Opinion Poll by YouGov for Metro, 15–18 June 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 28.4% | 27.0–29.9% | 26.6–30.4% | 26.2–30.7% | 25.5–31.5% |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 22.0% | 20.7–23.4% | 20.3–23.8% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.3–24.8% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 17.2% | 16.0–18.5% | 15.7–18.9% | 15.4–19.2% | 14.9–19.9% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.4–10.3% | 8.1–10.6% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.5–11.4% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3–8.0% | 6.1–8.3% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.6–9.0% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.4–5.4% | 3.1–5.8% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.2–4.5% | 3.1–4.7% | 3.0–4.9% | 2.7–5.3% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.4% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1–1.9% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 111 | 103–119 | 100–122 | 99–126 | 97–127 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 86 | 79–92 | 77–92 | 76–95 | 73–99 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 67 | 61–72 | 60–74 | 59–75 | 56–79 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 36 | 32–40 | 31–41 | 31–43 | 29–45 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 28 | 24–31 | 23–32 | 23–33 | 21–35 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 16 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–21 | 0–23 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 0 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–17 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 97 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 99 | 2% | 98% | |
| 100 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 101 | 2% | 95% | |
| 102 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 103 | 3% | 92% | |
| 104 | 2% | 89% | |
| 105 | 5% | 87% | |
| 106 | 3% | 82% | |
| 107 | 3% | 79% | |
| 108 | 4% | 76% | |
| 109 | 7% | 73% | |
| 110 | 7% | 66% | |
| 111 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 112 | 7% | 47% | |
| 113 | 14% | 40% | |
| 114 | 3% | 26% | |
| 115 | 5% | 22% | |
| 116 | 4% | 17% | |
| 117 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 12% | |
| 119 | 5% | 12% | |
| 120 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 121 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 122 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 123 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 125 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 127 | 2% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 77 | 3% | 97% | |
| 78 | 2% | 94% | |
| 79 | 5% | 92% | |
| 80 | 5% | 87% | |
| 81 | 5% | 82% | |
| 82 | 6% | 77% | |
| 83 | 5% | 71% | |
| 84 | 11% | 66% | |
| 85 | 6% | 56% | |
| 86 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 87 | 6% | 43% | |
| 88 | 9% | 37% | |
| 89 | 6% | 28% | |
| 90 | 7% | 22% | |
| 91 | 2% | 14% | |
| 92 | 7% | 12% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 95 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 59 | 3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 61 | 5% | 94% | |
| 62 | 3% | 89% | |
| 63 | 8% | 85% | |
| 64 | 5% | 77% | |
| 65 | 7% | 72% | |
| 66 | 11% | 65% | |
| 67 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 68 | 11% | 45% | |
| 69 | 5% | 35% | |
| 70 | 6% | 30% | |
| 71 | 3% | 24% | |
| 72 | 12% | 21% | |
| 73 | 3% | 10% | |
| 74 | 3% | 7% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 31 | 3% | 98% | |
| 32 | 6% | 95% | |
| 33 | 6% | 89% | |
| 34 | 11% | 83% | |
| 35 | 10% | 72% | |
| 36 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 37 | 13% | 47% | |
| 38 | 6% | 34% | |
| 39 | 16% | 27% | |
| 40 | 4% | 12% | |
| 41 | 3% | 8% | |
| 42 | 2% | 5% | |
| 43 | 2% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 0.7% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 23 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 24 | 9% | 94% | |
| 25 | 8% | 85% | |
| 26 | 6% | 76% | |
| 27 | 14% | 70% | |
| 28 | 13% | 57% | Median |
| 29 | 7% | 44% | |
| 30 | 16% | 36% | |
| 31 | 14% | 20% | |
| 32 | 3% | 6% | |
| 33 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 69% | |
| 2 | 0% | 69% | |
| 3 | 0% | 69% | |
| 4 | 0% | 69% | |
| 5 | 0% | 69% | |
| 6 | 0% | 69% | |
| 7 | 0% | 69% | |
| 8 | 0% | 69% | |
| 9 | 0% | 69% | |
| 10 | 0% | 69% | |
| 11 | 0% | 69% | |
| 12 | 0% | 69% | |
| 13 | 0% | 69% | |
| 14 | 0% | 69% | |
| 15 | 2% | 69% | |
| 16 | 21% | 67% | Median |
| 17 | 12% | 46% | |
| 18 | 13% | 34% | |
| 19 | 14% | 21% | Last Result |
| 20 | 4% | 8% | |
| 21 | 2% | 4% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 62% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 38% | |
| 2 | 0% | 38% | |
| 3 | 0% | 38% | |
| 4 | 0% | 38% | |
| 5 | 0% | 38% | |
| 6 | 0% | 38% | |
| 7 | 0% | 38% | |
| 8 | 0% | 38% | |
| 9 | 0% | 38% | |
| 10 | 0% | 38% | |
| 11 | 0% | 38% | |
| 12 | 0% | 38% | |
| 13 | 0% | 38% | |
| 14 | 0% | 38% | |
| 15 | 7% | 38% | |
| 16 | 15% | 30% | |
| 17 | 6% | 15% | |
| 18 | 5% | 9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 15 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 16 | 1.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 133 | 177 | 69% | 169–191 | 165–191 | 162–195 | 159–197 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 153 | 0.1% | 144–161 | 141–163 | 138–166 | 133–172 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 127 | 0% | 118–138 | 116–141 | 114–143 | 110–150 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 127 | 0% | 118–138 | 116–141 | 114–143 | 110–150 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 122 | 0% | 114–129 | 111–131 | 110–134 | 106–138 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 109 | 0% | 96–118 | 94–119 | 91–122 | 87–126 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 109 | 0% | 96–117 | 94–118 | 91–119 | 86–124 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 96 | 0% | 88–103 | 85–105 | 85–109 | 83–114 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 90 | 0% | 82–103 | 80–105 | 78–106 | 76–111 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 95 | 0% | 87–102 | 85–103 | 85–105 | 82–110 |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0% | 100% | |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 159 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 163 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 165 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 166 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 167 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 168 | 2% | 93% | |
| 169 | 4% | 91% | |
| 170 | 2% | 87% | |
| 171 | 7% | 86% | |
| 172 | 4% | 79% | |
| 173 | 2% | 74% | |
| 174 | 3% | 72% | |
| 175 | 7% | 69% | Majority |
| 176 | 8% | 62% | |
| 177 | 7% | 53% | |
| 178 | 3% | 46% | Median |
| 179 | 1.0% | 43% | |
| 180 | 4% | 42% | |
| 181 | 4% | 38% | |
| 182 | 2% | 34% | |
| 183 | 11% | 32% | |
| 184 | 2% | 22% | |
| 185 | 3% | 20% | |
| 186 | 2% | 17% | |
| 187 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 188 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 190 | 2% | 12% | |
| 191 | 6% | 11% | |
| 192 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 193 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 194 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 195 | 2% | 3% | |
| 196 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 138 | 2% | 98% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 140 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 141 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 143 | 2% | 93% | |
| 144 | 2% | 91% | |
| 145 | 2% | 89% | |
| 146 | 5% | 87% | |
| 147 | 7% | 82% | |
| 148 | 5% | 75% | |
| 149 | 5% | 71% | |
| 150 | 5% | 66% | |
| 151 | 6% | 61% | |
| 152 | 3% | 55% | |
| 153 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 154 | 2% | 43% | |
| 155 | 5% | 41% | |
| 156 | 10% | 36% | |
| 157 | 2% | 26% | |
| 158 | 4% | 25% | |
| 159 | 5% | 21% | |
| 160 | 6% | 16% | |
| 161 | 2% | 10% | |
| 162 | 2% | 8% | |
| 163 | 2% | 6% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 165 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 166 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 170 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 116 | 2% | 96% | |
| 117 | 4% | 94% | |
| 118 | 2% | 90% | |
| 119 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 120 | 6% | 87% | |
| 121 | 5% | 82% | |
| 122 | 2% | 77% | Median |
| 123 | 4% | 75% | |
| 124 | 2% | 71% | |
| 125 | 3% | 69% | |
| 126 | 4% | 65% | |
| 127 | 13% | 61% | |
| 128 | 5% | 48% | |
| 129 | 8% | 43% | |
| 130 | 2% | 35% | |
| 131 | 4% | 33% | |
| 132 | 3% | 30% | |
| 133 | 1.4% | 26% | |
| 134 | 2% | 25% | |
| 135 | 2% | 23% | |
| 136 | 3% | 20% | |
| 137 | 2% | 18% | |
| 138 | 7% | 16% | |
| 139 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 140 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 141 | 3% | 6% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 116 | 2% | 96% | |
| 117 | 4% | 94% | |
| 118 | 2% | 90% | |
| 119 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 120 | 6% | 87% | |
| 121 | 5% | 82% | |
| 122 | 2% | 77% | Median |
| 123 | 4% | 75% | |
| 124 | 2% | 71% | |
| 125 | 3% | 69% | |
| 126 | 4% | 65% | |
| 127 | 13% | 61% | |
| 128 | 5% | 48% | |
| 129 | 8% | 43% | |
| 130 | 2% | 35% | |
| 131 | 4% | 33% | |
| 132 | 3% | 30% | |
| 133 | 1.4% | 26% | |
| 134 | 2% | 25% | |
| 135 | 2% | 23% | |
| 136 | 3% | 20% | |
| 137 | 2% | 18% | |
| 138 | 7% | 16% | |
| 139 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 140 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 141 | 3% | 6% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 109 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 110 | 2% | 98% | |
| 111 | 3% | 97% | |
| 112 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 113 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 114 | 5% | 92% | |
| 115 | 2% | 87% | |
| 116 | 7% | 85% | |
| 117 | 5% | 78% | |
| 118 | 4% | 73% | |
| 119 | 3% | 69% | |
| 120 | 7% | 66% | |
| 121 | 7% | 59% | |
| 122 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 123 | 4% | 44% | |
| 124 | 4% | 40% | |
| 125 | 3% | 35% | |
| 126 | 4% | 33% | |
| 127 | 13% | 29% | |
| 128 | 5% | 16% | |
| 129 | 4% | 12% | |
| 130 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 131 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 132 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 134 | 1.1% | 3% | Last Result |
| 135 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 94 | 3% | 96% | |
| 95 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 96 | 3% | 91% | |
| 97 | 4% | 88% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 99 | 3% | 84% | |
| 100 | 2% | 81% | |
| 101 | 6% | 79% | |
| 102 | 2% | 73% | |
| 103 | 6% | 71% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 65% | |
| 105 | 3% | 64% | |
| 106 | 3% | 61% | |
| 107 | 2% | 58% | |
| 108 | 2% | 56% | |
| 109 | 8% | 53% | |
| 110 | 4% | 46% | |
| 111 | 4% | 42% | Median |
| 112 | 5% | 38% | |
| 113 | 5% | 32% | |
| 114 | 2% | 27% | |
| 115 | 6% | 25% | |
| 116 | 3% | 19% | |
| 117 | 5% | 16% | |
| 118 | 6% | 12% | |
| 119 | 2% | 6% | |
| 120 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 122 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 126 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 94 | 3% | 95% | |
| 95 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 96 | 3% | 91% | |
| 97 | 4% | 88% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 99 | 3% | 83% | |
| 100 | 2% | 80% | |
| 101 | 6% | 78% | |
| 102 | 2% | 72% | |
| 103 | 6% | 70% | |
| 104 | 0.9% | 64% | |
| 105 | 3% | 63% | |
| 106 | 4% | 60% | |
| 107 | 2% | 56% | |
| 108 | 2% | 54% | |
| 109 | 8% | 51% | |
| 110 | 4% | 44% | |
| 111 | 5% | 40% | Median |
| 112 | 5% | 35% | |
| 113 | 5% | 30% | |
| 114 | 2% | 25% | |
| 115 | 6% | 23% | |
| 116 | 3% | 17% | |
| 117 | 5% | 14% | |
| 118 | 5% | 10% | |
| 119 | 2% | 4% | |
| 120 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 85 | 5% | 98% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 87 | 2% | 92% | |
| 88 | 3% | 91% | |
| 89 | 3% | 88% | |
| 90 | 7% | 85% | |
| 91 | 5% | 78% | |
| 92 | 5% | 73% | |
| 93 | 4% | 68% | |
| 94 | 6% | 65% | |
| 95 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 96 | 9% | 51% | |
| 97 | 8% | 42% | |
| 98 | 4% | 34% | |
| 99 | 6% | 30% | |
| 100 | 3% | 24% | |
| 101 | 3% | 21% | |
| 102 | 6% | 18% | |
| 103 | 6% | 12% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 105 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 109 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 79 | 2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 81 | 3% | 94% | |
| 82 | 4% | 91% | |
| 83 | 2% | 87% | |
| 84 | 7% | 85% | |
| 85 | 3% | 78% | |
| 86 | 1.4% | 75% | Median |
| 87 | 5% | 74% | |
| 88 | 7% | 69% | |
| 89 | 5% | 61% | |
| 90 | 7% | 56% | |
| 91 | 3% | 50% | |
| 92 | 8% | 47% | |
| 93 | 1.2% | 39% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 38% | |
| 95 | 6% | 37% | |
| 96 | 2% | 31% | |
| 97 | 3% | 29% | |
| 98 | 2% | 26% | |
| 99 | 4% | 24% | |
| 100 | 2% | 20% | |
| 101 | 1.3% | 17% | |
| 102 | 6% | 16% | |
| 103 | 2% | 10% | |
| 104 | 3% | 8% | |
| 105 | 2% | 5% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 85 | 5% | 98% | |
| 86 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 87 | 2% | 92% | |
| 88 | 3% | 90% | |
| 89 | 3% | 87% | |
| 90 | 7% | 84% | |
| 91 | 5% | 77% | |
| 92 | 5% | 72% | |
| 93 | 4% | 67% | |
| 94 | 7% | 63% | |
| 95 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 96 | 9% | 49% | |
| 97 | 8% | 39% | |
| 98 | 4% | 31% | |
| 99 | 6% | 27% | |
| 100 | 3% | 21% | |
| 101 | 3% | 18% | |
| 102 | 6% | 15% | |
| 103 | 6% | 9% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 105 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 107 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): Metro
- Fieldwork period: 15–18 June 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1520
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.71%