Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 7–16 August 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 24.9% | 23.7–26.2% | 23.3–26.6% | 23.0–26.9% | 22.4–27.6% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 19.0% | 17.9–20.2% | 17.6–20.6% | 17.3–20.9% | 16.8–21.4% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 17.7% | 16.6–18.9% | 16.3–19.2% | 16.0–19.5% | 15.5–20.1% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 10.1% | 9.3–11.0% | 9.0–11.3% | 8.8–11.5% | 8.4–12.0% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 9.5% | 8.7–10.4% | 8.5–10.7% | 8.3–10.9% | 7.9–11.4% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4–6.9% | 5.3–7.1% | 5.1–7.3% | 4.8–7.7% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2–6.7% | 5.1–6.9% | 4.9–7.1% | 4.6–7.4% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 92 | 85–97 | 84–99 | 83–99 | 81–101 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 70 | 64–76 | 64–76 | 62–77 | 60–79 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 64 | 60–69 | 59–71 | 58–72 | 56–74 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 36 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 31–42 | 31–44 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 35 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 30–40 | 29–42 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 23 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 19–26 | 17–28 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 21 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 0 | 0–17 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–19 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 83 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 84 | 3% | 96% | |
| 85 | 4% | 93% | |
| 86 | 3% | 89% | |
| 87 | 4% | 85% | |
| 88 | 6% | 81% | |
| 89 | 6% | 75% | |
| 90 | 6% | 68% | |
| 91 | 7% | 62% | |
| 92 | 19% | 56% | Median |
| 93 | 4% | 37% | |
| 94 | 10% | 32% | |
| 95 | 6% | 22% | |
| 96 | 6% | 16% | |
| 97 | 2% | 10% | |
| 98 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 99 | 5% | 7% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 98.5% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 64 | 9% | 96% | |
| 65 | 5% | 87% | |
| 66 | 5% | 82% | |
| 67 | 7% | 77% | |
| 68 | 7% | 70% | |
| 69 | 10% | 63% | |
| 70 | 13% | 53% | Median |
| 71 | 6% | 40% | |
| 72 | 10% | 34% | |
| 73 | 6% | 24% | |
| 74 | 3% | 18% | |
| 75 | 3% | 14% | |
| 76 | 7% | 11% | |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 96% | |
| 60 | 7% | 94% | |
| 61 | 3% | 87% | |
| 62 | 5% | 84% | |
| 63 | 10% | 79% | |
| 64 | 23% | 69% | Median |
| 65 | 10% | 47% | |
| 66 | 6% | 36% | |
| 67 | 6% | 31% | |
| 68 | 12% | 25% | |
| 69 | 4% | 13% | |
| 70 | 4% | 10% | |
| 71 | 3% | 6% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 2% | 96% | |
| 33 | 5% | 95% | |
| 34 | 7% | 90% | |
| 35 | 12% | 83% | |
| 36 | 21% | 71% | Median |
| 37 | 11% | 50% | |
| 38 | 11% | 39% | |
| 39 | 10% | 28% | |
| 40 | 10% | 18% | |
| 41 | 5% | 8% | |
| 42 | 2% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98% | |
| 31 | 3% | 95% | |
| 32 | 9% | 92% | |
| 33 | 11% | 83% | |
| 34 | 10% | 72% | |
| 35 | 21% | 62% | Median |
| 36 | 20% | 41% | |
| 37 | 9% | 21% | |
| 38 | 5% | 12% | |
| 39 | 3% | 8% | |
| 40 | 3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 19 | 4% | 98% | |
| 20 | 10% | 94% | |
| 21 | 15% | 84% | |
| 22 | 15% | 70% | |
| 23 | 19% | 54% | Median |
| 24 | 15% | 35% | |
| 25 | 12% | 20% | Last Result |
| 26 | 5% | 8% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 3% | 98% | |
| 19 | 5% | 95% | Last Result |
| 20 | 18% | 90% | |
| 21 | 25% | 72% | Median |
| 22 | 17% | 47% | |
| 23 | 10% | 30% | |
| 24 | 13% | 20% | |
| 25 | 4% | 7% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 55% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 45% | |
| 2 | 0% | 45% | |
