Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 25–28 August 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 25.2% | 24.2–26.3% | 23.9–26.6% | 23.7–26.8% | 23.2–27.3% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 19.2% | 18.3–20.2% | 18.0–20.4% | 17.8–20.7% | 17.4–21.1% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 17.6% | 16.7–18.5% | 16.5–18.8% | 16.2–19.0% | 15.8–19.5% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 10.5% | 9.8–11.2% | 9.6–11.5% | 9.4–11.7% | 9.1–12.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.3–9.6% | 8.1–9.8% | 7.9–10.0% | 7.6–10.4% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2–6.3% | 5.0–6.5% | 4.9–6.6% | 4.7–6.9% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0–6.1% | 4.8–6.2% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.5–6.7% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7–5.8% | 4.6–5.9% | 4.4–6.1% | 4.2–6.3% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.3% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.6–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 90 | 86–94 | 85–95 | 84–95 | 83–97 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 68 | 65–72 | 65–73 | 64–73 | 62–75 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 63 | 60–65 | 59–66 | 58–67 | 56–70 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 37 | 35–40 | 34–41 | 34–41 | 32–43 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 32 | 29–34 | 29–35 | 28–35 | 27–37 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 20 | 19–22 | 18–23 | 17–23 | 17–25 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 19 | 18–22 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–24 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 18 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–23 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 85 | 4% | 96% | |
| 86 | 8% | 93% | |
| 87 | 7% | 85% | |
| 88 | 8% | 78% | |
| 89 | 9% | 70% | |
| 90 | 12% | 62% | Median |
| 91 | 5% | 50% | |
| 92 | 6% | 44% | |
| 93 | 28% | 38% | |
| 94 | 4% | 10% | |
| 95 | 4% | 6% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 11% | 95% | |
| 66 | 8% | 84% | |
| 67 | 25% | 76% | |
| 68 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 69 | 10% | 41% | |
| 70 | 12% | 31% | |
| 71 | 7% | 19% | |
| 72 | 7% | 12% | |
| 73 | 3% | 5% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 59 | 5% | 96% | |
| 60 | 5% | 91% | |
| 61 | 11% | 86% | |
| 62 | 16% | 75% | |
| 63 | 32% | 60% | Median |
| 64 | 10% | 28% | |
| 65 | 8% | 17% | |
| 66 | 5% | 10% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 34 | 5% | 98% | |
| 35 | 6% | 93% | |
| 36 | 13% | 86% | |
| 37 | 32% | 73% | Median |
| 38 | 12% | 41% | |
| 39 | 16% | 29% | |
| 40 | 6% | 13% | |
| 41 | 5% | 7% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 29 | 8% | 97% | |
| 30 | 9% | 89% | |
| 31 | 12% | 81% | |
| 32 | 34% | 69% | Median |
| 33 | 14% | 35% | |
| 34 | 15% | 21% | |
| 35 | 3% | 6% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 5% | 97% | |
| 19 | 14% | 92% | |
| 20 | 42% | 78% | Median |
| 21 | 21% | 36% | |
| 22 | 9% | 16% | |
| 23 | 5% | 7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 18 | 15% | 94% | |
| 19 | 35% | 79% | Last Result, Median |
| 20 | 18% | 44% | |
| 21 | 16% | 27% | |
| 22 | 8% | 10% | |
| 23 | 2% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 5% | 98% | |
| 17 | 12% | 93% | |
| 18 | 37% | 81% | Median |
| 19 | 18% | 44% | |
| 20 | 17% | 26% | |
| 21 | 6% | 9% | |
| 22 | 2% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 185 | 99.9% | 180–189 | 179–190 | 178–191 | 176–193 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 153 | 0% | 148–157 | 147–158 | 146–159 | 144–161 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 151 | 0% | 147–155 | 146–157 | 146–158 | 143–160 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 147 | 0% | 142–150 | 141–151 | 140–152 | 137–155 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 147 | 0% | 142–150 | 141–151 | 140–152 | 137–155 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 141 | 134 | 0% | 131–137 | 129–139 | 128–141 | 127–143 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 133 | 130 | 0% | 127–135 | 126–136 | 125–137 | 123–140 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 129 | 0% | 123–131 | 123–132 | 121–133 | 119–135 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 115 | 0% | 111–118 | 110–120 | 108–121 | 107–123 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 114 | 0% | 110–117 | 109–119 | 108–121 | 107–123 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 109 | 0% | 105–113 | 103–114 | 103–114 | 100–116 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 95 | 0% | 91–97 | 89–98 | 88–101 | 87–102 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 177 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 178 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 179 | 5% | 97% | |
| 180 | 3% | 92% | |
| 181 | 9% | 89% | |
| 182 | 9% | 80% | |
| 183 | 4% | 72% | |
| 184 | 9% | 68% | |
| 185 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 186 | 9% | 49% | |
| 187 | 4% | 40% | |
| 188 | 24% | 36% | |
| 189 | 5% | 13% | |
| 190 | 5% | 8% | |
| 191 | 2% | 3% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 193 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 145 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 146 | 2% | 98% | |
| 147 | 5% | 97% | |
| 148 | 6% | 91% | |
| 149 | 3% | 85% | |
| 150 | 9% | 82% | |
| 151 | 6% | 74% | |
| 152 | 10% | 68% | |
| 153 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 154 | 8% | 49% | |
| 155 | 6% | 41% | |
| 156 | 24% | 35% | |
| 157 | 4% | 12% | |
| 158 | 4% | 7% | |
| 159 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 160 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 146 | 5% | 98% | |
| 147 | 6% | 94% | |
| 148 | 6% | 87% | |
| 149 | 4% | 82% | Last Result |
| 150 | 27% | 78% | |
| 151 | 14% | 50% | Median |
| 152 | 5% | 37% | |
| 153 | 7% | 31% | |
| 154 | 8% | 24% | |
| 155 | 8% | 16% | |
| 156 | 3% | 8% | |
| 157 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 158 | 2% | 4% | |
| 159 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 140 | 2% | 98% | |
| 141 | 4% | 96% | |
| 142 | 3% | 92% | |
| 143 | 6% | 88% | |
| 144 | 11% | 82% | |
| 145 | 11% | 71% | Median |
| 146 | 8% | 60% | |
| 147 | 6% | 52% | |
| 148 | 28% | 46% | |
| 149 | 5% | 18% | |
| 150 | 7% | 13% | |
| 151 | 3% | 7% | |
| 152 | 2% | 4% | |
| 153 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 155 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 140 | 2% | 98% | |
| 141 | 4% | 96% | |
| 142 | 3% | 92% | |
| 143 | 6% | 88% | |
| 144 | 11% | 82% | |
| 145 | 11% | 71% | Median |
| 146 | 8% | 60% | |
| 147 | 6% | 52% | |
| 148 | 28% | 46% | |
| 149 | 5% | 18% | |
| 150 | 7% | 13% | |
| 151 | 3% | 7% | |
| 152 | 2% | 4% | |
| 153 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 155 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 128 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 129 | 2% | 95% | |
| 130 | 3% | 93% | |
| 131 | 2% | 90% | |
| 132 | 3% | 88% | |
| 133 | 8% | 85% | |
| 134 | 34% | 77% | Median |
| 135 | 7% | 43% | |
| 136 | 16% | 37% | |
| 137 | 11% | 21% | |
| 138 | 3% | 10% | |
| 139 | 2% | 7% | |
| 140 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 141 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 142 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 125 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 126 | 3% | 97% | |
| 127 | 7% | 93% | |
| 128 | 6% | 86% | |
| 129 | 9% | 81% | |
| 130 | 25% | 72% | |
| 131 | 11% | 47% | Median |
| 132 | 8% | 36% | |
| 133 | 7% | 29% | Last Result |
| 134 | 11% | 21% | |
| 135 | 4% | 11% | |
| 136 | 3% | 7% | |
| 137 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 138 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 120 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 121 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 122 | 2% | 97% | |
| 123 | 6% | 96% | |
| 124 | 11% | 89% | |
| 125 | 7% | 78% | |
| 126 | 6% | 72% | |
| 127 | 4% | 66% | Median |
| 128 | 10% | 62% | |
| 129 | 13% | 52% | |
| 130 | 28% | 39% | |
| 131 | 3% | 11% | |
| 132 | 3% | 8% | |
| 133 | 2% | 5% | |
| 134 | 1.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 135 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 107 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 109 | 2% | 97% | |
| 110 | 3% | 95% | |
| 111 | 2% | 92% | |
| 112 | 3% | 90% | |
| 113 | 7% | 87% | |
| 114 | 7% | 80% | |
| 115 | 37% | 73% | Median |
| 116 | 15% | 36% | |
| 117 | 10% | 21% | |
| 118 | 4% | 11% | |
| 119 | 2% | 7% | |
| 120 | 2% | 5% | |
| 121 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 122 | 1.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 123 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 108 | 2% | 98% | |
| 109 | 3% | 96% | |
| 110 | 3% | 93% | |
| 111 | 2% | 90% | |
| 112 | 4% | 87% | |
| 113 | 8% | 83% | |
| 114 | 33% | 75% | Median |
| 115 | 13% | 42% | |
| 116 | 17% | 30% | |
| 117 | 5% | 13% | |
| 118 | 2% | 7% | |
| 119 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 120 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 121 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 123 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 103 | 4% | 98% | |
| 104 | 4% | 94% | |
| 105 | 5% | 90% | |
| 106 | 9% | 86% | |
| 107 | 13% | 77% | |
| 108 | 6% | 64% | Median |
| 109 | 13% | 58% | |
| 110 | 4% | 45% | |
| 111 | 24% | 41% | |
| 112 | 6% | 17% | |
| 113 | 5% | 11% | |
| 114 | 4% | 6% | |
| 115 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 116 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 89 | 3% | 97% | |
| 90 | 3% | 94% | |
| 91 | 3% | 91% | |
| 92 | 2% | 88% | |
| 93 | 7% | 86% | |
| 94 | 8% | 80% | |
| 95 | 40% | 71% | Median |
| 96 | 19% | 31% | |
| 97 | 4% | 12% | |
| 98 | 3% | 8% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 100 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 101 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 102 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 25–28 August 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 2928
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.67%