Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 22–27 August 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 25.9% | 24.8–27.0% | 24.5–27.3% | 24.3–27.6% | 23.8–28.2% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 18.8% | 17.9–19.8% | 17.6–20.1% | 17.4–20.3% | 16.9–20.8% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 18.3% | 17.4–19.3% | 17.1–19.6% | 16.9–19.8% | 16.4–20.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 9.5% | 8.8–10.3% | 8.6–10.5% | 8.4–10.7% | 8.1–11.1% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.8–9.2% | 7.6–9.4% | 7.5–9.6% | 7.2–10.0% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5–6.8% | 5.4–6.9% | 5.3–7.1% | 5.0–7.4% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0–6.1% | 4.8–6.3% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.5–6.8% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.6–6.1% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 92 | 89–96 | 88–97 | 87–98 | 85–100 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 67 | 64–70 | 62–72 | 62–72 | 61–75 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 65 | 62–69 | 61–70 | 60–70 | 59–72 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 34 | 31–36 | 31–37 | 30–38 | 29–39 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 30 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 27–34 | 26–36 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 22 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 19–25 | 18–26 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 20 | 18–22 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–24 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 19 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 15–23 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 86 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 87 | 3% | 98% | |
| 88 | 4% | 95% | |
| 89 | 10% | 91% | |
| 90 | 13% | 81% | |
| 91 | 9% | 68% | |
| 92 | 18% | 59% | Median |
| 93 | 10% | 41% | |
| 94 | 12% | 31% | |
| 95 | 7% | 19% | |
| 96 | 7% | 13% | |
| 97 | 3% | 6% | |
| 98 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 99 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 3% | 95% | |
| 64 | 10% | 92% | |
| 65 | 8% | 82% | |
| 66 | 12% | 74% | |
| 67 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 68 | 8% | 45% | |
| 69 | 11% | 36% | |
| 70 | 16% | 25% | |
| 71 | 3% | 9% | |
| 72 | 3% | 6% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 61 | 4% | 97% | |
| 62 | 8% | 93% | |
| 63 | 9% | 84% | |
| 64 | 14% | 76% | |
| 65 | 19% | 62% | Median |
| 66 | 11% | 43% | |
| 67 | 12% | 32% | |
| 68 | 7% | 20% | |
| 69 | 6% | 12% | |
| 70 | 4% | 6% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 31 | 6% | 95% | |
| 32 | 11% | 89% | |
| 33 | 21% | 78% | |
| 34 | 20% | 57% | Median |
| 35 | 17% | 37% | |
| 36 | 11% | 20% | |
| 37 | 5% | 10% | |
| 38 | 3% | 4% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 27 | 4% | 98% | |
| 28 | 11% | 94% | |
| 29 | 20% | 83% | |
| 30 | 31% | 63% | Median |
| 31 | 15% | 32% | |
| 32 | 6% | 17% | |
| 33 | 5% | 11% | |
| 34 | 3% | 6% | |
| 35 | 2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 7% | 98% | |
| 20 | 13% | 92% | |
| 21 | 27% | 79% | |
| 22 | 22% | 52% | Median |
| 23 | 16% | 30% | |
| 24 | 8% | 14% | |
| 25 | 4% | 6% | |
| 26 | 2% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 6% | 98% | |
| 18 | 16% | 93% | |
| 19 | 25% | 77% | |
| 20 | 24% | 52% | Median |
| 21 | 16% | 28% | |
| 22 | 8% | 12% | |
| 23 | 3% | 4% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 17 | 11% | 94% | |
| 18 | 14% | 83% | |
| 19 | 36% | 70% | Last Result, Median |
| 20 | 14% | 33% | |
| 21 | 14% | 19% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 187 | 100% | 183–192 | 182–193 | 181–194 | 179–197 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 157 | 0% | 153–161 | 152–163 | 151–164 | 149–166 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 154 | 0% | 150–159 | 149–159 | 148–161 | 145–163 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 146 | 0% | 141–150 | 140–151 | 139–152 | 137–154 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 141 | 136 | 0% | 132–141 | 131–142 | 130–143 | 127–145 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 133 | 133 | 0% | 128–136 | 126–138 | 126–139 | 124–141 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 126 | 0% | 122–130 | 121–131 | 120–132 | 118–135 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 117 | 0% | 113–122 | 112–123 | 111–123 | 109–126 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 114 | 0% | 110–119 | 109–120 | 108–121 | 106–123 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 111 | 0% | 108–116 | 107–117 | 106–118 | 103–120 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 95 | 0% | 91–99 | 91–100 | 90–102 | 88–103 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 176 | 0% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 180 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 181 | 2% | 98% | |
