Opinion Poll by Demoskop for Expressen, 29 May–6 June 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 23.1% | 21.8–24.5% | 21.4–24.9% | 21.1–25.3% | 20.5–25.9% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 21.0% | 19.7–22.4% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.1–23.1% | 18.5–23.7% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 19.9% | 18.7–21.2% | 18.3–21.6% | 18.0–21.9% | 17.4–22.6% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 9.8% | 8.9–10.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.5–11.4% | 8.0–11.9% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.5–9.3% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.1–9.8% | 6.7–10.3% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5–5.9% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.8–6.7% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.7–6.5% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2–4.5% | 3.1–4.7% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.7–5.2% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9–2.9% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 86 | 80–92 | 79–94 | 77–95 | 76–98 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 78 | 73–83 | 72–84 | 71–87 | 69–90 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 74 | 69–79 | 68–82 | 66–83 | 64–85 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 37 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 31–42 | 30–45 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 31 | 28–35 | 27–36 | 26–37 | 24–38 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 19 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 15–23 | 0–25 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 18 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 0–22 | 0–24 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 0 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–17 | 0–19 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 1.5% | 99.6% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 78 | 2% | 97% | |
| 79 | 2% | 96% | |
| 80 | 5% | 94% | |
| 81 | 3% | 89% | |
| 82 | 3% | 86% | |
| 83 | 8% | 83% | |
| 84 | 14% | 75% | |
| 85 | 8% | 61% | |
| 86 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 87 | 6% | 43% | |
| 88 | 9% | 37% | |
| 89 | 4% | 27% | |
| 90 | 8% | 24% | |
| 91 | 5% | 16% | |
| 92 | 2% | 11% | |
| 93 | 2% | 8% | |
| 94 | 2% | 6% | |
| 95 | 3% | 4% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 4% | 95% | |
| 73 | 5% | 92% | |
| 74 | 7% | 87% | |
| 75 | 6% | 80% | |
| 76 | 6% | 73% | |
| 77 | 8% | 67% | |
| 78 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 79 | 16% | 49% | |
| 80 | 8% | 33% | |
| 81 | 5% | 26% | |
| 82 | 5% | 21% | |
| 83 | 8% | 16% | |
| 84 | 3% | 8% | |
| 85 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 86 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 2% | 95% | |
| 69 | 6% | 93% | |
| 70 | 4% | 88% | |
| 71 | 11% | 83% | |
| 72 | 14% | 72% | |
| 73 | 6% | 58% | |
| 74 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 75 | 8% | 46% | |
| 76 | 8% | 38% | |
| 77 | 11% | 30% | |
| 78 | 4% | 19% | |
| 79 | 7% | 15% | |
| 80 | 2% | 8% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 98.6% | |
| 32 | 4% | 97% | |
| 33 | 5% | 94% | |
| 34 | 9% | 88% | |
| 35 | 11% | 79% | |
| 36 | 13% | 68% | |
| 37 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 38 | 16% | 43% | |
| 39 | 10% | 27% | |
| 40 | 6% | 16% | |
| 41 | 5% | 11% | |
| 42 | 3% | 6% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 27 | 4% | 97% | |
| 28 | 13% | 94% | |
| 29 | 10% | 81% | |
| 30 | 12% | 71% | |
| 31 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 32 | 19% | 47% | |
| 33 | 12% | 29% | |
| 34 | 6% | 16% | |
| 35 | 5% | 11% | |
| 36 | 2% | 6% | |
| 37 | 2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 14 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 15 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 16 | 6% | 97% | |
| 17 | 15% | 91% | |
| 18 | 17% | 76% | |
| 19 | 18% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 20 | 17% | 41% | |
| 21 | 11% | 24% | |
| 22 | 8% | 13% | |
| 23 | 3% | 5% | |
| 24 | 2% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0% | 97% | |
| 9 | 0% | 97% | |
| 10 | 0% | 97% | |
| 11 | 0% | 97% | |
| 12 | 0% | 97% | |
| 13 | 0% | 97% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 15 | 2% | 97% | |
| 16 | 14% | 95% | |
| 17 | 14% | 81% | |
| 18 | 22% | 67% | Median |
| 19 | 10% | 45% | |
| 20 | 20% | 35% | |
| 21 | 5% | 15% | |
| 22 | 7% | 9% | |
| 23 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 63% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 37% | |
| 2 | 0% | 37% | |
| 3 | 0% | 37% | |
| 4 | 0% | 37% | |
| 5 | 0% | 37% | |
| 6 | 0% | 37% | |
| 7 | 0% | 37% | |
| 8 | 0% | 37% | |
| 9 | 0% | 37% | |
| 10 | 0% | 37% | |
| 11 | 0% | 37% | |
| 12 | 0% | 37% | |
| 13 | 0% | 37% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 37% | |
| 15 | 22% | 37% | |
| 16 | 9% | 15% | Last Result |
| 17 | 5% | 6% | |
| 18 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 160 | 0.8% | 153–169 | 151–171 | 148–172 | 146–176 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 133 | 152 | 0% | 145–159 | 143–162 | 142–163 | 138–168 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 135 | 0% | 128–143 | 126–146 | 124–148 | 120–152 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 136 | 0% | 128–143 | 126–145 | 124–146 | 118–149 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 136 | 0% | 128–143 | 126–145 | 124–146 | 118–149 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 130 | 0% | 123–138 | 120–139 | 118–140 | 115–144 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 116 | 0% | 109–125 | 107–127 | 105–130 | 102–134 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 118 | 0% | 111–125 | 109–126 | 108–127 | 105–131 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 111 | 0% | 104–119 | 102–119 | 101–120 | 99–124 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 104 | 0% | 97–111 | 96–112 | 94–113 | 86–117 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 147 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 148 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 149 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 150 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 151 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 152 | 4% | 95% | |
| 153 | 3% | 91% | |
| 154 | 2% | 87% | |
| 155 | 11% | 85% | |
| 156 | 7% | 74% | |
| 157 | 3% | 67% | |
| 158 | 3% | 65% | |
| 159 | 5% | 62% | |
| 160 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 161 | 7% | 45% | |
| 162 | 3% | 39% | |
| 163 | 8% | 36% | |
| 164 | 5% | 27% | |
| 165 | 4% | 22% | |
| 166 | 2% | 18% | |
| 167 | 2% | 17% | |
| 168 | 3% | 14% | |
| 169 | 6% | 12% | |
| 170 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 171 | 2% | 5% | |
| 172 | 2% | 3% | |
| 173 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 175 | 0.2% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 140 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 142 | 2% | 98% | |
| 143 | 3% | 96% | |
| 144 | 2% | 93% | |
| 145 | 2% | 91% | |
| 146 | 3% | 89% | |
| 147 | 3% | 86% | |
| 148 | 6% | 82% | |
| 149 | 4% | 76% | |
| 150 | 12% | 72% | |
| 151 | 4% | 61% | |
| 152 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 153 | 8% | 48% | |
| 154 | 7% | 40% | |
| 155 | 8% | 33% | |
| 156 | 4% | 25% | |
| 157 | 4% | 21% | |
| 158 | 5% | 16% | |
| 159 | 2% | 11% | |
| 160 | 2% | 9% | |
| 161 | 2% | 7% | |
| 162 | 2% | 5% | |
| 163 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 164 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 123 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 124 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 126 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 127 | 3% | 95% | |
| 128 | 7% | 92% | |
| 129 | 4% | 85% | |
| 130 | 7% | 81% | Median |
| 131 | 3% | 74% | |
| 132 | 4% | 71% | |
| 133 | 7% | 68% | |
| 134 | 7% | 61% | |
| 135 | 6% | 55% | |
| 136 | 6% | 49% | |
| 137 | 2% | 43% | |
| 138 | 8% | 40% | |
| 139 | 3% | 33% | |
| 140 | 5% | 30% | |
| 141 | 2% | 24% | Last Result |
| 142 | 8% | 22% | |
| 143 | 5% | 14% | |
| 144 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 145 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 146 | 2% | 6% | |
| 147 | 2% | 4% | |
| 148 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 149 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 124 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 125 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 126 | 2% | 96% | |
| 127 | 3% | 94% | |
| 128 | 6% | 91% | |
| 129 | 5% | 85% | |
| 130 | 4% | 80% | |
| 131 | 3% | 77% | |
| 132 | 4% | 74% | |
| 133 | 4% | 70% | |
| 134 | 6% | 66% | |
| 135 | 5% | 60% | Median |
| 136 | 11% | 55% | |
| 137 | 8% | 44% | |
| 138 | 11% | 36% | |
| 139 | 6% | 26% | |
| 140 | 4% | 19% | |
| 141 | 2% | 15% | |
| 142 | 3% | 13% | |
| 143 | 2% | 10% | |
| 144 | 2% | 8% | |
| 145 | 3% | 6% | |
| 146 | 2% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 124 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 125 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 126 | 2% | 96% | |
| 127 | 3% | 94% | |
| 128 | 6% | 91% | |
| 129 | 5% | 85% | |
| 130 | 4% | 80% | |
| 131 | 3% | 77% | |
| 132 | 4% | 74% | |
| 133 | 4% | 70% | |
| 134 | 6% | 66% | |
| 135 | 5% | 60% | Median |
| 136 | 11% | 55% | |
| 137 | 8% | 44% | |
| 138 | 11% | 36% | |
| 139 | 6% | 26% | |
| 140 | 4% | 19% | |
| 141 | 2% | 15% | |
| 142 | 3% | 13% | |
| 143 | 2% | 10% | |
| 144 | 2% | 8% | |
| 145 | 3% | 6% | |
| 146 | 2% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 118 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 120 | 2% | 97% | |
| 121 | 2% | 95% | |
| 122 | 2% | 92% | |
| 123 | 3% | 90% | |
| 124 | 3% | 87% | |
| 125 | 4% | 84% | Last Result |
| 126 | 2% | 80% | |
| 127 | 10% | 77% | |
| 128 | 12% | 67% | |
| 129 | 5% | 56% | |
| 130 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 131 | 4% | 42% | |
| 132 | 4% | 38% | |
| 133 | 7% | 34% | |
| 134 | 6% | 27% | |
| 135 | 4% | 21% | |
| 136 | 5% | 17% | |
| 137 | 2% | 12% | |
| 138 | 5% | 11% | |
| 139 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 140 | 3% | 5% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 106 | 2% | 97% | |
| 107 | 2% | 95% | |
| 108 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 109 | 6% | 92% | |
| 110 | 5% | 86% | |
| 111 | 11% | 81% | Median |
| 112 | 3% | 70% | |
| 113 | 3% | 67% | |
| 114 | 5% | 65% | |
| 115 | 6% | 60% | |
| 116 | 5% | 53% | |
| 117 | 5% | 49% | |
| 118 | 5% | 44% | |
| 119 | 7% | 39% | |
| 120 | 2% | 32% | |
| 121 | 3% | 30% | |
| 122 | 2% | 27% | Last Result |
| 123 | 4% | 26% | |
| 124 | 7% | 21% | |
| 125 | 5% | 14% | |
| 126 | 3% | 10% | |
| 127 | 2% | 6% | |
| 128 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 129 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 131 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 108 | 2% | 98% | |
| 109 | 4% | 96% | |
| 110 | 2% | 92% | |
| 111 | 2% | 90% | |
| 112 | 8% | 88% | |
| 113 | 5% | 80% | |
| 114 | 6% | 76% | |
| 115 | 2% | 70% | |
| 116 | 7% | 68% | |
| 117 | 10% | 61% | Median |
| 118 | 19% | 51% | |
| 119 | 7% | 32% | |
| 120 | 1.4% | 25% | |
| 121 | 3% | 24% | |
| 122 | 5% | 21% | |
| 123 | 3% | 15% | |
| 124 | 2% | 12% | |
| 125 | 3% | 11% | |
| 126 | 4% | 8% | |
| 127 | 3% | 4% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 101 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 102 | 2% | 96% | |
| 103 | 4% | 94% | |
| 104 | 2% | 91% | |
| 105 | 2% | 89% | |
| 106 | 4% | 86% | Last Result |
| 107 | 4% | 82% | |
| 108 | 3% | 78% | |
| 109 | 13% | 75% | |
| 110 | 10% | 62% | |
| 111 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 112 | 4% | 37% | |
| 113 | 3% | 33% | |
| 114 | 5% | 31% | |
| 115 | 7% | 25% | |
| 116 | 3% | 19% | |
| 117 | 3% | 15% | |
| 118 | 2% | 12% | |
| 119 | 7% | 10% | |
| 120 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 123 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 94 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 95 | 2% | 97% | |
| 96 | 2% | 95% | |
| 97 | 3% | 93% | |
| 98 | 3% | 90% | |
| 99 | 3% | 86% | |
| 100 | 8% | 84% | |
| 101 | 5% | 75% | |
| 102 | 6% | 70% | |
| 103 | 9% | 65% | |
| 104 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 105 | 8% | 48% | |
| 106 | 6% | 40% | |
| 107 | 6% | 34% | |
| 108 | 12% | 28% | |
| 109 | 3% | 16% | |
| 110 | 4% | 14% | |
| 111 | 2% | 10% | |
| 112 | 3% | 8% | |
| 113 | 3% | 5% | |
| 114 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): Expressen
- Fieldwork period: 29 May–6 June 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1609
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.22%