Opinion Poll by SKOP, 16–22 August 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 24.5% | 23.4–25.8% | 23.0–26.1% | 22.7–26.4% | 22.2–27.0% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 20.1% | 19.0–21.3% | 18.7–21.6% | 18.4–21.9% | 17.9–22.4% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 17.1% | 16.1–18.2% | 15.8–18.5% | 15.5–18.8% | 15.1–19.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.4–10.1% | 8.2–10.3% | 8.0–10.5% | 7.7–10.9% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5–9.0% | 7.3–9.3% | 7.1–9.4% | 6.8–9.9% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7–7.0% | 5.5–7.2% | 5.3–7.4% | 5.0–7.8% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2–6.5% | 5.0–6.7% | 4.9–6.9% | 4.6–7.3% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1–5.3% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.6–5.9% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4–2.1% | 1.3–2.3% | 1.2–2.4% | 1.1–2.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 89 | 85–94 | 83–95 | 82–96 | 81–99 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 73 | 69–77 | 68–79 | 68–81 | 65–83 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 62 | 59–67 | 57–68 | 56–69 | 55–71 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 34 | 30–36 | 30–38 | 29–38 | 28–40 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 30 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 26–35 | 25–36 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 23 | 20–26 | 20–27 | 19–27 | 18–28 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 21 | 19–24 | 18–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 17 | 15–19 | 0–20 | 0–20 | 0–22 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 83 | 2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 2% | 95% | |
| 85 | 7% | 92% | |
| 86 | 5% | 85% | |
| 87 | 12% | 80% | |
| 88 | 14% | 68% | |
| 89 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 90 | 12% | 46% | |
| 91 | 5% | 34% | |
| 92 | 8% | 29% | |
| 93 | 3% | 21% | |
| 94 | 9% | 18% | |
| 95 | 4% | 9% | |
| 96 | 3% | 5% | |
| 97 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 68 | 6% | 98% | |
| 69 | 8% | 91% | |
| 70 | 6% | 84% | |
| 71 | 9% | 78% | |
| 72 | 7% | 69% | |
| 73 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 74 | 12% | 47% | |
| 75 | 14% | 35% | |
| 76 | 7% | 21% | |
| 77 | 5% | 14% | |
| 78 | 2% | 9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 5% | |
| 81 | 2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 4% | 95% | |
| 59 | 10% | 90% | |
| 60 | 6% | 81% | |
| 61 | 16% | 75% | |
| 62 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 63 | 9% | 44% | |
| 64 | 10% | 35% | |
| 65 | 9% | 25% | |
| 66 | 4% | 16% | |
| 67 | 5% | 11% | |
| 68 | 3% | 6% | |
| 69 | 2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 30 | 7% | 96% | |
| 31 | 7% | 89% | |
| 32 | 10% | 82% | |
| 33 | 16% | 72% | |
| 34 | 16% | 56% | Median |
| 35 | 11% | 40% | |
| 36 | 20% | 29% | |
| 37 | 4% | 9% | |
| 38 | 3% | 5% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 27 | 6% | 92% | |
| 28 | 15% | 86% | |
| 29 | 18% | 71% | |
| 30 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 31 | 14% | 40% | |
| 32 | 11% | 26% | |
| 33 | 9% | 15% | |
| 34 | 2% | 5% | |
| 35 | 2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 3% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 20 | 7% | 97% | |
| 21 | 10% | 89% | |
| 22 | 15% | 79% | |
| 23 | 26% | 64% | Median |
| 24 | 12% | 38% | |
| 25 | 14% | 26% | |
| 26 | 6% | 12% | |
| 27 | 5% | 6% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 5% | 98% | |
| 19 | 9% | 93% | |
| 20 | 19% | 85% | |
| 21 | 24% | 66% | Median |
| 22 | 14% | 42% | |
| 23 | 17% | 27% | |
| 24 | 6% | 11% | |
| 25 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 26 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 93% | |
| 2 | 0% | 93% | |
| 3 | 0% | 93% | |
| 4 | 0% | 93% | |
| 5 | 0% | 93% | |
| 6 | 0% | 93% | |
| 7 | 0% | 93% | |
| 8 | 0% | 93% | |
| 9 | 0% | 93% | |
| 10 | 0% | 93% | |
| 11 | 0% | 93% | |
| 12 | 0% | 93% | |
| 13 | 0% | 93% | |
| 14 | 0% | 93% | |
| 15 | 13% | 93% | |
| 16 | 17% | 80% | Last Result |
| 17 | 29% | 63% | Median |
| 18 | 19% | 34% | |
| 19 | 8% | 15% | |
| 20 | 5% | 7% | |
| 21 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 152 | 0% | 146–157 | 145–159 | 143–161 | 141–164 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 152 | 0% | 145–157 | 143–159 | 141–160 | 135–162 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 145 | 0% | 139–150 | 138–151 | 137–154 | 134–157 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 145 | 0% | 139–150 | 138–151 | 137–154 | 134–157 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 133 | 135 | 0% | 131–141 | 129–143 | 128–145 | 126–148 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 131 | 0% | 126–137 | 123–139 | 120–140 | 115–142 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 123 | 0% | 118–128 | 116–130 | 115–132 | 113–134 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 115 | 0% | 110–121 | 109–123 | 108–124 | 106–128 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 110 | 0% | 106–116 | 104–117 | 103–118 | 101–121 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 108 | 0% | 103–114 | 99–116 | 97–117 | 92–119 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 92 | 0% | 87–98 | 87–99 | 86–100 | 84–103 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 139 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 143 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 144 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 145 | 3% | 96% | |
| 146 | 4% | 93% | |
| 147 | 3% | 89% | |
| 148 | 12% | 86% | |
| 149 | 4% | 74% | |
| 150 | 11% | 70% | |
| 151 | 6% | 59% | Median |
| 152 | 9% | 53% | |
| 153 | 14% | 44% | |
| 154 | 7% | 30% | |
| 155 | 5% | 24% | |
| 156 | 5% | 18% | |
| 157 | 4% | 13% | |
| 158 | 2% | 8% | |
| 159 | 2% | 7% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 161 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 141 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 143 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 144 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 145 | 3% | 93% | |
| 146 | 3% | 90% | |
| 147 | 4% | 87% | |
| 148 | 4% | 83% | |
| 149 | 4% | 79% | Last Result |
| 150 | 9% | 75% | |
| 151 | 16% | 66% | |
| 152 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 153 | 11% | 44% | |
| 154 | 12% | 33% | |
| 155 | 4% | 21% | |
| 156 | 4% | 16% | |
| 157 | 3% | 13% | |
| 158 | 3% | 9% | |
| 159 | 3% | 7% | |
| 160 | 2% | 4% | |
| 161 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 137 | 3% | 98% | |
| 138 | 3% | 95% | |
| 139 | 3% | 92% | |
| 140 | 9% | 90% | |
| 141 | 7% | 80% | |
| 142 | 5% | 74% | |
| 143 | 10% | 69% | |
| 144 | 7% | 59% | Median |
| 145 | 8% | 52% | |
| 146 | 18% | 44% | |
| 147 | 4% | 26% | |
| 148 | 7% | 21% | |
| 149 | 4% | 15% | |
| 150 | 5% | 11% | |
| 151 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 152 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 153 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 137 | 3% | 98% | |
| 138 | 3% | 95% | |
| 139 | 3% | 92% | |
| 140 | 9% | 90% | |
| 141 | 7% | 80% | |
| 142 | 5% | 74% | |
| 143 | 10% | 69% | |
| 144 | 7% | 59% | Median |
| 145 | 8% | 52% | |
| 146 | 18% | 44% | |
| 147 | 4% | 26% | |
| 148 | 7% | 21% | |
| 149 | 4% | 15% | |
| 150 | 5% | 11% | |
| 151 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 152 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 153 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 127 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 128 | 2% | 98% | |
| 129 | 2% | 96% | |
| 130 | 3% | 93% | |
| 131 | 3% | 90% | |
| 132 | 7% | 87% | |
| 133 | 5% | 79% | Last Result |
| 134 | 18% | 75% | |
| 135 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 136 | 17% | 48% | |
| 137 | 5% | 31% | |
| 138 | 4% | 26% | |
| 139 | 4% | 22% | |
| 140 | 4% | 18% | |
| 141 | 3% | 13% | |
| 142 | 3% | 10% | |
| 143 | 2% | 7% | |
| 144 | 2% | 5% | |
| 145 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 120 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 122 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 123 | 2% | 95% | |
| 124 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 125 | 2% | 92% | |
| 126 | 6% | 90% | |
| 127 | 3% | 85% | |
| 128 | 4% | 81% | |
| 129 | 6% | 77% | |
| 130 | 13% | 71% | |
| 131 | 10% | 58% | |
| 132 | 7% | 49% | Median |
| 133 | 7% | 42% | |
| 134 | 9% | 35% | |
| 135 | 9% | 27% | |
| 136 | 4% | 18% | |
| 137 | 5% | 13% | |
| 138 | 2% | 8% | |
| 139 | 4% | 6% | |
| 140 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 142 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 114 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 115 | 2% | 98% | |
| 116 | 2% | 97% | |
| 117 | 3% | 94% | |
| 118 | 2% | 91% | |
| 119 | 6% | 90% | |
| 120 | 7% | 83% | |
| 121 | 9% | 77% | |
| 122 | 11% | 68% | |
| 123 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 124 | 10% | 43% | |
| 125 | 6% | 33% | |
| 126 | 7% | 27% | |
| 127 | 7% | 20% | |
| 128 | 4% | 13% | |
| 129 | 3% | 9% | |
| 130 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 131 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 132 | 2% | 3% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 107 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 108 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 109 | 2% | 96% | |
| 110 | 8% | 94% | |
| 111 | 3% | 87% | |
| 112 | 5% | 83% | |
| 113 | 16% | 78% | |
| 114 | 9% | 62% | |
| 115 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 116 | 6% | 46% | |
| 117 | 12% | 40% | |
| 118 | 6% | 28% | |
| 119 | 3% | 22% | |
| 120 | 5% | 19% | |
| 121 | 4% | 13% | |
| 122 | 4% | 9% | |
| 123 | 2% | 5% | |
| 124 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 2% | Last Result |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 103 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 104 | 3% | 97% | |
| 105 | 2% | 94% | |
| 106 | 8% | 92% | |
| 107 | 7% | 84% | |
| 108 | 7% | 77% | |
| 109 | 7% | 70% | |
| 110 | 18% | 63% | Median |
| 111 | 7% | 45% | |
| 112 | 7% | 38% | |
| 113 | 5% | 31% | |
| 114 | 7% | 27% | |
| 115 | 9% | 20% | |
| 116 | 4% | 11% | |
| 117 | 3% | 7% | |
| 118 | 2% | 4% | |
| 119 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 97 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 98 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 99 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 102 | 2% | 92% | |
| 103 | 5% | 91% | |
| 104 | 4% | 85% | |
| 105 | 6% | 82% | |
| 106 | 3% | 76% | |
| 107 | 19% | 72% | |
| 108 | 8% | 53% | |
| 109 | 5% | 45% | Median |
| 110 | 7% | 40% | |
| 111 | 6% | 33% | |
| 112 | 9% | 27% | |
| 113 | 3% | 18% | |
| 114 | 5% | 15% | |
| 115 | 4% | 10% | |
| 116 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 117 | 3% | 5% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 86 | 3% | 98% | |
| 87 | 8% | 95% | |
| 88 | 5% | 88% | |
| 89 | 6% | 83% | |
| 90 | 15% | 76% | |
| 91 | 8% | 61% | |
| 92 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 93 | 9% | 43% | |
| 94 | 4% | 34% | |
| 95 | 7% | 30% | |
| 96 | 5% | 23% | |
| 97 | 6% | 18% | |
| 98 | 5% | 13% | |
| 99 | 5% | 8% | |
| 100 | 2% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKOP
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 16–22 August 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 2100
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.93%