| 3 | 0% | 45% | |
| 4 | 0% | 45% | |
| 5 | 0% | 45% | |
| 6 | 0% | 45% | |
| 7 | 0% | 45% | |
| 8 | 0% | 45% | |
| 9 | 0% | 45% | |
| 10 | 0% | 45% | |
| 11 | 0% | 45% | |
| 12 | 0% | 45% | |
| 13 | 0% | 45% | |
| 14 | 2% | 45% | |
| 15 | 23% | 43% | |
| 16 | 9% | 20% | Last Result |
| 17 | 7% | 11% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 156 | 0% | 149–163 | 148–164 | 145–166 | 142–168 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 150 | 0% | 141–156 | 139–157 | 138–159 | 136–161 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 150 | 0% | 141–156 | 139–157 | 138–159 | 136–161 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 133 | 135 | 0% | 127–141 | 125–143 | 124–143 | 122–146 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 130 | 0% | 122–140 | 121–141 | 120–142 | 118–146 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 127 | 0% | 119–133 | 117–134 | 117–135 | 114–138 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 123 | 0% | 117–130 | 115–131 | 113–133 | 112–136 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 115 | 0% | 107–120 | 106–121 | 104–122 | 102–125 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 107 | 0% | 100–118 | 100–120 | 98–121 | 96–124 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 101 | 0% | 96–107 | 94–109 | 92–110 | 90–113 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 145 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 146 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 147 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 148 | 5% | 96% | |
| 149 | 2% | 91% | |
| 150 | 4% | 88% | |
| 151 | 4% | 84% | |
| 152 | 5% | 80% | |
| 153 | 7% | 75% | |
| 154 | 6% | 69% | |
| 155 | 2% | 62% | |
| 156 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 157 | 8% | 47% | |
| 158 | 5% | 40% | |
| 159 | 5% | 35% | |
| 160 | 8% | 30% | |
| 161 | 2% | 22% | |
| 162 | 8% | 20% | |
| 163 | 4% | 11% | |
| 164 | 3% | 7% | |
| 165 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 166 | 2% | 3% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 138 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 139 | 4% | 97% | |
| 140 | 2% | 93% | |
| 141 | 2% | 92% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 89% | |
| 143 | 4% | 88% | |
| 144 | 4% | 84% | |
| 145 | 5% | 80% | |
| 146 | 7% | 75% | |
| 147 | 5% | 68% | |
| 148 | 2% | 63% | |
| 149 | 9% | 61% | |
| 150 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 151 | 3% | 39% | |
| 152 | 13% | 36% | |
| 153 | 4% | 23% | |
| 154 | 3% | 19% | |
| 155 | 6% | 16% | |
| 156 | 5% | 10% | |
| 157 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 158 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 159 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 161 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 138 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 139 | 4% | 97% | |
| 140 | 2% | 93% | |
| 141 | 2% | 92% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 89% | |
| 143 | 4% | 88% | |
| 144 | 4% | 84% | |
| 145 | 5% | 80% | |
| 146 | 7% | 75% | |
| 147 | 5% | 68% | |
| 148 | 2% | 63% | |
| 149 | 9% | 61% | |
| 150 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 151 | 3% | 39% | |
| 152 | 13% | 36% | |
| 153 | 4% | 23% | |
| 154 | 3% | 19% | |
| 155 | 6% | 16% | |
| 156 | 5% | 10% | |
| 157 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 158 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 159 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 161 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 123 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 124 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 125 | 3% | 97% | |
| 126 | 2% | 94% | |
| 127 | 3% | 93% | |
| 128 | 9% | 90% | |
| 129 | 2% | 80% | |
| 130 | 4% | 78% | |
| 131 | 4% | 74% | |
| 132 | 4% | 70% | |
| 133 | 10% | 66% | Last Result |
| 134 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 135 | 6% | 50% | |
| 136 | 5% | 44% | |
| 137 | 9% | 39% | |
| 138 | 4% | 30% | |
| 139 | 3% | 26% | |
| 140 | 3% | 22% | |
| 141 | 10% | 19% | |
| 142 | 4% | 10% | |
| 143 | 3% | 5% | |
| 144 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 146 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 119 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 120 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 121 | 6% | 96% | Median |
| 122 | 1.5% | 90% | |
| 123 | 6% | 89% | |
| 124 | 2% | 83% | |
| 125 | 10% | 81% | |
| 126 | 5% | 71% | |
| 127 | 4% | 66% | |
| 128 | 6% | 62% | |
| 129 | 4% | 56% | |
| 130 | 4% | 52% | |
| 131 | 5% | 47% | |
| 132 | 3% | 42% | |
| 133 | 3% | 39% | |
| 134 | 5% | 36% | |
| 135 | 10% | 31% | |
| 136 | 2% | 21% | |
| 137 | 3% | 19% | |
| 138 | 3% | 16% | |
| 139 | 3% | 13% | |
| 140 | 3% | 10% | |
| 141 | 2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 142 | 3% | 5% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 116 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 117 | 4% | 98% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 119 | 4% | 93% | |
| 120 | 4% | 89% | |
| 121 | 4% | 85% | |
| 122 | 3% | 80% | |
| 123 | 5% | 77% | |
| 124 | 5% | 72% | |
| 125 | 7% | 67% | |
| 126 | 3% | 60% | |
| 127 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 128 | 10% | 43% | |
| 129 | 6% | 33% | |
| 130 | 8% | 27% | |
| 131 | 6% | 19% | |
| 132 | 3% | 13% | |
| 133 | 2% | 10% | |
| 134 | 5% | 8% | Last Result |
| 135 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 138 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 113 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 115 | 3% | 96% | |
| 116 | 2% | 94% | |
| 117 | 4% | 91% | |
| 118 | 2% | 88% | |
| 119 | 5% | 85% | |
| 120 | 10% | 80% | |
| 121 | 9% | 70% | Median |
| 122 | 4% | 61% | |
| 123 | 8% | 57% | |
| 124 | 5% | 49% | |
| 125 | 13% | 44% | Last Result |
| 126 | 7% | 31% | |
| 127 | 5% | 24% | |
| 128 | 5% | 19% | |
| 129 | 4% | 14% | |
| 130 | 2% | 10% | |
| 131 | 4% | 9% | |
| 132 | 2% | 5% | |
| 133 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 106 | 2% | 97% | |
| 107 | 5% | 95% | |
| 108 | 2% | 90% | |
| 109 | 6% | 87% | |
| 110 | 4% | 81% | |
| 111 | 5% | 77% | |
| 112 | 7% | 72% | |
| 113 | 5% | 65% | |
| 114 | 7% | 59% | |
| 115 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 116 | 10% | 40% | |
| 117 | 7% | 29% | |
| 118 | 4% | 22% | |
| 119 | 7% | 19% | |
| 120 | 3% | 11% | |
| 121 | 5% | 9% | |
| 122 | 2% | 3% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 98 | 1.3% | 98.5% | |
| 99 | 2% | 97% | |
| 100 | 7% | 95% | Median |
| 101 | 6% | 88% | |
| 102 | 6% | 82% | |
| 103 | 2% | 76% | |
| 104 | 9% | 74% | |
| 105 | 4% | 65% | |
| 106 | 3% | 61% | |
| 107 | 9% | 58% | |
| 108 | 3% | 50% | |
| 109 | 4% | 47% | |
| 110 | 4% | 43% | |
| 111 | 2% | 40% | |
| 112 | 2% | 38% | |
| 113 | 6% | 36% | |
| 114 | 2% | 30% | |
| 115 | 11% | 27% | |
| 116 | 2% | 17% | |
| 117 | 3% | 15% | |
| 118 | 3% | 11% | |
| 119 | 2% | 8% | |
| 120 | 2% | 6% | |
| 121 | 2% | 3% | |
| 122 | 0.5% | 1.5% | Last Result |
| 123 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 92 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 94 | 3% | 97% | |
| 95 | 3% | 94% | |
| 96 | 4% | 91% | |
| 97 | 3% | 87% | |
| 98 | 4% | 84% | |
| 99 | 6% | 81% | |
| 100 | 16% | 74% | Median |
| 101 | 9% | 58% | |
| 102 | 8% | 49% | |
| 103 | 6% | 41% | |
| 104 | 12% | 35% | |
| 105 | 5% | 24% | |
| 106 | 3% | 18% | Last Result |
| 107 | 7% | 15% | |
| 108 | 2% | 8% | |
| 109 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 110 | 2% | 4% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 112 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 7–16 August 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1883
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.36%