Opinion Poll by SKOP, 20–27 August 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 24.8% | 23.8–25.9% | 23.5–26.2% | 23.3–26.4% | 22.8–26.9% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 20.1% | 19.1–21.1% | 18.9–21.4% | 18.7–21.6% | 18.2–22.1% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 16.5% | 15.6–17.4% | 15.4–17.7% | 15.2–17.9% | 14.8–18.4% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.5–9.9% | 8.3–10.1% | 8.2–10.3% | 7.9–10.7% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.3–9.6% | 8.1–9.8% | 7.9–10.0% | 7.6–10.4% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2–7.4% | 6.1–7.6% | 5.9–7.8% | 5.7–8.1% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2–6.3% | 5.0–6.5% | 4.9–6.6% | 4.7–6.9% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5–5.6% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 90 | 86–92 | 85–94 | 83–94 | 82–96 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 72 | 68–75 | 68–76 | 67–77 | 66–79 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 59 | 56–62 | 56–63 | 54–64 | 53–66 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 33 | 30–36 | 30–36 | 30–37 | 29–38 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 32 | 30–34 | 29–35 | 28–35 | 27–37 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 25 | 22–27 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 21–29 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 21 | 19–23 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 18 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 0–22 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 84 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 85 | 2% | 96% | |
| 86 | 5% | 94% | |
| 87 | 5% | 88% | |
| 88 | 10% | 84% | |
| 89 | 22% | 74% | |
| 90 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 91 | 17% | 40% | |
| 92 | 13% | 23% | |
| 93 | 4% | 10% | |
| 94 | 4% | 6% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 10% | 96% | |
| 69 | 12% | 86% | |
| 70 | 14% | 75% | |
| 71 | 8% | 61% | |
| 72 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 73 | 16% | 49% | |
| 74 | 12% | 33% | |
| 75 | 15% | 22% | |
| 76 | 4% | 7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 11% | 96% | |
| 57 | 14% | 84% | |
| 58 | 8% | 70% | |
| 59 | 20% | 62% | Median |
| 60 | 13% | 42% | |
| 61 | 15% | 28% | |
| 62 | 5% | 13% | |
| 63 | 4% | 8% | |
| 64 | 3% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 8% | 98% | |
| 31 | 10% | 90% | |
| 32 | 15% | 80% | |
| 33 | 23% | 65% | Median |
| 34 | 15% | 42% | |
| 35 | 13% | 26% | |
| 36 | 9% | 13% | |
| 37 | 2% | 4% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 3% | 96% | |
| 30 | 20% | 93% | |
| 31 | 16% | 72% | |
| 32 | 15% | 57% | Median |
| 33 | 21% | 42% | |
| 34 | 11% | 21% | |
| 35 | 7% | 9% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 22 | 9% | 96% | |
| 23 | 13% | 87% | |
| 24 | 20% | 74% | |
| 25 | 26% | 54% | Median |
| 26 | 18% | 28% | |
| 27 | 6% | 11% | |
| 28 | 3% | 5% | |
| 29 | 2% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 8% | 98% | |
| 19 | 16% | 91% | |
| 20 | 16% | 75% | |
| 21 | 24% | 59% | Median |
| 22 | 21% | 35% | |
| 23 | 11% | 14% | |
| 24 | 2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 14% | 96% | |
| 17 | 20% | 82% | |
| 18 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 19 | 26% | 44% | |
| 20 | 14% | 18% | |
| 21 | 3% | 4% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 181 | 98.9% | 178–186 | 177–188 | 176–188 | 173–191 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 152 | 0% | 147–156 | 146–157 | 146–158 | 143–162 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 148 | 0% | 144–153 | 144–154 | 143–155 | 140–158 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 140 | 0% | 135–144 | 134–145 | 133–146 | 129–148 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 140 | 0% | 135–144 | 134–145 | 133–146 | 129–148 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 138 | 0% | 133–142 | 132–143 | 131–145 | 129–147 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 133 | 131 | 0% | 126–135 | 126–136 | 125–138 | 123–140 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 122 | 0% | 117–126 | 116–127 | 115–128 | 113–130 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 117 | 0% | 113–121 | 111–123 | 111–123 | 109–125 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 113 | 0% | 109–117 | 108–119 | 107–120 | 105–121 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 108 | 0% | 104–111 | 102–112 | 101–113 | 95–115 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 92 | 0% | 89–96 | 88–97 | 87–99 | 85–100 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 171 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 173 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 174 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 175 | 1.3% | 98.9% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 98% | |
| 177 | 2% | 95% | |
| 178 | 6% | 93% | |
| 179 | 11% | 87% | |
| 180 | 16% | 76% | |
| 181 | 11% | 60% | |
| 182 | 9% | 49% | Median |
| 183 | 8% | 40% | |
| 184 | 7% | 32% | |
| 185 | 8% | 25% | |
| 186 | 8% | 17% | |
| 187 | 4% | 9% | |
| 188 | 3% | 5% | |
| 189 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 145 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 146 | 6% | 98% | |
| 147 | 7% | 92% | |
| 148 | 3% | 85% | |
| 149 | 6% | 82% | Last Result |
| 150 | 14% | 76% | |
| 151 | 11% | 62% | |
| 152 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 153 | 15% | 43% | |
| 154 | 6% | 28% | |
| 155 | 8% | 22% | |
| 156 | 5% | 13% | |
| 157 | 4% | 9% | |
| 158 | 3% | 5% | |
| 159 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 142 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 143 | 3% | 98% | |
| 144 | 7% | 95% | |
| 145 | 8% | 88% | |
| 146 | 6% | 80% | |
| 147 | 10% | 75% | |
| 148 | 16% | 64% | |
| 149 | 8% | 48% | Median |
| 150 | 7% | 40% | |
| 151 | 10% | 33% | |
| 152 | 8% | 23% | |
| 153 | 8% | 15% | |
| 154 | 4% | 7% | |
| 155 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 132 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 133 | 3% | 98% | |
| 134 | 2% | 95% | |
| 135 | 7% | 94% | |
| 136 | 6% | 86% | |
| 137 | 7% | 81% | |
| 138 | 12% | 74% | |
| 139 | 12% | 62% | |
| 140 | 6% | 50% | Median |
| 141 | 15% | 44% | |
| 142 | 9% | 29% | |
| 143 | 6% | 20% | |
| 144 | 6% | 14% | |
| 145 | 5% | 8% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 148 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 132 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 133 | 3% | 98% | |
| 134 | 2% | 95% | |
| 135 | 7% | 94% | |
| 136 | 6% | 86% | |
| 137 | 7% | 81% | |
| 138 | 12% | 74% | |
| 139 | 12% | 62% | |
| 140 | 6% | 50% | Median |
| 141 | 15% | 44% | |
| 142 | 9% | 29% | |
| 143 | 6% | 20% | |
| 144 | 6% | 14% | |
| 145 | 5% | 8% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 148 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 131 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 132 | 2% | 97% | |
| 133 | 6% | 95% | |
| 134 | 3% | 89% | |
| 135 | 10% | 86% | |
| 136 | 12% | 76% | |
| 137 | 14% | 64% | |
| 138 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 139 | 15% | 38% | |
| 140 | 7% | 23% | |
| 141 | 4% | 16% | Last Result |
| 142 | 5% | 11% | |
| 143 | 2% | 6% | |
| 144 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 145 | 3% | 4% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 147 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 125 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 126 | 5% | 95% | |
| 127 | 5% | 90% | |
| 128 | 9% | 85% | |
| 129 | 12% | 76% | |
| 130 | 11% | 64% | |
| 131 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 132 | 9% | 42% | |
| 133 | 8% | 33% | Last Result |
| 134 | 13% | 25% | |
| 135 | 4% | 12% | |
| 136 | 3% | 8% | |
| 137 | 2% | 5% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 139 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 114 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 115 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 116 | 2% | 97% | |
| 117 | 6% | 95% | |
| 118 | 4% | 89% | |
| 119 | 13% | 85% | |
| 120 | 7% | 72% | |
| 121 | 11% | 65% | |
| 122 | 15% | 54% | Median |
| 123 | 10% | 39% | |
| 124 | 14% | 28% | |
| 125 | 2% | 14% | |
| 126 | 6% | 12% | |
| 127 | 3% | 6% | |
| 128 | 2% | 3% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 130 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 111 | 4% | 98% | |
| 112 | 4% | 94% | |
| 113 | 2% | 91% | |
| 114 | 10% | 88% | |
| 115 | 12% | 79% | |
| 116 | 12% | 66% | |
| 117 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 118 | 15% | 41% | |
| 119 | 7% | 26% | |
| 120 | 8% | 19% | |
| 121 | 3% | 11% | |
| 122 | 2% | 8% | |
| 123 | 3% | 6% | |
| 124 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 125 | 1.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 126 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 106 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 107 | 2% | 98% | |
| 108 | 3% | 97% | |
| 109 | 4% | 93% | |
| 110 | 9% | 89% | |
| 111 | 10% | 80% | |
| 112 | 10% | 70% | |
| 113 | 18% | 59% | Median |
| 114 | 15% | 42% | |
| 115 | 8% | 26% | |
| 116 | 7% | 18% | |
| 117 | 4% | 11% | |
| 118 | 2% | 7% | |
| 119 | 2% | 5% | |
| 120 | 2% | 3% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 93 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 94 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 95 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 96 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 101 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 102 | 3% | 97% | |
| 103 | 2% | 94% | |
| 104 | 4% | 92% | |
| 105 | 9% | 88% | |
| 106 | 10% | 79% | |
| 107 | 11% | 69% | |
| 108 | 19% | 57% | Median |
| 109 | 13% | 38% | |
| 110 | 8% | 25% | |
| 111 | 7% | 17% | |
| 112 | 6% | 10% | |
| 113 | 2% | 4% | |
| 114 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 86 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 88 | 3% | 97% | |
| 89 | 12% | 94% | |
| 90 | 8% | 82% | |
| 91 | 20% | 75% | |
| 92 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 93 | 14% | 46% | |
| 94 | 15% | 32% | |
| 95 | 4% | 17% | |
| 96 | 5% | 13% | |
| 97 | 3% | 8% | |
| 98 | 2% | 5% | |
| 99 | 2% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKOP
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 20–27 August 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 2873
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.13%