Opinion Poll by YouGov for Metro, 13–16 April 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 31.0% 23.3% 22.0–24.7% 21.6–25.1% 21.2–25.5% 20.6–26.2%
Sverigedemokraterna 12.9% 22.1% 20.8–23.5% 20.4–23.9% 20.1–24.2% 19.4–24.9%
Moderata samlingspartiet 23.3% 19.9% 18.6–21.2% 18.3–21.6% 18.0–21.9% 17.4–22.6%
Centerpartiet 6.1% 8.9% 8.0–9.9% 7.8–10.2% 7.5–10.4% 7.1–10.9%
Vänsterpartiet 5.7% 8.5% 7.6–9.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.2–10.0% 6.8–10.5%
Liberalerna 5.4% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 6.9% 3.9% 3.3–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.3%
Kristdemokraterna 4.6% 3.2% 2.7–3.8% 2.5–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.5%
Feministiskt initiativ 3.1% 2.6% 2.1–3.2% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 113 91 85–98 83–100 81–102 79–105
Sverigedemokraterna 49 87 79–95 77–98 76–99 73–101
Moderata samlingspartiet 84 78 71–85 69–88 68–90 66–95
Centerpartiet 22 35 31–39 30–40 29–41 27–44
Vänsterpartiet 21 33 29–38 28–39 28–40 26–42
Liberalerna 19 16 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–22
Miljöpartiet de gröna 25 0 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–21
Kristdemokraterna 16 0 0 0 0–16 0–17
Feministiskt initiativ 0 0 0 0 0 0

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.1% 99.7%  
79 0.7% 99.6%  
80 0.7% 98.9%  
81 2% 98%  
82 1.3% 97%  
83 2% 95%  
84 2% 94%  
85 7% 92%  
86 3% 85%  
87 7% 82%  
88 5% 75%  
89 6% 70%  
90 4% 64%  
91 10% 60% Median
92 9% 50%  
93 5% 41%  
94 8% 36%  
95 8% 29%  
96 3% 20%  
97 6% 18%  
98 4% 12%  
99 2% 8%  
100 0.9% 6%  
101 2% 5%  
102 1.0% 3%  
103 0.5% 2%  
104 0.7% 2%  
105 0.3% 0.8%  
106 0.1% 0.5%  
107 0.2% 0.3%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0% Last Result

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 0.4% 99.6%  
74 0.4% 99.3%  
75 1.0% 98.9%  
76 2% 98%  
77 2% 96%  
78 2% 94%  
79 3% 92%  
80 2% 89%  
81 4% 87%  
82 5% 83%  
83 7% 78%  
84 3% 71%  
85 8% 68%  
86 6% 60%  
87 9% 55% Median
88 8% 45%  
89 4% 37%  
90 7% 33%  
91 2% 26%  
92 3% 24%  
93 6% 21%  
94 4% 15%  
95 3% 11%  
96 2% 8%  
97 1.5% 7%  
98 3% 5%  
99 1.0% 3%  
100 1.1% 2%  
101 0.3% 0.7%  
102 0.3% 0.4%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.5% 99.5%  
67 1.0% 99.0%  
68 1.0% 98%  
69 4% 97%  
70 2% 93%  
71 4% 91%  
72 5% 87%  
73 7% 82%  
74 6% 75%  
75 4% 69%  
76 6% 66%  
77 6% 59%  
78 9% 54% Median
79 6% 45%  
80 7% 39%  
81 5% 32%  
82 4% 27%  
83 6% 23%  
84 6% 17% Last Result
85 2% 11%  
86 2% 8%  
87 1.1% 6%  
88 0.9% 5%  
89 1.0% 4%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.4% 1.2%  
92 0.2% 0.8%  
93 0.1% 0.7%  
94 0% 0.5%  
95 0.3% 0.5%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.4% 99.7%  
28 0.8% 99.3%  
29 2% 98.5%  
30 3% 96%  
31 9% 93%  
32 13% 84%  
33 9% 71%  
34 12% 62%  
35 11% 50% Median
36 12% 39%  
37 7% 27%  
38 7% 20%  
39 4% 13%  
40 4% 9%  
41 2% 5%  
42 1.2% 2%  
43 0.7% 1.2%  
44 0.3% 0.6%  
45 0.2% 0.3%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.4% 100%  
26 0.3% 99.6%  
27 1.1% 99.3%  
28 4% 98%  
29 6% 94%  
30 5% 88%  
31 7% 83%  
32 16% 76%  
33 17% 60% Median
34 10% 43%  
35 5% 34%  
36 11% 29%  
37 8% 18%  
38 3% 10%  
39 3% 7%  
40 1.5% 4%  
41 1.1% 2%  
42 0.8% 1.2%  
43 0.2% 0.3%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 41% 100%  
1 0% 59%  
2 0% 59%  
3 0% 59%  
4 0% 59%  
5 0% 59%  
6 0% 59%  
7 0% 59%  
8 0% 59%  
9 0% 59%  
10 0% 59%  
11 0% 59%  
12 0% 59%  
13 0% 59%  
14 0% 59%  
15 4% 59%  
16 21% 56% Median
17 15% 35%  
18 10% 20%  
19 5% 9% Last Result
20 2% 5%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.6% 0.7%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Median
1 0% 43%  
2 0% 43%  
3 0% 43%  
4 0% 43%  
5 0% 43%  
6 0% 43%  
7 0% 43%  
8 0% 43%  
9 0% 43%  
10 0% 43%  
11 0% 43%  
12 0% 43%  
13 0% 43%  
14 0% 43%  
15 3% 43%  
16 10% 40%  
17 13% 30%  
18 9% 17%  
19 5% 8%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.3% 0.7%  
22 0.3% 0.5%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0% Last Result

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 0% 5%  
5 0% 5%  
6 0% 5%  
7 0% 5%  
8 0% 5%  
9 0% 5%  
10 0% 5%  
11 0% 5%  
12 0% 5%  
13 0% 5%  
14 0.1% 5%  
15 2% 5%  
16 2% 3% Last Result
17 0.8% 1.1%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Feministiskt initiativ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0% 0.3%  
5 0% 0.3%  
6 0% 0.3%  
7 0% 0.3%  
8 0% 0.3%  
9 0% 0.3%  
10 0% 0.3%  
11 0% 0.3%  
12 0% 0.3%  
13 0% 0.3%  
14 0% 0.3%  
15 0% 0.3%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ 159 131 0% 120–145 119–147 117–151 113–153
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 159 130 0% 120–145 119–147 117–151 113–153
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna 141 124 0% 113–134 110–137 108–140 103–145
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 134 125 0% 116–133 114–136 112–138 108–143
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 125 124 0% 112–134 109–136 108–138 101–144
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 122 113 0% 104–124 101–127 101–129 97–135
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 106 112 0% 104–121 101–125 100–128 97–131
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 138 98 0% 88–112 86–115 85–116 81–118

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0.1% 100%  
111 0.1% 99.8%  
112 0.2% 99.8%  
113 0.6% 99.5%  
114 0.1% 98.9%  
115 0.3% 98.9%  
116 0.3% 98.5%  
117 1.1% 98%  
118 2% 97%  
119 2% 95%  
120 3% 93%  
121 2% 90%  
122 2% 88%  
123 1.2% 86%  
124 2% 85% Median
125 6% 83%  
126 2% 77%  
127 9% 75%  
128 5% 66%  
129 2% 60%  
130 8% 58%  
131 2% 50%  
132 4% 48%  
133 2% 44%  
134 3% 42%  
135 3% 40%  
136 3% 37%  
137 4% 34%  
138 4% 31%  
139 3% 26%  
140 2% 23%  
141 4% 21%  
142 1.1% 18%  
143 3% 16%  
144 3% 14%  
145 1.2% 11%  
146 2% 9%  
147 2% 7%  
148 0.4% 5%  
149 0.5% 4%  
150 0.4% 4%  
151 1.2% 4%  
152 0.9% 2%  
153 1.1% 1.4%  
154 0.2% 0.4%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0% Last Result

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0.1% 100%  
111 0.1% 99.8%  
112 0.2% 99.7%  
113 0.6% 99.5%  
114 0.1% 98.9%  
115 0.3% 98.8%  
116 0.3% 98.5%  
117 1.1% 98%  
118 2% 97%  
119 2% 95%  
120 3% 93%  
121 2% 90%  
122 2% 88%  
123 1.3% 86%  
124 2% 85% Median
125 6% 83%  
126 2% 77%  
127 9% 75%  
128 5% 66%  
129 2% 60%  
130 8% 58%  
131 2% 50%  
132 4% 48%  
133 2% 44%  
134 3% 42%  
135 3% 39%  
136 3% 37%  
137 4% 34%  
138 4% 30%  
139 3% 26%  
140 2% 23%  
141 4% 21%  
142 1.0% 17%  
143 3% 16%  
144 3% 13%  
145 1.2% 10%  
146 2% 9%  
147 2% 7%  
148 0.3% 5%  
149 0.5% 4%  
150 0.4% 4%  
151 1.2% 4%  
152 0.9% 2%  
153 1.1% 1.4%  
154 0.2% 0.4%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0.3% 100%  
101 0% 99.6%  
102 0.1% 99.6%  
103 0.1% 99.5%  
104 0.4% 99.4%  
105 0.3% 99.0%  
106 0.4% 98.7%  
107 0.2% 98%  
108 2% 98%  
109 1.1% 96%  
110 3% 95%  
111 0.9% 93%  
112 1.4% 92%  
113 3% 90%  
114 1.5% 88%  
115 2% 86%  
116 6% 84%  
117 5% 78%  
118 5% 73%  
119 2% 69%  
120 3% 67%  
121 6% 63%  
122 3% 57%  
123 1.1% 54%  
124 7% 53%  
125 3% 46%  
126 6% 43%  
127 2% 37%  
128 6% 36%  
129 4% 30% Median
130 6% 26%  
131 2% 20%  
132 3% 19%  
133 3% 15%  
134 2% 12%  
135 1.1% 10%  
136 3% 9%  
137 1.4% 6%  
138 2% 5%  
139 0.3% 3%  
140 0.4% 3%  
141 0.4% 2% Last Result
142 0.8% 2%  
143 0.1% 1.1%  
144 0.3% 1.0%  
145 0.4% 0.7%  
146 0.1% 0.3%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0.1% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0.1% 100%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.3% 99.8%  
109 0.2% 99.5%  
110 0.2% 99.2%  
111 0.4% 99.0%  
112 1.2% 98.6%  
113 1.4% 97%  
114 4% 96%  
115 2% 92%  
116 1.2% 90%  
117 2% 89%  
118 3% 87%  
119 4% 84%  
120 6% 80%  
121 5% 74%  
122 5% 69%  
123 3% 64%  
124 5% 61% Median
125 8% 56%  
126 5% 48%  
127 10% 43%  
128 8% 33%  
129 3% 25%  
130 5% 22%  
131 1.4% 18%  
132 4% 16%  
133 3% 13%  
134 3% 10% Last Result
135 2% 7%  
136 1.3% 5%  
137 0.7% 4%  
138 0.9% 3%  
139 0.7% 2%  
140 0.2% 1.5%  
141 0.5% 1.2%  
142 0.2% 0.7%  
143 0.3% 0.5%  
144 0.2% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0.1% 100%  
99 0% 99.8%  
100 0.3% 99.8%  
101 0% 99.5%  
102 0.1% 99.5%  
103 0.1% 99.4%  
104 0.4% 99.2%  
105 0.4% 98.8%  
106 0.6% 98%  
107 0.3% 98%  
108 2% 98%  
109 1.4% 96%  
110 3% 94%  
111 1.0% 92%  
112 2% 91%  
113 3% 89%  
114 2% 86%  
115 3% 85%  
116 6% 82%  
117 5% 76%  
118 5% 71%  
119 2% 66%  
120 4% 64%  
121 7% 61%  
122 3% 54%  
123 1.1% 51%  
124 7% 50%  
125 3% 43% Last Result
126 6% 40%  
127 2% 35%  
128 6% 33%  
129 4% 27% Median
130 6% 23%  
131 1.5% 17%  
132 3% 16%  
133 3% 13%  
134 2% 10%  
135 1.0% 8%  
136 3% 7%  
137 1.1% 4%  
138 1.3% 3%  
139 0.3% 2%  
140 0.3% 1.4%  
141 0.2% 1.2%  
142 0.4% 1.0%  
143 0.1% 0.6%  
144 0.2% 0.5%  
145 0.2% 0.3%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.5% 99.8%  
98 0.1% 99.2%  
99 0.2% 99.1%  
100 1.0% 99.0%  
101 4% 98%  
102 2% 94%  
103 0.9% 92%  
104 4% 91%  
105 4% 87%  
106 2% 83%  
107 5% 82%  
108 4% 76%  
109 4% 73%  
110 4% 69%  
111 3% 65%  
112 9% 62%  
113 6% 53% Median
114 4% 47%  
115 5% 43%  
116 5% 38%  
117 7% 33%  
118 4% 27%  
119 2% 23%  
120 5% 21%  
121 3% 16%  
122 1.2% 13% Last Result
123 0.7% 12%  
124 2% 11%  
125 2% 9%  
126 1.1% 6%  
127 0.6% 5%  
128 2% 5%  
129 0.7% 3%  
130 0.5% 2%  
131 0.1% 1.5%  
132 0.1% 1.4%  
133 0.3% 1.4%  
134 0.4% 1.0%  
135 0.2% 0.6%  
136 0% 0.4%  
137 0.3% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0.2% 99.9%  
97 0.6% 99.7%  
98 0.3% 99.1%  
99 0.3% 98.8%  
100 1.1% 98%  
101 4% 97%  
102 2% 93%  
103 1.0% 91%  
104 4% 90%  
105 4% 86%  
106 2% 82% Last Result
107 6% 80%  
108 4% 74%  
109 4% 70%  
110 4% 66%  
111 3% 62%  
112 9% 59%  
113 6% 50% Median
114 4% 44%  
115 5% 40%  
116 5% 35%  
117 7% 30%  
118 4% 23%  
119 2% 20%  
120 5% 18%  
121 3% 13%  
122 0.9% 10%  
123 0.7% 9%  
124 2% 8%  
125 1.4% 6%  
126 1.1% 5%  
127 0.5% 4%  
128 2% 3%  
129 0.4% 1.2%  
130 0.2% 0.8%  
131 0.1% 0.5%  
132 0% 0.5%  
133 0.1% 0.5%  
134 0.4% 0.4%  
135 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 99.8%  
81 0.7% 99.6%  
82 0.2% 98.9%  
83 0.6% 98.6%  
84 0.4% 98%  
85 2% 98%  
86 2% 96%  
87 2% 94%  
88 3% 92%  
89 3% 89%  
90 3% 86%  
91 7% 83% Median
92 5% 76%  
93 4% 71%  
94 4% 67%  
95 6% 62%  
96 2% 56%  
97 3% 55%  
98 4% 51%  
99 3% 47%  
100 2% 44%  
101 5% 42%  
102 2% 36%  
103 2% 34%  
104 6% 33%  
105 1.4% 27%  
106 2% 26%  
107 3% 23%  
108 2% 20%  
109 4% 18%  
110 1.0% 14%  
111 2% 13%  
112 2% 11%  
113 2% 9%  
114 2% 7%  
115 3% 5%  
116 1.3% 3%  
117 0.5% 1.3%  
118 0.4% 0.8%  
119 0.2% 0.4%  
120 0% 0.2%  
121 0.1% 0.2%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0.1% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0% Last Result

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Calculations