Opinion Poll by Sentio for Nyheter Idag, 9–14 August 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 31.0% 22.5% 20.7–24.5% 20.1–25.0% 19.7–25.5% 18.8–26.5%
Sverigedemokraterna 12.9% 21.8% 20.0–23.8% 19.5–24.4% 19.1–24.9% 18.2–25.8%
Moderata samlingspartiet 23.3% 19.5% 17.8–21.5% 17.3–22.0% 16.9–22.5% 16.1–23.4%
Vänsterpartiet 5.7% 10.6% 9.3–12.1% 8.9–12.6% 8.6–13.0% 8.0–13.7%
Centerpartiet 6.1% 7.7% 6.6–9.0% 6.2–9.4% 6.0–9.8% 5.5–10.4%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 6.9% 4.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.4–6.4% 3.1–7.0%
Liberalerna 5.4% 4.3% 3.5–5.4% 3.3–5.7% 3.1–6.0% 2.8–6.6%
Kristdemokraterna 4.6% 3.8% 3.1–4.9% 2.9–5.2% 2.7–5.4% 2.4–6.0%
Feministiskt initiativ 3.1% 1.7% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.6% 1.0–2.8% 0.8–3.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 113 84 76–93 74–97 73–98 69–102
Sverigedemokraterna 49 83 75–91 72–93 71–95 67–100
Moderata samlingspartiet 84 73 66–82 64–84 61–86 59–91
Vänsterpartiet 21 40 35–46 33–48 32–49 30–55
Centerpartiet 22 29 24–34 23–35 22–37 21–39
Miljöpartiet de gröna 25 17 0–21 0–23 0–24 0–27
Liberalerna 19 17 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–24
Kristdemokraterna 16 0 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–22
Feministiskt initiativ 0 0 0 0 0 0

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.7%  
69 0.1% 99.6%  
70 0.4% 99.4%  
71 0.5% 99.0%  
72 0.4% 98%  
73 2% 98%  
74 2% 97%  
75 1.4% 94%  
76 5% 93%  
77 3% 88%  
78 4% 86%  
79 9% 82%  
80 3% 73%  
81 3% 70%  
82 4% 67%  
83 8% 63%  
84 5% 55% Median
85 5% 49%  
86 4% 44%  
87 7% 40%  
88 3% 33%  
89 5% 30%  
90 3% 25%  
91 6% 22%  
92 4% 16%  
93 2% 12%  
94 2% 10%  
95 0.4% 8%  
96 1.1% 8%  
97 2% 7%  
98 3% 5%  
99 0.5% 2%  
100 0.7% 2%  
101 0.1% 1.1%  
102 0.5% 1.0%  
103 0.2% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0% Last Result

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.7%  
68 0.2% 99.5%  
69 0.7% 99.3%  
70 0.9% 98.6%  
71 1.1% 98%  
72 2% 97%  
73 3% 95%  
74 2% 92%  
75 4% 90%  
76 3% 86%  
77 4% 83%  
78 6% 79%  
79 5% 74%  
80 5% 69%  
81 6% 64%  
82 7% 57%  
83 8% 50% Median
84 4% 42%  
85 7% 39%  
86 3% 31%  
87 2% 29%  
88 9% 27%  
89 2% 17%  
90 3% 15%  
91 5% 12%  
92 1.3% 7%  
93 1.4% 6%  
94 1.5% 5%  
95 0.8% 3%  
96 0.9% 2%  
97 0.2% 1.4%  
98 0.3% 1.2%  
99 0.3% 0.9%  
100 0.1% 0.6%  
101 0% 0.5%  
102 0.2% 0.4%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.7%  
59 0.4% 99.5%  
60 0.3% 99.1%  
61 1.4% 98.8%  
62 0.9% 97%  
63 1.0% 97%  
64 2% 96%  
65 2% 93%  
66 2% 91%  
67 3% 89%  
68 6% 86%  
69 6% 80%  
70 4% 73%  
71 9% 69%  
72 4% 61%  
73 7% 57% Median
74 5% 50%  
75 8% 45%  
76 10% 37%  
77 8% 27%  
78 2% 19%  
79 2% 17%  
80 2% 15%  
81 2% 12%  
82 2% 11%  
83 3% 9%  
84 1.2% 5% Last Result
85 1.1% 4%  
86 1.0% 3%  
87 0.7% 2%  
88 0.3% 1.5%  
89 0.2% 1.2%  
90 0.4% 0.9%  
91 0.1% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 0.8% 99.7%  
31 0.8% 98.9%  
32 1.2% 98%  
33 4% 97%  
34 2% 93%  
35 5% 90%  
