| 118 | 3% | 12% | |
| 119 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 120 | 3% | 8% | |
| 121 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 122 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 123 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 86 | 2% | 97% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 89 | 3% | 93% | |
| 90 | 4% | 90% | |
| 91 | 5% | 86% | |
| 92 | 7% | 81% | |
| 93 | 2% | 74% | |
| 94 | 5% | 72% | |
| 95 | 4% | 67% | |
| 96 | 5% | 64% | |
| 97 | 7% | 59% | |
| 98 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 99 | 6% | 46% | |
| 100 | 5% | 39% | |
| 101 | 5% | 34% | |
| 102 | 2% | 29% | |
| 103 | 5% | 27% | |
| 104 | 4% | 22% | |
| 105 | 2% | 18% | |
| 106 | 6% | 16% | Last Result |
| 107 | 2% | 10% | |
| 108 | 2% | 8% | |
| 109 | 2% | 6% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 111 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 113 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): Nyheter Idag
- Fieldwork period: 8–14 March 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 745
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.78%