| 182 | 3% | 96% | |
| 183 | 6% | 94% | |
| 184 | 6% | 88% | |
| 185 | 12% | 81% | |
| 186 | 9% | 70% | |
| 187 | 14% | 60% | Median |
| 188 | 10% | 46% | |
| 189 | 10% | 37% | |
| 190 | 9% | 27% | |
| 191 | 7% | 18% | |
| 192 | 4% | 11% | |
| 193 | 3% | 7% | |
| 194 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 195 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 197 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 149 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 150 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 151 | 2% | 98% | |
| 152 | 3% | 96% | |
| 153 | 4% | 93% | |
| 154 | 9% | 89% | |
| 155 | 7% | 80% | |
| 156 | 10% | 73% | |
| 157 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 158 | 14% | 47% | |
| 159 | 7% | 34% | |
| 160 | 12% | 27% | |
| 161 | 7% | 15% | |
| 162 | 2% | 8% | |
| 163 | 2% | 5% | |
| 164 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 165 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 147 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 148 | 3% | 98% | |
| 149 | 2% | 95% | Last Result |
| 150 | 9% | 93% | |
| 151 | 4% | 84% | |
| 152 | 12% | 80% | |
| 153 | 7% | 68% | |
| 154 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 155 | 13% | 50% | |
| 156 | 9% | 37% | |
| 157 | 13% | 28% | |
| 158 | 4% | 15% | |
| 159 | 7% | 11% | |
| 160 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 161 | 2% | 3% | |
| 162 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 139 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 140 | 2% | 97% | |
| 141 | 5% | 95% | |
| 142 | 5% | 89% | |
| 143 | 10% | 84% | |
| 144 | 13% | 74% | |
| 145 | 10% | 60% | |
| 146 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 147 | 9% | 37% | |
| 148 | 8% | 28% | |
| 149 | 6% | 20% | |
| 150 | 6% | 14% | |
| 151 | 4% | 8% | |
| 152 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 153 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 128 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 129 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 130 | 2% | 98% | |
| 131 | 3% | 96% | |
| 132 | 6% | 93% | |
| 133 | 10% | 87% | |
| 134 | 12% | 78% | |
| 135 | 13% | 66% | |
| 136 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 137 | 12% | 46% | |
| 138 | 9% | 34% | |
| 139 | 9% | 25% | |
| 140 | 5% | 16% | |
| 141 | 6% | 11% | Last Result |
| 142 | 3% | 5% | |
| 143 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 124 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 126 | 3% | 98% | |
| 127 | 3% | 95% | |
| 128 | 4% | 92% | |
| 129 | 5% | 88% | |
| 130 | 10% | 83% | |
| 131 | 12% | 73% | |
| 132 | 8% | 60% | Median |
| 133 | 9% | 52% | Last Result |
| 134 | 11% | 43% | |
| 135 | 15% | 32% | |
| 136 | 7% | 17% | |
| 137 | 4% | 10% | |
| 138 | 3% | 6% | |
| 139 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 119 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 120 | 2% | 98% | |
| 121 | 4% | 96% | |
| 122 | 6% | 92% | |
| 123 | 8% | 86% | |
| 124 | 9% | 78% | |
| 125 | 14% | 69% | |
| 126 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 127 | 9% | 40% | |
| 128 | 10% | 31% | |
| 129 | 8% | 21% | |
| 130 | 6% | 13% | |
| 131 | 3% | 8% | |
| 132 | 2% | 5% | |
| 133 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 135 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 111 | 2% | 98% | |
| 112 | 4% | 97% | |
| 113 | 7% | 93% | |
| 114 | 7% | 86% | |
| 115 | 12% | 79% | |
| 116 | 14% | 66% | |
| 117 | 9% | 53% | Median |
| 118 | 8% | 43% | |
| 119 | 11% | 36% | |
| 120 | 10% | 25% | |
| 121 | 5% | 15% | |
| 122 | 5% | 10% | Last Result |
| 123 | 3% | 5% | |
| 124 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 108 | 2% | 98% | |
| 109 | 3% | 97% | |
| 110 | 5% | 94% | |
| 111 | 5% | 89% | |
| 112 | 13% | 84% | |
| 113 | 12% | 70% | |
| 114 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 115 | 8% | 45% | |
| 116 | 10% | 36% | |
| 117 | 9% | 26% | |
| 118 | 5% | 17% | |
| 119 | 7% | 12% | |
| 120 | 2% | 5% | |
| 121 | 2% | 3% | |
| 122 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 126 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 106 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 107 | 2% | 97% | |
| 108 | 9% | 95% | |
| 109 | 10% | 86% | |
| 110 | 13% | 76% | |
| 111 | 17% | 63% | |
| 112 | 12% | 46% | Median |
| 113 | 5% | 34% | |
| 114 | 6% | 29% | |
| 115 | 9% | 23% | |
| 116 | 7% | 14% | |
| 117 | 3% | 7% | |
| 118 | 2% | 3% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 90 | 3% | 98% | |
| 91 | 5% | 95% | |
| 92 | 7% | 90% | |
| 93 | 13% | 83% | |
| 94 | 9% | 70% | |
| 95 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 96 | 11% | 45% | |
| 97 | 10% | 34% | |
| 98 | 9% | 24% | |
| 99 | 6% | 16% | |
| 100 | 5% | 10% | |
| 101 | 2% | 5% | |
| 102 | 2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 22–27 August 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 2664
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.93%