Opinion Poll by YouGov for Metro, 16–19 March 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 24.0% | 22.5–25.7% | 22.0–26.2% | 21.6–26.6% | 20.9–27.4% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 22.4% | 20.8–24.0% | 20.4–24.5% | 20.0–24.9% | 19.3–25.7% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 18.8% | 17.3–20.3% | 16.9–20.8% | 16.6–21.2% | 15.9–21.9% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.4–9.5% | 7.1–9.8% | 6.9–10.1% | 6.4–10.7% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7–8.7% | 6.4–9.1% | 6.2–9.3% | 5.8–9.9% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.8–5.9% | 3.6–6.1% | 3.3–6.6% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.7–4.8% | 2.4–5.3% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.8–3.6% | 1.6–4.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 89 | 84–99 | 83–103 | 81–105 | 77–111 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 84 | 79–92 | 77–95 | 75–96 | 72–101 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 70 | 65–78 | 61–80 | 61–81 | 59–86 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 31 | 28–36 | 27–38 | 26–39 | 24–41 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 29 | 26–33 | 24–35 | 23–36 | 22–38 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 18 | 16–21 | 0–23 | 0–24 | 0–25 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 16 | 0–19 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–22 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 0 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–19 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–14 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 82 | 2% | 97% | |
| 83 | 2% | 95% | |
| 84 | 5% | 93% | |
| 85 | 4% | 88% | |
| 86 | 5% | 84% | |
| 87 | 11% | 79% | |
| 88 | 8% | 68% | |
| 89 | 18% | 60% | Median |
| 90 | 6% | 43% | |
| 91 | 3% | 36% | |
| 92 | 7% | 34% | |
| 93 | 2% | 26% | |
| 94 | 3% | 24% | |
| 95 | 3% | 21% | |
| 96 | 2% | 18% | |
| 97 | 2% | 17% | |
| 98 | 4% | 14% | |
| 99 | 3% | 11% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 101 | 2% | 7% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 103 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 104 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 105 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 77 | 2% | 95% | |
| 78 | 3% | 94% | |
| 79 | 4% | 91% | |
| 80 | 7% | 87% | |
| 81 | 4% | 80% | |
| 82 | 8% | 76% | |
| 83 | 7% | 68% | |
| 84 | 20% | 61% | Median |
| 85 | 5% | 40% | |
| 86 | 5% | 36% | |
| 87 | 2% | 31% | |
| 88 | 4% | 29% | |
| 89 | 8% | 25% | |
| 90 | 2% | 17% | |
| 91 | 5% | 16% | |
| 92 | 2% | 11% | |
| 93 | 2% | 9% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 95 | 2% | 6% | |
| 96 | 2% | 4% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 64 | 2% | 92% | |
| 65 | 2% | 90% | |
| 66 | 9% | 88% | |
| 67 | 19% | 80% | |
| 68 | 3% | 61% | |
| 69 | 4% | 58% | |
| 70 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 71 | 6% | 48% | |
| 72 | 4% | 41% | |
| 73 | 5% | 38% | |
| 74 | 6% | 32% | |
| 75 | 10% | 26% | |
| 76 | 3% | 17% | |
| 77 | 3% | 14% | |
| 78 | 2% | 11% | |
| 79 | 3% | 9% | |
| 80 | 4% | 6% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 85 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 26 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 27 | 3% | 96% | |
| 28 | 7% | 93% | |
| 29 | 6% | 86% | |
| 30 | 23% | 80% | |
| 31 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 32 | 10% | 46% | |
| 33 | 6% | 37% | |
| 34 | 7% | 30% | |
| 35 | 10% | 24% | |
| 36 | 5% | 13% | |
| 37 | 2% | 8% | |
| 38 | 2% | 6% | |
| 39 | 2% | 4% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.7% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 23 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 24 | 3% | 97% | |
| 25 | 4% | 95% | |
| 26 | 7% | 91% | |
| 27 | 9% | 84% | |
| 28 | 24% | 75% | |
| 29 | 15% | 51% | Median |
| 30 | 11% | 36% | |
| 31 | 7% | 25% | |
| 32 | 7% | 18% | |
| 33 | 3% | 11% | |
| 34 | 3% | 8% | |
| 35 | 2% | 5% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 95% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 0% | 95% | |
| 8 | 0% | 95% | |
| 9 | 0% | 95% | |
| 10 | 0% | 95% | |
| 11 | 0% | 95% | |
| 12 | 0% | 95% | |
| 13 | 0% | 95% | |
| 14 | 0% | 95% | |
| 15 | 3% | 94% | |
| 16 | 8% | 92% | |
| 17 | 10% | 84% | |
| 18 | 31% | 74% | Median |
| 19 | 7% | 43% | Last Result |
| 20 | 13% | 36% | |
| 21 | 14% | 23% | |
| 22 | 4% | 10% | |
| 23 | 2% | 6% | |
