Opinion Poll by YouGov for Metro, 13–15 July 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Sverigedemokraterna |
12.9% |
25.7% |
24.2–27.4% |
23.7–27.8% |
23.3–28.3% |
22.6–29.1% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti |
31.0% |
21.2% |
19.8–22.8% |
19.4–23.2% |
19.0–23.6% |
18.3–24.4% |
Moderata samlingspartiet |
23.3% |
15.9% |
14.6–17.3% |
14.3–17.7% |
13.9–18.1% |
13.4–18.7% |
Vänsterpartiet |
5.7% |
9.8% |
8.8–11.0% |
8.5–11.3% |
8.3–11.6% |
7.8–12.2% |
Centerpartiet |
6.1% |
8.6% |
7.7–9.7% |
7.4–10.0% |
7.1–10.3% |
6.7–10.9% |
Liberalerna |
5.4% |
5.4% |
4.6–6.3% |
4.5–6.6% |
4.3–6.8% |
3.9–7.3% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna |
6.9% |
3.9% |
3.3–4.7% |
3.1–5.0% |
3.0–5.2% |
2.7–5.6% |
Kristdemokraterna |
4.6% |
3.8% |
3.2–4.6% |
3.0–4.8% |
2.8–5.0% |
2.6–5.4% |
Feministiskt initiativ |
3.1% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.5% |
0.6–1.6% |
0.6–1.7% |
0.5–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
84 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
85 |
2% |
97% |
|
86 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
87 |
3% |
94% |
|
88 |
3% |
91% |
|
89 |
6% |
88% |
|
90 |
4% |
82% |
|
91 |
4% |
78% |
|
92 |
5% |
73% |
|
93 |
10% |
68% |
|
94 |
4% |
57% |
|
95 |
10% |
53% |
Median |
96 |
4% |
43% |
|
97 |
10% |
39% |
|
98 |
3% |
29% |
|
99 |
12% |
26% |
|
100 |
2% |
14% |
|
101 |
3% |
12% |
|
102 |
1.4% |
9% |
|
103 |
2% |
8% |
|
104 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
105 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
106 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
107 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
108 |
0.5% |
1.5% |
|
109 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
110 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
115 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
116 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
69 |
2% |
98% |
|
70 |
2% |
96% |
|
71 |
4% |
94% |
|
72 |
4% |
91% |
|
73 |
6% |
87% |
|
74 |
5% |
81% |
|
75 |
6% |
77% |
|
76 |
5% |
70% |
|
77 |
8% |
65% |
|
78 |
10% |
57% |
Median |
79 |
8% |
47% |
|
80 |
8% |
38% |
|
81 |
10% |
31% |
|
82 |
3% |
21% |
|
83 |
4% |
18% |
|
84 |
3% |
14% |
|
85 |
4% |
11% |
|
86 |
2% |
7% |
|
87 |
2% |
5% |
|
88 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
89 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
49 |
1.2% |
99.2% |
|
50 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
51 |
2% |
97% |
|
52 |
2% |
95% |
|
53 |
4% |
93% |
|
54 |
7% |
89% |
|
55 |
4% |
82% |
|
56 |
8% |
78% |
|
57 |
12% |
70% |
|
58 |
7% |
58% |
|
59 |
8% |
51% |
Median |
60 |
6% |
43% |
|
61 |
12% |
37% |
|
62 |
8% |
25% |
|
63 |
3% |
17% |
|
64 |
3% |
14% |
|
65 |
4% |
11% |
|
66 |
3% |
7% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
68 |
2% |
3% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
29 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
30 |
2% |
98% |
|
31 |
3% |
96% |
|
32 |
4% |
93% |
|
33 |
8% |
89% |
|
34 |
7% |
81% |
|
35 |
13% |
74% |
|
36 |
13% |
60% |
Median |
37 |
9% |
47% |
|
38 |
12% |
38% |
|
39 |
9% |
26% |
|
40 |
8% |
17% |
|
41 |
3% |
9% |
|
42 |
3% |
6% |
|
43 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
44 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
23 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
26 |
2% |
98% |
|
27 |
4% |
97% |
|
28 |
6% |
93% |
|
29 |
8% |
87% |
|
30 |
14% |
80% |
|
31 |
16% |
65% |
Median |
32 |
8% |
50% |
|
33 |
15% |
42% |
|
34 |
8% |
27% |
|
35 |
6% |
19% |
|
36 |
5% |
13% |
|
37 |
4% |
8% |
|
38 |
2% |
4% |
|
39 |
2% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
9 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
10 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
11 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
12 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
13 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
15 |
1.3% |
98.7% |
|
16 |
4% |
97% |
|
17 |
8% |
93% |
|
18 |
11% |
85% |
|
19 |
16% |
74% |
Last Result |
20 |
12% |
59% |
Median |
21 |
16% |
47% |
|
22 |
10% |
31% |
|
23 |
6% |
21% |
|
24 |
11% |
15% |
|
25 |
2% |
4% |
|
26 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
55% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
45% |
|
2 |
0% |
45% |
|
3 |
0% |
45% |
|
4 |
0% |
45% |
|
5 |
0% |
45% |
|
6 |
0% |
45% |
|
7 |
0% |
45% |
|
8 |
0% |
45% |
|
9 |
0% |
45% |
|
10 |
0% |
45% |
|
11 |
0% |
45% |
|
12 |
0% |
45% |
|
13 |
0% |
45% |
|
14 |
1.4% |
45% |
|
15 |
12% |
44% |
|
16 |
12% |
32% |
|
17 |
14% |
20% |
|
18 |
4% |
7% |
|
19 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
20 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
64% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
36% |
|
2 |
0% |
36% |
|
3 |
0% |
36% |
|
4 |
0% |
36% |
|
5 |
0% |
36% |
|
6 |
0% |
36% |
|
7 |
0% |
36% |
|
8 |
0% |
36% |
|
9 |
0% |
36% |
|
10 |
0% |
36% |
|
11 |
0% |
36% |
|
12 |
0% |
36% |
|
13 |
0% |
36% |
|
14 |
3% |
36% |
|
15 |
15% |
33% |
|
16 |
8% |
18% |
Last Result |
17 |
6% |
10% |
|
18 |
2% |
4% |
|
19 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet |
133 |
153 |
0.5% |
144–162 |
141–165 |
139–169 |
135–174 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet |
197 |
137 |
0% |
129–145 |
125–149 |
123–151 |
120–157 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ |
159 |
122 |
0% |
113–133 |
109–136 |
107–137 |
104–141 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna |
159 |
122 |
0% |
113–133 |
109–136 |
107–137 |
104–141 |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna |
141 |
117 |
0% |
105–127 |
105–131 |
102–133 |
97–137 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet |
134 |
114 |
0% |
107–122 |
105–125 |
103–128 |
100–132 |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna |
125 |
110 |
0% |
102–119 |
100–121 |
99–122 |
94–128 |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna |
122 |
95 |
0% |
86–107 |
84–110 |
84–113 |
80–116 |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet |
106 |
90 |
0% |
84–98 |
82–99 |
80–101 |
77–106 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna |
138 |
85 |
0% |
76–97 |
73–98 |
72–100 |
69–104 |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
132 |
0% |
100% |
|
133 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
134 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
135 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
136 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
137 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
138 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
139 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
140 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
141 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
142 |
2% |
95% |
|
143 |
2% |
92% |
|
144 |
2% |
91% |
|
145 |
2% |
89% |
|
146 |
3% |
86% |
|
147 |
4% |
83% |
|
148 |
3% |
79% |
|
149 |
5% |
76% |
|
150 |
6% |
71% |
|
151 |
6% |
65% |
|
152 |
4% |
59% |
|
153 |
5% |
55% |
|
154 |
6% |
50% |
Median |
155 |
5% |
44% |
|
156 |
6% |
39% |
|
157 |
3% |
33% |
|
158 |
4% |
30% |
|
159 |
4% |
26% |
|
160 |
6% |
22% |
|
161 |
2% |
15% |
|
162 |
4% |
13% |
|
163 |
2% |
10% |
|
164 |
1.3% |
8% |
|
165 |
2% |
7% |
|
166 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
167 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
168 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
169 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
170 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
171 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
172 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
173 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
174 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
175 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
Majority |
176 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
177 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
178 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
179 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
180 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
181 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
182 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
116 |
0% |
100% |
|
117 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
118 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
119 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
120 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
121 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
122 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
123 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
124 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
125 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
126 |
2% |
95% |
|
127 |
1.5% |
93% |
|
128 |
1.4% |
92% |
|
129 |
4% |
90% |
|
130 |
4% |
87% |
|
131 |
4% |
83% |
|
132 |
4% |
79% |
|
133 |
3% |
75% |
|
134 |
9% |
72% |
|
135 |
5% |
63% |
|
136 |
7% |
57% |
|
137 |
4% |
51% |
Median |
138 |
5% |
46% |
|
139 |
8% |
41% |
|
140 |
5% |
33% |
|
141 |
5% |
28% |
|
142 |
3% |
23% |
|
143 |
5% |
20% |
|
144 |
3% |
16% |
|
145 |
4% |
13% |
|
146 |
2% |
10% |
|
147 |
1.5% |
8% |
|
148 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
149 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
150 |
2% |
5% |
|
151 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
152 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
153 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
154 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
155 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
156 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
157 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
158 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
159 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
160 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
161 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
162 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
|
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
|
170 |
0% |
0% |
|
171 |
0% |
0% |
|
172 |
0% |
0% |
|
173 |
0% |
0% |
|
174 |
0% |
0% |
|
175 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
176 |
0% |
0% |
|
177 |
0% |
0% |
|
178 |
0% |
0% |
|
179 |
0% |
0% |
|
180 |
0% |
0% |
|
181 |
0% |
0% |
|
182 |
0% |
0% |
|
183 |
0% |
0% |
|
184 |
0% |
0% |
|
185 |
0% |
0% |
|
186 |
0% |
0% |
|
187 |
0% |
0% |
|
188 |
0% |
0% |
|
189 |
0% |
0% |
|
190 |
0% |
0% |
|
191 |
0% |
0% |
|
192 |
0% |
0% |
|
193 |
0% |
0% |
|
194 |
0% |
0% |
|
195 |
0% |
0% |
|
196 |
0% |
0% |
|
197 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
100 |
0% |
100% |
|
101 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
104 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
106 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
107 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
108 |
2% |
97% |
|
109 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
110 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
111 |
1.5% |
94% |
|
112 |
2% |
92% |
|
113 |
4% |
90% |
|
114 |
8% |
86% |
Median |
115 |
3% |
78% |
|
116 |
4% |
75% |
|
117 |
5% |
71% |
|
118 |
2% |
65% |
|
119 |
2% |
63% |
|
120 |
4% |
60% |
|
121 |
5% |
57% |
|
122 |
6% |
51% |
|
123 |
3% |
45% |
|
124 |
6% |
42% |
|
125 |
4% |
36% |
|
126 |
3% |
32% |
|
127 |
2% |
29% |
|
128 |
3% |
27% |
|
129 |
4% |
24% |
|
130 |
3% |
20% |
|
131 |
3% |
17% |
|
132 |
4% |
15% |
|
133 |
3% |
10% |
|
134 |
1.0% |
7% |
|
135 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
136 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
137 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
138 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
139 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
140 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
141 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
142 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
143 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
144 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
145 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
146 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
147 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
100 |
0% |
100% |
|
101 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
104 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
106 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
107 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
108 |
2% |
97% |
|
109 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
110 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
111 |
1.5% |
94% |
|
112 |
2% |
92% |
|
113 |
4% |
90% |
|
114 |
8% |
86% |
Median |
115 |
3% |
78% |
|
116 |
4% |
75% |
|
117 |
5% |
71% |
|
118 |
2% |
65% |
|
119 |
2% |
63% |
|
120 |
4% |
60% |
|
121 |
5% |
57% |
|
122 |
6% |
51% |
|
123 |
3% |
45% |
|
124 |
6% |
42% |
|
125 |
4% |
36% |
|
126 |
3% |
32% |
|
127 |
2% |
29% |
|
128 |
3% |
27% |
|
129 |
4% |
24% |
|
130 |
3% |
20% |
|
131 |
3% |
17% |
|
132 |
4% |
15% |
|
133 |
3% |
10% |
|
134 |
1.0% |
7% |
|
135 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
136 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
137 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
138 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
139 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
140 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
141 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
142 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
143 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
144 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
145 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
146 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
147 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
88 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
91 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
92 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
93 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
98 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
100 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
101 |
0.5% |
98.5% |
|
102 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
103 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
104 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
105 |
5% |
95% |
|
106 |
2% |
90% |
|
107 |
1.3% |
88% |
|
108 |
4% |
87% |
|
109 |
4% |
82% |
|
110 |
5% |
79% |
Median |
111 |
2% |
74% |
|
112 |
3% |
72% |
|
113 |
5% |
69% |
|
114 |
4% |
64% |
|
115 |
3% |
59% |
|
116 |
5% |
56% |
|
117 |
5% |
51% |
|
118 |
7% |
46% |
|
119 |
4% |
39% |
|
120 |
7% |
35% |
|
121 |
4% |
28% |
|
122 |
3% |
24% |
|
123 |
3% |
22% |
|
124 |
4% |
19% |
|
125 |
2% |
15% |
|
126 |
2% |
13% |
|
127 |
1.5% |
11% |
|
128 |
2% |
10% |
|
129 |
2% |
8% |
|
130 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
131 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
132 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
133 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
134 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
135 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
136 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
137 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
138 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
139 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
140 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
141 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
97 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
101 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
102 |
0.7% |
98.5% |
|
103 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
104 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
105 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
106 |
3% |
94% |
|
107 |
5% |
91% |
|
108 |
4% |
86% |
|
109 |
4% |
82% |
|
110 |
4% |
78% |
|
111 |
3% |
74% |
|
112 |
4% |
71% |
|
113 |
7% |
67% |
|
114 |
12% |
60% |
Median |
115 |
8% |
48% |
|
116 |
7% |
40% |
|
117 |
5% |
33% |
|
118 |
3% |
28% |
|
119 |
3% |
25% |
|
120 |
4% |
22% |
|
121 |
5% |
18% |
|
122 |
3% |
13% |
|
123 |
3% |
10% |
|
124 |
2% |
7% |
|
125 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
126 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
127 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
128 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
129 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
130 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
131 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
132 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
133 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
134 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
135 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
136 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
137 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
92 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
95 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
97 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
98 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
99 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
100 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
101 |
2% |
95% |
|
102 |
4% |
93% |
|
103 |
2% |
90% |
|
104 |
2% |
87% |
|
105 |
10% |
85% |
|
106 |
5% |
75% |
|
107 |
3% |
71% |
|
108 |
6% |
68% |
|
109 |
6% |
62% |
|
110 |
7% |
56% |
Median |
111 |
3% |
49% |
|
112 |
4% |
46% |
|
113 |
7% |
42% |
|
114 |
5% |
35% |
|
115 |
3% |
30% |
|
116 |
4% |
26% |
|
117 |
4% |
22% |
|
118 |
7% |
18% |
|
119 |
2% |
11% |
|
120 |
3% |
9% |
|
121 |
2% |
6% |
|
122 |
2% |
4% |
|
123 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
124 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
125 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
Last Result |
126 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
127 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
128 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
129 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
130 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
131 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
132 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
84 |
4% |
98% |
|
85 |
3% |
94% |
|
86 |
1.3% |
91% |
|
87 |
2% |
90% |
|
88 |
4% |
88% |
|
89 |
7% |
84% |
|
90 |
4% |
77% |
Median |
91 |
2% |
73% |
|
92 |
5% |
71% |
|
93 |
4% |
66% |
|
94 |
8% |
62% |
|
95 |
6% |
54% |
|
96 |
3% |
49% |
|
97 |
4% |
46% |
|
98 |
4% |
42% |
|
99 |
5% |
38% |
|
100 |
2% |
33% |
|
101 |
2% |
30% |
|
102 |
6% |
28% |
|
103 |
3% |
22% |
|
104 |
1.4% |
18% |
|
105 |
3% |
17% |
|
106 |
3% |
14% |
|
107 |
2% |
11% |
|
108 |
0.9% |
9% |
|
109 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
110 |
2% |
7% |
|
111 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
112 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
113 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
114 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
115 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
117 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
118 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
119 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
120 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
121 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
80 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
81 |
2% |
97% |
|
82 |
3% |
95% |
|
83 |
1.5% |
92% |
|
84 |
5% |
91% |
|
85 |
5% |
86% |
|
86 |
4% |
81% |
|
87 |
6% |
77% |
|
88 |
7% |
71% |
|
89 |
9% |
64% |
|
90 |
7% |
55% |
Median |
91 |
4% |
48% |
|
92 |
7% |
44% |
|
93 |
4% |
38% |
|
94 |
8% |
33% |
|
95 |
6% |
25% |
|
96 |
3% |
19% |
|
97 |
2% |
15% |
|
98 |
5% |
13% |
|
99 |
4% |
8% |
|
100 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
101 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
102 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
104 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
107 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
98.9% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
73 |
2% |
97% |
|
74 |
2% |
95% |
|
75 |
2% |
93% |
|
76 |
3% |
91% |
|
77 |
5% |
89% |
|
78 |
8% |
84% |
Median |
79 |
7% |
76% |
|
80 |
3% |
70% |
|
81 |
6% |
67% |
|
82 |
2% |
61% |
|
83 |
4% |
59% |
|
84 |
3% |
55% |
|
85 |
5% |
52% |
|
86 |
3% |
47% |
|
87 |
3% |
44% |
|
88 |
3% |
41% |
|
89 |
3% |
38% |
|
90 |
5% |
35% |
|
91 |
4% |
29% |
|
92 |
4% |
26% |
|
93 |
2% |
22% |
|
94 |
1.3% |
20% |
|
95 |
4% |
18% |
|
96 |
1.4% |
14% |
|
97 |
5% |
13% |
|
98 |
3% |
8% |
|
99 |
2% |
5% |
|
100 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
101 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
102 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
104 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): Metro
- Fieldwork period: 13–15 July 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1221
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.43%