36 6% 86%  
37 9% 79%  
38 7% 71%  
39 8% 64%  
40 11% 56% Median
41 9% 45%  
42 10% 36%  
43 6% 26%  
44 4% 20%  
45 6% 16%  
46 2% 10%  
47 3% 8%  
48 2% 5%  
49 1.1% 3%  
50 0.8% 2%  
51 0.5% 1.4%  
52 0.2% 0.9%  
53 0.1% 0.7%  
54 0.1% 0.6%  
55 0.4% 0.5%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 99.9%  
20 0.3% 99.9%  
21 0.9% 99.6%  
22 2% 98.7% Last Result
23 2% 97%  
24 6% 95%  
25 5% 89%  
26 12% 84%  
27 10% 72%  
28 9% 62%  
29 9% 54% Median
30 10% 44%  
31 13% 34%  
32 5% 21%  
33 5% 16%  
34 5% 11%  
35 2% 7%  
36 2% 5%  
37 0.9% 3%  
38 0.7% 2%  
39 0.9% 1.4%  
40 0.1% 0.5%  
41 0.1% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100%  
1 0% 87%  
2 0% 87%  
3 0% 87%  
4 0% 87%  
5 0% 87%  
6 0% 87%  
7 0% 87%  
8 0% 87%  
9 0% 87%  
10 0% 87%  
11 0% 87%  
12 0% 87%  
13 0% 87%  
14 0% 87%  
15 12% 87%  
16 13% 75%  
17 15% 62% Median
18 16% 47%  
19 12% 31%  
20 4% 19%  
21 5% 15%  
22 4% 10%  
23 2% 5%  
24 1.3% 3%  
25 1.1% 2% Last Result
26 0.4% 1.0%  
27 0.3% 0.6%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100%  
1 0% 71%  
2 0% 71%  
3 0% 71%  
4 0% 71%  
5 0% 71%  
6 0% 71%  
7 0% 71%  
8 0% 71%  
9 0% 71%  
10 0% 71%  
11 0% 71%  
12 0% 71%  
13 0% 71%  
14 0.1% 71%  
15 5% 71%  
16 13% 66%  
17 18% 52% Median
18 10% 34%  
19 10% 23% Last Result
20 5% 13%  
21 4% 8%  
22 2% 4%  
23 1.4% 2%  
24 0.5% 0.9%  
25 0.3% 0.5%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Median
1 0% 41%  
2 0% 41%  
3 0% 41%  
4 0% 41%  
5 0% 41%  
6 0% 41%  
7 0% 41%  
8 0% 41%  
9 0% 41%  
10 0% 41%  
11 0% 41%  
12 0% 41%  
13 0% 41%  
14 0.1% 41%  
15 7% 41%  
16 14% 34% Last Result
17 7% 20%  
18 5% 13%  
19 5% 8%  
20 1.3% 3%  
21 0.9% 2%  
22 0.7% 1.0%  
23 0.2% 0.4%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Feministiskt initiativ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 149 161 17% 151–176 147–181 146–182 140–189
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 197 158 5% 147–171 144–174 140–177 135–183
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet 133 156 3% 145–167 141–171 139–176 135–182
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ 159 141 0% 129–154 127–155 123–161 114–163
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 159 141 0% 129–154 127–155 123–161 114–163
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna 141 122 0% 107–136 102–140 100–143 97–147
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 134 125 0% 115–137 111–139 110–141 105–151
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 125 116 0% 101–127 100–128 95–132 92–139
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 122 108 0% 98–121 96–125 93–127 90–133
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 106 102 0% 94–112 92–115 89–120 85–123
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 138 101 0% 90–111 87–114 82–119 75–121

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0.2% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.7%  
139 0.1% 99.6%  
140 0.1% 99.5%  
141 0.2% 99.4%  
142 0.2% 99.2%  