| 24 | 2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 39% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 61% | |
| 2 | 0% | 61% | |
| 3 | 0% | 61% | |
| 4 | 0% | 61% | |
| 5 | 0% | 61% | |
| 6 | 0% | 61% | |
| 7 | 0% | 61% | |
| 8 | 0% | 61% | |
| 9 | 0% | 61% | |
| 10 | 0% | 61% | |
| 11 | 0% | 61% | |
| 12 | 0% | 61% | |
| 13 | 0% | 61% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 61% | |
| 15 | 6% | 60% | |
| 16 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 17 | 21% | 40% | |
| 18 | 8% | 19% | |
| 19 | 7% | 10% | |
| 20 | 2% | 4% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 78% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 22% | |
| 2 | 0% | 22% | |
| 3 | 0% | 22% | |
| 4 | 0% | 22% | |
| 5 | 0% | 22% | |
| 6 | 0% | 22% | |
| 7 | 0% | 22% | |
| 8 | 0% | 22% | |
| 9 | 0% | 22% | |
| 10 | 0% | 22% | |
| 11 | 0% | 22% | |
| 12 | 0% | 22% | |
| 13 | 0% | 22% | |
| 14 | 2% | 22% | |
| 15 | 4% | 20% | |
| 16 | 7% | 15% | Last Result |
| 17 | 5% | 8% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.5% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 135 | 0% | 119–142 | 118–145 | 117–149 | 111–156 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 135 | 0% | 119–142 | 118–145 | 117–148 | 111–156 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 120 | 0% | 115–133 | 113–135 | 111–139 | 106–145 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 122 | 0% | 112–133 | 109–136 | 107–139 | 101–145 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 117 | 0% | 109–127 | 106–130 | 104–132 | 98–135 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 102 | 0% | 95–115 | 93–119 | 92–122 | 88–128 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 102 | 0% | 88–110 | 87–113 | 85–115 | 82–121 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 100 | 0% | 93–109 | 89–111 | 89–113 | 85–119 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 117 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 118 | 4% | 97% | |
| 119 | 4% | 93% | |
| 120 | 2% | 89% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 87% | |
| 122 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 123 | 5% | 86% | |
| 124 | 0.8% | 81% | |
| 125 | 1.4% | 80% | |
| 126 | 2% | 79% | |
| 127 | 4% | 77% | |
| 128 | 2% | 73% | |
| 129 | 2% | 71% | |
| 130 | 3% | 69% | |
| 131 | 4% | 66% | |
| 132 | 2% | 61% | |
| 133 | 2% | 59% | |
| 134 | 6% | 57% | |
| 135 | 4% | 51% | |
| 136 | 18% | 47% | Median |
| 137 | 2% | 29% | |
| 138 | 5% | 27% | |
| 139 | 3% | 22% | |
| 140 | 4% | 18% | |
| 141 | 2% | 14% | |
| 142 | 4% | 12% | |
| 143 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 144 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 145 | 2% | 6% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 147 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 117 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 118 | 4% | 97% | |
| 119 | 4% | 93% | |
| 120 | 2% | 89% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 87% | |
| 122 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 123 | 5% | 86% | |
| 124 | 0.8% | 81% | |
| 125 | 1.4% | 80% | |
| 126 | 2% | 79% | |
| 127 | 4% | 77% | |
| 128 | 2% | 73% | |
| 129 | 2% | 71% | |
| 130 | 3% | 69% | |
| 131 | 4% | 65% | |
| 132 | 2% | 61% | |
| 133 | 2% | 59% | |
| 134 | 6% | 57% | |
| 135 | 4% | 51% | |
| 136 | 18% | 46% | Median |
| 137 | 2% | 28% | |
| 138 | 5% | 26% | |
| 139 | 3% | 21% | |
| 140 | 4% | 18% | |
| 141 | 2% | 14% | |
| 142 | 4% | 12% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 144 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 145 | 2% | 6% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 147 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 110 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 111 | 2% | 98% | |
| 112 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 114 | 2% | 95% | |
| 115 | 5% | 92% | |
| 116 | 1.3% | 87% | |
| 117 | 3% | 86% | |
| 118 | 9% | 83% | |
| 119 | 20% | 75% | |
| 120 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 121 | 1.3% | 46% | |
| 122 | 3% | 45% | |
| 123 | 9% | 42% | |
| 124 | 6% | 34% | |
| 125 | 2% | 27% | |
| 126 | 2% | 26% | |
| 127 | 4% | 23% | |
| 128 | 3% | 20% | |
| 129 | 3% | 17% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 131 | 1.1% | 14% | |
| 132 | 2% | 12% | |
| 133 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 134 | 3% | 9% | Last Result |
| 135 | 2% | 6% | |
| 136 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 137 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 139 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 108 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 109 | 3% | 97% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 111 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 112 | 2% | 91% | |
| 113 | 17% | 89% | |
| 114 | 2% | 73% | |
| 115 | 2% | 71% | |
| 116 | 4% | 69% | |
| 117 | 2% | 65% | Median |
| 118 | 1.2% | 63% | |
| 119 | 4% | 61% | |
| 120 | 4% | 58% | |
| 121 | 2% | 54% | |
| 122 | 6% | 51% | |
| 123 | 6% | 45% | |
| 124 | 9% | 39% | |
| 125 | 2% | 30% | |
| 126 | 3% | 27% | |
| 127 | 3% | 25% | |
| 128 | 2% | 21% | |
| 129 | 3% | 19% | |
| 130 | 3% | 16% | |
| 131 | 1.2% | 13% | |
| 132 | 0.9% | 12% | |
| 133 | 2% | 11% | |
| 134 | 3% | 9% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 136 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 137 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 138 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 142 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 106 | 2% | 97% | |
| 107 | 2% | 94% | |
| 108 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 109 | 4% | 91% | |
| 110 | 3% | 88% | |
| 111 | 2% | 84% | |
| 112 | 2% | 83% | |
| 113 | 19% | 80% | |
| 114 | 2% | 61% | |
| 115 | 2% | 59% | |
| 116 | 5% | 56% | |
| 117 | 3% | 51% | Median |
| 118 | 2% | 48% | |
| 119 | 4% | 46% | |
| 120 | 4% | 42% | |
| 121 | 3% | 37% | |
| 122 | 7% | 34% | |
| 123 | 6% | 27% | |
| 124 | 6% | 22% | |
| 125 | 2% | 15% | Last Result |
| 126 | 3% | 13% | |
| 127 | 3% | 11% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 129 | 2% | 7% | |
| 130 | 3% | 6% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 132 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 93 | 5% | 97% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 95 | 18% | 91% | |
| 96 | 3% | 73% | |
| 97 | 2% | 71% | |
| 98 | 2% | 69% | |
| 99 | 2% | 67% | Median |
| 100 | 4% | 65% | |
| 101 | 9% | 61% | |
| 102 | 3% | 52% | |
| 103 | 5% | 49% | |
| 104 | 6% | 44% | |
| 105 | 5% | 38% | |
| 106 | 3% | 33% | |
| 107 | 4% | 30% | |
| 108 | 0.9% | 26% | |
| 109 | 3% | 26% | |
| 110 | 4% | 23% | |
| 111 | 4% | 19% | |
| 112 | 0.8% | 15% | |
| 113 | 2% | 15% | |
| 114 | 2% | 13% | |
| 115 | 1.0% | 11% | |
| 116 | 2% | 10% | |
| 117 | 2% | 8% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 120 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 121 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 122 | 0.7% | 3% | Last Result |
| 123 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 124 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 86 | 2% | 97% | |
| 87 | 5% | 95% | |
| 88 | 4% | 90% | |
| 89 | 2% | 86% | |
| 90 | 1.5% | 84% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 82% | |
| 92 | 3% | 82% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 79% | |
| 94 | 2% | 78% | |
| 95 | 3% | 76% | |
| 96 | 2% | 73% | |
| 97 | 2% | 71% | |
| 98 | 3% | 69% | |
| 99 | 5% | 66% | |
| 100 | 3% | 61% | |
| 101 | 4% | 58% | |
| 102 | 4% | 53% | |
| 103 | 2% | 50% | |
| 104 | 3% | 47% | |
| 105 | 3% | 44% | Median |
| 106 | 23% | 41% | |
| 107 | 1.5% | 18% | |
| 108 | 2% | 17% | |
| 109 | 1.5% | 15% | |
| 110 | 5% | 13% | |
| 111 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 112 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 113 | 2% | 6% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 115 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 121 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 89 | 4% | 98% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 91 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 93 | 6% | 91% | |
| 94 | 2% | 85% | |
| 95 | 21% | 83% | |
| 96 | 3% | 62% | |
| 97 | 3% | 59% | |
| 98 | 3% | 57% | |
| 99 | 3% | 53% | Median |
| 100 | 5% | 50% | |
| 101 | 10% | 45% | |
| 102 | 4% | 35% | |
| 103 | 3% | 31% | |
| 104 | 6% | 28% | |
| 105 | 4% | 22% | |
| 106 | 3% | 18% | Last Result |
| 107 | 4% | 15% | |
| 108 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 109 | 2% | 11% | |
| 110 | 2% | 8% | |
| 111 | 2% | 7% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 113 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 114 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 116 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): Metro
- Fieldwork period: 16–19 March 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1140
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.13%