Opinion Poll by SKOP, 22–29 August 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 31.0% | 25.7% | 24.6–26.8% | 24.4–27.1% | 24.1–27.4% | 23.6–27.9% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 12.9% | 20.6% | 19.6–21.6% | 19.3–21.9% | 19.1–22.1% | 18.6–22.6% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 23.3% | 15.7% | 14.8–16.6% | 14.6–16.9% | 14.4–17.1% | 14.0–17.5% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 5.7% | 9.6% | 8.9–10.4% | 8.7–10.6% | 8.6–10.8% | 8.3–11.2% |
| Centerpartiet | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.5–8.8% | 7.3–9.0% | 7.1–9.2% | 6.8–9.5% |
| Liberalerna | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7–6.9% | 5.5–7.1% | 5.4–7.2% | 5.2–7.5% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5–6.7% | 5.4–6.9% | 5.2–7.0% | 5.0–7.3% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0–6.2% | 4.9–6.4% | 4.8–6.5% | 4.5–6.8% |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.2% | 0.7–1.3% | 0.6–1.3% | 0.5–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 113 | 92 | 87–96 | 86–97 | 86–99 | 85–100 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 49 | 73 | 70–76 | 68–78 | 68–79 | 66–81 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 84 | 56 | 52–59 | 52–60 | 51–60 | 50–63 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 21 | 34 | 32–37 | 32–38 | 31–38 | 29–40 |
| Centerpartiet | 22 | 29 | 27–31 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 25–34 |
| Liberalerna | 19 | 22 | 20–25 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 16 | 22 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 19–25 | 18–26 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 25 | 20 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–23 | 17–24 |
| Feministiskt initiativ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 86 | 3% | 98% | |
| 87 | 5% | 95% | |
| 88 | 4% | 90% | |
| 89 | 10% | 85% | |
| 90 | 14% | 76% | |
| 91 | 4% | 62% | |
| 92 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 93 | 11% | 47% | |
| 94 | 10% | 36% | |
| 95 | 4% | 27% | |
| 96 | 13% | 22% | |
| 97 | 5% | 9% | |
| 98 | 2% | 4% | |
| 99 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 100 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 69 | 5% | 95% | |
| 70 | 9% | 90% | |
| 71 | 6% | 81% | |
| 72 | 20% | 75% | |
| 73 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 74 | 14% | 41% | |
| 75 | 6% | 27% | |
| 76 | 10% | 20% | |
| 77 | 3% | 10% | |
| 78 | 4% | 7% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 52 | 11% | 97% | |
| 53 | 6% | 86% | |
| 54 | 14% | 80% | |
| 55 | 9% | 67% | |
| 56 | 15% | 58% | Median |
| 57 | 13% | 43% | |
| 58 | 16% | 30% | |
| 59 | 7% | 14% | |
| 60 | 5% | 7% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 3% | 98% | |
| 32 | 12% | 95% | |
| 33 | 13% | 84% | |
| 34 | 24% | 71% | Median |
| 35 | 21% | 47% | |
| 36 | 10% | 26% | |
| 37 | 10% | 16% | |
| 38 | 4% | 6% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 26 | 4% | 97% | |
| 27 | 13% | 93% | |
| 28 | 19% | 80% | |
| 29 | 17% | 61% | Median |
| 30 | 25% | 44% | |
| 31 | 11% | 19% | |
| 32 | 4% | 8% | |
| 33 | 3% | 4% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 20 | 10% | 97% | |
| 21 | 12% | 87% | |
| 22 | 39% | 75% | Median |
| 23 | 16% | 37% | |
| 24 | 10% | 20% | |
| 25 | 6% | 11% | |
| 26 | 3% | 4% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 5% | 98% | |
| 20 | 9% | 93% | |
| 21 | 21% | 84% | |
| 22 | 21% | 63% | Median |
| 23 | 19% | 42% | |
| 24 | 18% | 23% | |
| 25 | 4% | 6% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 17% | 96% | |
| 19 | 28% | 79% | |
| 20 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 21 | 6% | 38% | |
| 22 | 21% | 32% | |
| 23 | 9% | 11% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Feministiskt initiativ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Feministiskt initiativ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 219 | 177 | 80% | 172–181 | 171–183 | 170–184 | 168–185 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 149 | 151 | 0% | 146–155 | 146–157 | 144–158 | 142–159 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 197 | 148 | 0% | 143–152 | 142–154 | 141–155 | 139–156 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ | 159 | 146 | 0% | 142–151 | 141–152 | 140–153 | 138–155 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 159 | 146 | 0% | 142–151 | 141–152 | 140–153 | 138–155 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna | 141 | 129 | 0% | 125–133 | 124–134 | 123–136 | 121–137 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 133 | 129 | 0% | 124–134 | 124–135 | 123–136 | 121–138 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 134 | 127 | 0% | 122–131 | 120–133 | 119–133 | 118–135 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 138 | 112 | 0% | 108–116 | 107–117 | 106–118 | 103–120 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 125 | 107 | 0% | 103–111 | 102–112 | 102–114 | 100–115 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 122 | 107 | 0% | 103–111 | 102–112 | 101–113 | 99–115 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 106 | 85 | 0% | 81–88 | 80–90 | 79–91 | 78–92 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 169 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 170 | 1.1% | 98.5% | |
| 171 | 5% | 97% | |
| 172 | 3% | 93% | |
| 173 | 6% | 90% | |
| 174 | 4% | 84% | |
| 175 | 6% | 80% | Majority |
| 176 | 12% | 73% | |
| 177 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 178 | 18% | 45% | |
| 179 | 8% | 28% | |
| 180 | 6% | 19% | |
| 181 | 4% | 14% | |
| 182 | 4% | 10% | |
| 183 | 2% | 5% | |
| 184 | 3% | 4% | |
| 185 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% | |
| 219 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 143 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 144 | 2% | 98% | |
| 145 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 146 | 8% | 95% | |
| 147 | 4% | 87% | |
| 148 | 8% | 83% | |
| 149 | 8% | 76% | Last Result |
| 150 | 12% | 67% | |
| 151 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 152 | 6% | 43% | |
| 153 | 9% | 37% | |
| 154 | 11% | 27% | |
| 155 | 8% | 16% | |
| 156 | 2% | 8% | |
| 157 | 2% | 6% | |
| 158 | 2% | 3% | |
| 159 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 141 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 142 | 3% | 97% | |
| 143 | 6% | 94% | |
| 144 | 5% | 88% | |
| 145 | 3% | 83% | |
| 146 | 7% | 80% | |
| 147 | 8% | 73% | |
| 148 | 27% | 66% | Median |
| 149 | 9% | 38% | |
| 150 | 13% | 29% | |
| 151 | 3% | 16% | |
| 152 | 3% | 12% | |
| 153 | 2% | 9% | |
| 154 | 2% | 7% | |
| 155 | 2% | 4% | |
| 156 | 2% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Feministiskt initiativ
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 139 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 140 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 141 | 2% | 96% | |
| 142 | 5% | 93% | |
| 143 | 4% | 88% | |
| 144 | 10% | 84% | |
| 145 | 7% | 74% | |
| 146 | 20% | 67% | Median |
| 147 | 9% | 47% | |
| 148 | 10% | 38% | |
| 149 | 7% | 28% | |
| 150 | 4% | 21% | |
| 151 | 10% | 17% | |
| 152 | 3% | 7% | |
| 153 | 2% | 4% | |
| 154 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 139 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 140 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 141 | 2% | 96% | |
| 142 | 5% | 93% | |
| 143 | 4% | 88% | |
| 144 | 10% | 84% | |
| 145 | 7% | 74% | |
| 146 | 20% | 67% | Median |
| 147 | 9% | 47% | |
| 148 | 10% | 38% | |
| 149 | 7% | 28% | |
| 150 | 4% | 21% | |
| 151 | 10% | 17% | |
| 152 | 3% | 7% | |
| 153 | 2% | 4% | |
| 154 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 123 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 124 | 3% | 97% | |
| 125 | 5% | 94% | |
| 126 | 10% | 90% | |
| 127 | 8% | 79% | |
| 128 | 6% | 71% | |
| 129 | 20% | 65% | Median |
| 130 | 6% | 45% | |
| 131 | 18% | 39% | |
| 132 | 5% | 21% | |
| 133 | 7% | 16% | |
| 134 | 5% | 9% | |
| 135 | 2% | 5% | |
| 136 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 137 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 123 | 2% | 98% | |
| 124 | 9% | 96% | |
| 125 | 4% | 87% | |
| 126 | 12% | 82% | |
| 127 | 9% | 70% | |
| 128 | 6% | 61% | |
| 129 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 130 | 12% | 46% | |
| 131 | 10% | 33% | |
| 132 | 8% | 24% | |
| 133 | 4% | 16% | Last Result |
| 134 | 6% | 11% | |
| 135 | 3% | 5% | |
| 136 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 137 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 120 | 3% | 97% | |
| 121 | 2% | 94% | |
| 122 | 11% | 92% | |
| 123 | 3% | 82% | |
| 124 | 11% | 78% | |
| 125 | 6% | 67% | |
| 126 | 6% | 61% | Median |
| 127 | 12% | 54% | |
| 128 | 8% | 42% | |
| 129 | 12% | 34% | |
| 130 | 5% | 22% | |
| 131 | 8% | 17% | |
| 132 | 4% | 9% | |
| 133 | 4% | 6% | |
| 134 | 1.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 135 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 106 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 107 | 4% | 96% | |
| 108 | 6% | 93% | |
| 109 | 6% | 87% | |
| 110 | 4% | 81% | |
| 111 | 12% | 77% | |
| 112 | 30% | 65% | Median |
| 113 | 3% | 35% | |
| 114 | 4% | 31% | |
| 115 | 10% | 27% | |
| 116 | 11% | 17% | |
| 117 | 3% | 6% | |
| 118 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 119 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 120 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 102 | 5% | 98% | |
| 103 | 3% | 92% | |
| 104 | 10% | 90% | |
| 105 | 9% | 80% | |
| 106 | 12% | 71% | |
| 107 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 108 | 13% | 46% | |
| 109 | 8% | 33% | |
| 110 | 14% | 26% | |
| 111 | 3% | 12% | |
| 112 | 5% | 9% | |
| 113 | 2% | 4% | |
| 114 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 101 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 102 | 6% | 97% | |
| 103 | 4% | 92% | |
| 104 | 11% | 88% | |
| 105 | 6% | 77% | |
| 106 | 9% | 71% | |
| 107 | 19% | 62% | Median |
| 108 | 9% | 43% | |
| 109 | 16% | 34% | |
| 110 | 7% | 18% | |
| 111 | 5% | 11% | |
| 112 | 3% | 6% | |
| 113 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 114 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 80 | 4% | 96% | |
| 81 | 4% | 92% | |
| 82 | 8% | 88% | |
| 83 | 7% | 79% | |
| 84 | 18% | 72% | |
| 85 | 16% | 55% | Median |
| 86 | 9% | 39% | |
| 87 | 9% | 30% | |
| 88 | 12% | 21% | |
| 89 | 4% | 9% | |
| 90 | 2% | 6% | |
| 91 | 2% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKOP
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 22–29 August 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 2763
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.34%