Opinion Poll by Sentio for Nyheter Idag, 28 June–3 July 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 25.6% | 23.6–27.7% | 23.0–28.3% | 22.6–28.8% | 21.6–29.9% |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 21.3% | 19.4–23.3% | 18.9–23.9% | 18.5–24.4% | 17.6–25.3% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 18.0% | 16.3–20.0% | 15.8–20.5% | 15.4–21.0% | 14.6–21.9% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 10.8% | 9.4–12.4% | 9.1–12.8% | 8.7–13.2% | 8.1–14.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1–8.5% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.5–9.2% | 5.0–9.9% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8–7.0% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.3–7.7% | 3.9–8.4% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.8–5.7% | 2.5–6.3% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.1% | 2.6–5.4% | 2.3–6.0% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.1% | 0.4–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 96 | 87–104 | 85–106 | 83–109 | 79–114 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 80 | 72–88 | 70–91 | 68–93 | 64–96 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 67 | 60–75 | 58–77 | 57–79 | 54–83 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 40 | 35–46 | 33–48 | 33–50 | 30–52 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 27 | 22–32 | 21–33 | 20–35 | 18–37 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 22 | 18–27 | 17–28 | 16–29 | 0–31 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 15 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–21 | 0–23 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 0 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–22 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 85 | 2% | 96% | |
| 86 | 2% | 94% | |
| 87 | 3% | 93% | |
| 88 | 3% | 90% | |
| 89 | 4% | 87% | |
| 90 | 6% | 83% | |
| 91 | 4% | 76% | |
| 92 | 5% | 73% | |
| 93 | 6% | 67% | |
| 94 | 5% | 61% | |
| 95 | 5% | 56% | |
| 96 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 97 | 5% | 46% | |
| 98 | 7% | 41% | |
| 99 | 5% | 34% | |
| 100 | 3% | 29% | |
| 101 | 5% | 26% | |
| 102 | 4% | 20% | |
| 103 | 4% | 16% | |
| 104 | 3% | 12% | |
| 105 | 2% | 9% | |
| 106 | 2% | 7% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 108 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 110 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 3% | 95% | |
| 71 | 2% | 93% | |
| 72 | 3% | 91% | |
| 73 | 4% | 88% | |
| 74 | 5% | 84% | |
| 75 | 2% | 78% | |
| 76 | 6% | 76% | |
| 77 | 5% | 70% | |
| 78 | 8% | 65% | |
| 79 | 5% | 57% | |
| 80 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 81 | 6% | 46% | |
| 82 | 5% | 40% | |
| 83 | 3% | 35% | |
| 84 | 9% | 32% | |
| 85 | 6% | 23% | |
| 86 | 4% | 17% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 13% | |
| 88 | 4% | 12% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 90 | 2% | 7% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 96% | |
| 59 | 4% | 94% | |
| 60 | 6% | 91% | |
| 61 | 5% | 84% | |
| 62 | 5% | 80% | |
| 63 | 5% | 75% | |
| 64 | 5% | 70% | |
| 65 | 7% | 66% | |
| 66 | 5% | 58% | |
| 67 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 68 | 8% | 49% | |
| 69 | 4% | 41% | |
| 70 | 6% | 37% | |
| 71 | 5% | 32% | |
| 72 | 7% | 27% | |
| 73 | 4% | 20% | |
| 74 | 3% | 16% | |
| 75 | 5% | 13% | |
| 76 | 2% | 8% | |
| 77 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 33 | 3% | 98% | |
| 34 | 3% | 94% | |
| 35 | 5% | 91% | |
| 36 | 5% | 87% | |
| 37 | 5% | 82% | |
| 38 | 9% | 77% | |
| 39 | 9% | 68% | |
| 40 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 41 | 9% | 47% | |
| 42 | 5% | 38% | |
| 43 | 8% | 33% | |
| 44 | 7% | 25% | |
| 45 | 6% | 18% | |
| 46 | 3% | 12% | |
| 47 | 3% | 9% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 49 | 2% | 5% | |
| 50 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 21 | 3% | 97% | |
| 22 | 5% | 94% | Last Result |
| 23 | 7% | 89% | |
| 24 | 8% | 83% | |
| 25 | 11% | 74% | |
| 26 | 11% | 63% | |
| 27 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 28 | 10% | 44% | |
| 29 | 10% | 34% | |
| 30 | 8% | 24% | |
| 31 | 5% | 17% | |
| 32 | 4% | 12% | |
| 33 | 3% | 8% | |
| 34 | 2% | 5% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 16 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 17 | 5% | 97% | |
| 18 | 6% | 92% | |
| 19 | 8% | 86% | Last Result |
| 20 | 14% | 78% | |
| 21 | 13% | 64% | |
| 22 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 23 | 9% | 44% | |
| 24 | 13% | 35% | |
| 25 | 6% | 22% | |
| 26 | 5% | 16% | |
| 27 | 4% | 11% | |
| 28 | 3% | 7% | |
| 29 | 2% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 45% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 55% | |
| 2 | 0% | 55% | |
| 3 | 0% | 55% | |
| 4 | 0% | 55% | |
| 5 | 0% | 55% | |
| 6 | 0% | 55% | |
| 7 | 0% | 55% | |
| 8 | 0% | 55% | |
| 9 | 0% | 55% | |
| 10 | 0% | 55% | |
| 11 | 0% | 55% | |
| 12 | 0% | 55% | |
| 13 | 0% | 55% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 55% | |
| 15 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 16 | 14% | 46% | Last Result |
| 17 | 12% | 32% | |
| 18 | 8% | 19% | |
| 19 | 4% | 12% | |
| 20 | 4% | 8% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 60% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 40% | |
| 2 | 0% | 40% | |
| 3 | 0% | 40% | |
| 4 | 0% | 40% | |
| 5 | 0% | 40% | |
| 6 | 0% | 40% | |
| 7 | 0% | 40% | |
| 8 | 0% | 40% | |
| 9 | 0% | 40% | |
| 10 | 0% | 40% | |
| 11 | 0% | 40% | |
| 12 | 0% | 40% | |
| 13 | 0% | 40% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 40% | |
| 15 | 11% | 40% | |
| 16 | 11% | 29% | |
| 17 | 7% | 19% | |
| 18 | 5% | 11% | |
| 19 | 4% | 7% | |
| 20 | 2% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 133 | 163 | 10% | 151–174 | 149–179 | 146–180 | 143–186 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 147 | 0% | 136–158 | 134–161 | 131–164 | 127–169 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 127 | 0% | 115–139 | 112–142 | 111–145 | 107–149 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 127 | 0% | 115–139 | 112–142 | 111–145 | 107–149 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 125 | 0% | 113–137 | 110–140 | 107–143 | 102–147 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 121 | 0% | 111–130 | 108–133 | 106–136 | 102–141 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 116 | 0% | 105–126 | 103–129 | 102–131 | 97–137 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 103 | 0% | 92–116 | 89–118 | 87–121 | 83–125 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 94 | 0% | 85–104 | 82–106 | 82–108 | 79–113 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 86 | 0% | 76–99 | 73–101 | 70–104 | 68–108 |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 146 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 147 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 148 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 149 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 150 | 3% | 94% | |
| 151 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 152 | 2% | 89% | |
| 153 | 2% | 88% | |
| 154 | 2% | 86% | |
| 155 | 5% | 84% | |
| 156 | 4% | 78% | |
| 157 | 3% | 74% | |
| 158 | 3% | 71% | |
| 159 | 2% | 68% | |
| 160 | 5% | 65% | |
| 161 | 5% | 61% | |
| 162 | 4% | 56% | |
| 163 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 164 | 8% | 46% | |
| 165 | 3% | 38% | |
| 166 | 3% | 35% | |
| 167 | 2% | 33% | |
| 168 | 2% | 31% | |
| 169 | 2% | 29% | |
| 170 | 3% | 27% | |
| 171 | 6% | 24% | |
| 172 | 3% | 18% | |
| 173 | 2% | 15% | |
| 174 | 3% | 13% | |
| 175 | 0.8% | 10% | Majority |
| 176 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 177 | 2% | 8% | |
| 178 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 179 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 180 | 2% | 4% | |
| 181 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 129 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 131 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 132 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 133 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 134 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 135 | 2% | 94% | |
| 136 | 3% | 92% | |
| 137 | 4% | 89% | |
| 138 | 3% | 86% | |
| 139 | 3% | 83% | |
| 140 | 3% | 80% | |
| 141 | 3% | 77% | |
| 142 | 3% | 74% | |
| 143 | 7% | 71% | |
| 144 | 3% | 64% | |
| 145 | 5% | 62% | |
| 146 | 6% | 56% | |
| 147 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 148 | 4% | 46% | |
| 149 | 4% | 43% | |
| 150 | 4% | 39% | |
| 151 | 3% | 35% | |
| 152 | 3% | 32% | |
| 153 | 4% | 28% | |
| 154 | 4% | 24% | |
| 155 | 2% | 20% | |
| 156 | 4% | 19% | |
| 157 | 3% | 14% | |
| 158 | 2% | 11% | |
| 159 | 2% | 9% | |
| 160 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 161 | 2% | 6% | |
| 162 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 165 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 169 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 111 | 2% | 98% | |
| 112 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 113 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 114 | 2% | 94% | |
| 115 | 3% | 92% | |
| 116 | 2% | 89% | |
| 117 | 2% | 87% | |
| 118 | 4% | 85% | |
| 119 | 3% | 81% | |
| 120 | 4% | 78% | Median |
| 121 | 2% | 74% | |
| 122 | 2% | 72% | |
| 123 | 4% | 70% | |
| 124 | 7% | 66% | |
| 125 | 4% | 59% | |
| 126 | 4% | 55% | |
| 127 | 4% | 51% | |
| 128 | 3% | 47% | |
| 129 | 4% | 44% | |
| 130 | 5% | 40% | |
| 131 | 2% | 35% | |
| 132 | 4% | 33% | |
| 133 | 3% | 29% | |
| 134 | 1.3% | 26% | |
| 135 | 2% | 25% | |
| 136 | 4% | 22% | |
| 137 | 2% | 18% | |
| 138 | 6% | 16% | |
| 139 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 140 | 2% | 9% | |
| 141 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 142 | 2% | 6% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 146 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 111 | 2% | 98% | |
| 112 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 113 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 114 | 2% | 94% | |
| 115 | 3% | 92% | |
| 116 | 2% | 89% | |
| 117 | 2% | 87% | |
| 118 | 4% | 85% | |
| 119 | 3% | 81% | |
| 120 | 4% | 78% | Median |
| 121 | 2% | 74% | |
| 122 | 2% | 72% | |
| 123 | 4% | 70% | |
| 124 | 7% | 66% | |
| 125 | 4% | 59% | |
| 126 | 4% | 55% | |
| 127 | 4% | 51% | |
| 128 | 3% | 47% | |
| 129 | 4% | 44% | |
| 130 | 5% | 40% | |
| 131 | 2% | 35% | |
| 132 | 4% | 33% | |
| 133 | 3% | 29% | |
| 134 | 1.3% | 26% | |
| 135 | 2% | 25% | |
| 136 | 4% | 22% | |
| 137 | 2% | 18% | |
| 138 | 6% | 16% | |
| 139 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 140 | 2% | 9% | |
| 141 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 142 | 2% | 6% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 146 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 106 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 108 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 109 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 110 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 111 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 112 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 113 | 2% | 92% | |
| 114 | 2% | 90% | |
| 115 | 2% | 88% | |
| 116 | 2% | 86% | |
| 117 | 2% | 85% | |
| 118 | 3% | 83% | |
| 119 | 1.3% | 79% | |
| 120 | 3% | 78% | |
| 121 | 7% | 75% | |
| 122 | 3% | 68% | |
| 123 | 5% | 64% | |
| 124 | 6% | 60% | |
| 125 | 5% | 54% | |
| 126 | 2% | 49% | |
| 127 | 5% | 47% | |
| 128 | 5% | 42% | |
| 129 | 2% | 38% | |
| 130 | 3% | 35% | |
| 131 | 6% | 32% | Median |
| 132 | 2% | 26% | |
| 133 | 3% | 24% | |
| 134 | 4% | 21% | |
| 135 | 2% | 17% | |
| 136 | 2% | 15% | |
| 137 | 4% | 13% | |
| 138 | 2% | 9% | |
| 139 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 140 | 2% | 6% | |
| 141 | 0.8% | 4% | Last Result |
| 142 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 143 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 106 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 107 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 108 | 2% | 96% | |
| 109 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 110 | 2% | 93% | |
| 111 | 4% | 91% | |
| 112 | 2% | 87% | |
| 113 | 2% | 85% | |
| 114 | 4% | 82% | |
| 115 | 5% | 79% | |
| 116 | 4% | 73% | |
| 117 | 5% | 69% | |
| 118 | 5% | 65% | |
| 119 | 4% | 60% | |
| 120 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 121 | 4% | 50% | |
| 122 | 4% | 46% | |
| 123 | 8% | 42% | |
| 124 | 7% | 34% | |
| 125 | 5% | 27% | |
| 126 | 3% | 23% | |
| 127 | 4% | 19% | |
| 128 | 3% | 16% | |
| 129 | 3% | 13% | |
| 130 | 2% | 10% | |
| 131 | 2% | 9% | |
| 132 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 133 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 135 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 136 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 103 | 2% | 97% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 105 | 4% | 94% | |
| 106 | 2% | 90% | |
| 107 | 2% | 88% | |
| 108 | 3% | 85% | |
| 109 | 4% | 83% | |
| 110 | 3% | 78% | |
| 111 | 4% | 76% | |
| 112 | 4% | 72% | |
| 113 | 6% | 68% | |
| 114 | 5% | 62% | |
| 115 | 4% | 57% | |
| 116 | 3% | 53% | Median |
| 117 | 5% | 50% | |
| 118 | 6% | 44% | |
| 119 | 3% | 39% | |
| 120 | 4% | 36% | |
| 121 | 7% | 32% | |
| 122 | 3% | 25% | |
| 123 | 3% | 22% | |
| 124 | 4% | 19% | |
| 125 | 3% | 15% | Last Result |
| 126 | 2% | 11% | |
| 127 | 2% | 9% | |
| 128 | 2% | 7% | |
| 129 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 131 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 132 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 88 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 91 | 2% | 93% | |
| 92 | 2% | 91% | |
| 93 | 2% | 89% | |
| 94 | 2% | 86% | |
| 95 | 4% | 84% | |
| 96 | 2% | 80% | |
| 97 | 4% | 78% | |
| 98 | 2% | 74% | |
| 99 | 3% | 71% | |
| 100 | 3% | 68% | |
| 101 | 7% | 65% | |
| 102 | 2% | 57% | |
| 103 | 5% | 55% | |
| 104 | 4% | 50% | |
| 105 | 4% | 46% | |
| 106 | 4% | 42% | |
| 107 | 4% | 38% | |
| 108 | 3% | 35% | |
| 109 | 4% | 32% | Median |
| 110 | 2% | 28% | |
| 111 | 3% | 26% | |
| 112 | 4% | 23% | |
| 113 | 4% | 19% | |
| 114 | 2% | 15% | |
| 115 | 2% | 13% | |
| 116 | 2% | 10% | |
| 117 | 2% | 9% | |
| 118 | 2% | 7% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 120 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 121 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 123 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 124 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 82 | 3% | 98% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 85 | 5% | 93% | |
| 86 | 3% | 87% | |
| 87 | 3% | 85% | |
| 88 | 4% | 81% | |
| 89 | 4% | 77% | |
| 90 | 5% | 73% | |
| 91 | 4% | 68% | |
| 92 | 3% | 64% | |
| 93 | 6% | 60% | |
| 94 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 95 | 6% | 49% | |
| 96 | 6% | 43% | |
| 97 | 6% | 37% | |
| 98 | 3% | 31% | |
| 99 | 4% | 28% | |
| 100 | 4% | 24% | |
| 101 | 5% | 20% | |
| 102 | 2% | 15% | |
| 103 | 3% | 13% | |
| 104 | 3% | 10% | |
| 105 | 2% | 8% | |
| 106 | 1.2% | 6% | Last Result |
| 107 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 109 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 73 | 2% | 96% | |
| 74 | 2% | 93% | |
| 75 | 2% | 92% | |
| 76 | 3% | 90% | |
| 77 | 3% | 87% | |
| 78 | 4% | 84% | |
| 79 | 3% | 80% | |
| 80 | 5% | 77% | Median |
| 81 | 4% | 73% | |
| 82 | 3% | 69% | |
| 83 | 3% | 66% | |
| 84 | 8% | 63% | |
| 85 | 4% | 55% | |
| 86 | 4% | 51% | |
| 87 | 2% | 47% | |
| 88 | 4% | 45% | |
| 89 | 4% | 41% | |
| 90 | 3% | 37% | |
| 91 | 2% | 34% | |
| 92 | 4% | 32% | |
| 93 | 3% | 27% | |
| 94 | 3% | 24% | |
| 95 | 3% | 21% | |
| 96 | 2% | 18% | |
| 97 | 2% | 15% | |
| 98 | 2% | 13% | |
| 99 | 2% | 11% | |
| 100 | 3% | 9% | |
| 101 | 2% | 6% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): Nyheter Idag
- Fieldwork period: 28 June–3 July 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 743
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.50%