Opinion Poll by SKOP, 20 June–21 July 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 25.9% | 24.3–27.6% | 23.9–28.1% | 23.5–28.5% | 22.7–29.3% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 20.7% | 19.3–22.3% | 18.9–22.8% | 18.5–23.1% | 17.8–23.9% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 19.2% | 17.8–20.7% | 17.4–21.2% | 17.1–21.6% | 16.4–22.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 10.3% | 9.3–11.6% | 9.0–11.9% | 8.7–12.2% | 8.2–12.8% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 10.1% | 9.0–11.3% | 8.7–11.6% | 8.5–11.9% | 8.0–12.5% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2–5.8% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.8–6.3% | 3.5–6.8% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.6–4.7% | 2.3–5.1% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.4–4.5% | 2.2–4.9% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–1.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 98 | 90–106 | 88–108 | 88–109 | 84–111 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 78 | 72–85 | 70–86 | 69–88 | 66–91 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 72 | 67–79 | 65–81 | 64–83 | 61–85 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 39 | 34–44 | 33–45 | 33–47 | 31–50 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 39 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 31–45 | 30–48 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 18 | 15–22 | 0–23 | 0–24 | 0–26 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 0 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–17 | 0–19 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–18 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 86 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 88 | 4% | 98% | |
| 89 | 2% | 94% | |
| 90 | 4% | 93% | |
| 91 | 3% | 89% | |
| 92 | 5% | 86% | |
| 93 | 2% | 81% | |
| 94 | 8% | 79% | |
| 95 | 4% | 70% | |
| 96 | 6% | 66% | |
| 97 | 5% | 60% | |
| 98 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 99 | 10% | 48% | |
| 100 | 7% | 38% | |
| 101 | 7% | 31% | |
| 102 | 5% | 24% | |
| 103 | 5% | 19% | |
| 104 | 2% | 14% | |
| 105 | 2% | 12% | |
| 106 | 2% | 10% | |
| 107 | 2% | 8% | |
| 108 | 2% | 6% | |
| 109 | 2% | 4% | |
| 110 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 114 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 3% | 95% | |
| 72 | 3% | 92% | |
| 73 | 5% | 89% | |
| 74 | 3% | 84% | |
| 75 | 9% | 81% | |
| 76 | 7% | 72% | |
| 77 | 12% | 65% | |
| 78 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 79 | 7% | 48% | |
| 80 | 5% | 42% | |
| 81 | 4% | 37% | |
| 82 | 8% | 33% | |
| 83 | 2% | 24% | |
| 84 | 12% | 23% | |
| 85 | 2% | 11% | |
| 86 | 4% | 9% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 88 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 89 | 2% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 96% | |
| 66 | 3% | 94% | |
| 67 | 11% | 91% | |
| 68 | 4% | 80% | |
| 69 | 9% | 75% | |
| 70 | 5% | 66% | |
| 71 | 7% | 61% | |
| 72 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 73 | 8% | 47% | |
| 74 | 7% | 39% | |
| 75 | 3% | 32% | |
| 76 | 4% | 28% | |
| 77 | 5% | 25% | |
| 78 | 6% | 20% | |
| 79 | 4% | 14% | |
| 80 | 3% | 10% | |
| 81 | 2% | 6% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 2% | Last Result |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 33 | 4% | 98% | |
| 34 | 4% | 94% | |
| 35 | 7% | 90% | |
| 36 | 11% | 83% | |
| 37 | 13% | 72% | |
| 38 | 8% | 59% | |
| 39 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 40 | 9% | 46% | |
| 41 | 14% | 37% | |
| 42 | 7% | 23% | |
| 43 | 4% | 16% | |
| 44 | 5% | 12% | |
| 45 | 3% | 7% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 2% | 97% | |
| 33 | 3% | 95% | |
| 34 | 6% | 92% | |
| 35 | 6% | 86% | |
| 36 | 12% | 80% | |
| 37 | 11% | 68% | |
| 38 | 5% | 56% | |
| 39 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 40 | 13% | 44% | |
| 41 | 11% | 30% | |
| 42 | 8% | 19% | |
| 43 | 5% | 11% | |
| 44 | 3% | 7% | |
| 45 | 2% | 4% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 91% | |
| 2 | 0% | 91% | |
| 3 | 0% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 91% | |
| 5 | 0% | 91% | |
| 6 | 0% | 91% | |
| 7 | 0% | 91% | |
| 8 | 0% | 91% | |
| 9 | 0% | 91% | |
| 10 | 0% | 91% | |
| 11 | 0% | 91% | |
| 12 | 0% | 91% | |
| 13 | 0% | 91% | |
| 14 | 0% | 91% | |
| 15 | 3% | 91% | |
| 16 | 8% | 89% | |
| 17 | 17% | 81% | |
| 18 | 24% | 64% | Median |
| 19 | 11% | 40% | Last Result |
| 20 | 10% | 29% | |
| 21 | 7% | 19% | |
| 22 | 5% | 12% | |
| 23 | 3% | 7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 4% | |
| 25 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 82% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 18% | |
| 2 | 0% | 18% | |
| 3 | 0% | 18% | |
| 4 | 0% | 18% | |
| 5 | 0% | 18% | |
| 6 | 0% | 18% | |
| 7 | 0% | 18% | |
| 8 | 0% | 18% | |
| 9 | 0% | 18% | |
| 10 | 0% | 18% | |
| 11 | 0% | 18% | |
| 12 | 0% | 18% | |
| 13 | 0% | 18% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 18% | |
| 15 | 4% | 18% | |
| 16 | 8% | 14% | |
| 17 | 3% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 83% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 17% | |
| 2 | 0% | 17% | |
| 3 | 0% | 17% | |
| 4 | 0% | 17% | |
| 5 | 0% | 17% | |
| 6 | 0% | 17% | |
| 7 | 0% | 17% | |
| 8 | 0% | 17% | |
| 9 | 0% | 17% | |
| 10 | 0% | 17% | |
| 11 | 0% | 17% | |
| 12 | 0% | 17% | |
| 13 | 0% | 17% | |
| 14 | 1.4% | 17% | |
| 15 | 7% | 15% | |
| 16 | 6% | 9% | Last Result |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 171 | 31% | 161–180 | 159–183 | 157–186 | 151–189 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 133 | 151 | 0% | 143–160 | 140–161 | 138–164 | 134–169 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 140 | 0% | 130–150 | 129–153 | 126–156 | 124–159 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 140 | 0% | 130–150 | 129–153 | 126–156 | 124–159 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 137 | 0% | 128–146 | 126–148 | 124–152 | 121–155 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 130 | 0% | 120–141 | 117–143 | 115–146 | 111–148 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 128 | 0% | 119–138 | 116–139 | 113–141 | 110–145 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 113 | 0% | 106–122 | 104–125 | 102–127 | 97–131 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 111 | 0% | 104–118 | 102–121 | 100–123 | 96–126 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 100 | 0% | 92–110 | 90–114 | 88–116 | 86–121 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 157 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 158 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 159 | 2% | 96% | |
| 160 | 3% | 94% | |
| 161 | 4% | 91% | |
| 162 | 4% | 87% | |
| 163 | 4% | 83% | |
| 164 | 3% | 78% | |
| 165 | 2% | 75% | |
| 166 | 13% | 73% | |
| 167 | 3% | 60% | |
| 168 | 3% | 57% | |
| 169 | 2% | 55% | |
| 170 | 2% | 52% | Median |
| 171 | 5% | 50% | |
| 172 | 4% | 45% | |
| 173 | 4% | 41% | |
| 174 | 5% | 37% | |
| 175 | 2% | 31% | Majority |
| 176 | 6% | 29% | |
| 177 | 4% | 23% | |
| 178 | 5% | 19% | |
| 179 | 3% | 14% | |
| 180 | 4% | 11% | |
| 181 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 182 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 183 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 185 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 186 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 188 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 136 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 138 | 2% | 98% | |
| 139 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 140 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 141 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 142 | 3% | 93% | |
| 143 | 4% | 90% | |
| 144 | 3% | 86% | |
| 145 | 3% | 83% | |
| 146 | 4% | 80% | |
| 147 | 3% | 77% | |
| 148 | 8% | 73% | |
| 149 | 6% | 65% | |
| 150 | 4% | 60% | Median |
| 151 | 12% | 56% | |
| 152 | 4% | 44% | |
| 153 | 5% | 40% | |
| 154 | 5% | 36% | |
| 155 | 6% | 30% | |
| 156 | 3% | 24% | |
| 157 | 5% | 21% | |
| 158 | 4% | 16% | |
| 159 | 2% | 12% | |
| 160 | 3% | 10% | |
| 161 | 2% | 7% | |
| 162 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 164 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 165 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 168 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 124 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 126 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 128 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 129 | 2% | 96% | |
| 130 | 6% | 94% | |
| 131 | 2% | 88% | |
| 132 | 3% | 86% | |
| 133 | 5% | 83% | |
| 134 | 4% | 79% | |
| 135 | 7% | 75% | |
| 136 | 3% | 68% | |
| 137 | 7% | 65% | Median |
| 138 | 5% | 58% | |
| 139 | 3% | 53% | |
| 140 | 11% | 51% | |
| 141 | 2% | 40% | |
| 142 | 6% | 38% | |
| 143 | 2% | 32% | |
| 144 | 6% | 30% | |
| 145 | 2% | 24% | |
| 146 | 4% | 22% | |
| 147 | 2% | 18% | |
| 148 | 2% | 16% | |
| 149 | 3% | 14% | |
| 150 | 2% | 11% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 152 | 2% | 8% | |
| 153 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 156 | 2% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 124 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 126 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 128 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 129 | 2% | 96% | |
| 130 | 6% | 94% | |
| 131 | 2% | 88% | |
| 132 | 3% | 86% | |
| 133 | 5% | 83% | |
| 134 | 4% | 79% | |
| 135 | 7% | 75% | |
| 136 | 3% | 68% | |
| 137 | 7% | 65% | Median |
| 138 | 5% | 58% | |
| 139 | 3% | 53% | |
| 140 | 11% | 51% | |
| 141 | 2% | 40% | |
| 142 | 6% | 38% | |
| 143 | 2% | 32% | |
| 144 | 6% | 30% | |
| 145 | 2% | 24% | |
| 146 | 4% | 22% | |
| 147 | 2% | 18% | |
| 148 | 2% | 16% | |
| 149 | 3% | 14% | |
| 150 | 2% | 11% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 152 | 2% | 8% | |
| 153 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 156 | 2% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 123 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 124 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 125 | 2% | 97% | |
| 126 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 127 | 2% | 95% | |
| 128 | 2% | 92% | |
| 129 | 3% | 90% | |
| 130 | 7% | 87% | |
| 131 | 3% | 80% | |
| 132 | 3% | 77% | |
| 133 | 6% | 74% | |
| 134 | 6% | 68% | Last Result |
| 135 | 7% | 62% | |
| 136 | 3% | 55% | |
| 137 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 138 | 4% | 44% | |
| 139 | 3% | 40% | |
| 140 | 12% | 37% | |
| 141 | 2% | 25% | |
| 142 | 5% | 23% | |
| 143 | 2% | 18% | |
| 144 | 4% | 17% | |
| 145 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 146 | 3% | 11% | |
| 147 | 2% | 8% | |
| 148 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 149 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 152 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 153 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 111 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 115 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 116 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 117 | 2% | 95% | |
| 118 | 2% | 94% | |
| 119 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 120 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 121 | 1.4% | 90% | |
| 122 | 2% | 89% | |
| 123 | 3% | 87% | |
| 124 | 2% | 84% | |
| 125 | 7% | 82% | |
| 126 | 6% | 74% | |
| 127 | 4% | 69% | |
| 128 | 3% | 65% | |
| 129 | 2% | 63% | Median |
| 130 | 12% | 60% | |
| 131 | 2% | 49% | |
| 132 | 6% | 47% | |
| 133 | 7% | 42% | |
| 134 | 4% | 35% | |
| 135 | 3% | 31% | |
| 136 | 3% | 27% | |
| 137 | 4% | 24% | |
| 138 | 5% | 20% | |
| 139 | 2% | 15% | |
| 140 | 3% | 14% | |
| 141 | 3% | 11% | Last Result |
| 142 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 143 | 2% | 7% | |
| 144 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 145 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 111 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 113 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 115 | 2% | 97% | |
| 116 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 117 | 2% | 94% | |
| 118 | 2% | 93% | |
| 119 | 2% | 91% | |
| 120 | 1.2% | 88% | |
| 121 | 2% | 87% | |
| 122 | 5% | 85% | |
| 123 | 4% | 80% | |
| 124 | 3% | 76% | |
| 125 | 9% | 72% | Last Result |
| 126 | 7% | 64% | |
| 127 | 5% | 57% | |
| 128 | 3% | 53% | |
| 129 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 130 | 12% | 46% | |
| 131 | 2% | 35% | |
| 132 | 7% | 33% | |
| 133 | 6% | 26% | |
| 134 | 4% | 20% | |
| 135 | 3% | 16% | |
| 136 | 3% | 13% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 138 | 4% | 10% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 141 | 2% | 4% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 104 | 2% | 96% | |
| 105 | 2% | 93% | |
| 106 | 3% | 91% | |
| 107 | 8% | 87% | |
| 108 | 4% | 79% | |
| 109 | 5% | 75% | |
| 110 | 5% | 71% | |
| 111 | 4% | 65% | Median |
| 112 | 7% | 62% | |
| 113 | 5% | 55% | |
| 114 | 5% | 50% | |
| 115 | 11% | 44% | |
| 116 | 4% | 34% | |
| 117 | 4% | 30% | |
| 118 | 4% | 26% | |
| 119 | 6% | 22% | |
| 120 | 3% | 16% | |
| 121 | 2% | 14% | |
| 122 | 2% | 12% | Last Result |
| 123 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 124 | 3% | 8% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 126 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 127 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 129 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 100 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 101 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 102 | 2% | 95% | |
| 103 | 2% | 94% | |
| 104 | 7% | 92% | |
| 105 | 3% | 85% | |
| 106 | 4% | 82% | Last Result |
| 107 | 9% | 78% | |
| 108 | 6% | 69% | |
| 109 | 6% | 63% | |
| 110 | 6% | 58% | |
| 111 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 112 | 8% | 48% | |
| 113 | 6% | 40% | |
| 114 | 5% | 34% | |
| 115 | 10% | 29% | |
| 116 | 4% | 19% | |
| 117 | 3% | 15% | |
| 118 | 4% | 12% | |
| 119 | 2% | 8% | |
| 120 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 121 | 2% | 5% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 124 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 88 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 90 | 2% | 96% | |
| 91 | 2% | 93% | |
| 92 | 2% | 91% | |
| 93 | 2% | 89% | |
| 94 | 6% | 87% | |
| 95 | 3% | 81% | |
| 96 | 5% | 77% | |
| 97 | 5% | 72% | |
| 98 | 5% | 68% | Median |
| 99 | 9% | 62% | |
| 100 | 7% | 54% | |
| 101 | 7% | 47% | |
| 102 | 5% | 40% | |
| 103 | 5% | 35% | |
| 104 | 4% | 30% | |
| 105 | 2% | 27% | |
| 106 | 3% | 24% | |
| 107 | 3% | 21% | |
| 108 | 4% | 18% | |
| 109 | 3% | 15% | |
| 110 | 3% | 11% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 112 | 2% | 8% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 115 | 2% | 5% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 117 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKOP
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 20 June–21 July 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1182
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.88%