143 0.3% 99.0%  
144 0.2% 98.7%  
145 0.4% 98%  
146 1.4% 98%  
147 3% 97%  
148 1.3% 94%  
149 0.5% 93% Last Result
150 2% 92%  
151 2% 90%  
152 3% 88%  
153 2% 85%  
154 0.9% 83%  
155 3% 82%  
156 6% 79% Median
157 2% 73%  
158 4% 70%  
159 2% 66%  
160 2% 64%  
161 12% 61%  
162 2% 49%  
163 2% 47%  
164 2% 45%  
165 2% 43%  
166 5% 41%  
167 4% 35%  
168 1.3% 31%  
169 4% 30%  
170 2% 25%  
171 0.9% 23%  
172 3% 23%  
173 1.2% 20%  
174 2% 18%  
175 6% 17% Majority
176 1.0% 10%  
177 0.9% 9%  
178 1.3% 8%  
179 1.1% 7%  
180 0.8% 6%  
181 0.6% 5%  
182 3% 5%  
183 0.3% 2%  
184 0.1% 2%  
185 0.4% 2%  
186 0.2% 1.2%  
187 0.1% 1.0%  
188 0.3% 0.8%  
189 0.1% 0.5%  
190 0% 0.4%  
191 0.1% 0.4%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0.1% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100%  
133 0.3% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.6%  
135 0.1% 99.6%  
136 0.1% 99.5%  
137 0.2% 99.4%  
138 0.2% 99.2%  
139 1.4% 99.0%  
140 0.9% 98%  
141 0.7% 97%  
142 0.4% 96%  
143 0.5% 96%  
144 2% 95%  
145 1.3% 93%  
146 2% 92%  
147 3% 90%  
148 3% 87%  
149 2% 84%  
150 2% 83%  
151 4% 81%  
152 3% 76%  
153 2% 73%  
154 4% 71%  
155 3% 67%  
156 8% 64%  
157 3% 56% Median
158 6% 53%  
159 10% 47%  
160 3% 38%  
161 2% 35%  
162 3% 33%  
163 4% 30%  
164 3% 26%  
165 0.8% 23%  
166 2% 23%  
167 1.4% 21%  
168 4% 19%  
169 3% 15%  
170 1.3% 12%  
171 3% 10%  
172 0.9% 8%  
173 1.0% 7%  
174 1.0% 6%  
175 1.0% 5% Majority
176 1.2% 4%  
177 0.4% 3%  
178 0.2% 2%  
179 0.2% 2%  
180 0.3% 2%  
181 0.2% 1.5%  
182 0.3% 1.2%  
183 0.6% 0.9%  
184 0% 0.3%  
185 0% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0.1% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0% Last Result

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
134 0.2% 99.8%  
135 0.4% 99.6%  
136 0.2% 99.2%  
137 0.5% 99.1%  
138 0.3% 98.6%  
139 0.8% 98%  
140 2% 97%  
141 0.7% 96%  
142 1.2% 95%  
143 2% 94%  
144 2% 92%  
145 1.2% 90%  
146 3% 89%  
147 3% 86%  
148 2% 83%  
149 3% 81%  
150 4% 78%  
151 3% 74%  
152 4% 71%  
153 5% 67%  
154 2% 62%  
155 4% 60%  
156 7% 56% Median
157 3% 49%  
158 5% 46%  
159 7% 41%  
160 2% 34%  
161 10% 33%  
162 3% 23%  
163 3% 20%  
164 2% 17%  
165 2% 15%  
166 2% 13%  
167 3% 11%  
168 1.1% 8%  
169 1.4% 7%  
170 0.4% 6%  
171 0.6% 5%  
172 1.1% 5%  
173 0.5% 4%  
174 0.4% 3%  
175 0.1% 3% Majority
176 0.6% 3%  
177 0.3% 2%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.1% 1.4%  
180 0.2% 1.3%  
181 0.1% 1.1%  
182 0.6% 1.0%  
183 0% 0.5%  
184 0% 0.4%  
185 0.2% 0.4%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0.1% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0.3% 100%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0% 99.6%  
113 0.1% 99.6%  
114 0.5% 99.6%  
115 0.1% 99.1%  
116 0.1% 99.0%  
117 0.2% 98.9%  
118 0.2% 98.7%  
119 0.1% 98.5%  
120 0.2% 98%  
121 0.5% 98%  
122 0.2% 98%  
123 0.4% 98%  
124 0.5% 97%  
125 0.4% 97%  
126 0.4% 96%  
127 2% 96%  
128 2% 94%  
129 3% 92%  
130 3% 88%  
131 5% 86%  
132 2% 81%  
