Opinion Poll by YouGov for Metro, 13–15 July 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sverigedemokraterna 12.9% 25.7% 24.2–27.4% 23.7–27.8% 23.3–28.3% 22.6–29.1%
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 31.0% 21.2% 19.8–22.8% 19.4–23.2% 19.0–23.6% 18.3–24.4%
Moderata samlingspartiet 23.3% 15.9% 14.6–17.3% 14.3–17.7% 13.9–18.1% 13.4–18.7%
Vänsterpartiet 5.7% 9.8% 8.8–11.0% 8.5–11.3% 8.3–11.6% 7.8–12.2%
Centerpartiet 6.1% 8.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.0% 7.1–10.3% 6.7–10.9%
Liberalerna 5.4% 5.4% 4.6–6.3% 4.5–6.6% 4.3–6.8% 3.9–7.3%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 6.9% 3.9% 3.3–4.7% 3.1–5.0% 3.0–5.2% 2.7–5.6%
Kristdemokraterna 4.6% 3.8% 3.2–4.6% 3.0–4.8% 2.8–5.0% 2.6–5.4%
Feministiskt initiativ 3.1% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sverigedemokraterna 49 95 88–101 86–104 84–106 81–110
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 113 78 72–85 70–87 69–88 66–94
Moderata samlingspartiet 84 59 53–65 51–66 50–68 48–71
Vänsterpartiet 21 36 32–40 31–42 30–43 28–46
Centerpartiet 22 31 28–36 27–37 26–38 24–40
Liberalerna 19 20 17–24 16–24 15–25 0–27
Miljöpartiet de gröna 25 0 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
Kristdemokraterna 16 0 0–16 0–17 0–18 0–20
Feministiskt initiativ 0 0 0 0 0 0

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 0.4% 99.6%  
82 0.4% 99.2%  
83 0.6% 98.8%  
84 1.1% 98%  
85 2% 97%  
86 1.4% 95%  
87 3% 94%  
88 3% 91%  
89 6% 88%  
90 4% 82%  
91 4% 78%  
92 5% 73%  
93 10% 68%  
94 4% 57%  
95 10% 53% Median
96 4% 43%  
97 10% 39%  
98 3% 29%  
99 12% 26%  
100 2% 14%  
101 3% 12%  
102 1.4% 9%  
103 2% 8%  
104 1.1% 5%  
105 1.3% 4%  
106 1.0% 3%  
107 0.5% 2%  
108 0.5% 1.5%  
109 0.2% 0.9%  
110 0.3% 0.7%  
111 0.1% 0.4%  
112 0.1% 0.4%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.3% 99.6%  
67 0.4% 99.3%  
68 1.0% 98.8%  
69 2% 98%  
70 2% 96%  
71 4% 94%  
72 4% 91%  
73 6% 87%  
74 5% 81%  
75 6% 77%  
76 5% 70%  
77 8% 65%  
78 10% 57% Median
79 8% 47%  
80 8% 38%  
81 10% 31%  
82 3% 21%  
83 4% 18%  
84 3% 14%  
85 4% 11%  
86 2% 7%  
87 2% 5%  
88 0.7% 3%  
89 1.0% 2%  
90 0.4% 1.4%  
91 0.2% 1.0%  
92 0.1% 0.8%  
93 0.1% 0.6%  
94 0.3% 0.5%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.2% 99.9%  
48 0.4% 99.7%  
49 1.2% 99.2%  
50 1.3% 98%  
51 2% 97%  
52 2% 95%  
53 4% 93%  
54 7% 89%  
55 4% 82%  
56 8% 78%  
57 12% 70%  
58 7% 58%  
59 8% 51% Median
60 6% 43%  
61 12% 37%  
62 8% 25%  
63 3% 17%  
64 3% 14%  
65 4% 11%  
66 3% 7%  
67 0.9% 4%  
68 2% 3%  
69 0.4% 1.2%  
70 0.3% 0.8%  
71 0.2% 0.5%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0% Last Result

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 0.4% 99.7%  
29 1.1% 99.3%  
30 2% 98%  
31 3% 96%  
32 4% 93%  
33 8% 89%  
34 7% 81%  
35 13% 74%  
36 13% 60% Median
37 9% 47%  
38 12% 38%  
39 9% 26%  
40 8% 17%  
41 3% 9%  
42 3% 6%  
43 1.5% 4%  
44 1.1% 2%  
45 0.6% 1.2%  
46 0.3% 0.6%  
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0.2% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.8%  
25 1.0% 99.5%  
26 2% 98%  
27 4% 97%  
28 6% 93%  
29 8% 87%  
30 14% 80%  
31 16% 65% Median
32 8% 50%  
33 15% 42%  
34 8% 27%  
35 6% 19%  
36 5% 13%  
37 4% 8%  
38 2% 4%  
39 2% 2%  
40 0.5% 1.0%  
41 0.2% 0.5%  
42 0.1% 0.3%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.1% 100%  
1 0% 98.9%  
2 0% 98.9%  
3 0% 98.9%  
4 0% 98.9%  
5 0% 98.9%  
6 0% 98.9%  
7 0% 98.9%  
8 0% 98.9%  
9 0% 98.9%  
10 0% 98.9%  
11 0% 98.9%  
12 0% 98.9%  
13 0% 98.9%  
14 0.2% 98.9%  
15 1.3% 98.7%  
16 4% 97%  
17 8% 93%  
18 11% 85%  
19 16% 74% Last Result
20 12% 59% Median
21 16% 47%  
22 10% 31%  
23 6% 21%  
24 11% 15%  
25 2% 4%  
26 1.2% 2%  
27 0.3% 0.8%  
28 0.4% 0.5%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Median
1 0% 45%  
2 0% 45%  
3 0% 45%  
4 0% 45%  
5 0% 45%  
6 0% 45%  
7 0% 45%  
8 0% 45%  
9 0% 45%  
10 0% 45%  
11 0% 45%  
12 0% 45%  
13 0% 45%  
14 1.4% 45%  
15 12% 44%  
16 12% 32%  
17 14% 20%  
18 4% 7%  
19 1.5% 3%  
20 1.1% 2%  
21 0.2% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0% Last Result

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 64% 100% Median
1 0% 36%  
2 0% 36%  
3 0% 36%  
4 0% 36%  
5 0% 36%  
6 0% 36%  
7 0% 36%  
8 0% 36%  
9 0% 36%  
10 0% 36%  
11 0% 36%  
12 0% 36%  
13 0% 36%  
14 3% 36%  
15 15% 33%  
16 8% 18% Last Result
17 6% 10%  
18 2% 4%  
19 1.2% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Feministiskt initiativ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet 133 153 0.5% 144–162 141–165 139–169 135–174
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 197 137 0% 129–145 125–149 123–151 120–157
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ 159 122 0% 113–133 109–136 107–137 104–141
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 159 122 0% 113–133 109–136 107–137 104–141
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna 141 117 0% 105–127 105–131 102–133 97–137
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 134 114 0% 107–122 105–125 103–128 100–132
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 125 110 0% 102–119 100–121 99–122 94–128
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 122 95 0% 86–107 84–110 84–113 80–116
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 106 90 0% 84–98 82–99 80–101 77–106
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 138 85 0% 76–97 73–98 72–100 69–104

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100%  
133 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
134 0.2% 99.9%  
135 0.2% 99.7%  
136 0.2% 99.5%  
137 0.8% 99.3%  
138 0.8% 98%  
139 0.8% 98%  
140 1.0% 97%  
141 1.2% 96%  
142 2% 95%  
143 2% 92%  
144 2% 91%  
145 2% 89%  
146 3% 86%  
147 4% 83%  
148 3% 79%  
149 5% 76%  
150 6% 71%  
151 6% 65%  
152 4% 59%  
153 5% 55%  
154 6% 50% Median
155 5% 44%  
156 6% 39%  
157 3% 33%  
158 4% 30%  
159 4% 26%  
160 6% 22%  
161 2% 15%  
162 4% 13%  
163 2% 10%  
164 1.3% 8%  
165 2% 7%  
166 0.7% 5%  
167 0.8% 4%  
168 0.5% 3%  
169 0.9% 3%  
170 0.3% 2%  
171 0.3% 1.4%  
172 0.2% 1.1%  
173 0.1% 0.8%  
174 0.3% 0.8%  
175 0.2% 0.5% Majority
176 0.1% 0.3%  
177 0% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.2% 99.8%  
120 0.3% 99.6%  
121 0.9% 99.3%  
122 0.4% 98%  
123 1.1% 98%  
124 1.2% 97%  
125 0.8% 96%  
126 2% 95%  
127 1.5% 93%  
128 1.4% 92%  
129 4% 90%  
130 4% 87%  
131 4% 83%  
132 4% 79%  
133 3% 75%  
134 9% 72%  
135 5% 63%  
136 7% 57%  
137 4% 51% Median
138 5% 46%  
139 8% 41%  
140 5% 33%  
141 5% 28%  
142 3% 23%  
143 5% 20%  
144 3% 16%  
145 4% 13%  
146 2% 10%  
147 1.5% 8%  
148 1.3% 6%  
149 0.6% 5%  
150 2% 5%  
151 0.4% 3%  
152 0.3% 2%  
153 0.8% 2%  
154 0.2% 1.2%  
155 0.3% 1.0%  
156 0.2% 0.7%  
157 0.3% 0.5%  
158 0% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.2%  
160 0.1% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0% Majority
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0% Last Result

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.8%  
104 0.4% 99.7%  
105 0.4% 99.2%  
106 0.5% 98.9%  
107 0.9% 98%  
108 2% 97%  
109 1.2% 96%  
110 1.1% 95%  
111 1.5% 94%  
112 2% 92%  
113 4% 90%  
114 8% 86% Median
115 3% 78%  
116 4% 75%  
117 5% 71%  
118 2% 65%  
119 2% 63%  
120 4% 60%  
121 5% 57%  
122 6% 51%  
123 3% 45%  
124 6% 42%  
125 4% 36%  
126 3% 32%  
127 2% 29%  
128 3% 27%  
129 4% 24%  
130 3% 20%  
131 3% 17%  
132 4% 15%  
133 3% 10%  
134 1.0% 7%  
135 1.0% 6%  
136 1.4% 5%  
137 1.2% 4%  
138 0.8% 2%  
139 0.5% 2%  
140 0.5% 1.1%  
141 0.2% 0.6%  
142 0.1% 0.5%  
143 0.2% 0.4%  
144 0% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0% Last Result

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.8%  
104 0.4% 99.7%  
105 0.4% 99.2%  
106 0.5% 98.9%  
107 0.9% 98%  
108 2% 97%  
109 1.2% 96%  
110 1.1% 95%  
111 1.5% 94%  
112 2% 92%  
113 4% 90%  
114 8% 86% Median
115 3% 78%  
116 4% 75%  
117 5% 71%  
118 2% 65%  
119 2% 63%  
120 4% 60%  
121 5% 57%  
122 6% 51%  
123 3% 45%  
124 6% 42%  
125 4% 36%  
126 3% 32%  
127 2% 29%  
128 3% 27%  
129 4% 24%  
130 3% 20%  
131 3% 17%  
132 4% 15%  
133 3% 10%  
134 1.0% 7%  
135 1.0% 6%  
136 1.4% 5%  
137 1.2% 4%  
138 0.8% 2%  
139 0.5% 2%  
140 0.5% 1.1%  
141 0.2% 0.6%  
142 0.1% 0.5%  
143 0.2% 0.4%  
144 0% 0.2%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.8%  
93 0% 99.8%  
94 0.1% 99.8%  
95 0.1% 99.7%  
96 0.1% 99.7%  
97 0.1% 99.6%  
98 0.4% 99.5%  
99 0.2% 99.1%  
100 0.4% 98.9%  
101 0.5% 98.5%  
102 1.1% 98%  
103 0.7% 97%  
104 1.1% 96%  
105 5% 95%  
106 2% 90%  
107 1.3% 88%  
108 4% 87%  
109 4% 82%  
110 5% 79% Median
111 2% 74%  
112 3% 72%  
113 5% 69%  
114 4% 64%  
115 3% 59%  
116 5% 56%  
117 5% 51%  
118 7% 46%  
119 4% 39%  
120 7% 35%  
121 4% 28%  
122 3% 24%  
123 3% 22%  
124 4% 19%  
125 2% 15%  
126 2% 13%  
127 1.5% 11%  
128 2% 10%  
129 2% 8%  
130 1.0% 6%  
131 1.4% 5%  
132 0.6% 4%  
133 1.2% 3%  
134 0.4% 2%  
135 0.2% 1.4%  
136 0.5% 1.2%  
137 0.4% 0.7%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.2% 0.3%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1% Last Result
142 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.7%  
100 0.3% 99.6%  
101 0.7% 99.2%  
102 0.7% 98.5%  
103 0.9% 98%  
104 1.3% 97%  
105 1.4% 96%  
106 3% 94%  
107 5% 91%  
108 4% 86%  
109 4% 82%  
110 4% 78%  
111 3% 74%  
112 4% 71%  
113 7% 67%  
114 12% 60% Median
115 8% 48%  
116 7% 40%  
117 5% 33%  
118 3% 28%  
119 3% 25%  
120 4% 22%  
121 5% 18%  
122 3% 13%  
123 3% 10%  
124 2% 7%  
125 0.6% 5%  
126 1.4% 5%  
127 0.8% 3%  
128 0.8% 3%  
129 0.8% 2%  
130 0.3% 1.0%  
131 0.2% 0.7%  
132 0% 0.5%  
133 0.2% 0.5%  
134 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
135 0% 0.3%  
136 0% 0.2%  
137 0.2% 0.2%  
138 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.7%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0.1% 99.6%  
94 0.1% 99.6%  
95 0.5% 99.5%  
96 0.3% 99.0%  
97 0.4% 98.7%  
98 0.7% 98%  
99 1.4% 98%  
100 1.3% 96%  
101 2% 95%  
102 4% 93%  
103 2% 90%  
104 2% 87%  
105 10% 85%  
106 5% 75%  
107 3% 71%  
108 6% 68%  
109 6% 62%  
110 7% 56% Median
111 3% 49%  
112 4% 46%  
113 7% 42%  
114 5% 35%  
115 3% 30%  
116 4% 26%  
117 4% 22%  
118 7% 18%  
119 2% 11%  
120 3% 9%  
121 2% 6%  
122 2% 4%  
123 0.4% 2%  
124 0.6% 2%  
125 0.3% 1.2% Last Result
126 0.3% 0.9%  
127 0.1% 0.6%  
128 0.3% 0.5%  
129 0.1% 0.3%  
130 0.1% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.3% 99.6%  
81 0.5% 99.3%  
82 0.6% 98.8%  
83 0.6% 98%  
84 4% 98%  
85 3% 94%  
86 1.3% 91%  
87 2% 90%  
88 4% 88%  
89 7% 84%  
90 4% 77% Median
91 2% 73%  
92 5% 71%  
93 4% 66%  
94 8% 62%  
95 6% 54%  
96 3% 49%  
97 4% 46%  
98 4% 42%  
99 5% 38%  
100 2% 33%  
101 2% 30%  
102 6% 28%  
103 3% 22%  
104 1.4% 18%  
105 3% 17%  
106 3% 14%  
107 2% 11%  
108 0.9% 9%  
109 1.1% 8%  
110 2% 7%  
111 0.8% 5%  
112 1.4% 4%  
113 0.7% 3%  
114 1.1% 2%  
115 0.3% 0.9%  
116 0.2% 0.6%  
117 0.1% 0.5%  
118 0.2% 0.4%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.6% 99.7%  
78 0.3% 99.1%  
79 0.7% 98.8%  
80 0.9% 98%  
81 2% 97%  
82 3% 95%  
83 1.5% 92%  
84 5% 91%  
85 5% 86%  
86 4% 81%  
87 6% 77%  
88 7% 71%  
89 9% 64%  
90 7% 55% Median
91 4% 48%  
92 7% 44%  
93 4% 38%  
94 8% 33%  
95 6% 25%  
96 3% 19%  
97 2% 15%  
98 5% 13%  
99 4% 8%  
100 1.4% 5%  
101 1.0% 3%  
102 0.8% 2%  
103 0.3% 1.4%  
104 0.3% 1.1%  
105 0.2% 0.8%  
106 0.1% 0.6% Last Result
107 0.3% 0.5%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.3% 99.6%  
70 0.4% 99.3%  
71 1.0% 98.9%  
72 1.3% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 2% 95%  
75 2% 93%  
76 3% 91%  
77 5% 89%  
78 8% 84% Median
79 7% 76%  
80 3% 70%  
81 6% 67%  
82 2% 61%  
83 4% 59%  
84 3% 55%  
85 5% 52%  
86 3% 47%  
87 3% 44%  
88 3% 41%  
89 3% 38%  
90 5% 35%  
91 4% 29%  
92 4% 26%  
93 2% 22%  
94 1.3% 20%  
95 4% 18%  
96 1.4% 14%  
97 5% 13%  
98 3% 8%  
99 2% 5%  
100 0.7% 3%  
101 0.7% 2%  
102 0.7% 2%  
103 0.4% 0.9%  
104 0.2% 0.6%  
105 0.1% 0.3%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations