Opinion Poll by SCB, 27 April–29 May 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 28.3% | 27.5–29.2% | 27.2–29.4% | 27.0–29.6% | 26.6–30.0% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 22.6% | 21.8–23.4% | 21.6–23.6% | 21.4–23.8% | 21.0–24.2% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 18.5% | 17.8–19.3% | 17.6–19.5% | 17.4–19.6% | 17.1–20.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.2–9.3% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.9–9.6% | 7.7–9.8% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9–7.9% | 6.8–8.1% | 6.7–8.2% | 6.5–8.5% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0–4.8% | 3.9–4.9% | 3.8–5.0% | 3.7–5.2% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.9–4.7% | 3.8–4.8% | 3.7–4.9% | 3.6–5.1% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6–3.2% | 2.5–3.3% | 2.4–3.4% | 2.3–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 105 | 102–110 | 101–112 | 100–113 | 98–116 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 84 | 81–88 | 80–90 | 79–91 | 78–94 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 69 | 66–72 | 65–74 | 65–75 | 63–78 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 32 | 31–35 | 30–35 | 29–36 | 29–37 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 27 | 26–30 | 25–30 | 25–31 | 24–32 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 16 | 15–18 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 16 | 0–18 | 0–18 | 0–18 | 0–19 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 100 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 101 | 3% | 96% | |
| 102 | 6% | 93% | |
| 103 | 14% | 88% | |
| 104 | 12% | 74% | |
| 105 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 106 | 10% | 44% | |
| 107 | 8% | 34% | |
| 108 | 7% | 26% | |
| 109 | 4% | 19% | |
| 110 | 5% | 15% | |
| 111 | 4% | 10% | |
| 112 | 3% | 6% | |
| 113 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 114 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 80 | 3% | 97% | |
| 81 | 8% | 94% | |
| 82 | 11% | 87% | |
| 83 | 9% | 76% | |
| 84 | 25% | 67% | Last Result, Median |
| 85 | 10% | 43% | |
| 86 | 11% | 33% | |
| 87 | 8% | 22% | |
| 88 | 5% | 14% | |
| 89 | 3% | 9% | |
| 90 | 3% | 6% | |
| 91 | 2% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 5% | 98% | |
| 66 | 7% | 92% | |
| 67 | 14% | 85% | |
| 68 | 15% | 71% | |
| 69 | 17% | 56% | Median |
| 70 | 10% | 39% | |
| 71 | 12% | 29% | |
| 72 | 8% | 17% | |
| 73 | 3% | 8% | |
| 74 | 2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 29 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 6% | 97% | |
| 31 | 18% | 90% | |
| 32 | 24% | 72% | Median |
| 33 | 17% | 48% | |
| 34 | 19% | 31% | |
| 35 | 8% | 12% | |
| 36 | 2% | 4% | |
| 37 | 2% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 26 | 11% | 93% | |
| 27 | 34% | 82% | Median |
| 28 | 18% | 49% | |
| 29 | 17% | 31% | |
| 30 | 10% | 14% | |
| 31 | 3% | 4% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 93% | |
| 2 | 0% | 93% | |
| 3 | 0% | 93% | |
| 4 | 0% | 93% | |
| 5 | 0% | 93% | |
| 6 | 0% | 93% | |
| 7 | 0% | 93% | |
| 8 | 0% | 93% | |
| 9 | 0% | 93% | |
| 10 | 0% | 93% | |
| 11 | 0% | 93% | |
| 12 | 0% | 93% | |
| 13 | 0% | 93% | |
| 14 | 0% | 93% | |
| 15 | 11% | 93% | |
| 16 | 36% | 83% | Median |
| 17 | 29% | 47% | |
| 18 | 13% | 18% | |
| 19 | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 85% | |
| 2 | 0% | 85% | |
| 3 | 0% | 85% | |
| 4 | 0% | 85% | |
| 5 | 0% | 85% | |
| 6 | 0% | 85% | |
| 7 | 0% | 85% | |
| 8 | 0% | 85% | |
| 9 | 0% | 85% | |
| 10 | 0% | 85% | |
| 11 | 0% | 85% | |
| 12 | 0% | 85% | |
| 13 | 0% | 85% | |
| 14 | 0% | 85% | |
| 15 | 18% | 85% | |
| 16 | 34% | 67% | Median |
| 17 | 23% | 33% | |
| 18 | 9% | 10% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 221 | 100% | 217–231 | 217–233 | 216–235 | 214–243 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 189 | 100% | 185–198 | 184–200 | 183–201 | 182–208 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 153 | 0% | 149–160 | 148–162 | 147–164 | 145–169 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 133 | 153 | 0% | 149–160 | 148–162 | 147–164 | 145–169 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 148 | 0% | 140–152 | 138–154 | 136–156 | 134–160 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 133 | 0% | 129–139 | 128–141 | 127–142 | 126–145 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 133 | 0% | 128–138 | 125–140 | 121–141 | 118–143 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 133 | 0% | 128–138 | 125–140 | 121–141 | 118–143 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 121 | 0% | 111–124 | 109–126 | 107–128 | 105–130 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 116 | 0% | 113–122 | 112–124 | 111–125 | 110–129 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 116 | 0% | 113–122 | 112–124 | 111–125 | 110–129 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 212 | 0% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 214 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 215 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 216 | 2% | 98% | |
| 217 | 7% | 96% | |
| 218 | 7% | 89% | |
| 219 | 6% | 83% | Last Result |
| 220 | 10% | 77% | |
| 221 | 25% | 67% | Median |
| 222 | 7% | 42% | |
| 223 | 5% | 35% | |
| 224 | 5% | 30% | |
| 225 | 3% | 25% | |
| 226 | 1.5% | 22% | |
| 227 | 2% | 21% | |
| 228 | 0.9% | 19% | |
| 229 | 2% | 18% | |
| 230 | 3% | 16% | |
| 231 | 4% | 13% | |
| 232 | 2% | 9% | |
| 233 | 3% | 8% | |
| 234 | 2% | 5% | |
| 235 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 236 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 237 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 238 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 239 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 240 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 241 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 242 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 243 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 244 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 246 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 247 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 248 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 181 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 183 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 184 | 3% | 97% | |
| 185 | 5% | 94% | |
| 186 | 8% | 90% | |
| 187 | 10% | 81% | |
| 188 | 9% | 71% | |
| 189 | 19% | 62% | Median |
| 190 | 10% | 43% | |
| 191 | 6% | 34% | |
| 192 | 4% | 27% | |
| 193 | 3% | 23% | |
| 194 | 2% | 20% | |
| 195 | 2% | 18% | |
| 196 | 4% | 16% | |
| 197 | 2% | 13% | Last Result |
| 198 | 2% | 11% | |
| 199 | 2% | 8% | |
| 200 | 3% | 6% | |
| 201 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 202 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 203 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 205 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 206 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 147 | 3% | 98% | |
| 148 | 2% | 96% | |
| 149 | 7% | 93% | Last Result |
| 150 | 8% | 87% | |
| 151 | 10% | 79% | |
| 152 | 16% | 69% | |
| 153 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 154 | 5% | 41% | |
| 155 | 11% | 36% | |
| 156 | 4% | 25% | |
| 157 | 5% | 21% | |
| 158 | 3% | 17% | |
| 159 | 3% | 14% | |
| 160 | 3% | 10% | |
| 161 | 2% | 8% | |
| 162 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 163 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 164 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 147 | 3% | 98% | |
| 148 | 2% | 96% | |
| 149 | 7% | 93% | |
| 150 | 8% | 87% | |
| 151 | 10% | 79% | |
| 152 | 16% | 69% | |
| 153 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 154 | 5% | 41% | |
| 155 | 11% | 36% | |
| 156 | 4% | 25% | |
| 157 | 5% | 21% | |
| 158 | 3% | 17% | |
| 159 | 3% | 14% | |
| 160 | 3% | 10% | |
| 161 | 2% | 8% | |
| 162 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 163 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 164 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 135 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 136 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 137 | 2% | 97% | |
| 138 | 2% | 95% | |
| 139 | 1.5% | 93% | |
| 140 | 2% | 92% | |
| 141 | 3% | 90% | |
| 142 | 1.5% | 87% | |
| 143 | 2% | 85% | |
| 144 | 4% | 83% | |
| 145 | 7% | 80% | |
| 146 | 7% | 72% | |
| 147 | 11% | 66% | |
| 148 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 149 | 13% | 42% | |
| 150 | 8% | 29% | |
| 151 | 6% | 21% | |
| 152 | 7% | 15% | |
| 153 | 2% | 8% | |
| 154 | 2% | 6% | |
| 155 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 156 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 127 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 128 | 3% | 97% | |
| 129 | 4% | 94% | |
| 130 | 14% | 89% | |
| 131 | 9% | 76% | |
| 132 | 15% | 67% | Median |
| 133 | 12% | 52% | |
| 134 | 8% | 40% | Last Result |
| 135 | 5% | 32% | |
| 136 | 7% | 27% | |
| 137 | 5% | 20% | |
| 138 | 4% | 16% | |
| 139 | 2% | 11% | |
| 140 | 2% | 9% | |
| 141 | 4% | 7% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 143 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 121 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 125 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 126 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 127 | 2% | 94% | |
| 128 | 4% | 92% | |
| 129 | 5% | 88% | |
| 130 | 6% | 82% | |
| 131 | 9% | 76% | |
| 132 | 14% | 67% | Median |
| 133 | 11% | 52% | |
| 134 | 11% | 42% | |
| 135 | 10% | 31% | |
| 136 | 5% | 21% | |
| 137 | 4% | 15% | |
| 138 | 5% | 11% | |
| 139 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 140 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 141 | 1.5% | 4% | Last Result |
| 142 | 2% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 121 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 125 | 0.8% | 95% | Last Result |
| 126 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 127 | 2% | 94% | |
| 128 | 4% | 92% | |
| 129 | 5% | 88% | |
| 130 | 6% | 82% | |
| 131 | 9% | 76% | |
| 132 | 14% | 67% | Median |
| 133 | 11% | 52% | |
| 134 | 11% | 42% | |
| 135 | 10% | 31% | |
| 136 | 5% | 21% | |
| 137 | 4% | 15% | |
| 138 | 5% | 11% | |
| 139 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 140 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 141 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 142 | 2% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 108 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 109 | 2% | 96% | |
| 110 | 3% | 95% | |
| 111 | 2% | 92% | |
| 112 | 2% | 89% | |
| 113 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 114 | 0.9% | 86% | |
| 115 | 2% | 85% | |
| 116 | 2% | 83% | |
| 117 | 3% | 82% | |
| 118 | 7% | 79% | |
| 119 | 8% | 72% | |
| 120 | 13% | 64% | |
| 121 | 16% | 51% | Median |
| 122 | 14% | 35% | |
| 123 | 5% | 22% | |
| 124 | 8% | 17% | |
| 125 | 3% | 9% | |
| 126 | 2% | 6% | |
| 127 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 128 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 129 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 130 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 111 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 112 | 4% | 97% | |
| 113 | 6% | 92% | |
| 114 | 7% | 86% | |
| 115 | 10% | 79% | |
| 116 | 19% | 69% | Median |
| 117 | 8% | 50% | |
| 118 | 14% | 42% | |
| 119 | 6% | 28% | |
| 120 | 6% | 22% | |
| 121 | 5% | 16% | |
| 122 | 4% | 11% | Last Result |
| 123 | 2% | 7% | |
| 124 | 2% | 6% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 126 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 111 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 112 | 4% | 97% | |
| 113 | 6% | 92% | |
| 114 | 7% | 86% | |
| 115 | 10% | 79% | |
| 116 | 19% | 69% | Median |
| 117 | 8% | 50% | |
| 118 | 14% | 42% | |
| 119 | 6% | 28% | |
| 120 | 6% | 22% | |
| 121 | 5% | 16% | |
| 122 | 4% | 11% | |
| 123 | 2% | 7% | |
| 124 | 2% | 6% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 126 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SCB
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 27 April–29 May 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 4632
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.52%