133 2% 79%  
134 2% 77%  
135 3% 75%  
136 5% 71%  
137 3% 67%  
138 3% 63%  
139 3% 60%  
140 4% 57%  
141 9% 53% Median
142 3% 43%  
143 4% 40%  
144 3% 36%  
145 3% 33%  
146 6% 30%  
147 1.1% 24%  
148 2% 23%  
149 4% 21%  
150 1.5% 17%  
151 3% 16%  
152 2% 13%  
153 0.9% 11%  
154 4% 10%  
155 1.0% 6%  
156 0.6% 5%  
157 0.4% 4%  
158 0.9% 4%  
159 0.1% 3% Last Result
160 0.2% 3%  
161 2% 3%  
162 0.1% 1.0%  
163 0.5% 0.9%  
164 0.1% 0.4%  
165 0% 0.3%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0.1% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0.3% 100%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0% 99.6%  
113 0.1% 99.6%  
114 0.5% 99.6%  
115 0.1% 99.1%  
116 0.1% 99.0%  
117 0.2% 98.9%  
118 0.2% 98.7%  
119 0.1% 98.5%  
120 0.2% 98%  
121 0.5% 98%  
122 0.2% 98%  
123 0.4% 98%  
124 0.5% 97%  
125 0.4% 97%  
126 0.4% 96%  
127 2% 96%  
128 2% 94%  
129 3% 92%  
130 3% 88%  
131 5% 86%  
132 2% 81%  
133 2% 79%  
134 2% 77%  
135 3% 75%  
136 5% 71%  
137 3% 67%  
138 3% 63%  
139 3% 60%  
140 4% 57%  
141 9% 53% Median
142 3% 43%  
143 4% 40%  
144 3% 36%  
145 3% 33%  
146 6% 30%  
147 1.1% 24%  
148 2% 23%  
149 4% 21%  
150 1.5% 17%  
151 3% 16%  
152 2% 13%  
153 0.9% 11%  
154 4% 10%  
155 1.0% 6%  
156 0.6% 5%  
157 0.4% 4%  
158 0.9% 4%  
159 0.1% 3% Last Result
160 0.2% 3%  
161 2% 3%  
162 0.1% 1.0%  
163 0.5% 0.9%  
164 0.1% 0.4%  
165 0% 0.3%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0.1% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.7%  
96 0.1% 99.7%  
97 0.2% 99.6%  
98 0.3% 99.5%  
99 0.1% 99.2%  
100 2% 99.1%  
101 0.5% 97%  
102 3% 97%  
103 0.4% 94%  
104 2% 94%  
105 0.3% 91%  
106 0.3% 91%  
107 1.2% 91%  
108 0.7% 90%  
109 1.4% 89%  
110 1.0% 88%  
111 1.2% 87%  
112 2% 85%  
113 1.2% 83%  
114 2% 82%  
115 6% 80%  
116 5% 74%  
117 5% 69%  
118 1.1% 65%  
119 3% 64% Median
120 5% 61%  
121 6% 56%  
122 3% 50%  
123 6% 48%  
124 2% 41%  
125 3% 39%  
126 2% 36%  
127 4% 35%  
128 3% 31%  
129 0.7% 27%  
130 3% 26%  
131 2% 24%  
132 2% 21%  
133 2% 19%  
134 2% 17%  
135 2% 15%  
136 4% 13%  
137 2% 9%  
138 0.6% 7%  
139 0.8% 7%  
140 1.4% 6%  
141 1.0% 4% Last Result
142 0.3% 3%  
143 1.4% 3%  
144 0.7% 2%  
145 0.3% 1.0%  
146 0.1% 0.7%  
147 0.2% 0.6%  
148 0.1% 0.4%  
149 0.1% 0.3%  
150 0.1% 0.3%  
151 0.1% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0.1% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.8%  
105 0.2% 99.7%  
106 0.1% 99.4%  
107 0.2% 99.3%  
108 0.3% 99.1%  
109 0.5% 98.8%  
110 1.3% 98%  
111 3% 97%  
112 1.1% 94%  
113 1.1% 93%  
114 2% 92%  
115 3% 90%  
116 5% 88%  
117 6% 83%  
118 3% 77%  
119 2% 73%  
120 3% 71%  
121 5% 68%  
122 2% 63%  
123 7% 61%  
124 4% 54% Median
125 3% 50%  
126 6% 47%  
127 4% 40%  
128 5% 36%  
129 4% 32%  
130 3% 27%  
131 3% 24%  
132 2% 21%  
133 2% 19%  
134 3% 17% Last Result
135 2% 14%  
136 2% 12%  
137 3% 11%  
138 1.2% 8%  
139 3% 6%  
140 0.9% 4%  
141 0.6% 3%  
142 0.5% 2%  
143 0.4% 2%  
144 0.2% 1.4%  
145 0.1% 1.2%  
146 0% 1.1%  
147 0.4% 1.1%  
148 0.1% 0.7%  
149 0% 0.6%  
150 0% 0.5%  
151 0% 0.5%  
152 0.4% 0.5%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.7%  
92 0.3% 99.6%  
93 0.6% 99.3%  
94 0.5% 98.7%  
95 0.9% 98%  
96 0.3% 97%  
97 0.2% 97%  
98 0.9% 97%  
99 0.6% 96%  
100 2% 95%  
101 4% 93%  
102 4% 90%  
103 0.8% 86%  
104 3% 85%  
105 0.9% 82%  
106 3% 81%  
107 1.4% 79%  
108 2% 77%  
109 3% 75%  
110 2% 73%  
111 2% 70%  
112 3% 69%  
113 2% 66%  
114 4% 63%  
115 6% 59%  
116 6% 53%  
117 3% 47%  
118 2% 43%  
119 3% 41% Median
120 8% 39%  
121 5% 31%  
122 4% 26%  
123 6% 22%  
124 2% 17%  
125 3% 15% Last Result
126 2% 12%  
127 3% 10%  
128 2% 7%  
129 0.4% 5%  
130 0.7% 4%  
131 1.1% 4%  
132 0.6% 3%  
133 0.2% 2%  
134 0.4% 2%  
135 0.3% 1.3%  
136 0.1% 1.0%  
137 0.1% 0.9%  
138 0.3% 0.8%  
139 0.3% 0.6%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.8%  
89 0.2% 99.7%  
90 0.4% 99.5%  
91 0.2% 99.1%  
92 0.4% 98.9%  
93 2% 98.5%  
94 1.2% 97%  
95 0.5% 96%  
96 2% 95%  
97 1.5% 93%  
98 4% 92%  
99 2% 88%  
100 4% 86%  
101 5% 81%  
102 4% 77% Median
103 4% 73%  
104 5% 68%  
105 3% 63%  
106 2% 60%  
107 6% 58%  
108 2% 52%  
109 3% 50%  
110 2% 47%  
111 3% 45%  
112 4% 42%  
113 2% 38%  
114 3% 35%  
115 4% 33%  
116 2% 29%  
117 4% 27%  
118 2% 23%  
119 4% 21%  
120 4% 17%  
121 2% 12%  
122 2% 10% Last Result
123 1.2% 8%  
124 1.3% 7%  
125 1.1% 6%  
126 1.4% 5%  
127 1.2% 3%  
128 0.6% 2%  
129 0.2% 2%  
130 0.2% 1.3%  
131 0.2% 1.1%  
132 0.2% 0.9%  
133 0.2% 0.6%  
134 0.1% 0.4%  
135 0.1% 0.3%  
136 0% 0.2%  
137 0.1% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.7%  
85 0.2% 99.6%  
86 0.2% 99.4%  
87 1.3% 99.1%  
88 0.3% 98%  
89 0.6% 98%  
90 1.1% 97%  
91 0.7% 96%  
92 1.2% 95%  
93 4% 94%  
94 3% 90%  
95 3% 87%  
96 4% 85%  
97 3% 81%  
98 5% 78%  
99 5% 73%  
100 6% 68%  
101 8% 62%  
102 5% 54% Median
103 8% 49%  
104 7% 41%  
105 4% 34%  
106 3% 30% Last Result
107 6% 26%  
108 3% 20%  
109 2% 17%  
110 2% 14%  
111 2% 12%  
112 3% 10%  
113 1.0% 7%  
114 1.3% 6%  
115 0.5% 5%  
116 0.8% 5%  
117 0.6% 4%  
118 0.3% 3%  
119 0.2% 3%  
120 1.1% 3%  
121 0.8% 2%  
122 0.2% 0.8%  
123 0.1% 0.6%  
124 0.1% 0.5%  
125 0.1% 0.4%  
126 0% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.3%  
128 0.1% 0.2%  
129 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 0.3% 99.6%  
76 0.4% 99.4%  
77 0.1% 99.0%  
78 0.2% 99.0%  
79 0.1% 98.7%  
80 0.3% 98.6%  
81 0.5% 98%  
82 0.4% 98%  
83 0.5% 97%  
84 1.0% 97%  
85 0.5% 96%  
86 0.4% 95%  
87 2% 95%  
88 1.3% 93%  
89 2% 92%  
90 2% 90%  
91 3% 89%  
92 2% 86%  
93 3% 84%  
94 6% 81%  
95 5% 75%  
96 2% 70%  
97 3% 68%  
98 4% 65%  
99 3% 61%  
100 6% 58%  
101 9% 53% Median
102 3% 44%  
103 6% 41%  
104 4% 35%  
105 3% 31%  
106 3% 29%  
107 3% 26%  
108 4% 23%  
109 4% 19%  
110 5% 16%  
111 2% 10%  
112 1.2% 8%  
113 1.0% 7%  
114 1.3% 6%  
115 0.6% 5%  
116 0.8% 4%  
117 0.4% 3%  
118 0.2% 3%  
119 0.2% 3%  
120 2% 2%  
121 0.4% 0.8%  
122 0.1% 0.3%  
123 0.1% 0.3%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations