Opinion Poll by Sentio for Nyheter Idag, 1–5 June 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 26.1% | 24.4–27.9% | 23.9–28.5% | 23.5–28.9% | 22.7–29.8% |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 21.7% | 20.1–23.5% | 19.7–23.9% | 19.3–24.4% | 18.5–25.2% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 17.1% | 15.7–18.7% | 15.3–19.2% | 14.9–19.6% | 14.3–20.4% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.2–11.3% | 8.0–11.7% | 7.5–12.3% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2–8.3% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.3–9.5% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.0% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 96 | 90–103 | 88–104 | 86–107 | 83–111 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 80 | 75–86 | 73–89 | 71–90 | 67–94 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 64 | 58–70 | 56–71 | 55–73 | 53–76 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 36 | 32–41 | 30–43 | 29–44 | 28–46 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 28 | 23–31 | 22–32 | 21–33 | 20–35 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 25 | 23–30 | 21–31 | 20–32 | 19–35 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 18 | 15–21 | 0–22 | 0–23 | 0–25 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–18 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 88 | 2% | 96% | |
| 89 | 3% | 94% | |
| 90 | 4% | 92% | |
| 91 | 3% | 88% | |
| 92 | 3% | 85% | |
| 93 | 13% | 82% | |
| 94 | 4% | 70% | |
| 95 | 8% | 65% | |
| 96 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 97 | 5% | 48% | |
| 98 | 3% | 43% | |
| 99 | 11% | 40% | |
| 100 | 6% | 29% | |
| 101 | 8% | 23% | |
| 102 | 4% | 15% | |
| 103 | 3% | 11% | |
| 104 | 3% | 8% | |
| 105 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 107 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 108 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 73 | 2% | 96% | |
| 74 | 3% | 94% | |
| 75 | 3% | 91% | |
| 76 | 5% | 89% | |
| 77 | 11% | 84% | |
| 78 | 2% | 73% | |
| 79 | 7% | 71% | |
| 80 | 17% | 64% | Median |
| 81 | 4% | 47% | |
| 82 | 3% | 42% | |
| 83 | 8% | 39% | |
| 84 | 14% | 31% | |
| 85 | 3% | 18% | |
| 86 | 5% | 15% | |
| 87 | 3% | 10% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 89 | 2% | 6% | |
| 90 | 2% | 4% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 97% | |
| 57 | 2% | 94% | |
| 58 | 4% | 92% | |
| 59 | 3% | 88% | |
| 60 | 6% | 85% | |
| 61 | 9% | 78% | |
| 62 | 9% | 69% | |
| 63 | 8% | 60% | |
| 64 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 65 | 20% | 46% | |
| 66 | 6% | 27% | |
| 67 | 4% | 21% | |
| 68 | 2% | 17% | |
| 69 | 3% | 15% | |
| 70 | 7% | 12% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 30 | 2% | 95% | |
| 31 | 2% | 93% | |
| 32 | 2% | 91% | |
| 33 | 4% | 89% | |
| 34 | 6% | 85% | |
| 35 | 10% | 79% | |
| 36 | 30% | 69% | Median |
| 37 | 14% | 39% | |
| 38 | 6% | 25% | |
| 39 | 7% | 19% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 41 | 3% | 11% | |
| 42 | 2% | 8% | |
| 43 | 3% | 6% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 21 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 22 | 3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 23 | 6% | 94% | |
| 24 | 5% | 88% | |
| 25 | 13% | 82% | |
| 26 | 10% | 70% | |
| 27 | 8% | 60% | |
| 28 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 29 | 15% | 40% | |
| 30 | 15% | 26% | |
| 31 | 5% | 11% | |
| 32 | 2% | 6% | |
| 33 | 2% | 4% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 20 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 21 | 2% | 97% | |
| 22 | 3% | 95% | |
| 23 | 11% | 92% | |
| 24 | 12% | 81% | |
| 25 | 20% | 69% | Median |
| 26 | 11% | 49% | |
| 27 | 10% | 38% | |
| 28 | 12% | 28% | |
| 29 | 5% | 16% | |
| 30 | 3% | 12% | |
| 31 | 4% | 9% | |
| 32 | 2% | 4% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 91% | |
| 2 | 0% | 91% | |
| 3 | 0% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 91% | |
| 5 | 0% | 91% | |
| 6 | 0% | 91% | |
| 7 | 0% | 91% | |
| 8 | 0% | 91% | |
| 9 | 0% | 91% | |
| 10 | 0% | 91% | |
| 11 | 0% | 91% | |
| 12 | 0% | 91% | |
| 13 | 0% | 91% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 15 | 5% | 90% | |
| 16 | 19% | 86% | |
| 17 | 16% | 67% | |
| 18 | 20% | 52% | Median |
| 19 | 9% | 32% | |
| 20 | 10% | 22% | |
| 21 | 5% | 12% | |
| 22 | 3% | 7% | |
| 23 | 2% | 4% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 13% | |
| 2 | 0% | 13% | |
| 3 | 0% | 13% | |
| 4 | 0% | 13% | |
| 5 | 0% | 13% | |
| 6 | 0% | 13% | |
| 7 | 0% | 13% | |
| 8 | 0% | 13% | |
| 9 | 0% | 13% | |
| 10 | 0% | 13% | |
| 11 | 0% | 13% | |
| 12 | 0% | 13% | |
| 13 | 0% | 13% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 15 | 7% | 12% | |
| 16 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 17 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 133 | 161 | 2% | 152–167 | 149–170 | 148–174 | 143–178 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 144 | 0% | 137–153 | 134–154 | 132–156 | 128–161 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 135 | 0% | 125–142 | 121–145 | 117–146 | 113–148 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 135 | 0% | 125–142 | 121–145 | 117–146 | 113–148 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 119 | 0% | 112–128 | 109–131 | 107–133 | 104–138 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 118 | 0% | 110–124 | 108–126 | 106–129 | 102–133 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 117 | 0% | 110–124 | 107–128 | 106–129 | 101–131 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 98 | 0% | 89–105 | 84–107 | 81–109 | 75–111 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 92 | 0% | 85–102 | 83–105 | 83–108 | 79–112 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 91 | 0% | 84–97 | 83–99 | 82–101 | 78–105 |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 147 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 148 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 149 | 2% | 97% | |
| 150 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 151 | 3% | 94% | |
| 152 | 2% | 91% | |
| 153 | 3% | 89% | |
| 154 | 3% | 86% | |
| 155 | 1.4% | 83% | |
| 156 | 5% | 82% | |
| 157 | 3% | 77% | |
| 158 | 13% | 74% | |
| 159 | 4% | 61% | |
| 160 | 6% | 58% | Median |
| 161 | 12% | 52% | |
| 162 | 9% | 40% | |
| 163 | 5% | 30% | |
| 164 | 3% | 25% | |
| 165 | 5% | 22% | |
| 166 | 5% | 16% | |
| 167 | 2% | 11% | |
| 168 | 2% | 9% | |
| 169 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 170 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 171 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 172 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 173 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 174 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 2% | Majority |
| 176 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 177 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 130 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 131 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 132 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 134 | 2% | 96% | |
| 135 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 136 | 1.5% | 92% | |
| 137 | 3% | 91% | |
| 138 | 4% | 88% | |
| 139 | 9% | 84% | |
| 140 | 4% | 75% | |
| 141 | 5% | 71% | |
| 142 | 2% | 66% | |
| 143 | 11% | 64% | |
| 144 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 145 | 5% | 48% | |
| 146 | 3% | 43% | |
| 147 | 3% | 40% | |
| 148 | 5% | 37% | |
| 149 | 13% | 32% | |
| 150 | 5% | 20% | |
| 151 | 1.2% | 15% | |
| 152 | 3% | 14% | |
| 153 | 2% | 10% | |
| 154 | 4% | 8% | |
| 155 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 156 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 115 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 117 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 123 | 3% | 94% | |
| 124 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 125 | 2% | 91% | |
| 126 | 3% | 89% | |
| 127 | 2% | 87% | |
| 128 | 2% | 85% | |
| 129 | 3% | 83% | |
| 130 | 3% | 80% | |
| 131 | 3% | 77% | |
| 132 | 8% | 74% | |
| 133 | 7% | 66% | |
| 134 | 7% | 59% | Median |
| 135 | 11% | 52% | |
| 136 | 22% | 40% | |
| 137 | 4% | 19% | |
| 138 | 2% | 14% | |
| 139 | 1.4% | 13% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 142 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 143 | 2% | 9% | |
| 144 | 2% | 8% | |
| 145 | 2% | 6% | |
| 146 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 147 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 115 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 117 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 123 | 3% | 94% | |
| 124 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 125 | 2% | 91% | |
| 126 | 3% | 89% | |
| 127 | 2% | 87% | |
| 128 | 2% | 85% | |
| 129 | 3% | 83% | |
| 130 | 3% | 80% | |
| 131 | 3% | 77% | |
| 132 | 8% | 74% | |
| 133 | 7% | 66% | |
| 134 | 7% | 59% | Median |
| 135 | 11% | 52% | |
| 136 | 22% | 40% | |
| 137 | 4% | 19% | |
| 138 | 2% | 14% | |
| 139 | 1.4% | 13% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 142 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 143 | 2% | 9% | |
| 144 | 2% | 8% | |
| 145 | 2% | 6% | |
| 146 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 147 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 105 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 107 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 108 | 2% | 97% | |
| 109 | 2% | 95% | |
| 110 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 111 | 3% | 93% | |
| 112 | 5% | 90% | |
| 113 | 10% | 85% | |
| 114 | 2% | 75% | |
| 115 | 5% | 73% | |
| 116 | 2% | 69% | |
| 117 | 4% | 67% | Median |
| 118 | 13% | 63% | |
| 119 | 5% | 50% | |
| 120 | 16% | 45% | |
| 121 | 4% | 29% | |
| 122 | 3% | 26% | |
| 123 | 1.2% | 23% | |
| 124 | 3% | 21% | |
| 125 | 4% | 19% | |
| 126 | 3% | 14% | |
| 127 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 128 | 1.4% | 10% | |
| 129 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 130 | 2% | 8% | |
| 131 | 2% | 6% | |
| 132 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 142 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 107 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 108 | 2% | 96% | |
| 109 | 3% | 94% | |
| 110 | 3% | 91% | |
| 111 | 4% | 88% | |
| 112 | 6% | 84% | |
| 113 | 10% | 78% | |
| 114 | 2% | 68% | |
| 115 | 5% | 66% | |
| 116 | 3% | 61% | |
| 117 | 5% | 58% | Median |
| 118 | 13% | 53% | |
| 119 | 5% | 39% | |
| 120 | 16% | 34% | |
| 121 | 3% | 18% | |
| 122 | 3% | 15% | |
| 123 | 1.3% | 12% | |
| 124 | 2% | 10% | |
| 125 | 3% | 9% | Last Result |
| 126 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 127 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 128 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 129 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 130 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 106 | 2% | 98% | |
| 107 | 2% | 96% | |
| 108 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 109 | 2% | 93% | |
| 110 | 2% | 91% | |
| 111 | 3% | 89% | |
| 112 | 3% | 86% | |
| 113 | 4% | 83% | |
| 114 | 9% | 79% | |
| 115 | 9% | 70% | |
| 116 | 7% | 61% | Median |
| 117 | 5% | 54% | |
| 118 | 5% | 49% | |
| 119 | 14% | 44% | |
| 120 | 13% | 30% | |
| 121 | 2% | 18% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 16% | |
| 123 | 4% | 15% | |
| 124 | 2% | 11% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 126 | 2% | 7% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 128 | 2% | 5% | |
| 129 | 2% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 86 | 2% | 94% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 90 | 2% | 90% | |
| 91 | 2% | 88% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 93 | 4% | 85% | |
| 94 | 3% | 81% | |
| 95 | 9% | 77% | |
| 96 | 5% | 68% | |
| 97 | 12% | 63% | |
| 98 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 99 | 3% | 44% | |
| 100 | 19% | 41% | |
| 101 | 2% | 22% | |
| 102 | 5% | 20% | |
| 103 | 3% | 15% | |
| 104 | 2% | 12% | |
| 105 | 2% | 10% | |
| 106 | 3% | 8% | |
| 107 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 108 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 109 | 2% | 4% | |
| 110 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 83 | 3% | 98% | |
| 84 | 4% | 95% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 86 | 2% | 90% | |
| 87 | 3% | 88% | |
| 88 | 11% | 85% | |
| 89 | 9% | 75% | |
| 90 | 3% | 66% | |
| 91 | 12% | 63% | |
| 92 | 3% | 51% | Median |
| 93 | 6% | 48% | |
| 94 | 3% | 42% | |
| 95 | 13% | 39% | |
| 96 | 3% | 25% | |
| 97 | 1.3% | 22% | |
| 98 | 1.4% | 21% | |
| 99 | 4% | 19% | |
| 100 | 3% | 15% | |
| 101 | 2% | 12% | |
| 102 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 104 | 2% | 8% | |
| 105 | 2% | 6% | |
| 106 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 108 | 2% | 3% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 83 | 4% | 96% | |
| 84 | 5% | 93% | |
| 85 | 2% | 88% | |
| 86 | 3% | 86% | |
| 87 | 3% | 83% | |
| 88 | 11% | 80% | |
| 89 | 11% | 69% | |
| 90 | 4% | 58% | |
| 91 | 13% | 54% | |
| 92 | 3% | 42% | Median |
| 93 | 7% | 38% | |
| 94 | 3% | 31% | |
| 95 | 14% | 28% | |
| 96 | 3% | 14% | |
| 97 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 98 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 99 | 3% | 8% | |
| 100 | 2% | 5% | |
| 101 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 107 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): Nyheter Idag
- Fieldwork period: 1–5 June 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1004
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.75%